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Search results for: stock exchange
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ARIMA vs LSTM on NASDAQ stock exchange data
PublicationThis study compares the results of two completely different models: statistical one (ARIMA) and deep learning one (LSTM) based on a chosen set of NASDAQ data. Both models are used to predict daily or monthly average prices of chosen companies listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Research shows which model performs better in terms of the chosen input data, parameters and number of features. The chosen models were compared using...
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The accuracy of alternative stock valuation methods – the case of the Warsaw Stock Exchange
PublicationThe main aim of this article is to examine the accuracy of different methods of share valuation used by Polish analysts in reports prepared in order to issue recommendations for companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. In the literature on the subject, the view which prevails is that the more sophisticated methods, i.e. those taking into account the discounting process, are characterised by higher valuation accuracy. However,...
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Adaptive prediction of stock exchange indices by state space wavelet networks
PublicationThe paper considers the forecasting of the Warsaw Stock Exchange price index WIG20 by applying a state space wavelet network model of the index price. The approach can be applied to the development of tools for predicting changes of other economic indicators, especially stock exchange indices. The paper presents a general state space wavelet network model and the underlying principles. The model is applied to produce one session...
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Why Do Companies Go Public? Evidence from the Prague Stock Exchange
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ASSESSMENT OF GOLD AND/OR CRUDE OIL AS INVESTMENTS FOR PORTFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION. A WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE CASE STUDY
PublicationThe purpose of the study is to assess whether the inclusion of investments in gold and/or crude oil improves an investment portfolio consisting of shares of enterprises included in the WIG20 index (traditional invest-ments). All possible combinations of investment portfolios with minimal risk and maximum efficiency were tested. The portfolios were determined based on Markowitz’s portfolio theory. All results were compared...
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Markowitz’s portfolio theory – optimal length of estimation window for gold and the biggests companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange
PublicationThe following article is dedicated to the construction of an investment portfolio consisting of 3 investments from the Polish capital market found in the WIG20 index and from investment in gold. The purpose of the study was to determine the optimal length of the estimation window for building a portfolio with minimal risk and maximum efficiency. The length of the estimation window was also assessed in terms of the rate of return...
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Financial impact analysis of going public at the Warsaw Stock Exchange: Using Fuzzy Set Theory to understand behaviours of mature companies
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Stock Exchanges Indices and Abnormal Returns in the Crisis Condition
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Balkan Stock Exchanges – Consideration of the Length of the Estimation Window in Similar Markets
PublicationPurpose: We study if capital markets in the Balkan are closely and positively related in terms of rate of return, risk, efficiency, and maximum cumulative loss in relation to different lengths of the estimation window. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research was carried out for the period from 01/01/2017 to 31/12/2019 using portfolio analysis. It was divided into an estimation window (01/01/2019 to 31/12/2019) and another with...
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COMPARISON OF INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE MEASURES USING THE EXAMPLE OF SELECTED STOCK EXCHANGES
PublicationIn the following paper, the main objective is to examine whether the selection of the performance measure influences the evaluation of individual investments and the performance rankings generated on that basis. This study presents the values of 16 performance indicators along with their detailed descriptions. All calculations were made using the R program, and the source code can be found at the end of the article. Nine selected...
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The share of investments in gold and oil using the example of selected European stock exchanges– A comparative analysis
PublicationIn this article, optimal investment portfolios with minimal risk and maximum efficiency were calculated. The portfolios were designated for ten selected European stock exchanges, based on the listings of the twenty largest companies in each of those markets. All calculations were made based on company shares only, company shares and investments in gold, shares of companies and investments in crude oil as well as shares of companies...
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ESG investing during the Covid-19 crisis. Evidence from Central European Stock Exchanges
PublicationAs COVID-19 turned into a global pandemic, world markets gradually began to recover after initial dynamic declines. Restrictions, and their subsequent loosening, were, and are, not without significance for the financial markets. These particular circumstances provide a unique opportunity to contribute to the literature by focusing on the potential resilience of ESG (environmental, social and governance) investing in an era of crisis....
