Scenarios in the development strategies of larger cities in Poland - Publikacja - MOST Wiedzy

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Scenarios in the development strategies of larger cities in Poland

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Summary: Planning prepares decisions and future actions. Therefore, future conditions should be considered in planning, in particular strategic planning, due to its long-term nature. To accomplish this, certain prognostic methods should be applied. A scenario method is seen as one of the most useful prognostic method, especially in cases when social and institutional behaviour plays a crucial role. The aim of the paper is an analysis and evaluation of the application of scenarios in the development strategies of larger cities in Poland (more than 100 thousand inhabitants). Scenarios were prepared in 13 out of the 39 cities. All these scenarios were analyzed. The scenarios were formulated with the intuitive logics method. Most scenarios do not fully meet the scenario definition because of the insufficiency of the sequences of events presented on the timeline. The author discusses some methodological problems concerning the creation of scenarios and the problems in using scenarios, and gives some recommendations.

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Informacje szczegółowe

Kategoria:
Publikacja w czasopiśmie
Typ:
artykuły w czasopismach
Opublikowano w:
PRACE NAUKOWE UNIWERSYTETU EKONOMICZNEGO WE WROCŁAWIU nr 63, strony 91 - 100,
ISSN: 1899-3192
Język:
angielski
Rok wydania:
2019
Opis bibliograficzny:
Sołtys J.: Scenarios in the development strategies of larger cities in Poland// PRACE NAUKOWE UNIWERSYTETU EKONOMICZNEGO WE WROCŁAWIU -Vol. 63,iss. 2 (2019), s.91-100
DOI:
Cyfrowy identyfikator dokumentu elektronicznego (otwiera się w nowej karcie) 10.15611/pn.2019.2.08
Weryfikacja:
Politechnika Gdańska

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