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FORECASTING EXCHANGE RATES IN THE PROCESS OF THE ASSESSMENT OF CONSUMER RISK BANKRUPTCY IN CENTRAL EUROPE
PublikacjaThis paper focuses on the issue of forecasting the fluctuation of exchange rates as part of the early warning system against the risk of consumer bankruptcy. The author identified the main macroeconomic factors affecting the level of bankruptcies for households in Poland. The fluctuation of exchange rates, which directly affects the deterioration of the economic situation of borrowers who have opened credit accounts in a foreign...
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Analysis and Risk Evaluation on the Case of Alteration, Revitalization and Conversion of a Historic Building in Gdańsk
PublikacjaEach investment plan, including the one concerning a building, is exposed to the consequences of various types of threats taking place. Therefore, in the case of some large-scale, atypical and complicated building ventures, some actions included in the procedure of risk management should be taken. This will allow for the risk to be eliminated or limited. While preparing a building venture, an investor does not possess full information...
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Expert systems in assessing the construction process safety taking account of the risk of disturbances
PublikacjaThe objective of the paper is to present the issue of safety manage-ment during the construction process. Threats in the form of disturb-ances may occur in the preparatory phase, during the execution of the construction project and also during its operational use. The arti-cle presents the concept of applying the methodology based, among others, on Learning Bayesian Networks, Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Machine,...
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Preeclampsia Risk Prediction Using Machine Learning Methods Trained on Synthetic Data
PublikacjaThis paper describes a research study that investigates the use of machine learning algorithms on synthetic data to classify the risk of developing preeclampsia by pregnant women. Synthetic datasets were generated based on parameter distributions from three real patient studies. Four models were compared: XGBoost, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, and Explainable Boosting Machines (EBM). The study found that the XGBoost...
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Corporate social responsibility and forward default risk under firm and industry heterogeneity
PublikacjaObjective: This study aims to evaluate the impact of corporate social responsibility on forward default risk (FDR) under the setting of firm and industry heterogeneity. Research Design & Methods: This study evaluated the impact of corporate social responsibility (CSR) on FDR using the data of 497 companies from 2007-2021 in the S&P 500 index, taking into account firm and industry heterogeneity aspects. This study utilized instrumental...
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Risk Diagnosis and Management with BBN for Civil Engineering Projects during Construction and Operation
PublikacjaThe authors demonstrate how expert knowledge about the construction and operation phases combined with monitoring data can be utilized for the diagnosis and management of risks typical to large civil engineering projects. The methodology chosen for estimating the probabilities of risk elements is known as Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN). Using a BBN model one can keep on updating the risk event probabilities as the new evidence...
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Classification of Urban Regeneration Participants as a Basis for Identification of Construction Investment's Risk Sources
PublikacjaOn the basis of the conducted research it can be concluded that the majority of the existing urban regeneration problems are revealed by the lack of an in-depth analysis of sources and risk factors. For the above reasons, the subject of this study is classification of urban regeneration's participants as a basis for identification of construction investment's risk sources. The research methodology is based on an in-depth analysis...
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Risk of power cables insulation failure due to the thermal effect of solar radiation
PublikacjaLow-voltage, as well as high-voltage power cable lines, are usually buried in the ground. The ampacity of the power cables in the ground mainly depends on the thermal resistivity of the soil, which may vary in a wide range. A common practice in power cable systems performance is to supply them from a pole of an overhead line. If so, a section of the line is located in free air and can be directly exposed to solar radiation. In...
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Building Information Modelling as an opportunity and risk for stakeholders involved in construction investment process
PublikacjaThe requirements to apply Building Information Modelling (BIM) in public investments worldwide are currently very high. Significant interest (sometimes formulated also as a requirement) in BIM technology can be observed also among private investors. Design technology that applies BIM is supported by many private investors due to its numerous advantages. A growing group of construction designers (steel, concrete and reinforced concrete...
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Prognostic and diagnostic capabilities of OOBN in assessing investment risk of complex construction projects
PublikacjaModelling decision problems using Bayesian networks is extremely valuable especially in case of issues related to uncertainty; it is also very helpful in constructing and understanding visual representation of the elements and their relations. This approach facilitates subsequent application of Bayesian networks, however there can be situations where using simple Bayesian networks is impractical or even ineffective. The aim of...
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A model for performance assessment of damaged ships when usig the risk-based method
PublikacjaArtykuł prezentuje elementy badań związanych z rozwojem metody i modelu do oceny bezpieczeństwa statków i obiektów oceanotechnicznych w stanie uszkodzonym. Przedsawiono podejście do oceny bezpieczeństwa statków i obiektów oceanotechnicznych,składające się z dwóch części: oceny zachowania się obiektów oraz oceny ryzyka. Głównym problemem zaprezentowanym w arytkule jest ocena ocena zachowania się statków i obiektów oceanotechnicznych...
