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Search results for: RISK-BASED SHIP DESIGN
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A framework to analyse the probability of accidental hull girder failure considering advanced corrosion degradation for risk-based ship design
PublicationShip’s hull girder failure could result from maritime accident that can cause human life loss, environmental disaster, and major economic impacts. In risk-based ship design paradigm, accounting for rare phenomena (e.g. ship-ship collision or grounding) is important to provide safe and durable structure. In-service corrosion-induced hull degradation should be considered at the design stage, as it can significantly affect structural...
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On a risk-based method for safety assessment of a ship in critical conditions at the preliminary design stage.
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono wybrane rezultaty badań na temat metody oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w warunkach krytycznych, na etapie projektu wstępnego. Podano główne założenia nowoczesnego podejścia do oceny bezpieczeństwa statków. Przedstawiono opis metody do projektowania statków dla bezpieczeństwa, w warunkach krytycznych. Opisano główne elementy modelu obliczeniowego. Podano wybrane wyniki obliczeń. Opisano propozycje dalszych badań.
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An analysis of domain-based ship collision risk parameters
PublicationAccording to a lot of contemporary research on ship collision avoidance the classic approach parameters – distance at closest point of approach (DCPA) and time to the closest point of approach (TCPA) – are not sufficient for estimating ship collision risk and for planning evasive manoeuvres. Consequently new measures are introduced, often utilizing the concept of a ship domain. Their drawback, up to this point, was the lack of...
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Ship Collision Risk Assessment Based on Collision Detection Algorithm
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A risk-based method for ship safety assessment at the preliminary designstage
PublicationPraca zawiera wyniki badań dotyczących opracowania metody do analizy bezpieczeństwa statku w warunkach krytycznych. Metoda oparta jest na podejściu systemowym do oceny bezpieczeństwa, formalnej ocenie bezpieczeństwa FSA i hydromechanice okrętu. Podano przykłady oceny ryzyka utraty statku w warunkach krytycznych.
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Towards an evidence-based probabilistic risk model for ship-grounding accidents
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On application of the Case-Based Reasoning methods in ship automation design
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono metodę wnioskowania na podstawie przypadków oraz dwa przykłady jej zastosowania w projektowaniu statków. Pierwszy przykład dotyczy systemu projektowania koncepcyjnego statku. Drugi przykład odnosi się do projektowania układów automatyki okrętowej. Omówiono szczegółowo problemy doboru funkcji podobieństwa w metodzie wnioskowania na podstawie przypadków.
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A ship domain-based model of collision risk for near-miss detection and Collision Alert Systems
PublicationThe paper presents a new model of ship collision risk, which utilises a ship domain concept and the related domain-based collision risk parameters. An encounter is here described by five variables representing: degree of domain violation (DDV), relative speed of the two vessels, combination of the vessels’ courses, arena violations and encounter complexity. As for the first three variables, their values can be directly computed...
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Usability of accident and incident reports for evidence-based risk modeling – A case study on ship grounding reports
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A decision-making module for aiding ship system automation design; A knowledge-based approach
PublicationZastosowanie elementów sztucznej inteligencji, w tym systemów z bazą wiedzy staje się coraz bardziej powszechne przy komputerowo wspomaganym projektowaniu. Proces projektowy związany jest z wieloma problemami decyzyjnymi, jak: wybór struktury podsystemu, podzespołów czy też elementów składowych. Z tego względu zdecydowano się opracować system z bazą wiedzy z modułem wspirającym proces podejmowania decyzji.W artykule przedstawiono...
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Safety assessment of ships in damaged conditions by the risk-based method. Assessment of damaged ship performance using the CFD modeling
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono aktualny stan badań w zakresie oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym. Przedstawiono wybrane elementy metody oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym opartej na analizie ryzyka. Przedstawiono istotę oceny zachowania się statku w stanie uszkodzonym i oceny ryzyka w proponowanej metodzie. Przedstawiono elementy modelowania zachowania się statku w stanie uszkodzonym przy użyciu metody numerycznej...
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A multi-level risk-based method for safety assessment of ships in critical conditions. Option for preliminary design
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono wybrane informacje na temat metody oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w warunkach krytycznych. Metoda umożliwia wielokryterialne i wieloparametryczne badanie bezpieczeństwa statków, w celu otrzymania wymaganego i optymalnego poziomu bezpieczeństwa. W metodzie wykorzystano podejście do projektowania oparte o ocenę osiągów statku i ocenę ryzyka. Istnieje możliwość dostosowania metody do oceny bezpieczeństwa statku...
