Search results for: PROBABILISTIC FAILURE
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A probabilistic model of ship performance in ice based on full-scale data
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The Role of Dopaminergic Genes in Probabilistic Reinforcement Learning in Schizophrenia Spectrum Disorders
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Probabilistic analysis of settlements under a pile foundation of a road bridge pylon
PublicationThe paper addresses the reliability change of a road bridge pile foundation due to the unpredictable increase of settlements in time. The analysis is based on the Rędziński Bridge in Wrocław, Poland, its design assumptions, and monitoring results. The bridge foundation rests on a multi-layered subsoil assumed random. The Finite Element model of the subgrade is generated in ZSoil® software. To simplify the probabilistic approach,...
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Probabilistic sensitivity of the limit states of structures using Monte Carlom simulation
PublicationThe paper presents the concept of probabilistic sensitivity of structural limit states with respect to given design variables. A general idea is presented, illustrated by a simple case solved in an analytical way. More general approach is presented for the engineering structures, in this case a dedicated Monte Carlo simulation procedure is involved as part of the methodology. Illustration of the engineering case is done, by means...
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Using Probabilistic Availability Measures for Predicting Targeted Attacks on Network Nodes
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Network Protection Against Node Attacks Based on Probabilistic Availability Measures
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A probabilistic-driven framework for enhanced corrosion estimation of ship structural components
PublicationThe work proposes a probabilistic-driven framework for enhanced corrosion estimation of ship structural components using Bayesian inference and limited measurement data. The new approach for modelling measurement uncertainty is proposed based on the results of previous corrosion tests that incorporate the non-uniform character of the corroded surface of structural components. The proposed framework's basic features are outlined,...
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Probabilistic Analysis of Structure Models using Target Random Sampling (TRS)
PublicationThe work presents testing methods of sensitivity and reliability of mechanical or structural systems. All computations concerned the case of Zigler column, a simple model of a compressed column involving two random variables only. A conclusion was drawn that the standard Monte Carlo method, its reduction variants and the response surface method allow to assess the sensitivity of structural response to the variation of random structural...
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Probabilistic limit state analysis of framed structures. The Monte Carlo simulation.
PublicationW pracy opisano koncepcję rozkładu prawdopodobieństwa stanu granicznego konstrukcji. Koncepcja ta oparta jest na problemowo zorientowanej procedurze symulacyjnej Monte Carlo. Niezawodnosć lub prawdopodobieństwo awarii układu oblicza się na podstawie rozkładu prawdopodobieństwa stanu granicznego.
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Probabilistic limit state analysis of framed structures. The Monte Carlo simulation.
PublicationW pracy opisana jest koncepcja rozkładu prawdopodobieństwa stanu granicznego konstrukcji, oparta na specjalnej procedurze symulacyjnej Monte Carlo. Główną ideę stanowi obliczenie mnożnika obciażenia granicznego w każdym kroku symulacyjnym. Niezawodnosć lub prawdopodobieństwo awarii konstrukcji sa charakterystykami rozkładu prawdopopdobieństwa stanu granicznego. Szczegółowo opisano dwa warianty symulacji.
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Concept for interpretation and assessment of slide bearings operation in Diesel enfines in probabilistic approach
PublicationW artykule zaproponowano interpretację wartościującą działania, które (podobnie jak przedstawione w mechanice klasycznej działania Hamiltona i Maupertiusa oraz działanie wynikające ze zmiany pędu ciała) jest rozpatrywane jako wielkość fizyczna o jednostce miary zwanej''dżulosekundą''. Przedstawiono propozycję ilościowej interpretacji działania dowolnego poprzecznego łożyska ślizgowego, w którym zachodzą oddziaływania energetyczne...
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Probabilistic Sequence Mining – Evaluation and Extension of ProMFS Algorithm for Real-Time Problems
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Statistic and probabilistic measures of diagnosis likelohood on the state of self-ignition combustion engines
PublicationW artykule zaproponowano, aby wiarygodność diagnozy o stanie technicznym silników o zapłonie samoczynnym była rozpatrywana jako losowa cecha tej diagnozy. Wykazano możliwość oceny wiarygodności diagnozy za pomocą liczb rzeczywistych z przedziału [0, 1]. Uzasadniono potrzebę rozróżniania wiarygodności diagnozy i trafności diagnozy. Wyprowadzono wzór na prawdopodobieństwo sformułowania prawidłowej diagnozy jako miary wiarygodności...
