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Przyczyny upadłości firm w zależności od fazy kryzysu i rodzaju bankructwa
PublikacjaArtykuł dotyczy oceny przyczyn upadłości przedsiębiorstw. Autor przeprowadził badania mające na celu prześledzenie charakterystycznych przyczyn bankructwa firm zależnych od rodzaju upadłości wraz z uwzględnieniem wymiaru czasu - rozpatrzeniem trzech faz kryzysu w przedsiębiorstwach.W artykule autor scharakteryzował podstawowe rodzaje upadłości oraz fazy kryzysu. Badania te zostały przeprowadzone na 185 spółkach akcyjnych notowanych...
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The risk of corporate bankruptcy - the conceptual model
PublikacjaThis article concerns the assessment of different types of risks influencing the corporate bankruptcy risk. The author has developed conceptual model that explains the causes and the trajectories of the collapse of enterprises. In the analyses such factors as demographic, financial, market, political and operational factors influencing the risk of failure were taken into account.
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Prognozowanie upadłości firm przy wykorzystaniu miękkich technik obliczeniowych
PublikacjaArtykuł ten dotyczy prognozowania upadłości przedsiębiorstw w Polsce. W artykule tym porównano siedem różnych metod sztucznej inteligencji prognozowania zagrożeń firm upadłością. Jest to pierwsza próba weryfikacji skuteczności tak szerokiego wachlarza metod miękkich technik obliczeniowych w prognozowaniu upadłości firm w Polsce. Opracowane przez autora modele charakteryzują się wysoką skutecznością.
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Prognozowanie upadłości firm przy wykorzystaniu kursu dolara oraz logiki rozmytej
PublikacjaArtykuł ten dotyczy prognozowania upadłości spółek giełdowych w Polsce. Skupiono się w nim na rozważaniach nad możliwością wykorzystania, w procesie prognozowania upadłości, nie tylko wskaźników finansowych w modelu logiki rozmytej, ale również wybranych zmiennych makroekonomicznych Polski mających wpływ na sytuację finansową firm. W badaniach autor wykorzystał dane dotyczące 132 spółek akcyjnych notowanych na Warszawskiej Giełdzie...
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Skuteczne metody prognozowania upadłości firm
PublikacjaArtykuł ten dotyczy prognozowania upadłości spółek giełdowych w Polsce. W artykule tym porównano dwanaście różnych metod prognozowania zagrożeń firm upadłością. Jest to pierwsza próba weryfikacji skuteczności tak szerokiego wachlarza zarówno metod statystycznych, jak i metod miękkich technik obliczeniowych w prognozowaniu upadłości firm w Polsce. W badaniach autor wykorzystał dane dotyczące 185 spółek notowanych na Warszawskiej...
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LONG-TERM RISK CLASS MIGRATIONS OF NON-BANKRUPT AND BANKRUPT ENTERPRISES
PublikacjaThis paper investigates how the process of going bankrupt can be recognized much earlier by enterprises than by traditional forecasting models. The presented studies focus on the assessment of credit risk classes and on determination of the differences in risk class migrations between non-bankrupt enterprises and future insolvent firms. For this purpose, the author has developed a model of a Kohonen artificial neural network to...
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Assessment of Trajectories of Non-bankrupt and Bankrupt Enterprises
PublikacjaThe aim of this study is to show how long-term trajectories of enterprises can be used to increase the forecasting horizon of bankruptcy prediction models. The author used seven popular forecasting models (two from Europe, two from Asia, two from North America and one from Latin America). These models (five multivariate discriminant analysis models and two logit models) were used to develop 17-year trajectories separately for non-bankrupt...
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Evaluation of the factors influencing business bankruptcy risk in Poland
PublikacjaThis article is devoted to the issue of assessing the causes of business failure. The presented studies answer two research questions – what are the causes of corporate bankruptcies in Poland and how to more efectively predict the scale of bankruptcies in the country. The author has conducted a study to analyze the specic endogenous and exogenous causes of company bankruptcy depending on the type of the bankruptcy with consideration...
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Examining Statistical Methods in Forecasting Financial Energy of Households in Poland and Taiwan
PublikacjaThis paper examines the usefulness of statistical methods in forecasting the financial energy of households. The study’s objective is to create the innovative ratios that combine both financial and demographic information of households and implement them in the forecasting models. To conduct this objective, six forecasting models are developed using three different methods—discriminant analysis, logit analysis, and decision trees...
