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Determination of probabilities defining safety of a sea-going ship during performance of a transportation task in stormy weather conditions

Abstract

The paper presents the possibility of applying the theory of semi-Markov processes to determine the limiting distribution for the process of changes of technical states being reliability states of the systems of sea-going ships significantly affecting safety of such ships, which include main engine, propeller and steering gear. The distribution concerns the probabilities of occurrence of the said states defined for a long time of ship operation (t  ). The considered states are as follows: s0 – full ability state of the systems, i.e.: main engine, propeller and steering gear, s1 – inability state of the main engine, s2 – inability state of the propeller, s3 – inability state of the steering gear. Significance of the systems for safety of the ships at sea was demonstrated herein. General conditions for performing transportation tasks by the ships, with particular regard to stormy conditions, were also here described.

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Category:
Articles
Type:
artykuły w czasopismach recenzowanych i innych wydawnictwach ciągłych
Published in:
Journal of Polish CIMEEAC no. 12, pages 21 - 30,
ISSN: 1231-3998
Language:
English
Publication year:
2017
Bibliographic description:
Girtler J.: Determination of probabilities defining safety of a sea-going ship during performance of a transportation task in stormy weather conditions// Journal of Polish CIMEEAC. -Vol. 12., iss. 1 (2017), s.21-30
Sources of funding:
  • Free publication
Verified by:
Gdańsk University of Technology

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