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Application of probabilistic tools to extend load test design of bridges prior to opening
PublicationLoad tests of bridges are widely performed in a large number of countries. Deterministic comparison of measurement results to the theoretical, FEM (finite element method)-based outcomes with possible further calibration is mostly applied. Sometimes, the data collected in the tests are also used to calibrate the reliability factors of bridge structures or their components. This work proposes to complement the stage of the load test...
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Implementation of Non-Probabilistic Methods for Stability Analysis of Nonlocal Beam with Structural Uncertainties
PublicationIn this study, a non-probabilistic approach based Navier’s Method (NM) and Galerkin Weighted Residual Method (GWRM) in term of double parametric form has been proposed to investigate the buckling behavior of Euler-Bernoulli nonlocal beam under the framework of the Eringen's nonlocal elasticity theory, considering the structural parameters as imprecise or uncertain. The uncertainties in Young’s modulus and diameter of the beam are...
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Probabilistic estimation of diverse soil condition impact on vertical axis tank deformation
PublicationThe calculations of fuel tanks should take into account the geometric imperfections of the structure as well as the variability of the material parameters of the foundation. The deformation of the tank shell can have a significant impact on the limit state of the structure and its operating conditions. The paper presents a probabilistic analysis of a vertical-axis, floating-roof cylindrical shell of a tank with a capacity of 50000...
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Data-driven, probabilistic model for attainable speed for ships approaching Gdańsk harbour
PublicationThe growing demand for maritime transportation leads to increased traffic in ports. From this arises the need to observe the consequences of the specific speed ships reach when approaching seaports. However, usually the analyzed cases refer only to the statistical evaluation of the studied phenomenon or to the empirical modelling, ignoring the mutual influence of variables such as ship type, length or weather conditions. In this...
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Probabilistic concept of defining the situations possible to occur during operation of floating docks
PublicationW artykule zasygnalizowana została możliwość oszacowania bezpieczeństwa doków pływajacych, w wyniku zastosowania teorii procesów semimarkowskich, zarówno w fazie projektowania jak też eksploatacji. Przedstawiono opis formalny sytuacji, jakie mogą zaistnieć podczas funkcjonowania (działania) doków pływających, zarówno budowlanych jak również remontowych. Wyróżniono takie sytuacje jak: normalna, skomplikowana, niebezpieczna, awaryjna...
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Risk characterisation of the required index R in the new probabilistic rules for damage stability
PublicationWymagany wskaźnik podziału grodziowego R jest miarą bezpieczeństwa statku w wypadku kolizji. Zwykle wyznacza się go w oparciu o wskaźniki dla wybranych, istniejących statków. W pracy podano jak ustalić ten wskaźnik w oparciu o dane dotyczące kolizji (wypadkowości) statków.
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An Overview of Several Inhibitors for Alzheimer’s Disease: Characterization and Failure
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Acceptance of the disease and sexual functions of patients with heart failure
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Analysis of ship shaft line coupling bolts failure
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono dane statystyczne dotyczące uszkodzeń linii wałów okrętowych, w tym także pęknięć zmęczeniowych śrub sprzęgieł kołnierzowych wałów. Wyjaśniono także mechanizm powstawania tego typu uszkodzeń i zagrożenia jakie niosą ze sobą. Opisano przypadki takich uszkodzeń oraz badania jakie są prowadzone dla lepszego poznania zjawisk zmęczeniowych w omawianych uszkodzeniach.
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Entrepreneurial Failure: A Synthesis and Conceptual Framework of its Effects
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FEM simulation of laminate failure in the three point bending
PublicationThe paper presents a FEM simulation of failure of laminate subjected to the three point bending. The numeri-cal model is based on the equivalent single layer approach with 6-paramater non-linear shell theory kinematics. It is implemented in the non-commercial FEM code. The failure initiation is detected with the use of Tsai-Wu criterion. After the failure onset the progressive failure process is modelled through the appropriate...