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Evaluation of the Macro- and Micro-Economic Factors Affecting the Financial Energy of Households
PublikacjaThis paper is an evaluation of the common macro-economic, micro-economic, and social factors affecting households’ financial situations. Moreover, the author’s objective was to develop a fuzzy logic model for forecasting fluctuations in the number of nonperforming consumer loans in a country using the example of Poland. This study represents one of the first attempts in the global literature to develop such a forecasting model...
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Impact of digital technologies on reliability of risk forecasting models - case study of enterprises in three global financial market regions
PublikacjaThis chapter focuses on the evaluation of impact of ICT on reliability of financial risk forecasting models. Presented study shows how the development of ICT can improve the effectiveness of such models. Determining a firm’s financial risk is one of the most interesting topics for investors and decision-makers. The multifaceted goal of the presented research is to separately estimate five traditional statistical and five soft computing...
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SFEM Analysis of Beams with Scaled Lengths including Spatially Varying and Cross-Correlated Concrete Properties
PublikacjaThis paper presents the results obtained for plain concrete beams under four-point bending with spatially varying material properties. Beams of increasing length but constant depth were analyzed using the stochastic finite element method. Spatial fluctuation of a uniaxial tensile strength, fracture energy and elastic modulus was defined within cross-correlated random fields. The symmetrical Gauss probability distribution function...
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FORECASTING EXCHANGE RATES IN THE PROCESS OF THE ASSESSMENT OF CONSUMER RISK BANKRUPTCY IN CENTRAL EUROPE
PublikacjaThis paper focuses on the issue of forecasting the fluctuation of exchange rates as part of the early warning system against the risk of consumer bankruptcy. The author identified the main macroeconomic factors affecting the level of bankruptcies for households in Poland. The fluctuation of exchange rates, which directly affects the deterioration of the economic situation of borrowers who have opened credit accounts in a foreign...
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Dynamic Bankruptcy Prediction Models for European Enterprises
PublikacjaThis manuscript is devoted to the issue of forecasting corporate bankruptcy. Determining a firm’s bankruptcy risk is one of the most interesting topics for investors and decision-makers. The aim of the paper is to develop and to evaluate dynamic bankruptcy prediction models for European enterprises. To conduct this objective, four forecasting models are developed with the use of four different methods—fuzzy sets, recurrent and...
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SUPPORT FOR OLDER ADULTS DURING COVID19 PANDEMIC – HOW DID LOCAL AUTHORITIES IN THE POMERANIAN REGION RESPOND TO THE CHALLENGE?
PublikacjaThe COVID-19 pandemic, apart from health threats, has shown the problem of older adults’ social isolation and loneliness in aging societies that has been progressing for several decades. Older adults’ singularisation, loosening family relations, diminishing families’ caring potential, caused that during the lockdown, many older adults – without the neighbours’ or NGOs’ support or the activities undertaken by local authorities –...
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Local variability in snow concentrations of chlorinated persistent organic pollutants as a source of large uncertainty in interpreting spatial patterns at all scales
PublikacjaSingle point sampling, a widespread practice in snow studies in remote areas, due to logistical constraints, can present an unquantified error to the final study results. The low concentrations of studied chemicals, such as chlorinated persistent organic pollutants, contribute to the uncertainty. We conducted a field experiment in the Arctic to estimate the error stemming from differences in the composition of snow at short distances...
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Socio-economic development_summer2023
Kursy Online -
Journal for Perspectives of Economic Political and Social Integration, Journal for Mental Change.
Czasopisma -
Discours social: analyse du discours et sociocritique des textes
Czasopisma -
Continuity and Change: A Journal of Social Structure, Law and Demography in Past Societies
Czasopisma -
CIRIEC-Espana Revista de Economia Publica Social y Cooperativa
Czasopisma -
Anuario Colombiano de Historia Social y de la Cultura
Czasopisma -
Intersectionalities-A Global Journal of Social Work Analysis Research Polity and Practice
Czasopisma -
REDHECS-Revista Electronica de Humanidades Educacion y Comunicacion Social
Czasopisma -
DISCERN, International Journal of Design for Social Change, Sustainable Innovation and Entrepreneurship
Czasopisma -
Revue Internationale de Psychologie Sociale-International Review of Social Psychology
Czasopisma -
SOCIAL DYNAMICS-A JOURNAL OF THE CENTRE FOR AFRICAN STUDIES UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN
Czasopisma -
The Importance of Contextual Topology in the Process of Harmonization of the Spatial Databases on Example BDOT500
PublikacjaIn this work, we present two detailed problems of topological errors in spatial database. Both issues are inconsistencies in the database, i.e. interior topological relationships layers of buildings and the relationship between the buildings layer and the layer of plots. That inconsistency is related to the residual polygons that arise as a result of overlapping objects, or gaps between objects. The occurrence of this type of error...
