Search results for: PREDICTION
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Sensing Direction of Human Motion Using Single-Input-Single-Output (SISO) Channel Model and Neural Networks
PublicationObject detection Through-the-Walls enables localization and identification of hidden objects behind the walls. While numerous studies have exploited Channel State Information of Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) WiFi and radar devices in association with Artificial Intelligence based algorithms (AI) to detect and localize objects behind walls, this study proposes a novel non-invasive Through-the-Walls human motion direction...
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Towards a reliable method for extrapolation of propulsion performance for vessels with twin-crp-pod system
PublicationThe study presents power performance prediction of an Ultra Large Container Ship (ULCS) with hybrid twin-crp-pod propulsion system. Twin crp-pod propulsion system is a combination of three concepts: twin screw, contra-rotating propellers (crp) and conventional shaft propellers with pod propulsors behind. The presented study shows the current extrapolation method for crp propulsion systems and tries to point out its weaknesses....
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Can Web Search Queries Predict Prices Change on the Real Estate Market?
PublicationThis study aims to explore whether the intensity of internet searches, according to the Google Trends search volume index (SVI), is a predictor of changes in real estate prices. The motivation of this study is the possibility to extend the understanding of the extra predictive power of Google search engine query volume of future housing price change (shift direction) by (i) the introduction of a research approach that combines...
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Long-term hindcast simulation of water temperature and salinity in the Baltic Sea
Open Research DataThe dataset contains the results of numerical modelling of water temperature and salinity over a period of 50 years (1958-2007) in the Baltic Sea. A long-term hindcast simulation was performed using a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model PM3D (Kowalewski and Kowalewska-Kalkowska, 2017), a new version of the M3D model (Kowalewski, 1997). The hydrodynamic...
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Long-term hindcast simulation of currents in the Baltic Sea
Open Research DataThe dataset contains the results of numerical modelling of currents over a period of 50 years (1958-2007) in the Baltic Sea . A long-term hindcast simulation was performed using a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model PM3D (Kowalewski and Kowalewska-Kalkowska, 2017), a new version of the M3D model (Kowalewski, 1997). The hydrodynamic model was coupled...
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ANALYSIS OF POSSIBILITIES FOR THE USE OF VOLUME-DELAY FUNCTIONS IN THE PLANNING MODULE OF THE TRISTAR SYSTEM
PublicationTravel time is a measure commonly used for traffic flow modelling and traffic control. It also helps to evaluate the quality of traffic control systems in urban areas. Traffic control systems that use traffic models to predict changes and disruptions in vehicle flows have to use vehicle speed-prediction models. Travel time estimation studies the effects of traffic volumes on a street section at an average speed. The TRISTAR Integrated...
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Predicting Ice Phenomena in a River Using the Artificial Neural Network and Extreme Gradient Boosting
PublicationForecasting ice phenomena in river systems is of great importance because these phenomena are a fundamental part of the hydrological regime. Due to the stochasticity of ice phenomena, their prediction is a difficult process, especially when data sets are sparse or incomplete. In this study, two machine learning models—Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)—were developed to predict...
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Fundamenty palowe, obliczenia z zastosowaniem zasad Eurokodu 7 i doświadczeń krajowych
PublicationPrzedstawiono zagadnienia obliczania fundamentów palowych w nawiązaniu do zaleceń Eurokodu 7. Zwrócono uwagę, że zgodnie z założeniami Eurokodu 7, projektant i inżynier ma swobodę w wyborze metod obliczeniowych.Przytoczono i zarekomendowano metody i propozycje miedzy innymi obliczania statycznego układów palowych, określania nośności pali, prognozowania osiadań fundamentów palowych oraz charakterystyk obciążenie-osiadanie pali...
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Syntetyczne wskaźniki oceny stanu toru
PublicationJakość geometryczna toru analizowana jest w różnych celach, a dane podlegają różnemu stopniowi agregacji. Pojedyncze nierówności toru analizowane są zazwyczaj z uwagi na bezpieczeństwo i służą do planowanie napraw w krótkich terminach. Natomiast agregacja pomierzonych parametrów pozwala na planowanie robót w terminach średniookresowych i budowę modeli predykcji. W artykule przedstawiono zagregowane wskaźniki jakości geometrycznej...
