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Search results for: UNCERTAINTY BUDGET
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Fuzzy decision support system for the control of budget and schedule in SPM
PublicationObiektem rozważań jest komputerowy system wspierania decyzji kierowniczych w zakresie zarządzania budżetem i harmonogramem przy realizacji projektów informatycznych. Omawiany system opary jest na dynamicznych modelach rozmytych podlegających bieżącemu dostrajaniu na podstawie danych z obserwacji zarządzanego procesu. Wstępny projekt modeli rozmytych oparty został na danych zarządczych pochodzących z realizacji dwu projektów informatycznych....
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Assessing ecotoxicity and the endocrine potential of selected phthalates, BADGE and BFDGE derivatives in relation to environmentally detectable levels
PublicationThere is no doubt that the subject area of plasticmaterials (e.g., production of epoxy resins or polyesters) is inherently connected to issues concerning bisphenol A (BPA) and its analogues. Unfortunately, much less attention has been given to other compounds, which are also used for the production of these materials. Bisphenol A diglycidyl ether (BADGE) is a synthetic industrial compound obtained by a condensation reaction between...
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Daily Radiation Budget of the Baltic Sea Surface from Satellite Data
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Transparency of information contained in the state budget from the view of utility for the citizen
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Uncertainty in emotion recognition
PublicationPurpose–The purpose of this paper is to explore uncertainty inherent in emotion recognition technologiesand the consequences resulting from that phenomenon.Design/methodology/approach–The paper is a general overview of the concept; however, it is basedon a meta-analysis of multiple experimental and observational studies performed over the past couple of years.Findings–The mainfinding of the paper might be summarized as follows:...
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JOURNAL OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY
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Collective Uncertainty Entanglement Test
PublicationFor a given pure state of a composite quantum system we analyze the product of its projections onto aset of locally orthogonal separable pure states. We derive a bound for this product analogous to theentropic uncertainty relations. For bipartite systems the bound is saturated for maximally entangled statesand it allows us to construct a family of entanglement measures, we shall call collectibility. As thesequantities are experimentally...
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Radar time budget optimization subject to angle accuracy constraint via cognitive approach
PublicationThe problem of minimizing dwell time in multifunction phased array radar is considered. Target of interest is assumed to fluctuate according to a generalization of Swerling family and the parameters of fluctuation model are assumed to be known. The a'priori position of the target is uncertain. Optimization, whose variables include pulse count and array transmit beampattern, is carried out subject to achieving a desired accuracy...
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Twitter-Based uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns
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International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification
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Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk
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Impact of probability distribution on the uncertainty of resistance measurement
PublicationThe paper presents studies on the influence of probability distributions on the expanded uncertainty of the resistance measurement. Choosing the correct probability distribution is very important to estimate of measurement uncertainty. The paper presents the results of analysis of the resistance measurement uncertainty using the technical method of resistance: 100 G. The analysis of the uncertainty...
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Modelling and uncertainty in system analysis for safety assessment.
PublicationArtykuł obejmuje zagadnienia związane z modelowaniem i reprezentacją niepewności i ilościowych oszacowaniach ryzyka. Problem jest istotny w praktyce, ponieważ wystęopujhą wymagania przeprowadzenia ocen niepewności miar probabilistycznych i ryzyka. Dyskutuje się potencjalne żródła niepewności i dokonuje sie przeglądu podstaw teoretycznych reprezentacji niepewności. W modelowaniu systemów zawierających nieprecyzyjnie zdefiniowane...
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Uncertainty in measuring noise parameters of a communication receiver
PublicationPrzedstawiono sposób pomiarów mocy dźwięku generowanego przez silnik sytemu napędowego z przemiennikiem częstotliwości. Wyprowadzono wyrażenie na niepewność wyznaczania mocy dźwięku emitowanego przez silnik, przy użyciu pomiarów poziomu dźwięku. Niepewność wyników pomiarów była szacowana w oparciu o metodę typu B. Przedstawiono wyniki badań laboratoryjnych i analizy wybranych składników niepewności dla układu napędowego z silnikiem...
