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Department of Economic Analysis and Finance
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Catalog Publications
Year 2021
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The Prospects of Retail Payment Developments in the Metaverse
PublicationIn the age of technological development, rapid technological progress, and the metaverse development in which humans interact with each other and with the environment using virtual real-world metaphors, payment systems may also need to be re-considered. The study aims to find an answer to the question of what should be retail payments in the metaverse and to begin interdisciplinary discussions about...
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THE RISE OF FISCAL OPACITY IN POLAND IN THE ERA OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC
PublicationResearch background: The quality of information provided by the fiscal authorities and the correct flow of this information between them and the society are very important especially in times of crisis, when there is an imbalance in public finances and an increasing public debt. Ensuring fiscal transparency (transparency of public finances) reduces fiscal risk and corruption and supports public acceptance of fiscal reforms. Purpose...
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THE ROLE OF THE STATE IN TAXATION. POLISH TAX POLICY AFTER 2015
PublicationThis article is an attempt to present and evaluate tax policy Polish of the years 2015-2020, i.e. the period which resulted in formulating the new government. These time was a period of tax reforms, the introduction of new taxes and public tributes, as well as new mechanisms to control tax collection. Moreover, the policies introduced also concern changes in the level of fiscalism and tax redistribution. The research methods adopted...
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The share of investments in gold and oil using the example of selected European stock exchanges– A comparative analysis
PublicationIn this article, optimal investment portfolios with minimal risk and maximum efficiency were calculated. The portfolios were designated for ten selected European stock exchanges, based on the listings of the twenty largest companies in each of those markets. All calculations were made based on company shares only, company shares and investments in gold, shares of companies and investments in crude oil as well as shares of companies...
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Transparency of publicly available information about fiscal and monetary policy in Poland
PublicationResearch background: The quality of information provided by fiscal and monetary authorities are important in a democratic state. Ensuring fiscal policy transparency reduces fiscal risk and corruption and promotes public acceptance of fiscal reforms. Ensuring transparency in monetary policy allows market participants to anticipate central bank responses and take their effects into account when making investment and consumption decisions. Aim...
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Ukrainian Market of Electrical Energy: Reforming, Financing, Innovative Investment, Efficiency Analysis, and Audit
PublicationThe aim of this research is to determine the influence of electrical energy market regulation reform in Ukraine on the competitive environment, the reproduction processes of financial and innovative support, and the energy efficiency of the national economy. The authors have put forward and verified the hypothesis that, under conditions of institutional maturity of the Ukrainian electrical energy market, its liberalization and...
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Znaczenie umów o popieraniu i wzajemnej ochronie inwestycji dla bezpośrednich inwestycji zagranicznych na przykładzie wybranych krajów Bałkanów Zachodnich
PublicationPrzedmiot badań: Przedmiotem badania jest zależność bezpośrednich inwestycji zagranicznych (BIZ) i sytuacji makroekonomicznej w gospodarkach w okresie transformacji oraz ocena znaczenia zawieranych przez te kraje umów o popieraniu i wzajemnej ochronie inwestycji (ang. Bilateral Investment Treaties – BIT) dla napływu bezpośrednich inwestycji zagranicznych. Badania są prowadzone w czterech krajach na Bałkanach Zachodnich: Bośni...
Year 2020
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Analiza bibliometryczna w badaniach dotyczących prognozowania upadłości przedsiębiorstw w Polsce
PublicationCelem opracowania jest ukazanie obrazu piśmiennictwa poświęconego zagadnieniom prognozowania upadłości przedsiębiorstw w Polsce. Jako metodę badawczą zastosowano analizę bibliometryczną. Do analizy wykorzystano bazę Google Scholar oraz narzędzie Publish or Perish 7. Okresem badań objęto lata 1995– 2019. Jako frazy do wyszukiwania publikacji zastosowano: „prognozowanie upadłości”, „prognozowanie zagrożenia finansowego”, „systemy...
