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Search results for: MARKOV PROCESS
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Usage of Memi-Markov Process in Operation Evaluation of Diesel Engine
PublicationIn paper, the proposition of quantitative evaluation of operation using semi-Markov processes theories has been presented. Basic assumptions, essential for creating mathematical model on example of diesel engine were shown. Special attention was given to practical aspects of using established mathematical model. Example of characteristic of analysed process - temporary distribution of probability was assigned.
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The time of the first transition of the semi-Markov process in the evaluation of diesel engine operation
PublicationW referacie przedstawiono rozwinięcie prezentowanej w literaturze metody ilościowej oceny działania na przykładzie okrętowego silnika głównego z zapłonem samoczynnym. Według tej interpretacji, działanie silnika może zostać przedstawione jako wielkość fizyczna. W tym aspekcie, na przykładzie okrętowego silnika napędu głównego dokonano oceny przydatności tej wielkości do opisu własności niezawodnościowych silnika. Precyzyjne określenie...
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Optimal asynchronous estimation of 2D Gaussian-Markov processes
PublicationW artykule rozważa się problem estymacji trajektorii dwuwymiarowych ciągłoczasowych procesów Gaussa-Markowa na podstawie zaszumionych pomiarów wykonywanych w nierównomiernie rozłożonych chwilach czasu. W przypadku takiego problemu, w każdym cyklu pracy algorytmu należy dokonać dyskretnoczasowej predykcji (analogicznie jak w przypadku filtru Kalmana). Niestety zadanie to może być złożone obliczeniowo. Aby rozwiązać ten problem,...
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Application of theory of semi-Markov processes to determining distribution of probabilistic process of marine accidents resulting from colission of ships
PublicationIn this paper is presented possible application of the theory of semi-Markov processes to elaborating an eight-state model of the process of occurrence of serviceability state and unserviceability states of sea-going ships making critical manoeuvres during their entering and leaving the ports. In the analysis it was taken into account that sea-going ships are in service for a very long time t (t → ∞). The model was elaborated to...
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Application of semi-Markov processes for evaluation of diesel engines reliability with regards to diagnostics
PublicationThe paper presents semi-Markov models of technical state transitions for diesel engines, useful for determination of their reliability, as a result of the conducted statistical empirical studies. Interpretation of technical states provided for this sort of engines refers to ship main engines, i.e. engines employed in propulsion systems of sea-going ships. The considerations recognize diesel engine as a diagnosed system (SDN), of...
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Necessity for and possibility of application of the theory of semi-markov processes to determine reliability of diagnising systems
PublicationW opracowaniu uzasadniono konieczność określenia niezawodności systemów diagnozujących (SDG) do sformułowania diagnozy o stanie dowolnego urządzenia technicznego jako systemu diagnozowanego (SDN). Wykazano, że znajomość niezawodności SDG umożliwia określenie wiarygodności diagnozy. Przyjęto, że wiarygodność diagnozy może być określona jako właściwość diagnozy określająca stopień rozpoznania przez system diagnozujący (SDG) rzeczywistego...
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APPLICATION OF THE THEORY OF SEMI-MARKOV PROCESSES TO DETERMINE A LIMITING DISTRIBUTION OF THE PROCESS OF CHANGES OF ABILITY AND INABILITY STATES OF FUEL SUPPLY SYSTEMS IN HEAVY FUEL DIESEL ENGINES
PublicationThe paper presents applicability of the theory of semi-Markov processes to determine a limiting distribution of the process of changes of technical states of fuel systems for marine engines running on heavy fuel oils. The proposed study of this process includes the components of such fuel systems like: 1 - injectors, 2 - high pressure hoses, 3 - injection pumps, 4 - low pressure hoses, 5 – fine filters, 6 - coarse filters, 7 – fuel-feed...
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A model of fuel combustion process in the marine reciprocating engine work space taking into account load and wear of crankshaft-piston assembly and the theory of semi-Markov processes
PublicationThe ar ticle analyses the operation of reciprocal internal combu stion engines, with mar ine engines u sed a s an example. The analysis takes into account types of energy conversion in the work spaces (cylinders) of these engines, loads of their crankshaft-piston assemblies, and types of fuel combustion which can take place in these spaces during engine operation. It is highlighted that the analysed time-dependent loads of marine...
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Assesment of operation of ship main diesel engine using the theory of semi-markovian and markov processes.
PublicationTo precisely determine the task it is necessary to specify also its duration time, apart from conditions in which it will be realized. When considering propulsion engine, i.e. the main element of ship propulsion system, especially important becomes not only the problem which amount of energy could be at one's disposal but also within which time interval it could be delivered. Therefore apart from applying the commonly used reliability...
