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Search results for: NUMERICAL WEATHER FORECAST
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Jan Kozicki dr hab. inż. arch.
PeopleIn year 2002 after obtaining master's degree in construction was employed on Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering. In 2004 obtained master's degree in architecture on Faculty of Architecture focusing on a research outpost on Mars. Defended PhD in year 2007 in the field of numerical modeling. In 2013 obtained Licentiate degree in theoretical physics on University of Gdańsk. In year 2014 obtained habilitation in technical...
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ADAPTIVE PREDICTIONS OF THE EURO/ZŁOTY CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATE USING STATE SPACE WAVELET NETWORKS AND FORECAST COMBINATIONS
PublicationThe paper considers the forecasting of the euro/Polish złoty (EUR/PLN) spot exchange rate by applying state space wavelet network and econometric forecast combination models. Both prediction methods are applied to produce one-trading-day- ahead forecasts of the EUR/PLN exchange rate. The paper presents the general state space wavelet network and forecast combination models as well as their underlying principles. The state space...
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Equilibrium price - modelling, forecast and application
PublicationNowoczesną gospodarkę charakteryzuje wzrastające znaczenie cen. Znajomość ogólnych zasad mechanizmu kształtującego ceny oraz analizy cen umożliwiają przedsiębiorstwom przewidzenie ceny równowagi i podjęcie przynoszącej zyski decyzji, zwłaszcza na rynku oligopolu homogenicznego, gdzie przedsiębiorcy muszą brać pod uwagę reakcję konkurencji. Przedstawiony w artykule, dynamiczny model ekonometryczny cen benzyny, na rynku paliw płynnych...
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Derecho Evolving from a Mesocyclone—A Study of 11 August 2017 Severe Weather Outbreak in Poland: Event Analysis and High-Resolution Simulation
PublicationThis study documents atmospheric conditions, development, and evolution of a severe weather outbreak that occurred on 11 August 2017 in Poland. The emphasis is on analyzing system morphology and highlighting the importance of a mesovortex in producing the most significant wind damages. A derecho-producing mesoscale convective system (MCS) had a remarkable intensity and was one of the most impactful convective storms in the history...
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ADOPTED ISOCHRONE METHOD IMPROVING SHIP SAFETY IN WEATHER ROUTING WITH EVOLUTIONARY APPROACH
PublicationThe paper is focused on adaptation of an isochrone method necessary for application to a weather routing system with evolutionary approach. Authors propose an adaptation of the isochrone method with area partitioning assuring that the route found by the adopted method would not cross land. In result, when applied to a weather routing system with evolutionary approach, this proposal facilitates creation of initial population, resulting...
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A new approach to design of weather disruption-tolerant wireless mesh networks
PublicationWireless Mesh Networks, offering transmission rates of 1–10 Gb/s per a millimeter-wave link (utilizing the 71–86 GHz band) seem to be a promising alternative to fiber optic backbone metropolitan area networks because of significantly lower costs of deployment and maintenance. However, despite providing high transmission rates in good weather conditions, high-frequency wireless links are very susceptible to weather disruptions....
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Ship weather routing featuring w-MOEA/D and uncertainty handling
PublicationThe paper presents a new version of evolutionary multi-objective weather routing (WR) for ships taking into account uncertainties of weather forecasts in route optimization. The method applies authors’ w-MOEA/D algorithm: MOEA/D framework incorporating Decision Maker’s (DM) preferences by means of w-dominance relation. Owing to this, DM preferences are taken into account throughout optimization, allowing the process to focus on...
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WEATHER AND FORECASTING
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Weather and Climate
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Prediction of consumer electricity needs based on Internet weather forecasts
PublicationElectrical energy is considered both as an important driver for producing and transporting goods in companies, as well as a good in itself which requires planning and management for generating and delivering it to consumers in proper time and amounts. Weather information can be considered to convey part of the data on energy delivery needs of consumers. Free meteorological data sources on the Web do not offer consistent data to...
