Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Stein Vollset; Hazim Ababneh; Yohannes Abate; Cristiana Abbafati; Rouzbeh Abbasgholizadeh; Mohammadreza Abbasian; Hedayat Abbastabar; Abdallah Abd; Samar Abd; Atef Abdelkader; Michael Abdelmasseh; Sherief Abd-Elsalam; Parsa Abdi; Mohammad Abdollahi; Meriem Abdoun; Auwal Abdullahi; Mesfin Abebe; Olumide Abiodun; Richard Aboagye; Hassan Abolhassani; Mohamed Abouzid; Girma Aboye; Lucas Abreu; Abdorrahim Absalan; Hasan Abualruz; Bilyaminu Abubakar; Hana Abukhadijah; Giovanni Addolorato; Victor Adekanmbi; Charles Adetunji; Juliana Adetunji; Temitayo Adeyeoluwa; Rishan Adha; Ripon Adhikary; Qorinah Adnani; Leticia Adzigbli; Fatemeh Afrashteh; Muhammad Afzal; Saira Afzal; Faith Agbozo; Antonella Agodi; Anurag Agrawal; Williams Agyemang-Duah; Bright Ahinkorah; Austin Ahlstrom; Aqeel Ahmad; Firdos Ahmad; Muayyad Ahmad; Sajjad Ahmad; Shahzaib Ahmad; Anisuddin Ahmed; Ayman Ahmed; Haroon Ahmed; Safoora Ahmed; Syed Ahmed; Karolina Akinosoglou; Mohammed Akkaif; Ashley Akrami; Ema Akter; Salah Al; Syed Al; Amjad Al; Omar Al; Omar Al; Fares Alahdab; Muaaz Alajlani; Yazan Al-Ajlouni; Samer Alalalmeh; Ziyad Al-Aly; Khurshid Alam; Noore Alam; Tahiya Alam; Zufishan Alam; Rasmieh Al-amer; Fahad Alanezi; Turki Alanzi; Almaza Albakri; Wafa Aldhaleei; Robert Aldridge; Seyedeh Alemohammad; Yihun Alemu; Adel Al-Gheethi; Mohammed Al-Hanawi; Abid Ali; Amjad Ali; Iman Ali; Mohammed Ali; Rafat Ali; Syed Ali; Victor Ali; Waad Ali; Akram Al-Ibraheem; Gianfranco Alicandro; Sheikh Alif; Syed Aljunid; François Alla; Joseph Almazan; Hesham Al-Mekhlafi; Ahmed Alqutaibi; Ahmad Alrawashdeh; Sahel Alrousan; Salman Al-Sabah; Mohammed Alsabri; Zaid Altaany; Ala'a Al-Tammemi; Jaffar Al-Tawfiq; Khalid Altirkawi; Deborah Aluh; Nelson Alvis-Guzman; Mohammad Al-Wardat; Yaser Al-Worafi; Hany Aly; Mohammad Alyahya; Karem Alzoubi; Walid Al-Zyoud; Reza Amani; Edward Ameyaw; Tarek Amin; Alireza Amindarolzarbi; Sohrab Amiri; Mohammad Amirzade-Iranaq; Hubert Amu; Dickson Amugsi; Robert Ancuceanu; Deanna Anderlini; David Anderson; Pedro Andrade; Catalina Andrei; Tudorel Andrei; Erick Andrews; Abhishek Anil; Sneha Anil; Amir Anoushiravani; Catherine Antony; Ernoiz Antriyandarti; Boluwatife Anuoluwa; Saeid Anvari; Anayochukwu Anyasodor; Francis Appiah; Michele Aquilano; Juan Arab; Jalal Arabloo; Elshaimaa Arafa; Mosab Arafat; Aleksandr Aravkin; Ali Ardekani; Demelash Areda; Brhane Aregawi; Abdulfatai Aremu; Hany Ariffin; Mesay Arkew; Keivan Armani; Anton Artamonov; Ashokan Arumugam; Mohammad Asghari-Jafarabadi; Charlie Ashbaugh; Thomas Astell-Burt; Seyyed Athari; Prince Atorkey; Maha Atout; Avinash Aujayeb; Marcel Ausloos; Hamzeh Awad; Adedapo Awotidebe; Haleh Ayatollahi; Jose Ayuso-Mateos; Sina Azadnajafabad; Fahad Azeez; Rui Azevedo; Muhammad Badar; Soroush Baghdadi; Mahboube Bagheri; Nasser Bagheri; Ruhai Bai; Jennifer Baker; Abdulaziz Bako; Senthilkumar Balakrishnan; Wondu Balcha; Ovidiu Baltatu; Martina Barchitta; Erfan Bardideh; Suzanne Barker-Collo; Till Bärnighausen; Hiba Barqawi; Sandra Barteit; Afisu Basiru; João Basso; Mohammad-Mahdi Bastan; Sanjay Basu; Matteo Bauckneht; Bernhard Baune; Mohsen Bayati; Nebiyou Bayileyegn; Amir Behnoush; Payam Behzadi; Maryam Beiranvand; Olorunjuwon Bello; Luis Belo; Apostolos Beloukas; Maryam Bemanalizadeh; Isabela Bensenor; Habib Benzian; Azizullah Beran; Zombor Berezvai; Robert Bernstein; Paulo Bettencourt; Kebede Beyene; Melak Beyene; Devidas Bhagat; Akshaya Bhagavathula; Neeraj Bhala; Dinesh Bhandari; Ravi Bharadwaj; Nikha Bhardwaj; Pankaj Bhardwaj; Ashish Bhargava; Sonu Bhaskar; Vivek Bhat; Natalia Bhattacharjee; Gurjit Bhatti; Jasvinder Bhatti; Manpreet Bhatti; Mohiuddin Bhuiyan; Catherine Bisignano; Bijit Biswas; Tone Bjørge; Virginia Bodolica; Aadam Bodunrin; Milad Bonakdar; Berrak Bora; Hamed Borhany; Samuel Bosoka; Alejandro Botero; Souad Bouaoud; Soufiane Boufous; Christopher Boxe; Edward Boyko; Oliver Brady; Dejana Braithwaite; Michael Brauer; Javier Brazo-Sayavera; Hermann Brenner; Colin Brown; Annie Browne; Traolach Brugha; Dana Bryazka; Norma Bulamu; Danilo Buonsenso; Katrin Burkart; Richard Burns; Reinhard Busse; Yasser Bustanji; Zahid Butt; Florentino Caetano; Mehtap Çakmak; Daniela Calina; Luciana Campos; Shujin Cao; Angelo Capodici; Rosario Cárdenas; Giulia Carreras; Andrea Carugno; Márcia Carvalho; Joao Castaldelli-Maia; Giulio Castelpietra; Maria Cattaruzza; Arthur Caye; Luca Cegolon; Francieli Cembranel; Edina Cenko; Ester Cerin; Steven Chadban; Joshua Chadwick; Chiranjib Chakraborty; Sandip Chakraborty; Julian Chalek; Jeffrey Chan; Rama Chandika; Sara Chandy; Jaykaran Charan; Anis Chaudhary; Akhilanand Chaurasia; An-Tian Chen; Haowei Chen; Meng Chen; Simiao Chen; Nicolas Cherbuin; Gerald Chi; Fatemeh Chichagi; Odgerel Chimed-Ochir; Ritesh Chimoriya; Patrick Ching; Jesus Chirinos-Caceres; Abdulaal Chitheer; Daniel Cho; William Cho; Dong-Woo Choi; Bryan Chong; Chean Chong; Hitesh Chopra; Dinh-Toi Chu; Eric Chung; Muhammad Chutiyami; Justin Clayton; Rebecca Cogen; Aaron Cohen; Alyssa Columbus; Haley Comfort; Joao Conde; Jon Connolly; Ezra Cooper; Samuele Cortese; Natália Cruz-Martins; Alanna da; Omid Dadras; Xiaochen Dai; Zhaoli Dai; Bronte Dalton; Giovanni Damiani; Lalit Dandona; Rakhi Dandona; Jai Das; Saswati Das; Subasish Das; Nihar Dash; Kairat Davletov; Fernando De; Diego De; Shayom Debopadhaya; Ivan Delgado-Enciso; Edgar Denova-Gutiérrez; Nikolaos Dervenis; Hardik Desai; Vinoth Devanbu; Syed Dewan; Kuldeep Dhama; Amol Dhane; Sameer Dhingra; Diana Dias; Daniel Diaz; Luis Diaz; Michael Diaz; Adriana Dima; Delaney Ding; Thao Do; Camila do; Masoud Dodangeh; Milad Dodangeh; Phidelia Doegah; Sushil Dohare; Wanyue Dong; Mario