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ASSESSMENT OF FINANCIAL SECURITY OF AN ENTERPRISE ON THE BASIS OF BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS
PublicationThe article substantiates that the level of company’s financial security depends not so much on the indicators of its activity, but on its perception of decision-makers and other stakeholders. At the same time, this perception is formed due to the continuous participation of the stakeholder in operations, constant monitoring of financial indicators, the study of current approaches to enterprise management, changes in the environment,...
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Assessment of Trajectories of Non-bankrupt and Bankrupt Enterprises
PublicationThe aim of this study is to show how long-term trajectories of enterprises can be used to increase the forecasting horizon of bankruptcy prediction models. The author used seven popular forecasting models (two from Europe, two from Asia, two from North America and one from Latin America). These models (five multivariate discriminant analysis models and two logit models) were used to develop 17-year trajectories separately for non-bankrupt...
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Balkan Stock Exchanges – Consideration of the Length of the Estimation Window in Similar Markets
PublicationPurpose: We study if capital markets in the Balkan are closely and positively related in terms of rate of return, risk, efficiency, and maximum cumulative loss in relation to different lengths of the estimation window. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research was carried out for the period from 01/01/2017 to 31/12/2019 using portfolio analysis. It was divided into an estimation window (01/01/2019 to 31/12/2019) and another with...
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Bankruptcy Law Severity for Debtors: Comparative Analysis Among Selected Countries
PublicationPurpose: The objective of this paper is to propose the new indicator of bankruptcy law severity for debtors (BLSI-Bankruptcy Law Severity Index). On the basis of this index we conducted comparative analysis of debtor/creditor friendliness of bankruptcy laws among 27 selected countries. Design/Methodology/Approach: In the research the following methods were used: analysis of legal acts, literature review and expert method. Findings:...
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Competencies of graduates as future labour market participants – preliminary study
PublicationThe aim of article is to examine and compare the views of employers and future employees on the desirable competencies of the potential labour market participants. The applied research method is a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods – interviews conducted among recruiters (representing potential employers) and a survey of university graduates (future employees). The study shows that both the Polish graduates and...
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Is Artificial Intelligence Ready to Assess an Enterprise’s Financial Security?
PublicationThis study contributes to the literature on financial security by highlighting the relevance of the perceptions and resulting professional judgment of stakeholders. Assessing a company’s financial security using only economic indicators—as suggested in the existing literature—would be inaccurate when undertaking a comprehensive study of financial security. Specifically, indices and indicators based on financial or managerial reporting...
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Komu i jak z sukcesem przekazać pałeczkę? Transfer przedsiębiorstw w polskim sektorze MSP
PublicationTransfer biznesu jest fazą w cyklu życia biznesu, przedsiębiorstwa czy właściciela. Nie dla każdej firmy przeniesienie kończy się sukcesem. Część firm „umiera”, a zastępują je nowe, lepiej dopasowane do potrzeb gospodarki. Transfer przedsiębiorstwa trudniejszy jest w firmach mniejszych, gdzie właściciel odgrywa dominującą rolę. W monografii omówione zostaną wybrane zagadnienia związane z procesem przekazania biznesu w małych i...
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LONG-TERM RISK CLASS MIGRATIONS OF NON-BANKRUPT AND BANKRUPT ENTERPRISES
PublicationThis paper investigates how the process of going bankrupt can be recognized much earlier by enterprises than by traditional forecasting models. The presented studies focus on the assessment of credit risk classes and on determination of the differences in risk class migrations between non-bankrupt enterprises and future insolvent firms. For this purpose, the author has developed a model of a Kohonen artificial neural network to...
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Pro-Ecological Activities in Polish Financial Institutions on the Example of Selected Banks
PublicationThe character of the role that banks play in the economy provides them with an opportunity to positively affect the environment on multiple levels. The article aimed at characterizing and evaluating pro-ecological activities occurring in financial institutions in Poland. It compares pro-ecological activities undertaken by three different banks operating on the Polish market: BOŚ Bank SA, BNP Paribas Bank Polska SA and PKO Bank...
