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Investing in wine, precious metals and G-7 stock markets – A co-occurrence analysis for price bubbles
PublikacjaThis paper used the GSADF test to determine the periods defined in this paper as price bubbles in the three markets studied, i.e. the investment wine market, precious metal market and national stock market indices of G-7 countries. The results obtained enabled the calculation of the values of the phi correlation coefficients, which served the research objective of assessing the co-occurrence of price bubbles in the markets analysed....
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Spectral Analysis of Capital Markets
PublikacjaIn this paper the problem of cycles existence in capital markets is addressed. A spectral analysis algorithm, which reduces signal-to-noise ratio, is proposed to derive cycle periodograms for the yield function of DJIA, WIG~20, and NIKKEI 225 indices. Peaks of the the periodograms provide premises to postulate the existence of some possible cycles. The 3.5 year periodicity in all 3 indices, which can be related to Kitchin cycle...
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The Response of Selected Domestic Capital Markets on the Development of COVID-19 Pandemic – a Broader View
PublikacjaObjective: The study examines how the record of the first, hundredth, thousandth, ten-thousandth, one-hundred-thousandth, and millionth cases of COVID-19 affected investor behaviour in capital markets. It also looks at whether the month in which the first case was recorded in a given market affected the direction and strength of investor reactions. Lastly, it verifies whether the two announcements made by the WHO related to COVID-19...
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Stock Markets’ Reactions to the Announcement of the Hosts. An Event Study in the Analysis of Large Sporting Events in the Years 1976–2032
PublikacjaThis study attempts to estimate the impact of the announcements of hosts of large sporting events on domestic stock markets. The research problem is to establish a connection between the uniqueness of a sporting event and investors’ beliefs through stock price behavior. Using appropriate estimation windows, 13 different sporting events classified as large, including mega and major events, were tested. The obtained results show...
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Stock markets in BRIC: development levels and macroeconomic implications
PublikacjaThe main purpose of the article is the presentation of changes in the stock market development level and their implications for the real economy in BRIC, i.e. Brazil, Russia, India and China. Research method was case studies based on qualitative and quantitative data. First part of the text is devoted to presenting main concepts regarding theoretical linkages between the stock market and real economy. Empirical part begins with...
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Balkan Stock Exchanges – Consideration of the Length of the Estimation Window in Similar Markets
PublikacjaPurpose: We study if capital markets in the Balkan are closely and positively related in terms of rate of return, risk, efficiency, and maximum cumulative loss in relation to different lengths of the estimation window. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research was carried out for the period from 01/01/2017 to 31/12/2019 using portfolio analysis. It was divided into an estimation window (01/01/2019 to 31/12/2019) and another with...
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Analysis of latency between quotations and capital flow in capital markets.
PublikacjaThe aim of this paper is to prove that the derivative of the log of capital flow understood as price times volume advances the derivative of log of the price. A certain concept of signal processing using linear filtering has been proposed to conduct the research.
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Foundations of Capital Markets Analysis 2022
Kursy Online -
Determinants of export diversification: an empirical investigation
PublikacjaEmpirical findings confirm that relatively high specialisation of economic structures tends to be associated with low levels of income per capita, but countries diversify their export structures along their path of growth. However, usually only per capita income, and eventually, country-specific fixed effects are the sole explanatory variables taken into consideration in the estimation of specialisation curves. We extend the analysis...
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Overview of problems in mathematics related analysis of capital markets
PublikacjaCelem pracy jest przegląd zjawisk i problemów w analizie rynków kapitałowych metodami matematyki. Zdefiniowano główny cel analiz rynkowych. Przedstawiono stosowane podejście w analizie rynków. Przedyskutowano podejście stochastyczne i deterministyczne. Kolejno przedstawiono zjawiska sprężeń zwrotnych w rynkach. Na koniec przedstawiono, specyficzne dla rynków zjawiska, które mają duży wpływ na zniekształcenie wyników analizy.