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Discussion of “Stress-Displacement Response of Sand–Geosynthetic Interfaces under Different Volume Change Boundary Conditions” by Aliyeh Afzali-Nejad, Ali Lashkari, and Alejandro Martinez
PublikacjaThe influence of normal stiffness of interface on the interpretation of shear box tests
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Polityka ochrony i wykorzystania dziedzictwa kulturowego wsi pomorskiej
PublikacjaArtykuł opisuje politykę regionu w zakresie ochrony i zrównoważonego wykorzystania zróżnicowanego terytorialnie zasobu dziedzictwa kulturowego (materialnego i niematerialnego) wsi pomorskiej.
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Workflow application for detection of unwanted events
PublikacjaZaprezentowano rozproszoną aplikację do wykrywania potencjalnie niebezpiecznych zdarzeń z wejściowych strumieni wideo. Rozpoznanie niepożądanych zdarzeń wywołuje alarmy i wysyła powiadomienia do odpowiednich służb, jak również powoduje zarejestrowanie filmu. Model aplikacji składa się z węzłów z kamerami, pobierajacych strumienie danych, przetwarzajacych dane, wysyłajacych powiadomienia i zapisujacych dane. Zaimplementowana aplikacja...
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LDFEM analysis of pore water pressure development in cohesive soil due to FDP auger drilling
PublikacjaThis paper presents the preliminary modelling of FDP auger drilling in soft soil with emphasis on excess pore water pressure (EPWP) development using CEL formulation and Abaqus software suit. The EPWP generation in single points is investigated and the results of a numerical analysis are compared with the field measurements. It is found that numerical model qualitatively reflects the field measurements. However,...
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Numerical Modeling of Cone Penetration Test in Slightly Overconsolidated Clay with Arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian Formulation
PublikacjaIn this paper the results of the cone penetration test (CPT) modeling with the arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) formulation provided by Abaqus software package have been presented. The study compares the cone resistance and sleeve friction obtained in numerical analysis with values measured in soundings performed in the uniform layer of clayey soil in the Koszalin area. The clay layer was found to be slightly overconsolidated...
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Influence of Installation Effects on Pile Bearing Capacity in Cohesive Soils – Large Deformation Analysis Via Finite Element Method
PublikacjaIn this paper, the whole process of pile construction and performance during loading is modelled via large deformation finite element methods such as Coupled Eulerian Lagrangian (CEL) and Updated Lagrangian (UL). Numerical study consists of installation process, consolidation phase and following pile static load test (SLT). The Poznań site is chosen as the reference location for the numerical analysis, where series of pile SLTs...
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Large deformation finite element analysis of undrained pile installation
PublikacjaIn this paper, a numerical undrained analysis of pile jacking into the subsoil using Abaqus software suit has been presented. Two different approaches, including traditional Finite Element Method (FEM) and Arbitrary Lagrangian–Eulerian (ALE) formulation, were tested. In the first method, the soil was modelled as a two-phase medium and effective stress analysis was performed. In the second one (ALE), a single-phase medium was assumed...
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Surrogate-assisted EM-driven miniaturization of wideband microwave couplers by means of co-simulation low-fidelity models
PublikacjaThis article proposes a methodology for rapid design optimization of miniaturized wideband couplers. More specifically, a class of circuits is considered, in which conventional transmission lines are replaced by their abbreviated counterparts referred to as slow-wave compact cells. Our focus is on explicit reduction of the structure size as well as on reducing the CPU cost of the design process. For the sake of computational feasibility,...
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Some Aspects of Shear Behavior of Soft Soil–Concrete Interfaces and Its Consequences in Pile Shaft Friction Modeling
PublikacjaThis paper examines the stiffness degradation and interface failure load on soft soil–concrete interface. The friction behavior and its variability is investigated. The direct shear tests under constant normal load were used to establish parameters to hyperbolic interface model which provided a good approximation of the data from instrumented piles. Four instrumented piles were used to obtain reference soil–concrete interface behavior....