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QUANTITATIVE EASING POLICY AND ITS IMPACT ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
PublicationBased on the analysis of the impact of quantitative easing policies on the global economy, there was concluded that the world’s largest central banks and widespread debt stimulation have created the model of economic growth. This model was based on the productivity growth. The lack of productivity growth in the developed world, the active integration of developing countries (first of all China and India) in the global economy have...
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Short-term Price Reaction to Involuntary Bankruptcies Filed in Bad Faith: Empirical Evidence from Poland
PublicationPurpose: Assessing the reaction of the prices of shares of companies listed in the Warsaw Stock Exchange to the public disclosure of information about the filing a bankruptcy petition in bad faith by creditors. Design/Methodology/Approach: Event study analysis. Findings: It can therefore be assumed that the filing of an unfounded bankruptcy petition does not, in the short term, have a statistically significant negative impact on...
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Social benefits valuation of hosting non-mega sporting events
PublicationPurpose In the study, an attempt was made to estimate the social benefits resulting from three non-mega sporting events organized in Ergo Arena located on the border of two cities in Poland. By attributing a value to intangible social benefits, the intangible effect was determined and compared to the expenditure incurred in the construction of Ergo Arena Hall. Design/methodology/approach In order to value social intangible effects...
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Tangible and intangible economic impact of hosting mega sporting events
PublicationDue to the fact that the impetus for the creation of this paper was inaccuracies in the results of research relating to the economic effects caused by the organisation of mega sporting events, an analysis of the impact of 1988-2008 mega sporting events on host economies was conducted. The research shows that in selected areas of the economy, sporting events can be identified, with occasional positive (SOG) and negative (WOG) economic...
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The effectiveness of financial and economic regulation of land relations in the context of stimulating entrepreneurial activity in the regions of Ukraine
PublicationSolving the problem of enhancing the efficiency of the financial and economic regulation of land relations contributes to the development of entrepreneurship in Ukraine. The purpose of the paper is to determine new incentives for encouraging entrepreneurial activity by increasing the efficiency of the financial and economic regulation of land relations by local governments. The study is based on applying the method for predicting...
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The performance of ETFs on developed and emerging markets with consideration of regional diversity
PublicationThis study evaluates the performance of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) by using various tracking error calculation approaches. The aim of the paper is, on the one hand, an evaluation of the performance of ETFs relative to their benchmarking indexes and, on the other, an endeavour to specify any relationship between this performance and both geographical location and the degree of market development. The research was conducted on...
Year 2019
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Analiza skuteczności wybranych strategii kontrariańskich na warszawskiej GPW w latach 2014–2018
PublicationCapital multiplication is the main goal of investors and for many years they have been looking for methods and strategies that would enable them to achieve it to the greatest possible extent. Due to the fact that the expectations and characteristics of investors, including those concerning the investment period, are diverse, multiple strategies have emerged. One of such strategies, mainly long-term in nature, is the so-called...
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ASSESSMENT OF GOLD AND/OR CRUDE OIL AS INVESTMENTS FOR PORTFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION. A WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE CASE STUDY
PublicationThe purpose of the study is to assess whether the inclusion of investments in gold and/or crude oil improves an investment portfolio consisting of shares of enterprises included in the WIG20 index (traditional invest-ments). All possible combinations of investment portfolios with minimal risk and maximum efficiency were tested. The portfolios were determined based on Markowitz’s portfolio theory. All results were compared...
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Banking stability during the economic transformation process in selected countries of the Western Balkans
PublicationEconomic transformation is still an ongoing process in many European countries. Despite common economic roots, the current economic situations are developing differently in different countries. This article will consider the process of economic transformation in terms of the banking sector. It aims to assess the level of banking stability throughout the transformation process in the Western Balkan region, and to assess the determinates...
