Experiences and Challenges in Fatality Reduction on Polish Roads - Publikacja - MOST Wiedzy

Wyszukiwarka

Experiences and Challenges in Fatality Reduction on Polish Roads

Abstrakt

According to the UN, road safety is the key to achieving sustainable development goals, yet the complexity of how road accidents happen makes this a difficult challenge leaving many countries struggling with the problem. For years, Poland has infamously been one of the EU’s top countries for road-accident fatality rates. Despite that, it has made significant progress in the last thirty years with a fatality reduction of more than 60%. A number of factors have contributed to this result: improving the socioeconomic situation, improving road safety measures, changing road user behaviour and changing national road safety programmes. This article presents Poland’s approach to road safety and, in particular, Vision Zero, adopted in 2005. Poland’s road safety changed over the years as the country learned from its successes and failures. Tools for forecasting fatalities were developed and used to identify the main factors that have helped to reduce deaths. An assessment was conducted on how Poland could implement Vision Zero until 2050 under different road safety scenarios. It was found that in order to achieve the EU’s goal for 2030, Poland must reduce fatalities to 1200. While it is an ambitious goal, it is also an important step towards zero fatalities in 2050.

Cytowania

  • 3

    CrossRef

  • 3

    Web of Science

  • 3

    Scopus

Informacje szczegółowe

Kategoria:
Publikacja w czasopiśmie
Typ:
artykuł w czasopiśmie wyróżnionym w JCR
Opublikowano w:
Sustainability nr 11, wydanie 959, strony 1 - 32,
ISSN:
Język:
polski
Rok wydania:
2019
Opis bibliograficzny:
Jamroz K., Budzyński M., Romanowska A., Żukowska J., Oskarbski J., Kustra W.: Experiences and Challenges in Fatality Reduction on Polish Roads// Sustainability. -Vol. 11, iss. 959 (2019), s.1-32
DOI:
Cyfrowy identyfikator dokumentu elektronicznego (otwiera się w nowej karcie) 10.3390/su11040959
Bibliografia: test
  1. United Nations. Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Resolution Adopted by the General Assembly on 25 September 2015; United Nations: New York, NY, USA, 2015. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  2. Kopits, E.; Cropper, M. Traffic fatalities and economic growth. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2005, 37, 169-178. [CrossRef] [PubMed] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  3. Bishai, D.; Quresh, A.; James, P.; Ghaffar, A. National road casualties and economic development. Health Econ. 2006, 15, 65-81. [CrossRef] [PubMed] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  4. Koren, C.; Borsos, A. From increasing to decreasing fatality figures: Where is the turning point? In Proceedings of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Taipei, Taiwan, 9-12 September 2013 otwiera się w nowej karcie
  5. Koornstra, M.J. Prediction of traffic fatalities and prospects for mobility becoming sustainable-safe. Sadhana 2007, 32, 365-395. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  6. Anbarci, N.; Escaleras, M.; Register, C. Traffic fatalities and public sector corruption. Kyklos 2006, 59, 327-344. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  7. Law, T.H.; Noland, R.B.; Evans, A.W. The sources of the Kuznets relationship between road fatalities and economic growth. J. Transp. Geogr. 2011, 19, 355-365. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  8. Jamroz, K. Highway Engineering Risk Management Method; Gdansk University of Technology: Gdansk, Poland, 2011; ISBN 978-83-7348-342-0.
  9. Jamroz, K.; Smolarek, L. Road safety management tools for country strategic level. In Proceedings of the 16th RS4C Conference;
  10. DiVA, Beijing, China, 15-17 May 2013. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  11. Jamroz, K.; Michalski, L.; Gaca, S. Road safety programmes as an effective tool for developing system-based road safety policies. J. Konbin 2006, 1, 155-160.
  12. Al-Haji, G. Towards a Road Safety Development Index (RSDI). Development of an International Index to Measure Road Safety Performance; Linköping University: Norrköping, Sweden, 2005; ISBN 91-85299-70-7. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  13. Van Beeck, E.F.; Borsboom, G.J.; Mackenbach, J.P. Economic development and traffic accident mortality in the industrialized world, 1962-1990. Int. J. Epidemiol. 2000, 29, 503-509. [PubMed] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  14. Cameron, M.H.; Elvik, R. Nilsson's Power Model connecting speed and road trauma: Applicability by road type and alternative models for urban roads. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2010, 42, 1908-1915. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  15. Jamroz, K.; Romanowska, A.; Budzyński, M. Analysis of the impact of socio-economic development on road safety based on the example of Baltic Sea Region countries. In Proceedings of the 18th RS5C Conference, Jeju Island, Korea, 16-18 May 2018.