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Quantitative risk assessment of new ship designs in damage conditions
PublicationThe paper is devoted to safety of ships in damage conditions. The novel contribution of the paper is connected with a new Multi-Task ship (MT-ship) design at the preliminary stage of design. There are a few problems at the preliminary stage that should be considered. One problem is connected with if the quantitative risk-based method is a reliable and formal method for safety assessment of such the new design (MT-ship) in damage...
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Modelling of some stealth features for a small navy ship at the concept design stage.
PublicationIn this paper the basic research problems associated with modelling the basic stealth features for a small navy ship at the concept design stage are introduced. Amongst the major stealth features considered are: the modification of the immersed ship hull form by a rapid change of the ship loading condition, and modification of the ship boundary layer by the hull skin cover. The other stealth features of the ship are not presented...
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Modelling of some stealth features for a small navy ship at the concept design stage - part II
PublicationIn the paper a few problems associated with modelling the basic stealth features for a small ship at the concept design stage are introduced. One problem concerns the modification of the immersed ship hull using the rapid change of the ship loading condition. The second is associated with the modification of the ship boundary layer by the hull skin cover. The other stealth features of the ship are not presented in this paper. The...
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Tools for an Extended Risk Assessment for Ropax Ship-Ship Collision
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A simplified method to assess the impact of ship-to-ship collision on the risk of tanker ship hull girder breaking accounting for the effect of ageing
PublicationOne of the most critical structural failures is the exceedance of the ship hull girder’s ultimate strength, which may result in hull breaking, and subsequent severe consequences, including loss of life and property as well as environmental damage in case of an oil spill. A cause for such loss of structural continuity can be triggered by a collision with another vessel. In addition, the ageing mechanisms of the hull structure could...
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Modeling the risk of ship grounding—a literature review from a risk management perspective
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Advanced Bayesian study on inland navigational risk of remotely controlled autonomous ship
PublicationThe arise of autonomous ships has necessitated the development of new risk assessment techniques and methods. This study proposes a new framework for navigational risk assessment of remotely controlled Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS). This framework establishes a set of risk influencing factors affecting safety of navigation of a remotely-controlled MASS. Next, model parameters are defined based on the risk factors, and...
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Supporting Navigator's Decisions By Visualizing Ship Collision Risk
PublicationW artykule wprowadzono metodę wizualizacji, która umożliwia nawigatorowi oszacowanie ryzyka kolizji i (w razie konieczności) wybór manewru antykolizyjnego. Metoda jest oparta na wcześniejszej metodzie CTPA, uwzględnia dowolną zadaną domenę statku i jest wystarczająco szybka do zastosowania w okrętowych systemach wspierania decyzji nawigatora.
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Risk of grounding by a ship passing a fairway - simulation method of navigational risk estimation in emergency situations
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A methodology for ultimate strength assessment of ship hull girder accounting for enhanced corrosion degradation modelling
PublicationThe presented work shows a methodology for the ultimate strength assessment of a ship hull, considering enhanced corrosion modelling. The approach is based on the classical Smith method. However, the recent findings regarding the impact of corrosion degradation on ultimate strength are incorporated. To this end, the stress–strain relationships for particular elements composing ship hull cross-section are modified using a specially...
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A risk-informed ship collision alert system: Framework and application
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A direct method for risk assessment when ship is in critical conditions
PublicationPrzedstawiono metodę oceny bezpieczeństwa statku w warunkach krytycznych. Zdefiniowano warunki krytyczne. Podano praktyczne sposoby oceny ryzyka przetrwania statku w warunkach krytycznych. Opisano bezpośrednią metodę oceny ryzyka w warunkach krytycznych. Podano przykłady oceny ryzyka.
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NUMERICAL ESTIMATION OF HULL HYDRODYNAMIC DERIVATIVES IN SHIP MANOUVERING PREDICTION
PublicationOperating in crowded waterways pose a risk of accidents and disasters due to maneuvering limitations of the ship. In order to predict ship’s maneuvering characteristics at the design stage, model tests are often executed as the most accurate prediction tool. Two approaches can be distinguished here: free running model tests and numerical simulations based on planar motion model with the use of hydrodynamic derivatives obtained...
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Towards a Framework of Operational-Risk Assessment for a Maritime Autonomous Surface Ship
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A quantitative approach for risk assessment of a ship stuck in ice in Arctic waters
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A unified measure of collision risk derived from the concept of a ship domain
PublicationW artykule zaprezentowano nową miarę ryzyka kolizji dwóch statków, wywiedzioną z koncepcji domeny statku. Jej prostota oraz fakt, że uwzględnia ona kursy obydwu statków czynią ją dobrą alternatywą dla często stosowanego pojęcia odległości największego zbliżenia. Miara ta jest elastyczna, tzn. można korzystać z niej w powiązaniu z dowolną, zadaną domeną statku. Szczegółowo przedstawiono wyprowadzenia wszystkich niezbędnych wzorów...