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Ljung-Box test values of selected companies of the Warsaw Stock Exchange
Open Research DataThe following dataset includes the Warsaw Stock Exchange market analysis using the Ljung-Box test. Partial autocorrelations up to the 5th order were analyzed, because it will allow to observe the relationship within one week of stock exchange quotations. In the case of the WIG index, the 1st and 2nd order correlation turned out to be statistically significant....
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Parameters and statistics of models made for selected companies of the Warsaw Stock Exchange
Open Research DataFor the WIG, WIG20 and mWIG40 indices, no day, week or month statistically differs from the average level of the index, which indicates no anomalies. The situation is different only for the index of small companies. In the case of sWIG80, the mean values on Friday, week 5 and 6, and during January, February and June were statistically different at the...
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Approval of an Arrangement in the Restructuring Proceedings and the Financial Condition of Companies Listed on the Stock Exchanges in Warsaw. Is There Any Relationship?
PublicationThis paper attempts to identify the financial indicators differentiating companies that are insolvent or at risk of insolvency and have successfully entered into an arrangement with their creditors from those that have not. In addition, a two-factor model for predicting the odds of an arrangement has been proposed. The research was conducted using a population of companies listed on stock exchanges in Warsaw that initiated restructuring...
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WIG rate of return histogram and normal distribution curve
Open Research DataThe conducted market analysis covered the period of stock exchange quotations from the beginning of 2010 to the end of 2019 (04/01/2010 - 30/12/2019). Daily data was used, in the form of closing prices of indices operating on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. In order to obtain a complete and generalized picture of the market, the quotations of 4 indices were...
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Exploring Stock Traders’ Cognitive Biases: Research Design and Simulator Framework
PublicationCognitive bias is a phenomenon that has been extensively studied in stock trading and many other fields. This paper presents a framework for a Mobile Stock Trading Simulator (MSTS) that facilitates automatic investment in stocks with minimal human influence, by investigating the behavioral patterns and cognitive errors of stock market investors. The paper aims to determine whether investors’ investment strategies can be improved...
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Macroeconomic functions of the Russian stock market
PublicationThe purpose of this article is to present the structure of the stock market in the Russian Federation and the significance of this part of national financial system for the whole economy, particularly the degree of main macroeconomic functions fulfillment. First part of the text includes an overview of the main theoretical concepts linked with the stock market roles as well as a brief description of results of selected studies...
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Share price and capitalization of selected banks in 2007-2012
Open Research DataThe crisis also caused the value as measured by the stock market indices of the 5 largest banks in the US to decline by as much as 18 times. The table below shows the stock exchange valuation of the 5 largest banks, taking into account the period 2007-2012. When analyzing the activities of banks through the prism of the value of their stock exchange...
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Exchange-traded products in Germany: development and substitution of exchange-traded funds, exchange-traded commodities and exchange-traded notes.
PublicationResearch background: Exchange-traded products (ETPs) are one of the most rapidly growing categories of financial products. Their fast development has been boosted by innovative features. Three main categories of ETPs are exchange-traded funds (ETFs), exchange-traded commodities (ETCs) and exchange-traded notes (ETNs). ETCs and ETNs remain least known, even though their number on some stock exchanges is high. In Europe, Germany...
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The transformation of the Chinese stock market between 1990 and 2012
PublicationThe main purpose of this paper is to examine the transformation of the stock market in the People’s Republic of China (i.e. concentrated on stock exchanges in Shanghai and Shenzhen; the stock exchange in Hong Kong was omitted) from its beginnings in the early 1990s, through rapid development over the next two decades, up to the financial crisis of 2008 (the period examined is 1990–2012). The paper presents a short history of the...
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Krystian Zawadzki dr hab. inż.
PeopleKrystian Zawadzki is associate professor in the Department of Finance at the Faculty of Management and Economics of the Gdańsk University of Technology; member of the Polish Olympic Academy at the Polish Olympic Committee; coordinator of the Stock Exchange School (Warsaw Stock Exchange) in Gdańsk; Head of postgraduate studies "Capital Investments and Personal Finance Management"; member of the audit committee of the sports club...