D'Oria; Rajkumar Doshi; Robert Dowou; Haneil Dsouza; Viola Dsouza; John Dube; Samuel Dumith; Bruce Duncan; Andre Duraes; Senbagam Duraisamy; Oyewole Durojaiye; Anar Dushpanova; Sulagna Dutta; Paulina Dzianach; Arkadiusz Dziedzic; Ejemai Eboreime; Alireza Ebrahimi; Mohammad Ebrahimi; Hisham Edinur; Ferry Efendi; Terje Eikemo; Ebrahim Eini; Temitope Ekundayo; Rabie El; Iman El; Osman Elamin; Noha Elemam; Ghada ElGohary; Muhammed Elhadi; Omar Elmeligy; Adel Elmoselhi; Mohammed Elshaer; Ibrahim Elsohaby; Mohd. Eltahir; Theophilus Emeto; Babak Eshrati; Majid Eslami; Zahra Esmaeili; Natalia Fabin; Adeniyi Fagbamigbe; Omotayo Fagbule; Luca Falzone; Mohammad Fareed; Carla Farinha; MoezAlIslam Faris; Andre Faro; Kiana Fasihi; Ali Fatehizadeh; Nelsensius Fauk; Timur Fazylov; Valery Feigin; Ginenus Fekadu; Xiaoqi Feng; Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad; Pietro Ferrara; Nuno Ferreira; Belete Firew; Florian Fischer; Ida Fitriana; Joanne Flavel; Luisa Flor; Morenike Folayan; Kristen Foley; Marco Fonzo; Lisa Force; Matteo Foschi; Alberto Freitas; Ni Fridayani; Kai Fukutaki; João Furtado; Blima Fux; Peter Gaal; Muktar Gadanya; Silvano Gallus; Balasankar Ganesan; Mohammad Ganiyani; Rupesh Gautam; Tilaye Gebi; Miglas Gebregergis; Mesfin Gebrehiwot; Lemma Getacher; Genanew Getahun; Peter Gething; Delaram Ghadimi; Fataneh Ghadirian; Sadegh Ghafarian; Khalid Ghailan; MohammadReza Ghasemi; Ghazal Ghasempour; Ramy Ghazy; Sama Ghoba; Ehsan Gholami; Ali Gholamrezanezhad; Nasim Gholizadeh; Mahsa Ghorbani; Pooyan Ghorbani; Elena Ghotbi; Artyom Gil; Tiffany Gill; Alem Girmay; James Glasbey; Ekaterina Glushkova; Elena Gnedovskaya; Laszlo Göbölös; Mohamad Goldust; Pouya Goleij; Davide Golinelli; Sameer Gopalani; Alessandra Goulart; Mahdi Gouravani; Anmol Goyal; Michal Grivna; Giuseppe Grosso; Giovanni Guarducci; Mohammed Gubari; Stefano Guicciardi; Rafael Guimarães; Snigdha Gulati; David Gulisashvili; Damitha Gunawardane; Cui Guo; Anish Gupta; Rahul Gupta; Rajeev Gupta; Renu Gupta; Sapna Gupta; Vijai Gupta; Annie Haakenstad; Najah Hadi; Nils Haep; Abdul Hafiz; Dariush Haghmorad; Demewoz Haile; Adel Hajj; Ali Hajj; Arvin Haj-Mirzaian; Esam Halboub; Sebastian Haller; Rabih Halwani; Kanaan Hamagharib; Nadia Hamdy; Rifat Hamoudi; Nasrin Hanifi; Graeme Hankey; Zaim Haq; Md Haque; Harapan Harapan; Arief Hargono; Josep Haro; Ahmed Hasaballah; S. Hasan; Mohammad Hasanian; Md Hasnain; Amr Hassan; Johannes Haubold; Simon Hay; Jeffrey Hebert; Omar Hegazi; Mohammad Heidari; Mehdi Hemmati; Claire Henson; Brenda Herrera-Serna; Claudiu Herteliu; Majid Heydari; Kamal Hezam; Irma Hidayana; Yuta Hiraike; Nguyen Hoan; Ramesh Holla; Praveen Hoogar; Nobuyuki Horita; Md Hossain; Hassan Hosseinzadeh; Mehdi Hosseinzadeh; Mihaela Hostiuc; Sorin Hostiuc; Chengxi Hu; Junjie Huang; Michael Hultström; Tsegaye Hundie; Aliza Hunt; Kiavash Hushmandi; Javid Hussain; M. Hussain; Nawfal Hussein; Hong-Han Huynh; Bing-Fang Hwang; Segun Ibitoye; Pulwasha Iftikhar; Adalia Ikiroma; Paul Ikwegbue; Irena Ilic; Milena Ilic; Mustapha Immurana; Mustafa Isa; Md. Islam; Sheikh Islam; Faisal Ismail; Nahlah Ismail; Gaetano Isola; Masao Iwagami; Ihoghosa Iyamu; Louis Jacob; Kathryn Jacobsen; Morteza Jafarinia; Kasra Jahankhani; Nader Jahanmehr; Nityanand Jain; Ammar Jairoun; Dr Jakhmola; Safayet Jamil; Roland Jamora; Abubakar Jatau; Sabzali Javadov; Tahereh Javaheri; Shubha Jayaram; Sun Jee; Jayakumar Jeganathan; Heng Jiang; Mohammad Jokar; Jost Jonas; Nitin Joseph; Charity Joshua; Mikk Jürisson; Vaishali K; Ali Kabir; Zubair Kabir; Vidya Kadashetti; Laleh Kalankesh; Sanjay Kalra; Ashwin Kamath; Rajesh Kamath; Arun Kamireddy; Mona Kanaan; Tanuj Kanchan; Edmund Kanmiki; Kehinde Kanmodi; Sushil Kansal; Asima Karim; Samad Karkhah; Faizan Kashoo; Hengameh Kasraei; Molly Kassel; Srinivasa Katikireddi; Joonas Kauppila; Harkiran Kaur; Gbenga Kayode; Foad Kazemi; Sina Kazemian; Fassikaw Kebede; Evie Kendal; Emmanuelle Kesse-Guyot; Shahram Khademvatan; Himanshu Khajuria; Amirmohammad Khalaji; Asaad Khalid; Nauman Khalid; Alireza Khalilian; Faham Khamesipour; Fayaz Khan; Mohammad Khan; Moien Khan; Shaghayegh Khanmohammadi; Khaled Khatab; Haitham Khatatbeh; Moawiah Khatatbeh; Mahalaqua Khatib; Hamid Khayat; Khalid Kheirallah; Manoj Khokhar; Moein Khormali; Zahra Khorrami; Atulya Khosla; Majid Khosravi; Mahmood Khosrowjerdi; Jagdish Khubchandani; Zemene Kifle; Grace Kim; Julie Kim; Min Kim; Yun Kim; Ruth Kimokoti; Adnan Kisa; Sezer Kisa; Luke Knibbs; Ann Knudsen; Sonali Kochhar; Ali-Asghar Kolahi; Farzad Kompani; Gerbrand Koren; Oleksii Korzh; Kewal Krishan; Varun Krishna; Vijay Krishnamoorthy; Burcu Kucuk; Md Kuddus; Mohammed Kuddus; Ilari Kuitunen; Omar Kujan; Mukhtar Kulimbet; Vishnutheertha Kulkarni; G Kumar; Harish Kumar; Nithin Kumar; Rakesh Kumar; Vijay Kumar; Amartya Kundu; Dian Kusuma; Frank Kyei-Arthur; Ville Kytö; Hmwe Kyu; Carlo La; Ben Lacey; Muhammad Ladan; Lucie Laflamme; Chandrakant Lahariya; Daphne Lai; Ratilal Lalloo; Tea Lallukka; Judit Lám; Qing Lan; Tuo Lan; Iván Landires; Francesco Lanfranchi; Berthold Langguth; Van Lansingh; Ariane Laplante-Lévesque; Bagher Larijani; Anders Larsson; Savita Lasrado; Paolo Lauriola; Hilary Lawlor; Huu-Hoai Le; Long Le; Nhi Le; Thao Le; Trang Le; Janet Leasher; Doo Lee; Munjae Lee; Paul Lee; Sang-woong Lee; Seung Lee; Shaun Lee; Yo Lee; James Leigh; Elvynna Leong; Ming-Chieh Li; Massimo Libra; Virendra Ligade; Lee-Ling Lim; Stephen Lim; Liknaw Limenh; Daniel Lindholm; Paulina Lindstedt; Stefan Listl; Gang Liu; Shiwei Liu; Shuke Liu; Xiaofeng Liu; Xuefeng Liu; Erand Llanaj; Rubén López-Bueno; José López-Gil; Arianna Loreche; Paulo Lotufo; Rafael Lozano; Jailos Lubinda; Giancarlo Lucchetti; Lisha Luo; Jay