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Measures of region failure survivability for wireless mesh networks
PublicationWireless mesh networks (WMNs) are considered as a promising alternative to wired local, or metropolitan area networks. However, owing to their exposure to various disruptive events, including natural disasters, or human threats, many WMN network elements located close to the failure epicentre are frequently in danger of a simultaneous failure, referred to as a region failure. Therefore, network survivability, being the ability...
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Assessing the failure of Open Government Data initiatives in Brazil
PublicationWhile assessing the potential of a particular digital innovation initiative, especially when it has implications for a range of societal stakeholders, it becomes pertinent to understand the possible bottlenecks in its acceptability as well. In this regard, the present study seeks to understand how the Open Government Data (OGD) initiatives in Brazil are being confronted with bottlenecks in terms of their execution and acceptability....
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Flow-induced stress corrosion failure of SS piping
PublicationPrzedstawiono uszkodzenie eksploatacyjne rurociągu ze stali austenitucznej typu 18Cr-10Ni-Ti w instalacji przepracowanych olejów napędowych w rafinerii ropy naftowej. Wyjaśniono mechanizm niszczenia środowiskowego stali w wyniku mechanicznego i elektrochemicznego działania strumieni procesowych.
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Case Studies in Engineering Failure Analysis
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Probabilistic assessment of SMRFs with infill masonry walls incorporating nonlinear soil-structure interaction
PublicationInfill Masonry Walls (IMWs) are used in the perimeter of a building to separate the inner and outer space. IMWs may affect the lateral behavior of buildings, while they are different from those partition walls that separate two inner spaces. This study focused on the seismic vulnerability assessment of Steel Moment-Resisting Frames (SMRFs) assuming different placement of IMWs incorporating nonlinear Soil-Structure Interaction (SSI)....
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Seismic probabilistic assessment of steel and reinforced concrete structures including earthquake-induced pounding
PublicationRecent earthquakes demonstrate that prioritizing the retrofitting of buildings should be of the utmost importance for enhancing the seismic resilience and structural integrity of urban structures. To have a realistic results of the pounding effects in modeling process of retrofitting buildings, the present research provides seismic Probability Factors (PFs), which can be used for estimating collision effects without engaging in...
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A methodology for incorporating human factors in fuzzy-probabilistic modelling and risk analysis of industrial systems
PublicationPraca dotyczy wybranych zagadnień rozmyto-probabilistycznych modelowania złożonych systemów przemysłowych. Do obliczeń związanych z analizą ryzyka stosuje się diagramy wpływu i hierarchiczny proces decyzyjny.
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Reducing the Probability of Failure in Manufacturing Equipment by Quantitative FTA Analysis
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Impact of WDM Network Topology Characteristics on the Extent of Failure Losses
PublicationW artykule dokonano oceny wpływu charakterystyk topologicznych sieci na rozmiar strat po awarii węzła/łącza będącej następstwem ataku. W tym celu wprowadzono współczynnik ATRF. Wyniki badań pokazały, że wykorzystanie standardowej metryki odległości do wyznaczania tras podstawowych prowadzi do istotnego zwiększenia liczby połączeń uszkodzonych w wyniku ataku w porównaniu ze skutkami awarii losowej.
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Fundamental Schemes to Determine Disjoint Paths for Multiple Failure Scenarios
PublicationDisjoint path routing approaches can be used to cope with multiple failure scenarios. This can be achieved using a set of k (k> 2) link- (or node-) disjoint path pairs (in single-cost and multi-cost networks). Alternatively, if Shared Risk Link Groups (SRLGs) information is available, the calculation of an SRLG-disjoint path pair (or of a set of such paths) can protect a connection against the joint failure of the set of links...