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Stock price reactions to an arrangement approval in restructuring proceedings – the case of Poland
PublicationThe study aims to empirically analyze the reaction of stock prices to the information about the conclusion and acceptance of a debtor–creditor arrangement under restructuring proceedings of companies listed on the stock exchange in Poland. The following main research hypothesis was verified: public disclosure of information about an arrangement conclusion and acceptance in restructuring proceedings...
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Tax on dividend income and income from investments in equity instruments in selected European Union countries
Open Research DataThe following data contains the information about the capital gains tax in selected EU countries. Capital gain is understood as an increase in the value of capital, e.g. as a result of an increase in the prices of securities held on the stock exchange, units of funds, exchange rate differences or other assets. This profit may be specified in nominal...
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Individual corporate reputation, perception of collective corporate reputation, stock market investments
Open Research DataThere are two ways of conceiving of corporate reputation: individual and collective. Although related, they are not driven by the same factors. Thus, each of them may have a distinct impact on investment decisions. The following dataset includes the data obtained in an incentivized economic experiment based on vignette studies. We induced the perception...
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Information and communication technologies versus diffusion and substitution of financial innovations. The case of exchange-traded funds in Japan and South Korea
PublicationThe substitution between financial innovations, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and stock index derivatives (i.e. index financial instruments) is one of the relatively understudied topics of the financial sciences. The current study aims to verify empirically the diffusion and substitution of ETFs in the market for index financial instruments. It presents in-depth analysis of the development of index financial instruments traded...
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Application of Diffusion Models in the Analysis of Financial Markets: Evidence on Exchange Traded Funds in Europe
PublicationExchange traded funds (ETFs) are financial innovations that may be considered as a part of the index financial instruments category, together with stock index derivatives. The aim of this paper is to explore the trajectories and formulates predictions regarding the spread of ETFs on the financial markets in six European countries. It demonstrates ETFs’ development trajectories with regard to stock index futures and options that...
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Industry-level analysis of COVID-19’s impact in emerging markets – evidence from Pakistan
PublicationPurpose – The main purpose of this study is to evaluate COVID-19’s impact on the emerging stock markets. Design/methodology/approach – To evaluate the influence of COVID-19, this study uses a novel method of event study methodology to measure the impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets. The research’s sample includes a total of 79 firms from 26 industries that are included in the KSE-100 Index from the Pakistan Stock Exchange....
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EXCHANGE TRADED COMMODITIES AS A CATEGORY OF INNOVATIVE PRODUCTS ON EUROPEAN FINANCIAL MARKETS
PublicationThe article presents the main features of one category of innovative financial products – exchange traded commodities (ETCs) and results of the analysis of the European market for ETCs. ETCs are products listed and traded on the stock exchanges and they offer investors returns based on various assets (commodities or currencies). In contrast with the most widely recognized exchange traded funds (ETFs), ETCs are structured as debt...
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Early warning models against bankruptcy risk for Central European and Latin American enterprises
PublicationThis article is devoted to the issue of forecasting the bankruptcy risk of enterprises in Latin America and Central Europe. The author has used statistical and soft computing methods to program the prediction models. It compares the effectiveness of twelve different early warningmodels for forecasting the bankruptcy risk of companies. In the research conducted, the author used data on 185 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange...
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Innovative investment funds and stability of financial systems: Nonparametric study of exchange-traded funds in Europe
PublicationThe main aim of the paper is investigation of the potential contribution of exchange-trade funds (ETFs) to the instability of the European financial systems. The paper begins with presentation of the key theoretical concepts with regard to ETFs and financial stability. We discuss the key attributes of ETFs as the innovative category of investment funds, their hypothesized impact on the financial stability as well as briefly describe...
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New technologies and diffusion of innovative financial products: Evidence on exchange-traded funds in selected emerging and developed economies
PublicationExchange-traded funds (ETFs) are one of the most rapidly-expanding categories of innovative financial products that have been introduced on many financial markets, in both emerging and developed economies. Our research contributes to the present state of knowledge by examining factors, including information and communication technologies (ICTs), influencing the diffusion of ETFs. In our research, we consider also the impact of...