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Investigations of operational driving loads of bucket chains and manoeuvre hoisting winches on multi-bucket dredgers
PublicationArtykuł dotyczy zagadnień wstępnego projektowania siłowni pogłębiarek wieloczerpakowych. Niniejszy artykuł przedstawia wyniki badań eksploatacyjnych sześciu pogłębiarek wieloczerpakowych. Badania eksploatacyjne obejmowały pomiary parametrów charakteryzujących warunki pracy dwóch podstawowych głównych odbiorników energii mechanicznej na pogłębiarkach wieloczerpakowych a mianowicie łańcuchów czerpakowych i zespołu wciągarek manewrowych....
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Model Management for Low-Computational-Budget Simulation-Based Optimization of Antenna Structures Using Nature-Inspired Algorithms
PublicationThe primary objective of this study is investigation of the possibilities of accelerating nature-inspired optimization of antenna structures using multi-fidelity EM simulation models. The primary methodology developed to achieve acceleration is a model management scheme which the level of EM simulation fidelity using two criteria: the convergence status of the optimization algorithm, and relative quality of the individual designs...
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Ultrasound assisted solvent extraction of porous membrane-packed samples followed by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry for determination of BADGE, BFDGE and their derivatives in packed vegetables
PublicationThe problem of the presence of trace organic pollutants in food is of growing importance due to increasing awareness about their impact on newborns, infants and adults of reproductive age. Despite the fact that packaged food products offer many advantages, packaging can be a source of contamination for stored food. Thus, monitoring such pollution in food is of high importance. In this work, a novel methodology based on the solvent...
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Frameworks for uncertainly representation in risk assessments
PublicationArtykuł dotyczy wybranych zagadnień związanych z niepewnością w ilościowych obliczeniach analizy ryzyka. Problem ten stał się bardzo istotny, ponieważ wystąpiły wymagania w określaniu niepewności w procedurach obliczeń ryzyka.Dyskutuje się potencjalne źródła niepewności oraz dokonuje przeglądu teoretycznych ram do modelowania niepewności. Dla złożonych systemów ryzyka proponuje się obliczenia przedziałowo (rozmyto) probabilistyczne,...
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Observing uncertainty in music tagging by automatic gaze tracking
PublicationIn this paper, a new approach to observe music file tagging process by employing a gaze tracking system is proposed. The study was conducted with the participation of twenty subjects having different musical experience. For the purpose of the experiments a website survey based on a musical database was prepared. It allowed to gather information about music experience of subjects along with music characteristics such as genre, tempo,...
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Uncertainty assessment in the safety and security oriented risk analyses
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono uwzględnienie oceny niepewności w procesie związanym z analizą ryzyka i analizą bezpieczeństwa oraz ochroną informacji. Przedstawiona została koncepcja oceny bezpieczeństwa i zarządzania ryzykiem z uwzględnieniem analizy warstw zabezpieczeń LOPA. W artykule nakreślono wyzwania związane z integracją podejścia oceny bezpieczeństwa (safety) i ochrony informacji (security) w projektowaniu systemów zabezpieczeń...
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Estimating uncertainty in analytical procedures based on chromatographic techniques
PublicationTechniki chromatograficzne są bardzo często wykorzystywane w procedurach analitycznych na etapie rozdzielania i oznaczania oraz identyfikacji szerokiego spektrum analitów występujących w próbkach charakteryzujących się złożonym a niekiedy także zmiennym matryce. Bardzo często są jednak sytuacje, że przy oszacowywaniu niepewności wyników oznaczeń końcowych pomija się niepewności związane z procesem chromatograficznym. W efekcie...
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Uncertainty analysis of measuring system for instantaneous power research
PublicationThe paper presents a metrological analysis of the measurement system used for diagnosis of induction motor bearings, based on the analysis of the instantaneous power. This system was implemented as a set of devices with dedicated software installed on a PC. A number of measurements for uncertainty estimation was carried out. The results of the measurements are presented in the paper. The results of the aforementioned analysis helped...
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Estimation of the uncertainty of the AC/AC transducer output voltage
PublicationThe paper presents a methodology for estimating uncertainty of voltage transducers processing function, on the example of CYVS411D07 voltage transducers. The analysis was conducted using the method based on the GUM Guide propagation of uncertainty law and the determination of the coverage factor based on the effective number of degrees of freedom (t-Student distribution). The paper also presents example evaluation results of measured...