  16. Shah, S.; Ahmad, N.; Shen, Y.; Pirdavani, A.; Basheer, M.; Brijs, T. Road Safety Risk Assessment: An Analysis of Transport Policy and Management for Low-, Middle-, and High-Income Asian Countries. Sustainability 2018, 10, 389. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  17. OECD. Targeted Road Safety Programmes; OECD: Paris, France, 1994. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  18. Tingvall, C.; Haworth, N. Vision Zero-An ethical approach to safety and mobility. In Proceedings of the 6th ITE International Conference Road Safety & Traffic Enforcement: Beyond 2000, Melbourne, Australia, 6-7 September 1999. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  19. Wegman, F. The future of road safety: A worldwide perspective. IATSS Res. 2017, 40, 66-71. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  20. Wegman, F.; Aarts, L.; Bax, C. Advancing sustainable safety: National road safety outlook for The Netherlands for 2005-2020. Saf. Sci. 2008, 46, 323-343. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  21. Muir, C.; Johnston, I.R.; Howard, E. Evolution of a holistic systems approach to planning and managing road safety: The Victorian case study, 1970-2015. Inj. Prev. 2018, 24, i19-i24. [CrossRef] [PubMed] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  22. Turner, B. Implementing the safe system approach to road safety: Some examples of infrastructure related approaches. In Proceedings of the 16th RS4C Conference DiVA, Beijing, China, 15-17 May 2013; pp. 15-17. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  23. Mooren, L.; Grzebieta, R.; Job, S. Safe System-Comparisons of this approach in Australia. In Proceedings of the Australasian College of Road Safety Conference "A Safe System: Making it Happen!", Melbourne, Australia, 1-2 September 2011.
  24. Groeger, J.A. How Many E's in Road Safety? In Handbook of Traffic Psychology; Elsevier: Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 2011; pp. 3-12. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  25. Hughes, B.P.; Anund, A.; Falkmer, T. A comprehensive conceptual framework for road safety strategies. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2016, 90, 13-28. [CrossRef] [PubMed] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  26. World Health Organization Global Information System on Alcohol and Health (GISAH): Levels of Consumption. Available online: https://www.who.int/gho/alcohol/consumption_levels/en/ (accessed on 18 December 2018). otwiera się w nowej karcie
  27. Larsson, P.; Dekker, S.W.A.; Tingvall, C. The need for a systems theory approach to road safety. Saf. Sci. 2010, 48, 1167-1174. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  28. Lockard, J.; Welle, B.; Bray Sharpin, A.; Shotten, M.; Bose, D.; Bhatt, A.; Alveano, S.; Obelheiro, M. Sustainable & Safe. A Vision and Guidance for Zero Road Deaths; World Resources Institute: Washington, DC, USA, 2018. 28. EuroRAP: Making Safe Road Design a European Transport Priority. Available online: www.eurorap.org (accessed on 4 December 2018). otwiera się w nowej karcie
  29. Lie, A. Vision Zero, the Importance of Energy; Trafikverket: Borlänge, Sweden, 2018.
  30. OECD. Towards Zero: Ambitious Road Safety Targets and the Safe System Approach; OECD: Paris, France, 2008. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  31. Haddon, W. The changing approach to the epidemiology, prevention, and amelioration of trauma: The transition to approaches etiologically rather than descriptively based. Am. J. Public Health 1968, 58, 1431-1438. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  32. Burman, R.; Evans, A.J. Target Zero: A Culture of Safety. Def. Aviat. Saf. Cent. J. 2008, 22-77.
  33. Gerondeau, C. Road Safety in Poland; World Bank's Report; World Bank European Community: Warsaw, Poland, 1993. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  34. European Commision. The 3rd European Road Safety Action Programme 2001-2010. 2000. Available online: http://www.seetoint.org/wp-content/uploads/downloads/2012/11/1044_2rswg-european-road- safety-action-plan-2001-2010-2011-2020-mrrepussard.pdf (accessed on 1 February 2019). otwiera się w nowej karcie
  35. Jamroz, K.; Michalski, L. Implementation of road safety programmes in Polish regions and poviats. In Proceedings of the RS4C, Warsaw, Poland, 5-7 October 2005. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  36. National Road Safety Council. The National Road Safety Programme 2013-2020; National Road Safety Council: Warsaw, Poland, 2013. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  37. Smeed, R.J. Some statistical aspects of road safety research. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. A 1949, 112, 1-34. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  38. Oppe, S. Traffic Safety Developments in Poland. A Research Note; SWOV: Leidschendam, The Netherlands, 2001.