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A framework for risk analysis of maritime transportation systems: A case study for oil spill from tankers in a ship–ship collision
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A Method of Risk and Safety Assessment During the Ship Salvage Using the Hazard, Release and Consequence Analysis
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Problem of optimal load distribution between generators minimizing risk of enegretic ship system overload.
PublicationOmówiono system rozdziału mocy czynnych pomiędzy generatorami w systemie energetycznym statku. Minimalizuje się ryzyko przeciążeń systemu przy jednoczesnej minimalizacji kosztów wytwarzania energii w systemie.
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Assessment of safety of ships after the collision and during the ship salvage using the matrix type risk model and uncertainties
PublicationW pracy omówiono metody oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym w warunkach operacyjnych. Przedstawiono proponowana metodę oceny bezpieczeństwa statku w stanie uszkodzonym opartą na ocenie zachowania się statku i ocenie ryzyka. Opisano całościowy, macierzowy model ryzyka wypadku. Podano informacje na temat zastosowania proponowanej metody do oceny bezpieczeństwa uszkodzonego statku w czasie katastrofy na morzu.
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Priorities in the risk assessment and risk management during the ship accident at sea /Priorytety w ocenie ryzyka i zarządzaniu ryzykiem w czasie katastrofy statku na morzu
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A Framework of a Ship Domain-based Collision Alert System
PublicationThe paper presents a framework of a planned ship collision alert system. The envisaged system is compliant with IMO Resolution MSC.252 (83) “Adoption of the revised performance standards for Integrated Navigation Systems (INS)”. It is based on a ship domain-oriented approach to collision risk and introduces a policy of alerts on dangerous situations. The alerts will include cautions, warnings and alarms, which will be triggered...
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PODEJŚCIE WARIANTOWE WE WSTĘPNYM PROJEKTOWANIU STATKÓW Variant methods approach to the preliminary ship design.
PublicationKlasyczna metoda projektowania okrętów jest metodą iteracyjną, bazującą na zgromadzonym doświadczeniu ze statków już zbu-dowanych. Natomiast w przypadku statku całkowicie nowego typu, bez „posagu wcześniejszych doświadczeń”, projektowanie polega na opracowaniu szeregu równoległych, wariantowych rozwiązań z wykorzystaniem optymalizacji. Artykuł wskazuje wybrane metody projektowe wykorzystujące optymalizacje, używane we wstępnym...
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Towards the Development of a Risk Model for Unmanned Vessels Design and Operations
PublicationAn unmanned merchant vessel seems to be escaping from the stage of idea exploration. Once the concept proofs its safety, it may become a part of maritime reality. Although the safety aspect of such a ship has been addressed by a handful of scholars, the problem remains open. This is mainly due to lack of knowledge regarding actual operational circumstances and design of unmanned ships, which are yet to be developed. In the...
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A Framework of A Ship Domain-Based Near-Miss Detection Method Using Mamdani Neuro-Fuzzy Classification
PublicationSafety analysis of navigation over a given area may cover application of various risk measures for ship collisions. One of them is percentage of the so called near- miss situations (potential collision situations). In this article a method of automatic detection of such situations based on the data from Automatic Identification System (AIS), is proposed. The method utilizes input parameters such as: collision risk measure based...
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A framework for onboard assessment and monitoring of flooding risk due to open watertight doors for passenger ships
PublicationPost-accident safety of ships is governed by damage stability, affected by watertight subdivisions which limit accidental flooding. This is important for passenger ships with watertight doors (WTDs) often fitted in the bulkheads. Awareness of the ship flooding risk due to open WTDs and the conditions under which the associated risk level changes are prerequisites for proactive risk mitigation. Accident risk is often expressed as...
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An updated method identifying collision-prone locations for ships. A case study for oil tankers navigating in the Gulf of Finland
PublicationTo ensure the risk level associated with continuously increasing maritime traffic through particularly sensitive sea areas remains at acceptable level, a periodic risk assessment needs to be carried out by the relevant authorities. As a part of such assessment, allowing for proactive countermeasures to mitigate risk, the frequency of accidents is estimated along with the assessment of geographical locations where the accidents...
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A method of risk and safety assessment during the ship salvage using the hazard, release and consequence analysis = Metoda oceny ryzyka i bezpieczeństwa w czasie ratowania statku uszkodzonego przy użyciu analizy zagrożeń, uwolnień i konsekwencji wypadku
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono metody oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym proponowane przez IMO. Przedstawiono proponowaną metodę oceny bezpieczeństwa statku w stanie uszkodzonym. Opisano podstawowe elementy analizy ryzyka wraz z modelem ryzyka nieprzetrwania katastrofy przez statek.