Lusk; Lei Lv; Hawraz M; Zheng Ma; Kelsey Maass; Nikolaos Machairas; Monika Machoy; Áurea Madureira-Carvalho; Hassan Magdy; Azzam Maghazachi; D.R. Mahadeshwara; Mehrdad Mahalleh; Phetole Mahasha; Mansour Mahmoud; Elham Mahmoudi; Golnaz Mahmoudvand; Maureen Makama; Elaheh Malakan; Kashish Malhotra; Ahmad Malik; Deborah Malta; Yosef Manla; Ali Mansour; Mohammad Mansouri; Pejman Mansouri; Vahid Mansouri; Marjan Mansourian; Mohammad Mansournia; Bishnu Marasini; Hamid Marateb; Joemer Maravilla; Parham Mardi; Abdoljalal Marjani; Hamed Markazi; Carlos Marrugo; Gabriel Martinez; Ramon Martinez-Piedra; Francisco Martins-Melo; Miquel Martorell; Wolfgang Marx; Roy Marzo; Sahar Masoudi; Yasith Mathangasinghe; Alexander Mathioudakis; Medha Mathur; Navgeet Mathur; Neeta Mathur; Fernanda Matozinhos; Jishanth Mattumpuram; Richard Maude; Andrea Maugeri; Mahsa Mayeli; Mohsen Mazidi; Antonio Mazzotti; John McGrath; Martin McKee; Anna McKowen; Michael McPhail; Steven McPhail; Asim Mehmood; Kamran Mehrabani-Zeinabad; Sepideh Mehravar; Tesfahun Mekene; Endalkachew Melese; Max Mendez-Lopez; Walter Mendoza; Ritesh Menezes; George Mensah; Laverne Mensah; Alexios-Fotios Mentis; Sultan Meo; Atte Meretoja; Tuomo Meretoja; Abera Mersha; Tomislav Mestrovic; Kukulege Mettananda; Sachith Mettananda; Adquate Mhlanga; Laurette Mhlanga; Tomasz Miazgowski; Irmina Michalek; Ana Micheletti; Ted Miller; Le Minh; Alireza Mirahmadi; Antonio Mirijello; Erkin Mirrakhimov; Roya Mirzaei; Philip Mitchell; Chaitanya Mittal; Madeline Moberg; Atousa Moghadam; Seyedehfatemeh Mohajelin; Ashraf Mohamadkhani; Ahmed Mohamed; Jama Mohamed; Mouhand Mohamed; Nouh Mohamed; Ameen Mohammad; Soheil Mohammadi; Hussen Mohammed; Mustapha Mohammed; Shafiu Mohammed; Ali Mokdad; Mariam Molokhia; Shaher Momani; Sara Momtazmanesh; Lorenzo Monasta; Stefania Mondello; Mohammad Moni; Fateme Montazeri; AmirAli Moodi; Maryam Moradi; Yousef Moradi; Paula Moraga; Lidia Morawska; Rafael Moreira; Negar Morovatdar; Shane Morrison; Abbas Mosapour; Jonathan Mosser; Elias Mossialos; Rohith Motappa; Vincent Mougin; Parsa Mousavi; Matías Mrejen; Sumaira Mubarik; Ulrich Mueller; Francesk Mulita; Kavita Munjal; Efrén Murillo-Zamora; Khaled Musallam; Ana-Maria Musina; Ghulam Mustafa; Woojae Myung; Ayoub Nafei; Ahamarshan Nagarajan; Pirouz Naghavi; Ganesh Naik; Gurudatta Naik; Firzan Nainu; Soroush Najdaghi; Noureddin Nakhostin; Vinay Nangia; Sreenivas Narasimha; Shumaila Nargus; Delaram Narimani; Bruno Nascimento; Gustavo Nascimento; Abdallah Naser; Abdulqadir Nashwan; Zuhair Natto; Javaid Nauman; Samidi Navaratna; Muhammad Naveed; null Nawsherwan; Biswa Nayak; Vinod Nayak; Hadush Negash; Ionut Negoi; Ruxandra Negoi; Seyed Nejadghaderi; Chakib Nejjari; Soroush Nematollahi; Henok Netsere; Marie Ng; Georges Nguefack-Tsague; Josephine Ngunjiri; Anh Nguyen; Dang Nguyen; Duc Nguyen; Hau Nguyen; Nhan Nguyen; Nhien Nguyen; Phat Nguyen; QuynhAnh Nguyen; Van Nguyen; Duc Nguyen; Robina Niazi; Yeshambel Nigatu; Mahdieh Niknam; Ali Nikoobar; Amin Nikpoor; Nasrin Nikravangolsefid; Efaq Noman; Shuhei Nomura; Syed Noor; Nafise Noroozi; Mehran Nouri; Majid Nozari; Chisom Nri-Ezedi; George Ntaios; Mengistu Nunemo; Dieta Nurrika; Jerry Nutor; Chimezie Nzoputam; Ogochukwu Nzoputam; Bogdan Oancea; Kehinde Obamiro; Ismail Odetokun; Michael Oduro; Oluwaseun Ogundijo; Adesola Ogunfowokan; Abiola Ogunkoya; Ayodipupo Oguntade; In-Hwan Oh; Tolulope Ojo-Akosile; Hassan Okati-Aliabad; Akinkunmi Okekunle; Osaretin Okonji; Andrew Olagunju; Matthew Olatubi; Gláucia Oliveira; Bolajoko Olusanya; Jacob Olusanya; Yinka Oluwafemi; Hany Omar; Goran Omer; Sokking Ong; Sandersan Onie; Obinna Onwujekwe; Abdulahi Opejin; Michal Ordak; Verner Orish; Alberto Ortiz; Esteban Ortiz-Prado; Wael Osman; Sergej Ostojic; Samuel Ostroff; Uchechukwu Osuagwu; Adrian Otoiu; Stanislav Otstavnov; Amel Ouyahia; Mayowa Owolabi; Oyetunde Oyeyemi; Ahmad Ozair; Mahesh P; Alicia Padron-Monedero; Jagadish Padubidri; Pramod Pal; Tamás Palicz; Feng Pan; Hai-Feng Pan; Songhomitra Panda-Jonas; Anamika Pandey; Victoria Pando-Robles; Helena Pangaribuan; Georgios Panos; Leonidas Panos; Ioannis Pantazopoulos; Anca Pantea; Romil Parikh; Eun-Kee Park; Seoyeon Park; Sungchul Park; Nicholas Parsons; Ashwaghosha Parthasarathi; Maja Pasovic; Roberto Passera; Jay Patel; Aslam Pathan; Shankargouda Patil; Dimitrios Patoulias; Shrikant Pawar; Hamidreza Pazoki; Spencer Pease; Amy Peden; Paolo Pedersini; Umberto Pensato; Veincent Pepito; Prince Peprah; Marcos Pereira; Maria Pereira; Arokiasamy Perianayagam; Norberto Perico; Simone Perna; Konrad Pesudovs; Fanny Petermann-Rocha; Hoang Pham; Anil Philip; Michael Phillips; Manon Pigeolet; Michael Piradov; Enrico Pisoni; Evgenii Plotnikov; Dimitri Poddighe; Roman Polibin; Ramesh Poluru; Ville Ponkilainen; Djordje Popovic; Maarten Postma; Ahmad Pour-Rashidi; Disha Prabhu; Sergio Prada; Jalandhar Pradhan; Pranil Pradhan; Akila Prashant; Elton Prates; Tina Priscilla; Hery Purnobasuki; Bharathi Purohit; Jagadeesh Puvvula; Nameer Qasim; Ibrahim Qattea; Asma Qazi; Gangzhen Qian; Mehrdad Rabiee; Venkatraman Radhakrishnan; Hadi Raeisi; Quinn Rafferty; Alberto Raggi; Cat Raggi; Nasiru Raheem; Fakher Rahim; Md Rahim; Sarvenaz Rahimibarghani; Md Rahman; Mosiur Rahman; Muhammad Rahman; Tafhimur Rahman; Amir Rahmani; Mohammad Rahmanian; Nazanin Rahmanian; Rahem Rahmati; Setyaningrum Rahmawaty; Diego Raimondo; Adarsh Raja; Prashant Rajput; Majed Ramadan; Shakthi Ramasamy; Sheena Ramazanu; Pramod Ramteke; Kritika Rana; Rishabh Rana; Chhabi Ranabhat; Amey Rane; Chythra Rao; Mithun Rao; Davide Rasella; Vahid Rashedi; Ahmed Rashid; Ashkan Rasouli-Saravani; Prateek Rastogi; Azad Rasul; Devarajan Rathish; Giridhara Rathnaiah; Santosh