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Numerical Methods
e-Learning CoursesNumerical Methods: for Electronics and Telecommunications students, Master's level, semester 1 Instructor: Michał Rewieński, Piotr Sypek Course description: This course provides an introduction to computational techniques for the simulation and modeling of a broad range of engineering and physical systems. Concepts and methods discussed are widely illustrated by various applications including modeling of integrated circuits,...
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COVID-19 severity forecast based on machine learning and complete blood count data
PublicationProper triage of COVID-19 patients is a key factor in eective case management, especially with limited and insucient resources. In this paper, we propose a machine-aided diagnostic system to predict how badly a patient with COVID-19 will develop disease. The prognosis of this type is based on the parameters of commonly used complete blood count tests, which makes it possible to obtain data from a wide range of patients.We chose...
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COVID-19 severity forecast based on machine learning and complete blood count data
PublicationProper triage of COVID-19 patients is a key factor in eective case management, especially with limited and insucient resources. In this paper, we propose a machine-aided diagnostic system to predict how badly a patient with COVID-19 will develop disease. The prognosis of this type is based on the parameters of commonly used complete blood count tests, which makes it possible to obtain data from a wide range of patients.We chose...
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Determining and visualizing safe motion parameters of a ship navigating in severe weather conditions
PublicationThe paper presents a method of determining, organizing and displaying ship collision avoidance information, which is based on the Collision Threat Parameters Area (CTPA) technique. The method makes it possible to visualize navigational threats as well as possible collision avoidance manoeuvres. The solution is focused on supporting navigation in severe weather conditions. Normally collision avoidance decisions are made taking into...
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The point forecast of the situation of the examined company on the market
PublicationOkreślono sytuację badanego przedsiębiorstwa na rynku za pomocą analizy portfolio, w aspektach wzrostu rynku oraz względnego udziału badanego przedsiębiorstwa w rynku. Analiza objęła zarówno okres retrospektywny jak i prognozowany.
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Evaluation and application of data from road weather stations for winter maintenance management
PublicationThe paper presents the analysis of road weather data from meteorological stations located at the Polish national roads of Pomerania District during the impact of winter conditions. Presented issue is particularly important from the point of view the problem of winter maintenance and especially for prediction and assurance of quality of asphalt pavement surface ie. resistance to low temperature cracking or risk of glazed frost....
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Weather Routing System Architecture Using Onboard Data Collection and Route Optimisation
PublicationThis paper describes the architecture of a weather routing system consisting of two key elements: onboard monitoring and route optimiser sub-systems. The former is responsible for collecting various onboard measurements, such as current ship position or ship motion variables. These data, when gathered and processed, are then used for fine-tuning a ship model. The model, together with weather forecasts, is utilised by a multi-objective...
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Preference-based evolutionary multi-objective optimization in ship weather routing
PublicationIn evolutionary multi-objective optimization (EMO) the aim is to find a set of Pareto-optimal solutions. Such approach may be applied to multiple real-life problems, including weather routing (WR) of ships. The route should be optimal in terms of passage time, fuel consumption and safety of crew and cargo while taking into account dynamically changing weather conditions. Additionally it must not violate any navigational constraints...
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Numerical Modeling of Hydrosystems 2024/2025
e-Learning CoursesKurs do przedmiotu NUMERICAL MODELING OF HYDROSYSTEMS Specjalność: Environmental Engineering (WILiŚ), II stopnia, stacjonarne dr hab. inż. Michał Szydłowski, prof. PG
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Numerical Modeling of Hydrosystems 2024/2025
e-Learning CoursesKurs do przedmiotu NUMERICAL MODELING OF HYDROSYSTEMS Specjalność: Environmental Engineering (WILiŚ), II stopnia, stacjonarne dr hab. inż. Michał Szydłowski, prof. PG
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Numerical Modeling of Hydrosystems 2023/2024
e-Learning CoursesKurs do przedmiotu NUMERICAL MODELING OF HYDROSYSTEMS Specjalność: Environmental Engineering (WILiŚ), II stopnia, stacjonarne dr hab. inż. Michał Szydłowski, prof. PG
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Reliability of quality forecast for hybrid metal-working machinery
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Ship weather routing optimization with dynamic constraints based on reliable synchronous roll prediction
PublicationShip routing process taking into account weather conditions is a constrained multi-objective optimization problem and it should consider various optimization criteria and constraints. Formulation of a stability-related, dynamic route optimization constraint is presented in this paper. One of the key objectives of a cross ocean sailing is finding a compromise between ship safety and economics of operation. This compromise should...