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The main developments of the CSR initiatives in Poland
PublicationThis short paper outlines the most important documents and initiatives that have appeared in the subject throughout the years within the international institutions, such as United Nations or European Union. It also discusses the ways in which the international CSR initiatives are being incorporated into Polish legislative and organizational system, by providing an outline of the biggest and most active organizations and foundations...
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What drives sustainable investing? Adoption determinants of sustainable investing exchange-traded funds in Europe
PublicationDespite the growing interest in various topics related to sustainable (ESG) investing, some issues remain understudied, such as the determinants of their utilization at the macro level. This paper contributes to the state of knowledge two-directionally. First, it shows the development of sustainable investing exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in European countries. Second, it traces the significant determinants of adopting sustainable...
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The trajectories of the financial crisis of companies at risk of bankruptcy
PublicationThis article concerns the assessment of the trajectory of the collapse of enterprises in Central Europe. The author has developed a model of a Kohonen artificial neural network. This model was used to determine 6 different classes of risk and was allowed to graphically determine the 5- to 10-year trajectory of going bankrupt. The study used data on 140 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. This population was divided into...
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Intraday price reaction to filing bankruptcy and restructuring proceedings – the evidence from Poland
PublicationThis chapter presents the results of research on the price reaction of shares listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange to filing bankruptcy and/or restructuring applications. Event study was adopted as the research method, and it was performed at 10, 5, and 1-minute intervals. It was found that the reaction is rapid, as it takes 1–2 minutes after the information on bankruptcy and restructuring applications was made public. Significantly...
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The Emergence of ETFs in Asia-Pacific
PublicationThe major objective of this book is to contribute to the present state of knowledge by exploring empirical links between the processes of diffusion of financial innovations— exchange-traded funds—and growing deployment of ICT across Asia-Pacific countries, between 2004 and 2017. We examine the evolutionary patterns of ETFs on selected Asia-Pacific stock exchanges and verify the hypothesized relationship between increasing ICT penetration...
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Premie i dyskonta w wycenach przedsiębiorstw
PublicationGłównym celem artykułu jest ukazanie rodzajów i zasad stosowania korekt w wycenie przedsiębiorstw. Na podstawie literatury przedmiotu zaprezentowano wyniki badań dotyczące różnych koncepcji kalkulacji premii oraz dyskont, ich poziomów i czynników je kształtujących. Zaznaczono, iż podczas ich stosowania w wycenie spółki do każdego przypadku należy podchodzić indywidualnie i uwzględniać jego charakterystykę. W drugiej części opracowania...
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CSR – A FASHION OR REAL COMMITMENT? THE CASE OF POLISH LISTED COMPANIES
PublicationThis article, without claiming to be the ultimate reference, aims at assessing the social commitment of the large and solid financially, listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE), Polish companies, on the eve of the implementation of the EU directive on disclosure of non-financial and diversity information (2014/95/EU). The selected companies seem perfect to form a vanguard of CSR in Poland, but the results of the analysis indicate...
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Inwestycje w surowce w połączeniu z polskim rynkiem kapitałowym, analiza ryzyka i efektywności
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono główne kategorie i rodzaje inwestycji w surowce. Cel opracowania to zbadanie czy inwestycja w Warszawski Indeks Giełdowy stanowi główny składnik optymalnego tj. cechującego się minimalnym ryzykiem portfela inwestycyjnego. Ponadto ustalono czy wspomniana inwestycja tradycyjna stanowi najważniejszy element portfela inwestycyjnego odznaczającego się najwyższą efektywnością. Stwierdzono, że wszystkie z 29 analizowanych...
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Short-term Price Reaction to Involuntary Bankruptcies Filed in Bad Faith: Empirical Evidence from Poland
PublicationPurpose: Assessing the reaction of the prices of shares of companies listed in the Warsaw Stock Exchange to the public disclosure of information about the filing a bankruptcy petition in bad faith by creditors. Design/Methodology/Approach: Event study analysis. Findings: It can therefore be assumed that the filing of an unfounded bankruptcy petition does not, in the short term, have a statistically significant negative impact on...