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CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION IN POLAND AGAINST THE BACKGROUND OF FOREIGN EXPERIENCE
PublicationIn highly developed countries, research in the field of bankruptcy risk prediction has been conducted for many years. For example, in the United States, which can be considered a pioneering country, the first publications appeared in the early twentieth century. In Poland, due to political and economic reasons, the interest in this issue dates back to the early 1990s. For this reason, this publication attempts to answer the following...
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CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION IN POLAND AGAINST THE BACKGROUND OF FOREIGN EXPERIENCE
PublicationIn highly developed countries, research in the field of bankruptcy risk prediction has been conducted for many years. For example, in the United States, which can be considered a pioneering country, the first publications appeared in the early twentieth century. In Poland, due to political and economic reasons, the interest in this issue dates back to the early 1990s. For this reason, this publication attempts to answer the following...
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Decyzje przedsiębiorstwa na rynku finansowym
PublicationProwadzenie działalności gospodarczej, w tym realizowanie zamierzeń rozwojowych oraz bieżących, wiąże się z ryzykiem niezrealizowania wytyczonego celu. Oznacza to, że firma działa w warunkach ryzyka, a niekiedy niepewności. Główne ryzyka dotyczą utrudnień w pozyskaniu niezbędnych środków finansowych, wahań kursów walut, zmian stóp procentowych itp. Przedsiębiorstwo musi więc znaleźć miejsce, w którym firma pozyska niezbędne kapitały...
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Dynamic Bankruptcy Prediction Models for European Enterprises
PublicationThis manuscript is devoted to the issue of forecasting corporate bankruptcy. Determining a firm’s bankruptcy risk is one of the most interesting topics for investors and decision-makers. The aim of the paper is to develop and to evaluate dynamic bankruptcy prediction models for European enterprises. To conduct this objective, four forecasting models are developed with the use of four different methods—fuzzy sets, recurrent and...
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Examining Ownership Equity as a Psychological Factor on Tourism Business Failure Forecasting
PublicationThis paper examines ownership equity as a predictor of future business failure within the tourism and hospitality sectors. The main goals of this study were to examine which ratios are the most important for a tourism business failure forecasting model and how significant is the “total percentage of equity ownership by company directors” ratio compared with other ratios associated with the probability of bankruptcy. A stepwise...
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FORECASTING EXCHANGE RATES IN THE PROCESS OF THE ASSESSMENT OF CONSUMER RISK BANKRUPTCY IN CENTRAL EUROPE
PublicationThis paper focuses on the issue of forecasting the fluctuation of exchange rates as part of the early warning system against the risk of consumer bankruptcy. The author identified the main macroeconomic factors affecting the level of bankruptcies for households in Poland. The fluctuation of exchange rates, which directly affects the deterioration of the economic situation of borrowers who have opened credit accounts in a foreign...
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IMPACT OF THE ORGANISATION OF MEGA SPORTING EVENTS ON SELECTED ELEMENTS OF THE TOURISM SECTOR
PublicationIntroduction. In the world-wide literature, there is no unanimity in the assessment of the impact of mega sporting events on the tourism sector. Therefore, the main purpose of this study was to quantify the impact of mega sporting events on changes in tourist inflow and the amount of expenditure incurred by visitors. Material and methods. In this study, an ex-post analysis of many different categories of mega sporting events was...
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Markowitz’s portfolio theory – optimal length of estimation window for gold and the biggests companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange
PublicationThe following article is dedicated to the construction of an investment portfolio consisting of 3 investments from the Polish capital market found in the WIG20 index and from investment in gold. The purpose of the study was to determine the optimal length of the estimation window for building a portfolio with minimal risk and maximum efficiency. The length of the estimation window was also assessed in terms of the rate of return...