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GIS Solution for Weather Forecast Data Analysis
PublicationIn this paper authors present the GIS system for the analysis of the numerical weather prediction data. This kind of data has multidimensional character (three dimensions and time) and its analysis should consider all the available factors. Proposed GIS system consists of RASDAMAN application with implemented OLAP cube mechanism, which enables the user to process data in the spatial-time domain. It also simplifies the meteorological...
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A new quantum-inspired approach to reduce the blocking probability of demands in resource-constrained path computation scenarios
PublicationThis article presents a new approach related with end-to-end routing, which, owing to quantum-inspired mecha-nisms of prediction of availability of network resources, results in improved blocking probability of incoming requests to establish transmission paths. The proposed scheme has been analyzed for three network topologies and several scenarios of network load. Obtained results show a significant (even twofold) reduction of...
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Optimized Deep Learning Model for Flood Detection Using Satellite Images
PublicationThe increasing amount of rain produces a number of issues in Kerala, particularly in urban regions where the drainage system is frequently unable to handle a significant amount of water in such a short duration. Meanwhile, standard flood detection results are inaccurate for complex phenomena and cannot handle enormous quantities of data. In order to overcome those drawbacks and enhance the outcomes of conventional flood detection...
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A Data Driven Model for Predicting RNA-Protein Interactions based on Gradient Boosting Machine
PublicationRNA protein interactions (RPI) play a pivotal role in the regulation of various biological processes. Experimental validation of RPI has been time-consuming, paving the way for computational prediction methods. The major limiting factor of these methods has been the accuracy and confidence of the predictions, and our in-house experiments show that they fail to accurately predict RPI involving short RNA sequences such as TERRA RNA....
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Cost assessment of computer security activities
PublicationComprehensive cost-benefit analysis plays a crucial role in the decision-making process when it comes to investments in information security solutions. The cost of breaches needs to be analysed in the context of spending on protection measures. However, no methods exist that facilitate the quick and rough prediction of true expenditures on security protection systems. Rafal Leszczyna of Gdansk University of Technology presents...
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The Concept of Geodetic Analyses of the Measurement Results Obtained by Hydrostatic Leveling
PublicationThe article discusses the issue of hydrostatic leveling. Its application is presented in structural health monitoring systems in order to determine vertical displacements of controlled points. Moreover, the article includes a complete computation scheme that utilizes the estimation from observation differences, allowing the elimination of the influence of individual sensors’ systematic errors. The authors suggest two concepts of...
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The Analysis of Patients' Airflow with Respect to Early Detection of Sleep Apnea
PublicationThe paper discusses the analysis of the respiratory events of sleep apnea patients. The analysis was carried out on the basis of the patient's airflow. As a result of the conducted analysis we proposed an algorithm which establishes an individual respiratory pattern for each subject. The algorithm could be implemented in the measurement - control system which manages the prosthetic device applying positive airway pressure. Its...
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New approach to railway noise modeling employing Genetic Algorithms
PublicationMain goal of this paper was to describe an innovative method of noise prediction based on Genetic Algorithms. First part of the paper addresses the problem of growing noise, mainly in the context of a unified method for measuring noise. Further, Genetic Algorithms are described with regards to their fundamental features. Further a description is provided as to how Genetic Algorithms were used in the area of noise modeling. Next...
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Application of Majority Voting Protocols to Supporting Trading Decisions
PublicationA broad spectrum of analysis and prediction indicators and methods exists to support trading decisions, but no hard knowledge exist to tell in advance which of them will fit best in a given timeframe. To support trading decisions, a multi-agent self-organizing system has been proposed. The system is based on history based dynamic weight voting and selects the right indicators based on their past performance. The formal analysis...
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APPLICATION OF MAJORITY VOTING PROTOCOLS TO SUPPORTING TRADING DECISIONS
PublicationA broad spectrum of analysis and prediction indicators and methods exists to support trading decisions, but no hard knowledge exist to tell in advance which of them will fit best in a given timeframe. To support trading decisions, a multi-agent self-organizing system has been proposed. The system is based on history based dynamic weight voting and selects the right indicators based on their past performance. The formal analysis...