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Numerical methods in heat and fluid flow, PG_00057408
e-Learning CoursesReiteration of information on thermodynamic cycles and extension of information on their modelling using commercial software tools. Presentation of balances, constitutive equations, how to set up conditions in CFD type codes. Equipment regulation and control in the context of heat exchangers.Presentation of the computational capabilities of the CFD calculation code ANSYS Fluent. Mass, momentum and energy balances in 0D and 3D terms.Analysis...
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Numerical Modeling of Hydrosystems 2022/2023 (summer)
e-Learning CoursesKurs do przedmiotu NUMERICAL MODELING OF HYDROSYSTEMS Specjalność: Environmental Engineering (WILiŚ), II stopnia, stacjonarne dr hab. inż. Michał Szydłowski, prof. PG
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Numerical Modeling of Hydrosystems 2022/2023 (winter)
e-Learning CoursesKurs do przedmiotu NUMERICAL MODELING OF HYDROSYSTEMS Specjalność: Environmental Engineering (WILiŚ), II stopnia, stacjonarne dr hab. inż. Michał Szydłowski, prof. PG
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Weather and Climate Extremes
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Weather and Climate Dynamics
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ESAIM: Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Analysis
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Numerical Methods for Partial Differential Equations
e-Learning CoursesCourse description: This course focuses on modern numerical techniques for linear and nonlinear elliptic, parabolic and hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs), and integral equations fundamental to a large variety of applications in science and engineering. Topics include: formulations of problems in terms of initial and boundary value problems; finite difference and finite element discretizations; boundary element approach;...
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EVOLUTIONARY MULTI–OBJECTIVE WEATHER ROUTING OF SAILBOATS
PublicationThe paper presents a multi-objective method, which optimises the route of a sailboat. The presented method makes use of an evolutionary multi-objective (EMO) algorithm, which performs the optimisation according to three objective functions: total passage time, a sum of all course alterations made during the voyage and the average angle of heel. The last two of the objective functions reflect the navigator’s and passenger’s comfort,...
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Extreme weather layer method for implementation of nature-based solutions for climate adaptation: Case study Słupsk
PublicationOne of the most severe climate risks that is expected to affect all regions is related to stormwater. Climate models, constructed based on long-term trends, show that extreme weather events such as storms, cloudbursts and a large rise in sea level will be significant in the coming decades. Moreover, even the frequency and intensity of “normal” rainfall events, such as microbursts, are expected to be remarkably higher than today...
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NUMERICAL ALGORITHMS
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Combined numerical and experimental approach to determine numerical model of abdominal scaffold
PublicationA proper junction of the prosthesis and the abdominal wall is important in successful hernia repair. The number of tacks should be balanced to assure appropriate mesh fixation and not to induce post-operative pain. Numerical simulations help to find this balance. The study is aimed at creating a proper numerical model of a knitted surgical mesh subjected to boundary conditions and load occurring in the abdominal cavity. Continuous,...
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Design of Weather Disruption-Tolerant Wireless Mesh Networks
PublicationZ uwagi na wysoki koszt realizacji sieci teleinformatycznych wykorzystujących przewodową transmisję światłowodową, bezprzewodowe sieci kratowe (WMN) oferujące transmisję rzędu 1-10 Gb/s (przy wykorzystaniu pasma millimeter-wave - 71-86 GHz), wydają się być obiecującą alternatywą dla przewodowych sieci MAN. Jednakże z uwagi na właściwości transmisji bezprzewodowej w oparciu o łącza wysokiej częstotliwości, łącza te są bardzo wrażliwe...