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Prowadzenie działalności gospodarczej przez małe przedsiębiorstwa
PublicationGłównymi fundamentami decydującymi o rozwoju przedsiębiorczości są regulacje prawne oraz instytucje odpowiedzialne za ich respektowanie i egzekwowanie. O ile, przeważnie duże i średnie przedsiębiorstwa dobrze radzą sobie nawet w skomplikowanym otoczeniu prawnym, o tyle mikro i mali przedsiębiorcy mają z tym wiele problemów.Zmienność, niejasność i interpretowalność prawa związanego z zakładaniem, prowadzeniem i zarazem opodatkowaniem...
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Przedsiębiorstwo na rynku finansowym
PublicationJednym z istotnych elementów otoczenia przedsiębiorstwa jest rynek finansowy, na którego poszczególnych segmentach może ono pozyskiwać źródła finansowania, lokować nadwyżki finansowe lub poszukiwać możliwości ograniczania ryzyka finansowego. Niniejsza publikacja została poświęcona problematyce rynku finansowego w kontekście możliwości, jakie oferuje on firmom. Głównym celem jest wskazanie istoty i zasad funkcjonowania rynku pieniężnego,...
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Reasons behind changes in the share of labour in national income in the Polish economy: Selected aspects
PublicationAim/purpose – The aim of this paper is to examine the impact of structural changes taking place in the Polish economy on the share of labour in national income. Design/methodology/approach – The scope of this study includes a review of the literature dedicated to the issue and an empirical analysis of data available on this topic. The study uses elements of descriptive statistics and the method of induction. Findings – The conducted...
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Review of Research into Enterprise Bankruptcy Prediction in Selected Central and Eastern European Countries (prezentacja na konferencji TWENTY-SIXTH ANNUAL CONFERENCE MULTINATIONAL FINANCE SOCIETY)
PublicationUlotka konferencyjna: http://www.mfsociety.org/modules/modMainContent/uploadFiles/miscFiles/1562848077-MFC2019-Booklet-for-Distribution_2019-06-25.pdf
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Sanctions and their role in preventing the appropriation of the creditor’s property rights in bankruptcy proceedings–the case of Poland
PublicationThe aim of this paper is to fill the cognitive gap regarding the role of sanc-tions in the protection of a creditor’s property rights in the event of an entrepreneur insolvency. The impact of sanctions on transaction costs, including their identifica-tion and types, as well as the impact on the protection of creditor rights, has been poorly recognized in the subject literature to date. This article investigates...
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Sealing tax collection in Poland and the EU in the years 2008–2018
PublicationThe purpose of this study is to present issues related to sealing tax collection system in Poland and European Union countries as well as OECD members in 2008–2018. The article is divided into four parts, which include: introduction, origin of the problem, implemented solutions and conclusions. It presents the results of the conducted analysis including studies of the literature and empirical data (mainly from OECD, GUS—Polish...
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The role of stakeholders on rejection of bankruptcy applications in the case of “poverty” of the estate: A Polish case study
PublicationThe aim of this article is to supplement the Law and Economics area of science with regard to the scope of the ex ante effectiveness of bankruptcy law using the example of Poland. Bankruptcy law is effective in the ex ante stage when it eliminates from the market insolvent entrepreneurs who cannot even afford to cover the costs of bankruptcy proceedings. In these cases, the bankruptcy court should dismiss the petition for bankruptcy...
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Zatrudnienie obywateli z krajów byłego ZSRR w Polsce
PublicationSzeroka analiza literatury, dokumentów prawnych i danych statystycznych ukazująca obraz możliwości i uwarunkowań zmniejszenia niedoborów na rynku pracy w Polsce poprzez zatrudnianie emigrantów z krajów byłego Związku Radzieckiego.
