During the last decade Poland’s road fatalities went down by 44%. The trend differs from region to region. Effective road safetymanagement in regions requires tools for forecasting road safety measures and identifying factors influencing road fatality numbers. Mathematical models can provide such tools. They take into account local characteristics such as: demography, economy, infrastructure and motorization. Such models could...

Referat zawiera opis jednaj z metod analizowania trendów bezpieczeństwa ruchu drogowego opartej na teorii szeregów czasowych. Przedstawiono w nim aplikację tej metody do badania związku pomiędzy liczbą śmiertelnych ofiar wypadków drogowych w Polsce w latach 1991-2003 a wielkością bezrobocia w tym czasie.

Analysis of regional accident records shows that a country’s national road safety programme does not have the same effect in each of its regions. What may be a serious problem in one region may be of marginal significance in another. Polish and international experience shows that main risk groups and types of accidents related to the level of development and quality of the road network differ from region to region. The conclusion...