Rauniyar; Ramin Ravangard; David Rawaf; Salman Rawaf; Rabail Raza; Elrashdy Redwan; Lennart Reifels; Marissa Reitsma; Giuseppe Remuzzi; Kannan Rengasamy; Bhageerathy Reshmi; Serge Resnikoff; Stefano Restaino; Luis Reyes; Nazila Rezaei; Negar Rezaei; Zahra Rezaei; Mohsen Rezaeian; Taeho Rhee; Jennifer Rickard; Toshana Robalik; Hannah Robinson-Oden; Hermano Rocha; Mónica Rodrigues; Jefferson Rodriguez; Leonardo Roever; Debby Romadlon; Luca Ronfani; Moustaq Rony; Gholamreza Roshandel; Kunle Rotimi; Himanshu Rout; Bedanta Roy; Enrico Rubagotti; Guilherme Ruela; Susan Rumisha; Tilleye Runghien; Michele Russo; Aly Saad; Korosh Saber; Maha Saber-Ayad; Cameron Sabet; Siamak Sabour; Perminder Sachdev; Adam Saddler; Bashdar Sadee; Masoumeh Sadeghi; Mohammad Saeb; Umar Saeed; Sher Safi; Rajesh Sagar; Alireza Saghafi; Dominic Sagoe; Amirhossein Sahebkar; Pragyan Sahoo; Mirza Sajid; Nasir Salam; Payman Salamati; Afeez Salami; Mohamed Saleh; Leili Salehi; Marwa Salem; Aanuoluwa Salemcity; Sohrab Salimi; Hossein Samadi; Saad Samargandy; Yoseph Samodra; Abdallah Samy; Juan Sanabria; Francesca Sanna; Milena Santric-Milicevic; Bruno Sao; Sivan Saraswathy; Aswini Saravanan; Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez; Gargi Sarode; Sachin Sarode; Benn Sartorius; Maheswar Satpathy; Abu Sayeed; Nikolaos Scarmeas; Benedikt Schaarschmidt; Christophe Schinckus; Art Schuermans; Austin Schumacher; Aletta Schutte; David Schwebel; Falk Schwendicke; Siddharthan Selvaraj; Mohammad Semreen; Sabyasachi Senapati; Pallav Sengupta; Subramanian Senthilkumaran; Dragos Serban; Yashendra Sethi; Allen Seylani; Mahan Shafie; Pritik Shah; Ataollah Shahbandi; Samiah Shahid; Wajeehah Shahid; Hamid Shahsavari; Moyad Shahwan; Masood Shaikh; Ali Shalash; Ali Shamekh; Muhammad Shamim; Mohd Shanawaz; Abhishek Shankar; Mohammed Shannawaz; Medha Sharath; Sadaf Sharfaei; Amin Sharifan; Javad Sharifi-Rad; Anupam Sharma; Manoj Sharma; Saurab Sharma; Vishal Sharma; Rajesh Shastry; Maryam Shayan; Shashank Shekhar; Rekha Shenoy; Mahabalesh Shetty; Pavanchand Shetty; Premalatha Shetty; Peilin Shi; Amir Shiani; Mika Shigematsu; Tariku Shimels; Rahman Shiri; Aminu Shittu; Ivy Shiue; K Shivakumar; Sina Shool; Seyed Shorofi; Sunil Shrestha; Kerem Shuval; Yafei Si; Emmanuel Siddig; Jaspreet Sidhu; João Silva; Luís Silva; Soraia Silva; Thales Silva; Colin Simpson; Kyle Simpson; Abhinav Singh; Balbir Singh; Baljinder Singh; Harmanjit Singh; Jasbir Singh; Paramdeep Singh; Puneetpal Singh; Søren Skou; Georgia Smith; Farrukh Sobia; Bogdan Socea; Shipra Solanki; Hamidreza Soleimani; Sameh Soliman; Yi Song; Ireneous Soyiri; Michael Spartalis; Sandra Spearman; Chandrashekhar Sreeramareddy; Jeffrey Stanaway; Muhammad Stanikzai; Antonina Starodubova; Dan Stein; Caitlyn Steiner; Paschalis Steiropoulos; Leo Stockfelt; Mark Stokes; Kurt Straif; Narayan Subedi; Rizwan Suliankatchi; Abida Sultana; Jing Sun; Johan Sundström; Chandan Swain; Lukasz Szarpak; Mindy Szeto; Payam Tabaee; Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos; Ozra Tabatabaei; Seyed-Amir Tabatabaeizadeh; Shima Tabatabai; Karen Tabb; Celine Tabche; Mohammad Tabish; Yasaman Taheri; Moslem Taheri; Jabeen Taiba; Iman Talaat; Jacques Tamuzi; Ker-Kan Tan; Haosu Tang; Nathan Tat; Razieh Tavakoli; Seyed Tavangar; Nuno Taveira; Abdelghani Tbakhi; Hadi Tehrani; Mohamad-Hani Temsah; Masayuki Teramoto; Behailu Tesfaye; Enoch Teye-Kwadjo; Pugazhenthan Thangaraju; Kavumpurathu Thankappan; Rekha Thapar; Rasiah Thayakaran; Sathish Thirunavukkarasu; Nihal Thomas; Lau Thygesen; Jansje Ticoalu; Dinesh Timalsena; Tenaw Tiruye; Krishna Tiwari; Sojit Tomo; Marcello Tonelli; Roman Topor-Madry; Mathilde Touvier; Marcos Tovani-Palone; An Tran; Jasmine Tran; Nghia Tran; Thang Tran; Domenico Trico; Samuel Tromans; Thien Truyen; Aristidis Tsatsakis; Evangelia Tsermpini; Munkhtuya Tumurkhuu; Steven Turnock; Arit Udoh; Atta Ullah; Saeed Ullah; Sana Ullah; Srikanth Umakanthan; Muhammad Umar; Shehu Umar; Brigid Unim; Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan; Era Upadhyay; Jibrin Usman; Sanaz Vahdati; Asokan Vaithinathan; Omid Vakili; Rohollah Valizadeh; Jef Van; Priya Vart; Shoban Varthya; Tommi Vasankari; Milena Vasic; Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian; Massimiliano Veroux; Georgios-Ioannis Verras; Dominique Vervoort; Mathavaswami Vijayageetha; Jorge Villafañe; Manish Vinayak; Francesco Violante; Sergey Vladimirov; Vasily Vlassov; Bay Vo; Karn Vohra; Theo Vos; Abdul Wadood; Yasir Waheed; Fang Wang; Shaopan Wang; Shu Wang; Yanqing Wang; Yanzhong Wang; Yuan-Pang Wang; Mary Wanjau; Muhammad Waqas; Paul Ward; Abdul Waris; Emebet Wassie; Stefanie Watson; Marcia Weaver; Kosala Weerakoon; Robert Weintraub; Haftom Weldetinsaa; Katherine Wells; Yi Wen; Ronny Westerman; Taweewat Wiangkham; Dakshitha Wickramasinghe; Evi Widowati; Marcin Wojewodzic; Dawit Woldeyes; Axel Wolf; Charles Wolfe; Chenkai Wu; Dongze Wu; Felicia Wu; Jiayuan Wu; Zenghong Wu; Sarah Wulf; Hong Xiao; Suowen Xu; Rakesh Yadav; Kazumasa Yamagishi; Danting Yang; Yuichiro Yano; Amir Yarahmadi; Iman Yazdani; Pengpeng Ye; Renjulal Yesodharan; Subah Yesuf; Saber Yezli; Arzu Yiğit; Vahit Yiğit; Zeamanuel Yigzaw; Dehui Yin; Paul Yip; Naohiro Yonemoto; Yuyi You; Mustafa Younis; Chuanhua Yu; Elaine Yu; Yong Yu; Chun-Wei Yuan; Hadiza Yusuf; Uzma Zafar; Nima Zafari; Mondal Zahid; Fathiah Zakham; Nazar Zaki; Taddese Zerfu; Haijun Zhang; Jingya Zhang; Liqun Zhang; Yunquan Zhang; Zhiqiang Zhang; Xiu-Ju Zhao; Yang Zhao; Zhongyi Zhao; Chenwen Zhong; Bolun Zhou; Juexiao Zhou; Shangcheng Zhou; Bin Zhu; Abzal Zhumagaliuly; Magdalena Zielińska; Ghazal Zoghi; Alimuddin Zumla; Sa'ed Zyoud; Samer Zyoud; Amanda Smith; Christopher Murray

doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00685-8

Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Abstract

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Authors (1418)

Stein Vollset
Hazim Ababneh
Yohannes Abate
Cristiana Abbafati
Rouzbeh Abbasgholizadeh
Mohammadreza Abbasian
Hedayat Abbastabar
Abdallah Abd
Samar Abd
Atef Abdelkader
Michael Abdelmasseh
Sherief Abd-Elsalam
Parsa Abdi
Mohammad Abdollahi
Meriem Abdoun
Auwal Abdullahi
Mesfin Abebe
Olumide Abiodun
Richard Aboagye
Hassan Abolhassani
Mohamed Abouzid
Girma Aboye
Lucas Abreu
Abdorrahim Absalan
Hasan Abualruz
Bilyaminu Abubakar
Hana Abukhadijah
Giovanni Addolorato
Victor Adekanmbi
Charles Adetunji
Juliana Adetunji
Temitayo Adeyeoluwa
Rishan Adha
Ripon Adhikary
Qorinah Adnani
Leticia Adzigbli
Fatemeh Afrashteh
Muhammad Afzal
Saira Afzal
Faith Agbozo
Antonella Agodi
Anurag Agrawal
Williams Agyemang-Duah
Bright Ahinkorah
Austin Ahlstrom
Aqeel Ahmad
Firdos Ahmad
Muayyad Ahmad
Sajjad Ahmad
Shahzaib Ahmad
Anisuddin Ahmed
Ayman Ahmed
Haroon Ahmed
Safoora Ahmed
Syed Ahmed
Karolina Akinosoglou
Mohammed Akkaif
Ashley Akrami
Ema Akter
Salah Al
Syed Al
Amjad Al
Omar Al
Fares Alahdab
Muaaz Alajlani
Yazan Al-Ajlouni
Samer Alalalmeh
Ziyad Al-Aly
Khurshid Alam
Noore Alam
Tahiya Alam
Zufishan Alam
Rasmieh Al-amer
Fahad Alanezi
Turki Alanzi
Almaza Albakri
Wafa Aldhaleei
Robert Aldridge
Seyedeh Alemohammad
Yihun Alemu
Adel Al-Gheethi
Mohammed Al-Hanawi
Abid Ali
Amjad Ali
Iman Ali
Mohammed Ali
Rafat Ali
Syed Ali
Victor Ali
Waad Ali
Akram Al-Ibraheem
Gianfranco Alicandro
Sheikh Alif
Syed Aljunid
François Alla
Joseph Almazan
Hesham Al-Mekhlafi
Ahmed Alqutaibi
Ahmad Alrawashdeh
Sahel Alrousan
Salman Al-Sabah
Mohammed Alsabri
Zaid Altaany
Ala'a Al-Tammemi
Jaffar Al-Tawfiq
Khalid Altirkawi
Deborah Aluh
Nelson Alvis-Guzman
Mohammad Al-Wardat
Yaser Al-Worafi
Hany Aly
Mohammad Alyahya
Karem Alzoubi
Walid Al-Zyoud
Reza Amani
Edward Ameyaw
Tarek Amin
Alireza Amindarolzarbi
Sohrab Amiri
Mohammad Amirzade-Iranaq
Hubert Amu
Dickson Amugsi
Robert Ancuceanu
Deanna Anderlini
David Anderson
Pedro Andrade
Catalina Andrei
Tudorel Andrei
Erick Andrews
Abhishek Anil
Sneha Anil
Amir Anoushiravani
Catherine Antony
Ernoiz Antriyandarti
Boluwatife Anuoluwa
Saeid Anvari
Anayochukwu Anyasodor
Francis Appiah
Michele Aquilano
Juan Arab
Jalal Arabloo
Elshaimaa Arafa
Mosab Arafat
Aleksandr Aravkin
Ali Ardekani
Demelash Areda
Brhane Aregawi
Abdulfatai Aremu
Hany Ariffin
Mesay Arkew
Keivan Armani
Anton Artamonov
Ashokan Arumugam
Mohammad Asghari-Jafarabadi
Charlie Ashbaugh
Thomas Astell-Burt
Seyyed Athari
Prince Atorkey
Maha Atout
Avinash Aujayeb
Marcel Ausloos
Hamzeh Awad
Adedapo Awotidebe
Haleh Ayatollahi
Jose Ayuso-Mateos
Sina Azadnajafabad
Fahad Azeez
Rui Azevedo
Muhammad Badar
Soroush Baghdadi
Mahboube Bagheri
Nasser Bagheri
Ruhai Bai
Jennifer Baker
Abdulaziz Bako
Senthilkumar Balakrishnan
Wondu Balcha
Ovidiu Baltatu
Martina Barchitta
Erfan Bardideh
Suzanne Barker-Collo
Till Bärnighausen
Hiba Barqawi
Sandra Barteit
Afisu Basiru
João Basso
Mohammad-Mahdi Bastan
Sanjay Basu
Matteo Bauckneht
Bernhard Baune
Mohsen Bayati
Nebiyou Bayileyegn
Amir Behnoush
Payam Behzadi
Maryam Beiranvand
Olorunjuwon Bello
Luis Belo
Apostolos Beloukas
Maryam Bemanalizadeh
Isabela Bensenor
Habib Benzian
Azizullah Beran
Zombor Berezvai
Robert Bernstein
Paulo Bettencourt
Kebede Beyene
Melak Beyene
Devidas Bhagat
Akshaya Bhagavathula
Neeraj Bhala
Dinesh Bhandari
Ravi Bharadwaj
Nikha Bhardwaj
Pankaj Bhardwaj
Ashish Bhargava
Sonu Bhaskar
Vivek Bhat
Natalia Bhattacharjee
Gurjit Bhatti
Jasvinder Bhatti
Manpreet Bhatti
Mohiuddin Bhuiyan
Catherine Bisignano
Bijit Biswas
Tone Bjørge
Virginia Bodolica
Aadam Bodunrin
Milad Bonakdar
Berrak Bora
Hamed Borhany
Samuel Bosoka
Alejandro Botero
Souad Bouaoud
Soufiane Boufous
Christopher Boxe
Edward Boyko
Oliver Brady
Dejana Braithwaite
Michael Brauer
Javier Brazo-Sayavera
Hermann Brenner
Colin Brown
Annie Browne
Traolach Brugha
Dana Bryazka
Norma Bulamu
Danilo Buonsenso
Katrin Burkart
Richard Burns
Reinhard Busse
Yasser Bustanji
Zahid Butt
Florentino Caetano
Mehtap Çakmak
Daniela Calina
Luciana Campos
Shujin Cao
Angelo Capodici
Rosario Cárdenas
Giulia Carreras
Andrea Carugno
Márcia Carvalho
Joao Castaldelli-Maia
Giulio Castelpietra
Maria Cattaruzza
Arthur Caye
Luca Cegolon
Francieli Cembranel
Edina Cenko
Ester Cerin
Steven Chadban
Joshua Chadwick
Chiranjib Chakraborty
Sandip Chakraborty
Julian Chalek
Jeffrey Chan
Rama Chandika
Sara Chandy
Jaykaran Charan
Anis Chaudhary
Akhilanand Chaurasia
An-Tian Chen
Haowei Chen
Meng Chen
Simiao Chen
Nicolas Cherbuin
Gerald Chi
Fatemeh Chichagi