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Non-Contact Temperature Measurements Dataset
PublicationThe dataset titled The influence of the distance of the pyrometer from the surface of the radiating object on the accuracy of measurements contains temperature measurements using a selection of four commercially available pyrometers (CHY 314P, TM-F03B, TFA 31.1125 and AB-8855) as a function of the measuring distance. The dataset allows a comparison of the accuracy and measuring precision of the devices, which are very important...
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New type T-Source inverter
PublicationThis paper presents different topologies of voltage inverters with alternative input LC networks. The basic topology is known in the literature as a Z-source inverter (ZSI). Alternative passive networks were named by the authors as T-sources. T-source inverter has fewer reactive components in comparison to conventional Z-source inverter. The most significant advantage of the T-source inverter (TSI) is its use of a common voltage...
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Dynamic fracture of brittle shells in a space-time adaptive isogeometric phase field framework
PublicationPhase field models for fracture prediction gained popularity as the formulation does not require the specification of ad-hoc criteria and no discontinuities are inserted in the body. This work focuses on dynamic crack evolution of brittle shell structures considering large deformations. The energy contributions from in-plane and out-of-plane deformations are separately split into tensile and compressive components and the resulting...
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Protokół głosowania większościowego w narzędziu wsparcia decyzji handlowych
PublicationIstnieje szerokie spektrum narzędzi i metod wspierających decyzje handlowe, lecz brakuj jasnych reguł ich stosowania. Zaproponowano samoorganizujacy się system agentowy do wspierania decyzji handlowych. System bazując na glosowaniu z dynamicznymi wagami, wskazuje efektywne indykatory na podstawie ich poprzednich osiągnięć. Przedstawiono analizę formalną i wyniki weryfikacji, potwierdzającej cechy rozwiązania.
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Verification of the new viscoelastic method of thermal stress calculation in asphalt layers of pavements
PublicationThe new viscoelastic method of thermal stress calculations in asphalt layers has been developed and published recently by the author. This paper presents verification of this method. The verification is based on the comparison of the results of calculations with results of testing of thermal stresses in Thermal Stress Restrained Specimen Test. The calculations of thermal stresses according to the new method were based on rheological...
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Explainable machine learning for diffraction patterns
PublicationSerial crystallography experiments at X-ray free-electron laser facilities produce massive amounts of data but only a fraction of these data are useful for downstream analysis. Thus, it is essential to differentiate between acceptable and unacceptable data, generally known as ‘hit’ and ‘miss’, respectively. Image classification methods from artificial intelligence, or more specifically convolutional neural networks (CNNs), classify...
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Full scale measurements of pressure field induced on the quay wall by bow thrusters – indirect method for seabed velocities monitoring
PublicationThe paper presents the results of full-scale experimental investigation of loads generated on the quay wall by bow thrusters during unberthing of a self-manoeuvring vessel. The presented research allowed for the comparison of the measurements results with generally accepted empirical prediction methods and confirmed the utility of the developed measuring setup for the on-line monitoring of jet induced loads. The conclusions from the...
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New results on estimation bandwidth adaptation
PublicationThe problem of identification of a nonstationary autoregressive signal using non-causal estimation schemes is considered. Noncausal estimators can be used in applications that are not time-critical, i.e., do not require real-time processing. A new adaptive estimation bandwidth selection rule based on evaluation of pseudoprediction errors is proposed, allowing one to adjust tracking characteristics of noncausal estimators to unknown...
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A predictive estimation based control strategy for a quasi-resonant dc-link inverter
PublicationIn this paper the predictive estimation based control strategy for a quasi-resonant dc link inverter (PQRDCLI) is developed. Instead of direct measurement of dc link input inverter current – its estimation with one step prediction is applied. The PQRDCLI fed induction motor, controlled with a predictive current estimation stabilized inverter output voltage slopes independently of load. Moreover, reduction of overvoltage spikes...
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Ship Dynamic Positioning Based on Nonlinear Model Predictive Control
PublicationThe presented work explores the simulation test results of using nonlinear model predictive control algorithm for ship dynamic positioning. In the optimization task, a goal function with a penalty was proposed with a variable prediction step. The results of the proposed control algorithm were compared with backstepping and PID. The effect of estimation accuracy on the control quality with the implemented algorithms was investigated....