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COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF RESULTS OF APPLICATION OF MARKOV AND SEMI-MARKOV PROCESSES TO RELIABILITY MODELS OF MULTI-STATE TECHNICAL OBJECTS
PublicationDuring rational operation of technical objects and systems various operational decisions are made and decision-making process itself should be consisted in selecting that considered most favourable out of all possible to be taken. Choice of such decision is possible after taking into account many different information items but it never be completely correct without accounting for data and indices dealing with reliability. In...
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USEFULNESS OF SEMI-MARKOV PROCESSES AS MODELS OF THE OPERATION PROCESSES FOR MARINE MAIN ENGINES AND OTHER MACHINES OF SHIP POWER PLANTS
PublicationThe paper describes the properties of semi-Markov processes and the opportunities and benefits from their use as models of the operation processes for marine combustion engines and other machines of ship power plants. The emphasis is put on the importance of the theory of semi-Markov processes for development of the theory of marine combustion engines and other machines of ship power plants, as well as for development of the operational...
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Application of the theory of semi-markov processes to the development of a reliability model of an automotiv vrhicle = Zastosowanie teorii procesów semi-Markowa do opracowania modelu niezawodnościowego samochodu
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono możliwość zastosowania teorii procesów semi-Markowa (semimarkowskich) do opisu niezawodności samochodu, na przykładzie samochodu osobowego. W rozważaniach uwzględniony został samochód, w którym wyróżniono takie węzły konstrukcyjne (zespoły funkcjonalne) jak: silnik z układami zasilania czynnikami energetycznymi (paliwem, olejem smarowym i cieczą chłodzącą), sprzęgło, skrzynia biegów, wał napędowy, most...
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Markov Processes and Related Fields
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Możliwość oszacowania niezawodności silników o zapłonie samoczynnym z zastosowaniem teorii procesów semi-Markowa oraz podejmowania decyzji eksploatacyjnych z uwzględnieniem wiarygodności diagnozy o stanie technicznym tego rodzaju silników spalinowych = Possibility of estimating the reliability of diesel engines by applying the theory of semi-Markov processes and making operational decisions by considering reliability of diagnosis on technical state of this sort of combustion engines/
PublicationThe paper presents semi-Markov models of technical state transitions for diesel engines, useful for determining reliability of the engines. A possibility of application of a three-state model with a simplified matrix function, or even a two-state model, to determine reliability of the engines, has been described herein on examples of known from literature semi-Markov models, for the case when appropriate diagnosing systems (SDG)...
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Semi-Markov model of diesel engines' operating process.
PublicationNajistotniejszym problemem eksploatacji silników o zapłonie samoczynnym jest problem racjonalnego (a zwłaszcza optymalnego) sterowania procesem eksploatacji tych silników. Sterowanie takie może ułatwić zastosowanie iteracyjnego algorytmu wyznaczania optymalnych strategii opracowanego przez R.A. Howarda. Wykorzystanie jednak tego algorytmu do sterowania procesem eksploatacji silników wymaga między innymi opracowania modelu procesu...
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A semi-Markov model of fuel combustion process in a Diesel engine
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono czterostanowy model procesu spalania w przestrzeniach roboczych (cylindrach) silników o zapłonie samoczynnym w formie procesu semimarkowskiego, dyskretnego w stanach i ciągłego w czasie. Wartościami tego procesu są stany odpowiadające powszechnie akceptowanym rodzajom spalania w tego rodzaju silnikach a mianowicie takie stany procesu jak: spalanie pełne (całkowite i zupełne), spalanie niezupełne, spalanie...
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The semi-Markov model of the process of appearance of sea-going ship propupsion system ability and inability states in application to determining the reliablity of these systems
PublicationThe article presents possible application of the theory of semi-Markov processes in creating the eight-state model of the process of appearance of the propulsion systems ability and inability states on sea-going vessels performing transportation tasks in a relatively long operating time t (t → ∞). The model has been proved to be able to be successfully used for determining the reliability of the abovementioned systems. The probability...
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Markov Model of Disease Development and Recovery
PublicationMarkov models are commonly used to simulate diseases and allow modeling of multiple health states and outcomes. Starting with the well known Le Bras multistate model (cascading failure model) with time-independent transitions we will see how simple Markov mortality models may be pressed into the service of survival and event history analysis. We will focus on more complex models which will be able to take into account remission,...
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Application Isssues of the Semi-Markov Reliability Model
PublicationPredicting the reliability of marine internal combustion engines, for instance, is of particular importance, as it makes it possible to predict their future reliability states based on the information on the past states. Correct reliability prediction is a complex process which consists in processing empirical results obtained from operating practice, complemented by analytical considerations. The process of technical state changes...
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The use of Markov chains in the social convergence analysis
PublicationThe main goal of this article is to analyze the social convergence process using Markov chains. In this research, term social convergence refers to the reduction of dispersion in the standard of living among countries. The use of Markov chains in the social convergence analysis allowed describing movements of observational units within the distribution and providing more details about the mechanism of the convergence process. A...