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The risk assessment of adverse events of nursing activities as the element of quality management in healhcare
PublikacjaThe purpose of the paper is to present MedCARVER+Shock method and Pareto analysis and its usability for the risk assessment of adverse events of nursing activities. 888 activities carried out by all 190 nurses working at the District Hospital X located in Poland were taken into account. During the research the qualitative approach was used. As the result sixteen groups of nursing activities causing the highest risk of adverse events...
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Advanced Bayesian study on inland navigational risk of remotely controlled autonomous ship
PublikacjaThe arise of autonomous ships has necessitated the development of new risk assessment techniques and methods. This study proposes a new framework for navigational risk assessment of remotely controlled Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS). This framework establishes a set of risk influencing factors affecting safety of navigation of a remotely-controlled MASS. Next, model parameters are defined based on the risk factors, and...
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A multi-level risk-based method for safety assessment of ships in critical conditions.
PublikacjaW pracy przedstawiono podstawowe informacje na temat badań dla bezpieczeństwa statków w warunkach krytycznych. Opisano nowoczesne podejście do oceny bezpieczeństwa statków. Przedstawiono podstawowe elementy metody oceny bezpieczenstwa statków w warunkach krytycznych oraz elementy modelu obliczeniowego. Przedstawiono także elementy metody bezpośredniej oceny stateczności i stateczności awaryjnej statków. Podano kilka przykładów...
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Risk characterisation of the required index R in the new probabilistic rules for damage stability
PublikacjaWymagany wskaźnik podziału grodziowego R jest miarą bezpieczeństwa statku w wypadku kolizji. Zwykle wyznacza się go w oparciu o wskaźniki dla wybranych, istniejących statków. W pracy podano jak ustalić ten wskaźnik w oparciu o dane dotyczące kolizji (wypadkowości) statków.
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Antihypertensive therapy and cancer risks?
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Cardiovascular risks in HIV patients
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Knowledge risks - towards a taxonomy
PublikacjaThe paper aims to identify, describe and analyse knowledge risks organisations might face and based on this, proposes a taxonomy of knowledge risks. To achieve this goal, a literature review was conducted. After the analysis of the existing material, it was possible to divide knowledge risks into two categories: internal (originating from the inside of the organisation) and external (originating from the outside of the organisation)....
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Knowledge Risks in the Sharing Economy
PublikacjaThis chapter presents a theoretical analysis of potential risks connected with knowledge that organizations operating in the sharing economy might potentially face. Nowadays, it can be stated that an increasing amount of individuals and organizations participate in sharing and exchanging data, information, and knowledge, as well as physical goods and services (Botsman & Rogers, 2011). The development of the sharing economy has...
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The role of purpose in life and social support in reducing the risk of workaholism among women in Poland
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Forms of mercury in the Baltic mussel (Mytilus trossulus): Human and ecosystem health risk assessment
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The role of purpose in life and social support in reducing the risk of workaholism among women in Poland
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Invasive giant hogweeds in Poland: Risk of burns among forestry workers and plant distribution
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Unmanned Aircraft Systems Risk Assessment Based on SORA for First Responders and Disaster Management
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Influence of the frequency of consumption of foodstuffs on the risk of overweight and obesity in a group of post-menopausal women
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ERAP1 and HLA-C*06 are strongly associated with the risk of psoriasis in the population of northern Poland
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TGF-β gene polimorphisms as risk factors for asthma control among clinic patients
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TGF-β gene polimorphisms as risk factors for asthma control among clinic patients.
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TGF-β gene polimorphisms as risk factors for asthma control among clinic patients.
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Environmental Factors and the Risk of Developing Type 1 Diabetes—Old Disease and New Data
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7-Score Function for Assessing the Strength of Association Rules Applied for Construction Risk Quantifying
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The association analysis for risk evaluation of significant delay occurrence in the completion date of construction project
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Potential threat to Polish lakes and reservoirs from contamination by objects of environmental flood risk
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Strategic risk measures in road traffic = Miary ryzyka strategicznego w ruchu drogowym
PublikacjaRyzyko strategiczne jest ryzykiem długookresowym, związanym z podejmowaniem decyzji długofalowych, przez instytucje zarządzające bezpieczeństwem ruchu drogowego na analizowanym obszarze. Ryzyko strategiczne na sieci dróg wybranego kraju jest niepewnością dotyczącą realizacji celu strategicznego, jakim jest ochrona życia i zdrowia uczestników ruchu drogowego. Istotnymi problemami w szacowaniu ryzyka w inżynierii ruchu drogowego...
