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Reliability-Based Stability Analysis of a Baltic Cliff by the Combined Response Surface Method

Abstract

A simple, straightforward computational procedure was proposed, incorporating the Response Surface Method (RSM) linked with the standard Monte Carlo (MC) simulation method and the Point Estimate Method (PEM). PEM samples make it possible to analyse the sensitivity of the cliff’s stability to variation in subsoil parameters and to reduce the number of random variables of the problem. The proposed methods were tested in two cases: a high failure probability (undrained state) and a moderate failure probability (drained case). The proposed method (CRSM) has been applied to probabilistic stability analysis of a Baltic cliff in Jastrzebia Gora, Poland.

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Category:
Articles
Type:
artykuły w czasopismach
Published in:
Geotechnical and Geological Engineering no. 38, pages 5549 - 5563,
ISSN: 0960-3182
Language:
English
Publication year:
2020
Bibliographic description:
Winkelmann K., Zabuski L., Przewłócki J., Górski J.: Reliability-Based Stability Analysis of a Baltic Cliff by the Combined Response Surface Method// Geotechnical and Geological Engineering -Vol. 38, (2020), s.5549-5563
DOI:
Digital Object Identifier (open in new tab) 10.1007/s10706-020-01384-5
Verified by:
Gdańsk University of Technology

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