On reliability assessment of ship machinery system in different autonomy degree; A Bayesian-based approach
Abstrakt
Analyzing the reliability of autonomous ships has recently attracted attention mainly due to epistemic uncertainty (lack of knowledge) integrated with automatic operations in the maritime sector. The advent of new random failures with unrecognized failure patterns in autonomous ship operations requires a comprehensive reliability assessment specifically aiming at estimating the time in which the ship can be trusted to be left unattended. While the reliability concept is touched upon well through the literature, the operational trustworthiness needs more elaboration to be established for system safety, especially within the maritime sector. Accordingly, in this paper, a probabilistic approach has been established to estimate the trusted operational time of the ship machinery system through different autonomy degrees. The uncertainty associated with ship operation has been quantified using Markov Chain Monte-Carlo simulation from likelihood function in Bayesian inference. To verify the developed framework, a practical example of a machinery plant used in typical short sea merchant ships is taken into account. This study can be exploited by asset managers to estimate the time in which the ship can be left unattended.
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- Wersja publikacji
- Accepted albo Published Version
- DOI:
- Cyfrowy identyfikator dokumentu elektronicznego (otwiera się w nowej karcie) 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2022.111252
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- otwiera się w nowej karcie
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Informacje szczegółowe
- Kategoria:
- Publikacja w czasopiśmie
- Typ:
- artykuły w czasopismach
- Opublikowano w:
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OCEAN ENGINEERING
nr 254,
ISSN: 0029-8018 - Język:
- angielski
- Rok wydania:
- 2022
- Opis bibliograficzny:
- Bahootoroody A., Abaei M. M., Valdez Banda O., Montewka J., Kujala P.: On reliability assessment of ship machinery system in different autonomy degree; A Bayesian-based approach// OCEAN ENGINEERING -Vol. 254, (2022), s.111252-
- DOI:
- Cyfrowy identyfikator dokumentu elektronicznego (otwiera się w nowej karcie) 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2022.111252
- Źródła finansowania:
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- Publikacja bezkosztowa
- Weryfikacja:
- Politechnika Gdańska
wyświetlono 124 razy
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