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Towards an analysis framework for operational risk coupling mode: A case from MASS navigating in restricted waters
PublicationMaritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASSs) constitute highly interconnected and tightly coupled multistate systems. Incorporating the coupling effects of both interactions and dependencies is centrally important to ensure navigation safety of MASSs. This paper proposes a framework for examining the coupling effects in the operational modes (OM) of MASSs. Failure Modes (FMs) of MASSs related to interactions with the environment and...
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A risk comparison framework for autonomous ships navigation
PublicationMaritime autonomous surface ships (MASS) may operate in three predefined operational modes (OM): manual, remote, or autonomous control. Determining the appropriate OM for MASS is important for operators and competent authorities that monitor and regulate maritime traffic in given areas. However, a science-based approach to this respect is currently unavailable. To assist the selection of the proper OM, this study presents a risk-based...
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Risk criteria for sea-going ships arising from the operation of the main engines' crankshaft - conecting rod - piston systems
PublicationIn the article the risk criterion for sea-going ships arising from the operation of the main engines' crankshaft - connecting rod - piston systems is proposed. These criterion is based on the procedures recommended in the Formal Safety Assessment method developed under the auspices of International Maritime Organization (IMO). First of all the collective risk criterion for ship has been proposed. In the next step, the share of...
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Navigational decision support system during approach manoeuvre in emergency STS transfer operation
PublicationThe paper is concerned with the problem of safe trajectory planning for approaching during emergency STS (Ship to Ship) transfer operation with oil spill. The safe trajectory means that the way points does not cross in the area of the environment with the static and dynamic obstacles and at the same time satisfies ship's stopping and speed deceleration performance. The evolutionary path planning algorithm is used to determine trajectory...
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Modeling of event trees for the rapid scenario development
PublicationThe paper concerns the safety of ships in abnormal/damage conditions. Some conclusions following from the research associated with development of a method for safety assessment of ships in abnormal/damage conditions is presented in the paper. The method called SSAMADC (Ship Safety Assessment Method in Abnormal/Damage Conditions) is a risk-based method and is connected with application of the quantitative risk assessment QRA approach....
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Simulation Environment in Python for Ship Encounter Situations
PublicationTo assess the risk of collision in radar navigation distance-based safety measures such as Distance at the Closest Point of Approach and Time to the Closest Point of Approach are most commonly used. Also Bow Crossing Range and Bow Crossing Time measures are good complement to the picture of the meeting situation. When ship safety domain is considered then Degree of Domain Violation and Time to Domain Violation can be applied. This...
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Marine traffic risk modelling – an innovative approach and a case study
PublicationThis paper presents a model to analyse the risk of two common marine accidents: collision and grounding. Attention is focused on oil tankers since they pose the highest environmental risks. A case study in selected areas of the Gulf of Finland in ice-free conditions is presented. The model utilizes a formula for risk calculation that considers both the probability of an unwanted event and its consequences. The model can be decomposed...
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Instalacje fotowoltaiczne w budownictwie wielorodzinnym
PublicationArtykuł opisuje wpływ instalacji fotowoltaicznych na bezpieczeństwo eksploatacji budynków wielorodzinnych. W oparciu o projekty rzeczywistych obiektów przeprowadzono analizę zwiększenia ryzyka strat odgromowych, zmiany obciążenia konstrukcji dachu i wzrostu zagrożenia pożarowego na skutek montażu systemu fotowoltaicznego. Przeprowadzone obliczenia wskazują na konieczność kompleksowego podejścia do projektowania instalacji fotowoltaicznych....
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REVIEW OF WEATHER FORECAST SERVICES FOR SHIP ROUTING PURPOSES
PublicationWeather data is nowadays used in a variety of navigational and ocean engineering research problems: from the obvious ones like voyage planning and routing of sea-going vessels, through the analysis of stability-related phenomena, to detailed modelling of ships’ manoeuvrability for collision avoidance purposes. Apart from that, weather forecasts are essential for passenger cruises and fishing vessels that want to avoid the risk...
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A framework for risk matrix design: A case of MASS navigation risk
PublicationRisk matrix, a tool for visualizing risk assessment results, is essential to facilitate the risk communication and risk management in risk-based decision-making processes related to new and unexplored socio-technical systems. The use of an appropriate risk matrix is discussed in the literature, but it is overlooked for emerging technologies such as Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS). In this study, a comprehensive framework...