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Spatial analysis of Critical Infrastructure risk assessment results using a Web-based GIS
PublikacjaArtykuł prezentuje Sieciowy System Informacji Przestrzennej dla Szacowania i Wizualizacji Infrastruktur Krytycznych i ich Zagrożeń, stworzony dla Urzędu Miejskiego w Gdańsku przez Politechnikę Gdańską. System ten jest przeznaczony do przetwarzania przestrzennego i mapowania wyników różnych analiz Infrastruktur Krytycznych, zaś CARVER2 pełni w nim rolę głównego ''sensora''.
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Free surface flow modeling in numerical estimation of flood risk zones: a case study
PublikacjaNa przykładzie doliny Wisły w Warszawie przedstawiono metodę wyznaczenia stref zagrożenia powodziowego. Symulowana numerycznie powódź wywołana została potencjalnym przerwaniem obwałowania rzeki w okolicach Saskiej Kępy. Do obliczeń zastosowano opracowany w Katedrze Hydrotechniki Wydziału Inżynierii Lądowej i Środowiska Politechniki Gdańskiej model dwuwymiarowego, płaskiego przepływu wody ze swobodną powierzchnią.
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Application of FMEA analysis for assessing reliability and risk in biogas-fueled engines operation process
PublikacjaW pracy zamieszczono propozycję wykorzystania analizy FMEA (ang. Failure mode and effects analysis) - analizy rodzajów i skutków możliwych błędów występujących w instalacjach przemysłowych z silnikami spalinowymi. Obserwowany w ostatnich latach rozwój energetyki rozproszonej, opartej na tłokowych silnikach spalinowych jest wynikiem m.in. prowadzonej polityki rozwoju wykorzystania odnawialnych źródeł energii (OŹE) związanej z zagospodarowaniem...
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Laser scanning as a source of information in the analysis of the facades of heritage at risk – the mansion in Kliczewo Male
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Developmental selenium exposure and health risk in daily foodstuffs: A systematic review and meta-analysis
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Risk-averse decision-making to maintain supply chain viability under propagated disruptions
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SCORE model underestimates cardiovascular risk in hypertensive patients: Results of the Polish Hypertension Registry
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Early warning models against bankruptcy risk for Central European and Latin American enterprises
PublikacjaThis article is devoted to the issue of forecasting the bankruptcy risk of enterprises in Latin America and Central Europe. The author has used statistical and soft computing methods to program the prediction models. It compares the effectiveness of twelve different early warningmodels for forecasting the bankruptcy risk of companies. In the research conducted, the author used data on 185 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange...
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Health Risk Assessment of Exposure to Nitrates in Drinking Water Depending on the Source of Its Origin
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Cadmium in edible plants from Silesia, Poland, and its implications for health risk in populations
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Neovagina creation methods in Müllerian anomalies and risk of malignancy: insights from a systematic review
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Estimation of the environmental risk posed by landfills using chemical, microbiological and ecotoxicological testing of leachates
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Ischemic stroke in general practice - risk factors, prognosis - prospective single center study
PublikacjaBackground. Ischemic stroke is one of the leading causes of death and disability in Poland, in the European Union and in the United States. Awareness related to the risk factors, particularly the modifiable ones, is of crucial importance in general practice and may improve early and long-term prognoses. Objectives. The aim of this study was to assess the risk factors and half-year survival rate in patients with ischemic stroke...
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Heavy Metals in Sediments of Urban Streams: Contamination and Health Risk Assessment of Influencing Factors
PublikacjaSediments of two urban streams in northern Poland outflowing to the Baltic Sea were assessed to explain the spatial variation in relation to urbanization level of the catchment, the role of retention tanks (RTs) and identification of pollution level. During the 3 month period of investigation sediment samples were collected from the inflow (IN) and outflow (OUT) of six RTs located on streams for flood protection. Six heavy metals...
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Risk analysis and functional safety management = Analiza ryzyka i zarządzanie bezpieczeństwem funkcjonalnym
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Merton-type default risk and financial performance: the dynamic panel moderation of firm size
PublikacjaPurpose – The main purpose of this study is to evaluate the probability of default and examine the relationship between default risk and financial performance, with dynamic panel moderation of firm size. Design/methodology/approach – This study utilizes a total of 1,500 firm-year observations from 2013 to 2018 using dynamic panel data approach of generalized method of moments to test the relationship between default risk and financial...