Odgerel Chimed-Ochir
Ritesh Chimoriya
Patrick Ching
Jesus Chirinos-Caceres
Abdulaal Chitheer
Daniel Cho
William Cho
Dong-Woo Choi
Bryan Chong
Chean Chong
Hitesh Chopra
Dinh-Toi Chu
Eric Chung
Muhammad Chutiyami
Justin Clayton
Rebecca Cogen
Aaron Cohen
Alyssa Columbus
Haley Comfort
Joao Conde
Jon Connolly
Ezra Cooper
Samuele Cortese
Natália Cruz-Martins
Alanna da
Omid Dadras
Xiaochen Dai
Zhaoli Dai
Bronte Dalton
Giovanni Damiani
Lalit Dandona
Rakhi Dandona
Jai Das
Saswati Das
Subasish Das
Nihar Dash
Kairat Davletov
Fernando De
Diego De
Shayom Debopadhaya
Ivan Delgado-Enciso
Edgar Denova-Gutiérrez
Nikolaos Dervenis
Hardik Desai
Vinoth Devanbu
Syed Dewan
Kuldeep Dhama
Amol Dhane
Sameer Dhingra
Diana Dias
Daniel Diaz
Luis Diaz
Michael Diaz
Adriana Dima
Delaney Ding
Thao Do
Camila do
Masoud Dodangeh
Milad Dodangeh
Phidelia Doegah
Sushil Dohare
Wanyue Dong
Mario D'Oria
Rajkumar Doshi
Robert Dowou
Haneil Dsouza
Viola Dsouza
John Dube
Samuel Dumith
Bruce Duncan
Andre Duraes
Senbagam Duraisamy
Oyewole Durojaiye
Anar Dushpanova
Sulagna Dutta
Paulina Dzianach
Arkadiusz Dziedzic
Ejemai Eboreime
Alireza Ebrahimi
Mohammad Ebrahimi
Hisham Edinur
Ferry Efendi
Terje Eikemo
Ebrahim Eini
Temitope Ekundayo
Rabie El
Iman El
Osman Elamin
Noha Elemam
Ghada ElGohary
Muhammed Elhadi
Omar Elmeligy
Adel Elmoselhi
Mohammed Elshaer
Ibrahim Elsohaby
Mohd. Eltahir
Theophilus Emeto
Babak Eshrati
Majid Eslami
Zahra Esmaeili
Natalia Fabin
Adeniyi Fagbamigbe
Omotayo Fagbule
Luca Falzone
Mohammad Fareed
Carla Farinha
MoezAlIslam Faris
Andre Faro
Kiana Fasihi
Ali Fatehizadeh
Nelsensius Fauk
Timur Fazylov
Valery Feigin
Ginenus Fekadu
Xiaoqi Feng
Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad
Pietro Ferrara
Nuno Ferreira
Belete Firew
Florian Fischer
Ida Fitriana
Joanne Flavel
Luisa Flor
Morenike Folayan
Kristen Foley
Marco Fonzo
Lisa Force
Matteo Foschi
Alberto Freitas
Ni Fridayani
Kai Fukutaki
João Furtado
Blima Fux
Peter Gaal
Muktar Gadanya
Silvano Gallus
Balasankar Ganesan
Mohammad Ganiyani
Rupesh Gautam
Tilaye Gebi
Miglas Gebregergis
Mesfin Gebrehiwot
Lemma Getacher
Genanew Getahun
Peter Gething
Delaram Ghadimi
Fataneh Ghadirian
Sadegh Ghafarian
Khalid Ghailan
MohammadReza Ghasemi
Ghazal Ghasempour
Ramy Ghazy
Sama Ghoba
Ehsan Gholami
Ali Gholamrezanezhad
Nasim Gholizadeh
Mahsa Ghorbani
Pooyan Ghorbani
Elena Ghotbi
Artyom Gil
Tiffany Gill
Alem Girmay
James Glasbey
Ekaterina Glushkova
Elena Gnedovskaya
Laszlo Göbölös
Mohamad Goldust
Pouya Goleij
Davide Golinelli
Sameer Gopalani
Alessandra Goulart
Mahdi Gouravani
Anmol Goyal
Michal Grivna
Giuseppe Grosso
Giovanni Guarducci
Mohammed Gubari
Stefano Guicciardi
Rafael Guimarães
Snigdha Gulati
David Gulisashvili
Damitha Gunawardane
Cui Guo
Anish Gupta
Rahul Gupta
Rajeev Gupta
Renu Gupta
Sapna Gupta
Vijai Gupta
Annie Haakenstad
Najah Hadi
Nils Haep
Abdul Hafiz
Dariush Haghmorad
Demewoz Haile
Adel Hajj
Ali Hajj
Arvin Haj-Mirzaian
Esam Halboub
Sebastian Haller
Rabih Halwani
Kanaan Hamagharib
Nadia Hamdy
Rifat Hamoudi
Nasrin Hanifi
Graeme Hankey
Zaim Haq
Md Haque
Harapan Harapan
Arief Hargono
Josep Haro
Ahmed Hasaballah
S. Hasan
Mohammad Hasanian
Md Hasnain
Amr Hassan
Johannes Haubold
Simon Hay
Jeffrey Hebert
Omar Hegazi
Mohammad Heidari
Mehdi Hemmati
Claire Henson
Brenda Herrera-Serna
Claudiu Herteliu
Majid Heydari
Kamal Hezam
Irma Hidayana
Yuta Hiraike
Nguyen Hoan
Ramesh Holla
Praveen Hoogar
Nobuyuki Horita
Md Hossain
Hassan Hosseinzadeh
Mehdi Hosseinzadeh
Mihaela Hostiuc
Sorin Hostiuc
Chengxi Hu
Junjie Huang
Michael Hultström
Tsegaye Hundie
Aliza Hunt
Kiavash Hushmandi
Javid Hussain
M. Hussain
Nawfal Hussein
Hong-Han Huynh
Bing-Fang Hwang
Segun Ibitoye
Pulwasha Iftikhar
Adalia Ikiroma
Paul Ikwegbue
Irena Ilic
Milena Ilic
Mustapha Immurana
Mustafa Isa
Md. Islam
Sheikh Islam
Faisal Ismail
Nahlah Ismail
Gaetano Isola
Masao Iwagami
Ihoghosa Iyamu
Louis Jacob
Kathryn Jacobsen
Morteza Jafarinia
Kasra Jahankhani
Nader Jahanmehr
Nityanand Jain
Ammar Jairoun
Dr Jakhmola
Safayet Jamil
Roland Jamora
Abubakar Jatau
Sabzali Javadov
Tahereh Javaheri
Shubha Jayaram
Sun Jee
Jayakumar Jeganathan
Heng Jiang
Mohammad Jokar
Jost Jonas
Nitin Joseph
Charity Joshua
Mikk Jürisson
Vaishali K
Ali Kabir
Zubair Kabir
Vidya Kadashetti
Laleh Kalankesh
Sanjay Kalra
Ashwin Kamath
Rajesh Kamath
Arun Kamireddy
Mona Kanaan
Tanuj Kanchan
Edmund Kanmiki
Kehinde Kanmodi
Sushil Kansal
Asima Karim
Samad Karkhah
Faizan Kashoo
Hengameh Kasraei
Molly Kassel
Srinivasa Katikireddi
Joonas Kauppila
Harkiran Kaur
Gbenga Kayode
Foad Kazemi
Sina Kazemian
Fassikaw Kebede
Evie Kendal
Emmanuelle Kesse-Guyot
Shahram Khademvatan
Himanshu Khajuria
Amirmohammad Khalaji
