Road Safety Trends at National Level in Europe: A Review of Time-series Analysis Performed during the Period 2000–12

Ruth Bergel-Hayat; Joanna Żukowska

doi:10.1080/01441647.2015.1030005

Road Safety Trends at National Level in Europe: A Review of Time-series Analysis Performed during the Period 2000–12

Abstract

This paper presents a review of time-series analysis of road safety trends, aggregatedat a national level, which has been performed in the period 2000 – 12 and applied to Europeannational data sets covering long time periods. It provides a guideline and set of best practices inthe area of time-series modelling and identifies the latest methods and applications of nationalroad safety trend analysis in Europe. The paper begins with the methodological frameworkadopted for aggregate time-series modelling that will be considered, and then discusses a numberof relevant applications to long-period data aggregated at the national level, whether for countriesalone, or for groups of countries. Some analyses, which were performed at the disaggregated level,are also provided, as they are being used more and more. Finally, the paper summarizes and discussesthe significant changes in aggregate road safety trend analysis which occurred during the period andprovides recommendations for continuing these research efforts.

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Authors (2)

Ruth Bergel-Hayat Ph.D.
- Université Paris-Est IFSTTAR-GRETTIA .
Joanna Żukowska dr hab. inż.

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Keywords

TIME SERIES ANALYSIS,ROAD SAFETY

Details

Category:: Articles
Type:: artykuł w czasopiśmie wyróżnionym w JCR
Published in:: TRANSPORT REVIEWS no. 35, edition 5, pages 650 - 671,
ISSN: 0144-1647
Language:: English
Publication year:: 2015
Bibliographic description:: Bergel-Hayat R., Żukowska J.: Road Safety Trends at National Level in Europe: A Review of Time-series Analysis Performed during the Period 2000–12// TRANSPORT REVIEWS. -Vol. 35, iss. 5 (2015), s.650-671
DOI:: Digital Object Identifier (open in new tab) 10.1080/01441647.2015.1030005
Verified by:: Gdańsk University of Technology