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Sensorless predictive control of three-phase parallel active filter
PublicationThe paper presents the control system of parallel active power filter (APF) with predictive reference current calculation and model based predictive current control. The novel estimator and predictor of grid emf is proposed for AC voltage sensorless operation of APF, regardless of distortion of this voltage. Proposed control system provides control of APF current with high precision and dynamics limited only by filter circuit parameters....
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FEM modelling of screw displacement pile interaction with subsoil
PublicationPredicting the-settlement characteristics of piles is an important element in the designing of pile foundations. The most reliable method in evaluating pile-soil interaction is the static load test, preferably performed with instrumentation for measuring shaft and pile base resistances. This, however, is a mostly post-implementation test. In the design phase, prediction methods are needed, in which numerical simulations play an...
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News that Moves the Market: DSEX-News Dataset for Forecasting DSE Using BERT
PublicationStock market is a complex and dynamic industry that has always presented challenges for stakeholders and investors due to its unpredictable nature. This unpredictability motivates the need for more accurate prediction models. Traditional prediction models have limitations in handling the dynamic nature of the stock market. Additionally, previous methods have used less relevant data, leading to suboptimal performance. This study...
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On autoregressive spectrum estimation using the model averaging technique
PublicationThe problem of estimating spectral density of a nonstationary process satisfying local stationarity conditions is considered. The proposed solution is a two step procedure based on local autoregressive (AR) modeling. In the first step Bayesian-like averaging of AR models, differing in order, is performed. The main contribution of the paper is development of a new final-prediction-error-like statistic, which can be used to select...
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Progressive failure analysis of laminates in the framework of 6-field nonlinear shell theory
PublicationThe paper presents the model of progressive failure analysis of laminates incorporated into the 6-field non-linear shell theory with non-symmetrical strain measures of Cosserat type. Such a theory is specially recommended in the analysis of shells with intersections due to its specific kinematics including the so-called drilling rotation. As a consequence of asymmetry of strain measures, modified laminates failure criteria must...
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Recovering Sound Produced by Wind Turbine Structures Employing Video Motion Magnification
PublicationThe recordings were made with a fast video camera and with a microphone. Using fast cameras allowed for observation of the micro vibrations of the object structure. Motion-magnified video recordings of wind turbines on a wind farm were made for the purpose of building a damage prediction system. An idea was to use video to recover sound & vibrations in order to obtain a contactless diagnostic method for wind turbines. The recovered signals...
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Residence time distribution in rapid multiphase reactors
PublicationResidence time distribution (RTD) provides information about average hydraulic residence time and the distribution of material in the reactor. A method for determining RTD for reactors with very short hydraulic residence times is deconvolution based on extraction of real RTD by the analysis of a non-ideal input signal. The mean residence time and dispersion were determined for the spinning fluids reactor (SFR). For the first time...
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Numerical modelling and experimental verification of compressible squeeze film pressure
PublicationThe validity of using the Reynolds equation for compressible squeeze film pressure was tested with computational fluid dynamics (CFD). A squeeze film air bearing was instrumented with pressure sensors and non-contacting displacement probes to provide transient measurements of film thickness and pressure. The film thickness measurements also provided input parameters to the numerical prediction. However, numerical results showed...
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Modeling of Performance, Reliability and Energy Efficiency in Large-Scale Computational Environment
PublicationLarge scale of complexity of distributed computational systems imposes special challanges for prediction of quality in such systems.Existing quality models for lower-scale systems include functionality,performance,reliability,flexibility and usability.Among these attributes,performance and reliability have a particular significance to the large-scale systems computing quality modeling due to their strong dependence on the system...
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Simplified AutoDock force field for hydrated binding sites
Publicationhas been extracted from the Protein Data Bank and used to test and recalibrate AutoDock force field. Since for some binding sites water molecules are crucial for bridging the receptor-ligand interactions, they have to be included in the analysis. To simplify the process of incorporating water molecules into the binding sites and make it less ambiguous, new simple water model was created. After recalibration of the force field on...
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Lattice filter based autoregressive spectrum estimation with joint model order and estimation bandwidth adaptation
PublicationThe problem of parametric, autoregressive model based estimation of a time-varying spectral density function of a nonstationary process is considered. It is shown that estimation results can be considerably improved if identification of the autoregressive model is carried out using the two-sided doubly exponentially weighted lattice algorithm which combines results yielded by two one-sided lattice algorithms running forward in...