Asaad Khalid
Nauman Khalid
Alireza Khalilian
Faham Khamesipour
Fayaz Khan
Mohammad Khan
Moien Khan
Shaghayegh Khanmohammadi
Khaled Khatab
Haitham Khatatbeh
Moawiah Khatatbeh
Mahalaqua Khatib
Hamid Khayat
Khalid Kheirallah
Manoj Khokhar
Moein Khormali
Zahra Khorrami
Atulya Khosla
Majid Khosravi
Mahmood Khosrowjerdi
Jagdish Khubchandani
Zemene Kifle
Grace Kim
Julie Kim
Min Kim
Yun Kim
Ruth Kimokoti
Adnan Kisa
Sezer Kisa
Luke Knibbs
Ann Knudsen
Sonali Kochhar
Ali-Asghar Kolahi
Farzad Kompani
Gerbrand Koren
Oleksii Korzh
Kewal Krishan
Varun Krishna
Vijay Krishnamoorthy
Burcu Kucuk
Md Kuddus
Mohammed Kuddus
Ilari Kuitunen
Omar Kujan
Mukhtar Kulimbet
Vishnutheertha Kulkarni
G Kumar
Harish Kumar
Nithin Kumar
Rakesh Kumar
Vijay Kumar
Amartya Kundu
Dian Kusuma
Frank Kyei-Arthur
Ville Kytö
Hmwe Kyu
Carlo La
Ben Lacey
Muhammad Ladan
Lucie Laflamme
Chandrakant Lahariya
Daphne Lai
Ratilal Lalloo
Tea Lallukka
Judit Lám
Qing Lan
Tuo Lan
Iván Landires
Francesco Lanfranchi
Berthold Langguth
Van Lansingh
Ariane Laplante-Lévesque
Bagher Larijani
Anders Larsson
Savita Lasrado
Paolo Lauriola
Hilary Lawlor
Huu-Hoai Le
Long Le
Nhi Le
Thao Le
Trang Le
Janet Leasher
Doo Lee
Munjae Lee
Paul Lee
Sang-woong Lee
Seung Lee
Shaun Lee
Yo Lee
James Leigh
Elvynna Leong
Ming-Chieh Li
Massimo Libra
Virendra Ligade
Lee-Ling Lim
Stephen Lim
Liknaw Limenh
Daniel Lindholm
Paulina Lindstedt
Stefan Listl
Gang Liu
Shiwei Liu
Shuke Liu
Xiaofeng Liu
Xuefeng Liu
Erand Llanaj
Rubén López-Bueno
José López-Gil
Arianna Loreche
Paulo Lotufo
Rafael Lozano
Jailos Lubinda
Giancarlo Lucchetti
Lisha Luo
Jay Lusk
Lei Lv
Hawraz M
Zheng Ma
Kelsey Maass
Nikolaos Machairas
Monika Machoy
Áurea Madureira-Carvalho
Hassan Magdy
Azzam Maghazachi
D.R. Mahadeshwara
Mehrdad Mahalleh
Phetole Mahasha
Mansour Mahmoud
Elham Mahmoudi
Golnaz Mahmoudvand
Maureen Makama
Elaheh Malakan
Kashish Malhotra
Ahmad Malik
Deborah Malta
Yosef Manla
Ali Mansour
Mohammad Mansouri
Pejman Mansouri
Vahid Mansouri
Marjan Mansourian
Mohammad Mansournia
Bishnu Marasini
Hamid Marateb
Joemer Maravilla
Parham Mardi
Abdoljalal Marjani
Hamed Markazi
Carlos Marrugo
Gabriel Martinez
Ramon Martinez-Piedra
Francisco Martins-Melo
Miquel Martorell
Wolfgang Marx
Roy Marzo
Sahar Masoudi
Yasith Mathangasinghe
Alexander Mathioudakis
Medha Mathur
Navgeet Mathur
Neeta Mathur
Fernanda Matozinhos
Jishanth Mattumpuram
Richard Maude
Andrea Maugeri
Mahsa Mayeli
Mohsen Mazidi
Antonio Mazzotti
John McGrath
Martin McKee
Anna McKowen
Michael McPhail
Steven McPhail
Asim Mehmood
Kamran Mehrabani-Zeinabad
Sepideh Mehravar
Tesfahun Mekene
Endalkachew Melese
Max Mendez-Lopez
Walter Mendoza
Ritesh Menezes
George Mensah
Laverne Mensah
Alexios-Fotios Mentis
Sultan Meo
Atte Meretoja
Tuomo Meretoja
Abera Mersha
Tomislav Mestrovic
Kukulege Mettananda
Sachith Mettananda
Adquate Mhlanga
Laurette Mhlanga
Tomasz Miazgowski
Irmina Michalek
Ana Micheletti
Ted Miller
Le Minh
Alireza Mirahmadi
Antonio Mirijello
Erkin Mirrakhimov
Roya Mirzaei
Philip Mitchell
Chaitanya Mittal
Madeline Moberg
Atousa Moghadam
Seyedehfatemeh Mohajelin
Ashraf Mohamadkhani
Ahmed Mohamed
Jama Mohamed
Mouhand Mohamed
Nouh Mohamed
Ameen Mohammad
Soheil Mohammadi
Hussen Mohammed
Mustapha Mohammed
Shafiu Mohammed
Ali Mokdad
Mariam Molokhia
Shaher Momani
Sara Momtazmanesh
Lorenzo Monasta
Stefania Mondello
Mohammad Moni
Fateme Montazeri
AmirAli Moodi
Maryam Moradi
Yousef Moradi
Paula Moraga
Lidia Morawska
Rafael Moreira
Negar Morovatdar
Shane Morrison
Abbas Mosapour
Jonathan Mosser
Elias Mossialos
Rohith Motappa
Vincent Mougin
Parsa Mousavi
Matías Mrejen
Sumaira Mubarik
Ulrich Mueller
Francesk Mulita
Kavita Munjal
Efrén Murillo-Zamora
Khaled Musallam
Ana-Maria Musina
Ghulam Mustafa
Woojae Myung
Ayoub Nafei
Ahamarshan Nagarajan
Pirouz Naghavi
Ganesh Naik
Gurudatta Naik
Firzan Nainu
Soroush Najdaghi
Noureddin Nakhostin
Vinay Nangia
Sreenivas Narasimha
Shumaila Nargus
Delaram Narimani
Bruno Nascimento
Gustavo Nascimento
Abdallah Naser
Abdulqadir Nashwan
Zuhair Natto
Javaid Nauman
Samidi Navaratna
Muhammad Naveed
null Nawsherwan
Biswa Nayak
Vinod Nayak
Hadush Negash
Ionut Negoi
Ruxandra Negoi
Seyed Nejadghaderi
Chakib Nejjari
Soroush Nematollahi
Henok Netsere
Marie Ng
Georges Nguefack-Tsague
Josephine Ngunjiri
Anh Nguyen
Dang Nguyen
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Category:: Magazine publication
Type:: Magazine publication
Published in:: The Lancet no. 403, edition 10440, pages 2204 - 2256,
ISSN: 0140-6736
ISSN:: 01406736
Publication year:: 2024
DOI:: Digital Object Identifier (open in new tab) 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00685-8
Verified by:: No verification