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Introduction to Numerical Simulation
e-Learning CoursesCourse description: This interdisciplinary course provides an introduction to computational techniques for the simulation of a broad range of engineering and physical systems. Concepts and methods discussed are widely illustrated by applications drawn from electrical, mechanical, and chemical engineering. Topics include: mathematical formulations of simulation problems; sparse direct and iterative linear system solution techniques,...
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Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation
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Numerical Model of Femur Part
PublicationThe aim of the study is to create a new more accurate method of femur part modelling by using the finite element method. According to this new method, a femur part is treated as a complex structure composed of trabecular bone (internal part) and cortical bone (external part). The internal part is modelled as a scaffold, thus the external part is modelled as a coat (i.e. covering). Applying the programme ABAQUS, there were created...
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Effect of Active Mining Impact On Properties with Engineering Structures – Forecast and Final Result Discrepancies
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[IMe] Advanced numerical methods in mechanics
e-Learning Courses{mlang pl} Dyscyplina: inżynieria mechaniczna Zajęcia obowiązkowe dla doktorantów I i II roku Prowadzący: dr hab. inż. Krzysztof Tesch, prof. PG, dr hab. inż. Arkadiusz Żak, prof. PG Liczba godzin: 45 Forma zajęć: wykład {mlang} {mlang en} Discipline: mechanical engineering Obligatory course for 1st and 2nd-year PhD students Academic teachers: dr hab. inż. Krzysztof Tesch, prof. PG, dr hab. inż. Arkadiusz Żak, prof....
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Protecting Wireless Mesh Networks Against Adverse Weather Conditions
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Weather aging effects on modified asphalt with rubber-polyethylene composites
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Multi-objective weather routing of sailboats considering wave resistance
PublicationThe article presents a method to determine the route of a sailing vessel with the aid of deterministic algorithms. The method assumes that the area in which the route is to be determined is limited and the basic input data comprise the wind vector and the speed characteristic of the vessel. Compared to previous works of the authors, the present article additionally takes into account the effect of sea waves with the resultant resistance...
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Economic and Social Changes-Facts Trends Forecast
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Numerical and experimental propeller noise investigations
PublicationThe standard propeller has been investigated in model scale, using medium size cavitation tunnel. The hydroacoustic characteristics of propellers under different loading conditions have been investigated. Additionally the presented experimental results have been used for the verification of applied numerical approach. During both numerical and experimental analyses non-uniform inflow propeller’s conditions have been adapted. Good...
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[ILiT, IŚGiE] Numerical Methods
e-Learning Courses{mlang pl} Dyscyplina: inżynieria lądowa i transport; inżynieria środowiska, górnictwo i energetyka Zajęcia obowiązkowe dla doktorantów I i II roku Prowadzący: prof. dr hab. inż. Paweł Kłosowski Liczba godzin: 30 Forma zajęć: wykład/laboratoria {mlang} {mlang en} Discipline: civil engineering and transport; environmental engineering, mining and power engineering Obligatory course for 1st and 2nd-year PhD students Academic...
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Numerical Methods - Data Engineering
e-Learning Coursesstudia inżynierskie, informatyka i inżynieria danych
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Numerical Methods 2023/2024
e-Learning CoursesJest to pomocnicza formatka do tworzenia kursów wspomagających nauczanie stacjonarne na WILiŚ. Formatka została utworzona i udostępniona przez CNE. Uwaga: W celu wykorzystania i modyfikacji należy: 1) skopiować kurs wzorcowy 2) dopiero w kopii nanosić zmiany.
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INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL FOR NUMERICAL AND ANALYTICAL METHODS IN GEOMECHANICS
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Effect of Forecast Climate Changes on Water Needs of Giant Miscanthus Cultivated in the Kuyavia Region in Poland
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