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Statistical evaluation of physical and index properties of Vistula Marshlands deltaic soft soils
PublikacjaThis paper provides statistical evaluation of physical and index parameters of the Vistula Marshlands deltaic soft soils using three datasets. Soft soils from the Vistula Marshlands are grouped into the four categories: (1) silty/sandy loams, (2) organic clays, (3) organic silts and (4) peats. Variability of basic and derivative physical properties as well as Atterberg's limits and plasticity index is studied. It is found that...
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Discussion on “Coupled effective stress analysis of insertion problems in geotechnics with the Particle Finite Element Method” by L. Monforte, M. Arroyo, J.M. Carbonell, and A. Gens
PublikacjaAddressed here is the Particle Finite Element Method (PFEM) modelling of undrained CPTu penetration with regard to a reference analytical solution based on the Spherical Cavity Expansion Method (SCEM). Also discussed is the choice of the soil model and its parameters. The effect of cone interface friction on CPTu simulation is analyzed in a series of penetration tests using Arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) and Updated Lagrangian...
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Large deformation modelling of CPT probing in soft soil—pore water pressure analysis
PublikacjaThis paper presents the results of finite element modelling with Updated Lagrangian formulation of the Cone Penetration Test in soft soil deposit located in Jazowa, Poland. The numerical calculations are carried out for homogenous, normally consolidated, organic soil layer. The Modified Cam Clay constitutive model for soft soil and Coulomb model for interface are used. The study compares the registered pore water pressure distributions...
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Pore Water Pressure Development in Soft Soil due to Installation and Loading of Controlled Modulus Columns
PublikacjaExcess pore water pressure (EPWP) development and decay due to the installation and static loading tests of controlled modulus columns (CMC) in soft soil was measured with piezometers equipped with low air entry (LAE) filters and a piezocone (CPTU) equipped with a high air entry (HAE) filter. The HAE filter allows for detailed detection of EPWP in short time intervals during construction of CMC. The influence zone due to the installation...
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Discussion of “Axisymmetric Simulations of Cone Penetration in Saturated Clay” by Diane M. Moug, Ross W. Boulanger, Jason T. DeJong, and Robert A. Jaeger
PublikacjaN/A
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Błażej Prusak dr hab.
OsobyBłażej Prusak jest kierownikiem Katedry Finansów na Wydziale Zarządzania i Ekonomii Politechniki Gdańskiej oraz redaktorem naczelnym czasopisma Research on Enterprise in Modern Economy - theory and practice (REME)/Przedsiębiorstwo we współczesnej gospodarce - teoria i praktyka, a także członkiem komitetów redakcyjnych takich czasopism jak: Intellectual Economics; Przestrzeń. Ekonomia. Społeczeństwo; Akademia Zarządzania. Jest autorem...
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Karolina Koziel
Osoby -
Zaawansowane Systemy CAD - 2022/23
Kursy Online -
Konsultacje zdalne - dr inż. N. Korcz-Konkol
Kursy Online -
Problem wspólnotowego kształtowania środowiska mieszkaniowego
PublikacjaCommunity based shaping of housing environmentA sustainable development of housing environment depends on socio-economical context. Interest towards locality in western countries has a completely different basis than in the post-communist ones. Social capital, which shows e.g. in trust, as well as ecological awareness are totally different. We do not belong to saturated societies. There is a distinct issue of community shaping...
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Joanna Rymaszewska prof. dr hab. n. med.
OsobyCV Joanna Rymaszewska Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland +48 601 98 26 24, joanna.rymaszewska@pwr.edu.pl orcid.org/0000-0001-8985-3592 2023 → Professor of Wroclaw University of Science and Technology (WUST), Poland 2011 → 2023 Professor of Wroclaw Medical University (WMU), PL 2016 → 2022 Head of the Department of Psychiatry, Wroclaw Medical University 2016 → 2022 Head of the Clinic of Psychiatry,...
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Organic carbon fluxes of a glacier surface: a case study of Foxfonna, a small Arctic glacier
PublikacjaArctic glaciers are rapidly responding to global warming by releasing organic carbon (OC) to downstream ecosystems. The glacier surface is arguably the most biologically active and biodiverse glacial habitat and therefore the site of important OC transformation and storage, although rates and magnitudes are poorly constrained. In this paper, we present measurements of OC fluxes associated with atmospheric deposition, ice melt,...
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Budownictwo Przemysłowe II , niestacjonarne, 2022
Kursy OnlineKurs z Budownictwa Przemysłowego II ("Hala obciążona dynamicznie") dla studentów studiów zaocznych