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Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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Authors (1418)

Stein Vollset

Hazim Ababneh

Yohannes Abate

Cristiana Abbafati

Rouzbeh Abbasgholizadeh

Mohammadreza Abbasian

Hedayat Abbastabar

Abdallah Abd

Samar Abd

Atef Abdelkader

Michael Abdelmasseh

Sherief Abd-Elsalam

Parsa Abdi

Mohammad Abdollahi

Meriem Abdoun

Auwal Abdullahi

Mesfin Abebe

Olumide Abiodun

Richard Aboagye

Hassan Abolhassani

Mohamed Abouzid

Girma Aboye

Lucas Abreu

Abdorrahim Absalan

Hasan Abualruz

Bilyaminu Abubakar

Hana Abukhadijah

Giovanni Addolorato

Victor Adekanmbi

Charles Adetunji

Juliana Adetunji

Temitayo Adeyeoluwa

Rishan Adha

Ripon Adhikary

Qorinah Adnani

Leticia Adzigbli

Fatemeh Afrashteh

Muhammad Afzal

Saira Afzal

Faith Agbozo

Antonella Agodi

Anurag Agrawal

Williams Agyemang-Duah

Bright Ahinkorah

Austin Ahlstrom

Aqeel Ahmad

Firdos Ahmad

Muayyad Ahmad

Sajjad Ahmad

Shahzaib Ahmad

Anisuddin Ahmed

Ayman Ahmed

Haroon Ahmed

Safoora Ahmed

Syed Ahmed

Karolina Akinosoglou

Mohammed Akkaif

Ashley Akrami

Ema Akter

Salah Al

Syed Al

Amjad Al

Omar Al

Fares Alahdab

Muaaz Alajlani

Yazan Al-Ajlouni

Samer Alalalmeh

Ziyad Al-Aly

Khurshid Alam

Noore Alam

Tahiya Alam

Zufishan Alam

Rasmieh Al-amer

Fahad Alanezi

Turki Alanzi