  39. Wachnicka, J. Mathematical models as practical tool for road fatalities forecasts on road network in regions. MATEC Web Conf. 2018, 231, 01018. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  40. Jamroz, K.; Kadzinski, A.; Chruzik, K.; Szymanek, A.; Gucma, L.; Skorupski, J. TRANS-RISK-An integrated method for risk management in transport. J. Konbin 2010, 1, 2009-2220. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  41. Brüde, U.; Elvik, R. The turning point in the number of traffic fatalities: Two hypotheses about changes in underlying trends. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2015, 74, 60-68. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  42. Lord, D.; Persaud, B.N. Estimating the safety performance of urban road transportation networks. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2004, 36, 609-620. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  43. Kononov, J. Exploratory examination of the functional form of Safety Performance Functions of urban freeways. Transp. Res. Board J. Transp. Res. Rec. 2008, 1-19.
  44. Cafiso, S.; D'Agostino, C. Safety Performance Function for Motorways using Generalized Estimation Equations. Procedia Soc. Behav. Sci. 2012, 53, 900-909. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  45. United Nations Development Programme Human Development Reports. Available online: http://www. hdr.undp.org/ (accessed on 18 December 2018). otwiera się w nowej karcie
  46. Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index. Available online: https://www.transparency.org/ research/cpi/overview (accessed on 18 December 2018). otwiera się w nowej karcie
  47. Jamroz, K. Macro model of seat belt use by car occupants. Transp. Probl. 2013, 8, 103-114. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  48. Jamroz, K.; Kustra, W.; Budzynski, M.; Zukowska, J. Pedestrian protection, speed enforcement and road network structure the key action for implementing Poland's Vision Zero. Transp. Res. Procedia 2016, 14, 3905-3914. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  49. Krystek, R.; Michalski, L.;Żukowska, J.; Jamroz, K. Road safety within the "Integrated System of Transport Safety". In Proceedings of the 16th RS4C Conference, DiVA, Beijing, China, 15-17 May 2013.
  50. Wegman, F. Observations of Polish road safety progress with GAMBIT. In Proceedings of the TRB Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, USA, 21-25 January 2017. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  51. Gaca, S.; Kiec, M. Speed Management for Local and Regional Rural Roads. Transp. Res. Procedia 2016, 14, 4170-4179. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  52. Jamroz, K.; Gaca, S.; Michalski, L.; Kieć, M.; Budzyński, M.; Gumińska, L.; Kustra, W.; Mackun, T.; Oskarbska, I.; Rychlewska, J.; et al. Protection of Pedestrians. Guidelines for Pedestrian Traffic Organizers;
  53. National Road Safety Council: Gdansk, Poland; Warsaw, Poland; Cracow, Poland, 2014; ISBN 9788376105277. (In Polish)
  54. Scott Armstrong, J. Principles of forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners; Kluwer Academic Publishers: New York, NY, USA; Boston, MA, USA; Dordrecht, The Netherlands;
  55. London, UK;
  56. Moscow, Russia, 2001; ISBN 0-306-47630-4.
  57. Ansoff, H.I.; McDonnell, E.J. Implanting Strategic Management; otwiera się w nowej karcie
  58. Prentice Hall: Upper Saddle River, NJ, USA, 1990; ISBN 0134519159.
  59. Duus, H.J. Strategic forecasting: The management perspective. Manag. Res. Rev. 2016, 39, 998-1015. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  60. Mietzner, D.; Reger, G. Advantages and Disadvantages of Scenario Approaches for Strategic Foresight. Int. J. Technol. Intell. Plan. 2005, 1, 220-239. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  61. Zmud, J.; Ecola, L.; Phleps, P.; Feige, I. The Future of Mobility: Scenarios for the United States in 2030; RAND Corporation-Institute of Mobility Research: Santa Monica, CA, USA, 2013.
  62. Bergel-Hayat, R.;Żukowska, J. Time-Series Analysis of Road Safety Trends Aggregated at National Level in Europe for 2000-2010; otwiera się w nowej karcie
  63. Bonander, C.; Andersson, R.; Nilson, F. The effect of stricter licensing on road traffic injury events involving 15 to 17-year-old moped drivers in Sweden: A time series intervention study. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2015, 83, 154-161. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  64. Stipdonk, H.; Wesemann, P. Long-Term Forecasts of Road Traffic Fatalities in the European Union; SWOV: Leidschendam, The Netherlands, 2007. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  65. EUROPEAN COMMISSION. EC-DGTM White Paper for Transport: Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area-Towards a Competitive and Resource-Efficient Transport System; EUROPEAN COMMISSION: Brussels, Belgium, 2011.
  66. Malta EU, Valletta Declaration on Road Safety. 2017. Available online: https://www.eu2017.mt/en/ Documents/Valletta_Declaration_on_Improving_Road_Safety.pdf (accessed on 9 December 2018). otwiera się w nowej karcie
  67. Lovegrove, G. Road Safety Planning. New Tools for Sustainable Road Safety and Community Development; VDM Verlag Dr. Mueller e.K.: Riga, Latvia, 2007. otwiera się w nowej karcie
  68. Page, Y. A statistical model to compare road mortality in OECD countries. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2001, 33, 371-385. [CrossRef] otwiera się w nowej karcie
  69. Yannis, G.; Antoniou, C.; Papadimitriou, E.; Katsochis, D. When may road fatalities start to decrease? J. Saf. Res. 2011, 42, 17-25. [CrossRef] [PubMed] otwiera się w nowej karcie
Weryfikacja:
Politechnika Gdańska

wyświetlono 51 razy

Publikacje, które mogą cię zainteresować

Meta Tagi