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Investing in wine, precious metals and G-7 stock markets – A co-occurrence analysis for price bubbles
PublicationThis paper used the GSADF test to determine the periods defined in this paper as price bubbles in the three markets studied, i.e. the investment wine market, precious metal market and national stock market indices of G-7 countries. The results obtained enabled the calculation of the values of the phi correlation coefficients, which served the research objective of assessing the co-occurrence of price bubbles in the markets analysed....
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GSADF test results for national art market (G-7 group) + selected investments
Open Research DataThe dataset contains data illustrating the results of detecting and data-stamping price explosivity periods in national art markets in G-7 countries with additional investments from a second group (MSCI, S&P 500, crude oil, gold and silver). The files contain:• 01_diagnostics_gsadf – summary of results for analysed time series.• 02_st_value...
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Spectral Analysis of Capital Markets
PublicationIn this paper the problem of cycles existence in capital markets is addressed. A spectral analysis algorithm, which reduces signal-to-noise ratio, is proposed to derive cycle periodograms for the yield function of DJIA, WIG~20, and NIKKEI 225 indices. Peaks of the the periodograms provide premises to postulate the existence of some possible cycles. The 3.5 year periodicity in all 3 indices, which can be related to Kitchin cycle...
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The Response of Selected Domestic Capital Markets on the Development of COVID-19 Pandemic – a Broader View
PublicationObjective: The study examines how the record of the first, hundredth, thousandth, ten-thousandth, one-hundred-thousandth, and millionth cases of COVID-19 affected investor behaviour in capital markets. It also looks at whether the month in which the first case was recorded in a given market affected the direction and strength of investor reactions. Lastly, it verifies whether the two announcements made by the WHO related to COVID-19...
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Stock Markets’ Reactions to the Announcement of the Hosts. An Event Study in the Analysis of Large Sporting Events in the Years 1976–2032
PublicationThis study attempts to estimate the impact of the announcements of hosts of large sporting events on domestic stock markets. The research problem is to establish a connection between the uniqueness of a sporting event and investors’ beliefs through stock price behavior. Using appropriate estimation windows, 13 different sporting events classified as large, including mega and major events, were tested. The obtained results show...
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Stock markets in BRIC: development levels and macroeconomic implications
PublicationThe main purpose of the article is the presentation of changes in the stock market development level and their implications for the real economy in BRIC, i.e. Brazil, Russia, India and China. Research method was case studies based on qualitative and quantitative data. First part of the text is devoted to presenting main concepts regarding theoretical linkages between the stock market and real economy. Empirical part begins with...
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Essays on China's international trade - focus on One-Belt One-Road initiative
PublicationThis thesis explores China's international trade from trade, global value chains (GVCs) and export diversity, focusing on the "One-Belt One-Road" (OBOR) initiative proposed at the end of 2013. Specifically, I verify the potential association of OBOR with bilateral imports and exports in the first chapter. Then the relationship between OBOR and GVCs has been explored in Chapter 2. And I have extended the research in GVCs to China's...
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Balkan Stock Exchanges – Consideration of the Length of the Estimation Window in Similar Markets
PublicationPurpose: We study if capital markets in the Balkan are closely and positively related in terms of rate of return, risk, efficiency, and maximum cumulative loss in relation to different lengths of the estimation window. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research was carried out for the period from 01/01/2017 to 31/12/2019 using portfolio analysis. It was divided into an estimation window (01/01/2019 to 31/12/2019) and another with...
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Identification of Determinants of Using Crowdfunding as a Source of Financing the Development of Social Enterprises–the Perspective of Polish Social Entrepreneurs
PublicationSocial enterprises face funding challenges caused, among other things, by investors focusing too much on risk and return. As traditional capital markets do not meet the needs of social entrepreneurs, crowdfunding can be an alternative way to raise funds for the development of their business. In this context, crowd-funding has not been sufficiently researched, and its growing importance in business finance makes it worth understanding...
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Analysis of latency between quotations and capital flow in capital markets.
PublicationThe aim of this paper is to prove that the derivative of the log of capital flow understood as price times volume advances the derivative of log of the price. A certain concept of signal processing using linear filtering has been proposed to conduct the research.