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Uncertainty in measuring the power spectrum density of a random signal
PublicationPrzedstawiono sposób oszacowania niepewności wyznaczania gęstości widmowej mocy przebiegu losowego. Przeprowadzono ocenę niepewności estymacji gęstości widmowej mocy biorąc pod uwagę propagację niepewności związanej z rejestracją pojedynczej próbki sygnału w algorytmie cyfrowego przetwarzania sygnału oraz błąd obciążenia estymatora wynikający z zastosowanego modelu matematycznego wielkości wyznaczanej. Wyprowadzono zależności na...
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Modelling of Abdominal Wall Under Uncertainty of Material Properties
PublicationThe paper concerns abdominal wall modelling. The accurate prediction and simulation of abdominal wall mechanics are important in the context of optimization of ventral hernia repair. The shell Finite Element model is considered, as the one which can be used in patient-specific approach due to relatively easy geometry generation. However, there are uncertainties in this issue, e.g. related to mechanical properties since the properties...
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Peculiarities of measurement uncertainty evaluation at calibrating a ring gauge
PublicationExample S13 from EA-4/02 M:2013 “Calibration of a ring gauge with a nominal diameter of 90 mm” is analyzed. The report uses the kurtosis method and the law of propagation of expanded uncertainty developed by the authors to the expanded uncertainty evaluation. It is shown that the introduction of a coaxiality correction for the ring gauge and the measuring axis of the comparator leads to the need to estimate its standard measurement...
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Mispronunciation Detection in Non-Native (L2) English with Uncertainty Modeling
PublicationA common approach to the automatic detection of mispronunciation in language learning is to recognize the phonemes produced by a student and compare it to the expected pronunciation of a native speaker. This approach makes two simplifying assumptions: a) phonemes can be recognized from speech with high accuracy, b) there is a single correct way for a sentence to be pronounced. These assumptions do not always hold, which can result...
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Global Surrogate Modeling by Neural Network-Based Model Uncertainty
PublicationThis work proposes a novel adaptive global surrogate modeling algorithm which uses two neural networks, one for prediction and the other for the model uncertainty. Specifically, the algorithm proceeds in cycles and adaptively enhances the neural network-based surrogate model by selecting the next sampling points guided by an auxiliary neural network approximation of the spatial error. The proposed algorithm is tested numerically...
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Quality of Analytical Results: Classifiying Errors and Estimating Measurement Uncertainty
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Assessment of sources of uncertainty in macrophyte surveys and the consequences for river classification
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Analysis of Uncertainty of the Emission Measurement of Gaseous Pollutants on Chassis Dynamometer
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Uncertainty of the liquid mass flow measurement using the orifice plate
PublicationThe article presents an estimation of measurement uncertainty of a liquid mass flow using the orifice plate. This subject is essential because of the widespread use of this type of flow meters. Not only the quantitative estimation but also the qualitative results of those measurements are important. To achieve these results the authors of the paper propose to use the theory of uncertainty. The article shows the analysis of the...
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Risk of incorrect pass-fail decisions associated with assessment uncertainty
PublicationA mathematical framework for calculation teacher's and student's risks of incorrect pass-fail decisions under uncertainty of assessment, is presented. The probabilistic model of assessment process is adapted from interdisciplinary probabilistic theory of measurement.
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Methodology of estimating temperature measurement uncertainty in a system for endurance tests.
PublicationThe team consisting of the article authors developed a non-invasive method and a system for measuring temperature during an endurance test. A thermocouple which provided the required accuracy of changes in temperature dynamics measurements was used for the purpose of the required research. The paper presents the methodology for estimating uncertainty of temperature measurement done with the presented system, using a method based...
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An Analysis of Uncertainty and Robustness of Waterjet Machine Positioning Vision System
PublicationThe paper presents a new Automatic Waterjet Positioning Vision System (AWPVS) and investigates components of workpiece positioning accuracy. The main purpose of AWPVS is to precisely identify the position and rotation of a workpiece placed on a waterjet machine table. Two webcams form a basis for the system, and constitute its characteristics. The proposed algorithm comprises various image processing techniques to assure a required...
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Quality of Analytical Results: Classifiying Errors and Estimating Measurement Uncertainty
PublicationThe most important parameter of each analytical result is its reliability. An analytical result is not a constant value; each result has two properties, error and uncertainty. The sources of both these parameters have to be known and their values determined (estimated). All analytical results are obtained by applying an appropriate measuring procedure. The need for reliable results requires application of reliable analytical procedures,...