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Reshaping financial systems: The role of ICT in the diffusion of financial innovations – Recent evidence from European countries
PublicationExchange-traded funds (ETFs) are among the fastest-growing types of innovative financial products. The emergence and spread of these instruments have been facilitated by the digital revolution. Information and communication technology (ICT) is profoundly reshaping the global economic landscape, laying solid foundations for unrestricted and unbounded flows of information and knowledge, eliminating information asymmetries, and furthering...
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Anna Rzeczycka dr hab.
PeopleAnna Rzeczycka is the deputy head of the Department of Finance at the Faculty of Economics and Management of the Gdańsk University of Technology. Publications are situated in the field of social sciences in the discipline of economics and finance. They include books, monographs, articles, publications and scientific editions of monographs and scientific journals. In terms of numbers, it includes the following items: 12 monographs...
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Real estate investment trusts in Turkey: Structure, analysis, and strategy
PublicationPurpose-Aim of this study is to make the determinations related to the problems mentioned in the REIT sector in Turkey, to offer a solution for this issue, and to ensure the classification in the sector by adhering to the financial data of the REITsMethodology-Financial data set of the REITs was firstly standardized by using median instead of mean. Then, the scoring was performed according to defined coefficients....
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Evaluation of the factors influencing business bankruptcy risk in Poland
PublicationThis article is devoted to the issue of assessing the causes of business failure. The presented studies answer two research questions – what are the causes of corporate bankruptcies in Poland and how to more efectively predict the scale of bankruptcies in the country. The author has conducted a study to analyze the specic endogenous and exogenous causes of company bankruptcy depending on the type of the bankruptcy with consideration...
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Inwestycja w złoto – bezpieczna przystań, zabezpieczenie czy źródło dywersyfikacji dla polskiego inwestora
PublicationW artykule scharakteryzowano pojęcie inwestycji zabezpieczającej, dywersyfikującej oraz inwestycji określanej jako bezpieczna przystań. Celem opracowania jest zbadanie, czy występują powiązania między stopami zwrotu osiąganymi na polskim rynku akcji a stopami zwrotu z inwestycji w złoto. W pracy zweryfikowano hipotezę: stopa zwrotu z inwestycji w złoto spełnia funkcję inwestycji zabezpieczającej w długim okresie w stosunku do inwestycji...
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Tworzenie wartości dla akcjonariuszy w świetle nadzoru korporacyjnego
PublicationDuży odsetek spółek publicznych w Polsce nie tworzy wartości dla akcjonariuszy. Zaprezento-wano wyniki badań dotyczących wpływu struktur własności na efektywność działania spółek pu-blicznych. Badania te nie były w stanie wyjaśnić w wystarczającym stopniu zjawiska destrukcji warto-ści. Starano się wykazać, że jedną z przyczyn tego zjawiska jest transfer wartości. Zalicza się go do głównych problemów nadzoru korporacyjnego. Szczególna...
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Corporate Governance and Ownership Structure in the Top 30 Listed Non Financial Companies in Poland
PublicationThis paper offers a first analysis of the relationships between corporate governance models and rules and ownership structure of the top 30 Polish firms listed at the WSE (not considering foreign firms and/or the Polish branches of foreign firms listed at the same stock exchange, nor the financial companies and the banks). The general picture depicted by this analysis is putting into evidence the increasing importance of institutional...
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Structure of the US investment company industry over the period 2000 to 2017: substitution analysis
PublicationOver the last years the investment company industry has undergone deep transformation in the majority of the most advanced economies, including the United States. Traditional investment companies, such as mutual funds, have lost their market share to innovative exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The main distinctive features of ETFs are listing and trading in their units on the stock exchanges as well as lower costs for investors. The...
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Europe, between Mandatory and Voluntary Approach to CSR: Some New Evidence from the Polish Listed Companies
PublicationThis paper aims to explore the relationship between corporate governance rules and application of CSR practices into operations of the top 30 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. Since in Poland, so far, there is no obligation to follow any specific CSR standards or to make disclosures of non-financial, social and environmental information, this is still a fully voluntary approach. At the moment, only some of the companies...