Year 2018
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A comparative analysis of the effectiveness of corporate bankruptcy prediction models based on financial ratios: Evidence from Colombia, 2008 to 2015
PublicationLogit and discriminant analyses have been used for corporate bankruptcy prediction in several studies since the last century. In recent years there have been dozens of studies comparing the several models available, including the ones mentioned above and also probit, artificial neural networks, support vector machines, among others. For the first time for Colombia, this paper presents a comparative analysis of the effectiveness...
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Bankruptcy system model and efficiency versus the entrepreneurship and innovation in selected European countries
Publicationmodel and its efficiency on the development of entrepreneurship and innovation in selected European countries and Turkey. This goal was achieved by examining the relationships between debtor-friendliness of the bankruptcy law model and its efficiency on one side and entrepreneurship and innovation on the other. The cross-sectional ANOVA test and OLS regression method were chosen as the research method. In order to verify the research...
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Biblioteka w nowym świecie czy nowy świat w bibliotece
PublicationWraz z głębokimi zmianami zachodzącymi we współczsnym świecie, zmieniają się także instytucje kultury, w tym również biblioteki. Na podstawie badań ilościowych i jakościowych autorki zaproponowały innowacyjny sposób szacowania całkowitej wartości i produktywności wspólczesnych bibliotek.
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COMPARISON OF INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE MEASURES USING THE EXAMPLE OF SELECTED STOCK EXCHANGES
PublicationIn the following paper, the main objective is to examine whether the selection of the performance measure influences the evaluation of individual investments and the performance rankings generated on that basis. This study presents the values of 16 performance indicators along with their detailed descriptions. All calculations were made using the R program, and the source code can be found at the end of the article. Nine selected...
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EFFICIENCY OF HEALTHCARE SYSTEMS IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES - THE DEA NETWORK APPROACH
PublicationHealthcare systems in Europe are constantly undergoing reforms which adapt them to social, economic and political requirements. The aim of this article is to examine the efficiency of healthcare systems in 30 European countries in 2014. The Network Data Envelopment Analysis (NDEA) model was used. The efficiency of the countries’ overall health systems and their two main components were examined: the public health system and the...
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Ekspansja usług bankowych na przykładzie rozwoju bankowości islamskiej w Europie
PublicationCelami rozprawy są określenie determinant ekspansji zagranicznej usług bankowych oraz odnalezienie wieloaspektowych różnic pomiędzy ekonomią islamską a głównego nurtu. Treść rozprawy ujęto w sześciu rozdziałach, wstępie oraz podsumowaniu. Rozdziały pierwszy i drugi stanowią konceptualizację najważniejszych pojęć rozprawy, takich jak ekspansja, strategia, islamskie ekonomia, finanse i bankowość. W rozdziale trzecim poddano analizie...
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Elementy polityki podatkowej państw europejskich dotyczące wybranych przedsięwzięć inwestycyjnych
PublicationCel – Celem niniejszego opracowania jest przedstawienie podstawowych rozwiązań realizowanych za pośrednictwem systemów podatkowych w zakresie opodatkowania inwestycji. Autor dokonał analizy mechanizmów wykorzystywanych w wybranych państwach europejskich mogących mieć wpływ na podejmowane decyzji o przedsięwzięciu lub zaniechaniu rozpoczęcia wybranych rodzajów inwestycji. Metodyka badania – Przedstawiona w poniższym artykule analiza...
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ELEMENTY POLITYKI PODATKOWEJ PAŃSTW UNII EUROPEJSKIEJ PO KRYZYSIE FINANSOWYM W 2008 R.
PublicationArtykuł przedstawia główne założenia harmonizacji systemów podatkowych Unii Europejskiej oraz działań podjętych przez państwa Wspólnoty po wybuchu kryzysu finansowego w 2008 r. Autor dokonał przeglądu zmian przeprowadzonych w ramach stawek podatku VAT oraz CIT, a także przedstawił wybrane elementy prorodzinnej ulgi podatkowej w zakresie podatku PIT, która stała się formą złagodzenia obcią- żeń podatkowych dla niektórych gospodarstw...