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Numerical investigations on early indicators of fracture in concrete at meso-scale.
PublicationFracture is a major reason of the global failure of concretes. The understanding of fracture is important to ensure the safety of structures and to optimize the material behaviour. In particular an early prediction possibility of fracture in concretes is of major importance. In this paper, concrete fracture under bending was numerically analysed using the Discrete Element Method (DEM). The real mesoscopic structure of a concrete...
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Marcin Kulawiak dr hab. inż.
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Lattice filter based multivariate autoregressive spectral estimation with joint model order and estimation bandwidth adaptation
PublicationThe problem of parametric, autoregressive model based estimation of a time-varying spectral density function of a multivariate nonstationary process is considered. It is shown that estimation results can be considerably improved if identification of the autoregressive model is carried out using the two-sided doubly exponentially weighted lattice algorithm which combines results yielded by two one-sided lattice algorithms running...
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Geo-engineering computer simulation seems attractive but is it the real world?
PublicationCorrect formulation of the differential equation system for equilibriom conditions of subsoil, especially in terms of controlled numerical calculation, is discussed. The problem of solution stability is also considered. The solution of problems, which are ill-posed, have no practical value in the majority of cases and is this way the engineering prognosis can lead to real disaster. The object of this paper is quite relevant if...
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Modeling of Performance, Reliability and Energy Efficiency in Large-Scale Computational Environments
PublicationLarge scale of complexity of distributed computational systems imposes special challenges for prediction of quality in such systems. Existing quality models for lower-scale systems include functionality, performance, reliability, flexibility and usability. Among these attributes, performance and reliability have a particular significance to the large-scale systems computing quality modeling due to their strong dependence on the...
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A history of the physical and chemical stability of pharmaceuticals : a review
Publication: There is a great need for a broad range review of stability tests of active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) in comparison with current requirements contained in the pharmacopoeia. This review focuses on a pharmaceutical history of physical and chemical stability determination. Traditional knowledge must be considered in the context of physical stability, while new knowledge must be applied and acquired in terms of identification...
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Wideband Modeling of DC-DC Buck Converter with GaN Transistors
PublicationThe general wideband modeling method of the power converter is presented on the example of DC-DC buck converter with GaN High Electron Mobility Transistors (HEMT). The models of all basic and parasitic components are briefly described. The two methods of Printed Circuit Board (PCB) layout parameter extraction are presented. The results of simulation in Saber@Sketch simulation software and measurements are compared. Next, the model...
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Prognozowanie krzywej osiadania pala wierconego z iniekcją ciśnieniową pod podstawą
PublicationArtykuł jest kontynuacją tematyki autora dotyczącą mechanizmu działania iniekcji ciśnieniowej pod podstawą pala wierconego. W poprzednich publikacjach, autor wykazał, że iniekcja ta w głównej mierze uaktywnia zwiększone opory gruntu wzdłuż pobocznicy pala. Na tej podstawie w niniejszym artykule zaprezentowano procedurę obliczeniową prognozowania krzywą osiadania pala wierconego z iniekcją ciśnieniową pod podstawą. Przedstawiono...
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Assessment of Trajectories of Non-bankrupt and Bankrupt Enterprises
PublicationThe aim of this study is to show how long-term trajectories of enterprises can be used to increase the forecasting horizon of bankruptcy prediction models. The author used seven popular forecasting models (two from Europe, two from Asia, two from North America and one from Latin America). These models (five multivariate discriminant analysis models and two logit models) were used to develop 17-year trajectories separately for non-bankrupt...
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Modeling protein structures with the coarse-grained UNRES force field in the CASP14 experiment
PublicationThe UNited RESidue (UNRES) force field was tested in the 14th Community Wide Experiment on the Critical Assessment of Techniques for Protein Structure Prediction (CASP14), in which larger oligomeric and multimeric targets were present compared to previous editions. Three prediction modes were tested (i) ab initio (the UNRES group), (ii) contact-assisted (the UNRES- contact group), and (iii) template-assisted (the UNRES-template...