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Uncertainty estimation of loop impedance measurement determined by the vector method
PublicationThis article presents a detailed analysis of uncertainty estimation of loop impedance measurement determined by the vector method. The analysis includes the following estimates: resistance variance, voltage variance and time measurement variance. This paper presents a methodology for estimating the combined standard uncertainty of loop impedance by the vector method. The vector method allows to determine loop impedance based on...
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Estimating the uncertainty of the liquid mass flow using the orifice plate
PublicationThe article presents estimation of measurement uncertainty of a liquid mass flow using the orifice plate. This subject is essential because of the widespread use of this type of flow meters, which renders not only the quantitative estimation but also qualitative results of this type so those measurements are important. To achieve this goal, the authors of the paper propose to use the theory of uncertainty. The article shows the...
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Level and significance of European Union means in the budgets of non-urban poviats of Pomeranian voivodeship
PublicationJednym z warunków prowadzenia działań mających na celu rozwój obszaru jest posiadanie środków finansowych pozwalających realizować zadania, które ten rozwój determinują. Środki te pochodzić mogą z różnych źródeł. Jednym z tych źródeł jest wsparcie pochodzące z budżetu Unii Europejskiej przyznawane w określonych ramach czasowych zwanych okresem programowania. Polska już po raz drugi korzystać może z pomocy udzielanej w tej formie....
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SIAM-ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification
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Journal of Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification
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Journal of Uncertain Systems
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Closer Look at the Uncertainty Estimation in Semantic Segmentation under Distributional Shift
PublicationWhile recent computer vision algorithms achieve impressive performance on many benchmarks, they lack robustness - presented with an image from a different distribution, (e.g. weather or lighting conditions not considered during training), they may produce an erroneous prediction. Therefore, it is desired that such a model will be able to reliably predict its confidence measure. In this work, uncertainty estimation for the task...
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Vector and Triangular Representations of Project Estimation Uncertainty: Effect of Gender on Usability
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Cash Flow Management in Small and Medium Enterprises in Times of Economic Uncertainty
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Evaluation of expanded uncertainty of instantaneous power measurement in a bearing diagnostic system.
PublicationThe paper presents the issues concerning the estimation of the expanded uncertainty in the system for the diagnosis of rolling bearings, consisting of transducers: voltage and current voltage, which is used for diagnostic bearing motors method based on the measurement and analysis of the instantaneous power signal consumed by the induction motor. It presents the methodology for assessing the measurement uncertainty and presents...
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Uncertainty Quantification in Experimental Structural Dynamics Identification of Composite Material Structures
PublicationComposite materials are widely used in manufacture of aerospace and wind energy structural components. These load carrying structures are subjected to dynamic time-varying loading conditions. Robust structural dynamics identification procedure impose tight constraints on the quality of modal models estimates obtained from vibration experiments. Modal testing results are influenced by numerous factors introducing uncertainty to...
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Multi-fidelity robust aerodynamic design optimization under mixed uncertainty
PublicationThe objective of this paper is to present a robust optimization algorithm for computationally efficient airfoil design under mixed (inherent and epistemic) uncertainty using a multi-fidelity approach. This algorithm exploits stochastic expansions derived from the Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos (NIPC) technique to create surrogate models utilized in the optimization process. A combined NIPC expansion approach is used, where both...
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Estimation of the uncertainty of the LEM CV 3-500 transducers processing function
PublicationThe paper presents the methodology for estimating uncertainty of a voltage transducer processing function based on the example of LEM CV 3-500 transducer. The analysis was performed using the method based on the GUM Guide propagation of uncertainty law and the Monte Carlo numerical method. The article also presents a comparative analysis of the results of a voltage measurement evaluation done using the Monte Carlo simulation method,...
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Challenges of the risk analysis of critical systems for insurance purposes under uncertainty
PublicationProponuje się metodę analizy ryzyka dla celów ubezpieczeniowych. Podkreśla się, że zarządzanie bezpieczeństwem systemów podwyższonego ryzyka i systemów krytycznych, obejmujące instrumenty Ubezpieczeniowe, wymaga stosowania odpowiednich metod szczególnej analizy ryzyka z uwzględnieniem problemu niepewności. Proponuje się podejście reprezentowania niepewności w ocenach ryzyka za pomocą przedziałów liczbowych, ogólnie przedziałów...