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Failure analysis of the exhaust valve face in diesel marine engine
PublicationThe exhaust valve from marine diesel engine which was damaged after 2000 hours of service was investigated. In order to prolong the service time the valve face was cladded with cobalt base alloy using laser technique. After failure microstructural and chemical analyses reviled that cladding process was conducted improperly. The chemical composition of the clad layer was far from the designed one and what more completely inhomogeneous....
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FAILURE OF MAGNETIC FLUID SEALS OPERATING IN WATER: PRELIMINARY CONCLUSIONS
PublicationThe article analyses properties of magnetic fluid seals installed in rotary sealing no des which operate in the utility water environment. Seals of this type have been examined as a possible solution to the problem with ship manoeuvring propulsion sealing. The present analysis bases on laboratory durability tests of magnetic fluid seals expo sed to long - term utility water loads, at different water pressures and shaft revolutions....
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Excavation induced cast iron pipeline failure – a numerical study
PublicationNumerical study on impact of an unsecured excavation on an underground pipeline. Analysis focused on investigation of pipeline displacement generated by soil movement caused by excavation and heavy traffic. Numerical calculations and soil parameter sensitivity analysis based on Finite Element Method. Some comparisons of results with real-life failure cases.
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Experimental study on ultrasonic monitoring of splitting failure in reinforced concrete
PublicationThis paper investigates inspection of reinforced concrete elements sensitive to the splitting failure. The behaviour of a reinforced concrete specimen subjected to a tensile stress is considered. The damage detection procedure is based on the ultrasonic wave propagation technique. The piezoelectric transducers are located on both ends of the specimen and the measurements are taken periodically during the incrementally increased...
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Analysis of Failure Mechanism in Joints with Positive Eccentricity in CFS Truss
PublicationThe paper presents studies concerning the load-bearing capacity of truss joints with a positive eccentricity resulting from the arrangement of geometric members and the failure mechanisms observed in the joints. Based on the previously conducted experimental study, a numerical model of the tested fragment of the CFS truss with eccentricity in the joint was created and validated. All structural details of the tested truss and the...
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Assessment of unusual failure in crankshaft of heavy-duty truck engine
PublicationThe unusual premature failure of a heavy-duty truck engine crankshaft has been the subject of a rigorous study, and this manuscript describes it in detail. The failure was happened to begin with the growth of the crack from the surface defects, in the form of the clusters of non-metallic inclusions, in the lubrication hole zone of the first main journal, which was the stress concentration zone. A series of experiments including...
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Zniszczenie korozyjne wymiennika ciepła = Corrosion failure of a heat exchanger
PublicationPłytowy wymiennik ciepła ze stali 316L uległ zniszczeniu po trzech latach eksploatacji, wskutek perforacji po czyszczeniu nieodpowiednim środkiem czyszczącym.
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The PARAGON Heart Failure trial – ongoing investigation of the angiotensin receptor antagonist/neprilysin inhibitor sacubitril/valsartan in heart failure patients with hypertension and preserved ejection fraction
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A probabilistic model estimating oil spill clean-up costs – A case study for the Gulf of Finland
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A probabilistic model for accidental cargo oil outflow from product tankers in a ship–ship collision
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Probabilistic Approach to Precipitation-Runoff Relation in a Mountain Catchment: A Case Study of the Kłodzka Valley in Poland
PublicationOn the basis of daily precipitation and discharges recorded in 1974–2013 relations between precipitation and runoff in the Kłodzka Valley (KV) in south-western Poland were analyzed. The degree of synchronicity between them was determined using the bivariate Archimedean copulas. This study aims at identifying and then describe in a probabilistic way the precipitation and runoff relations in the area playing an important role...
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Improving the procedure of probabilistic load testing design of typical bridges based on structural response similarities
PublicationThis paper concerns load testing of typical bridge structures performed prior to operation. In-situ tests of a two-span post-tensioned bridge loaded with three vehicles of 38-ton mass each formed the input of this study. On the basis of the results of these measurements, an advanced FEM model of the structure was developed for which the sensitivity analysis was performed for chosen uncertainty sources. Three uncorrelated random...
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The Algorithm of Modelling and Analysis of Latent Semantic Relations: Linear Algebra vs. Probabilistic Topic Models
PublicationThis paper presents the algorithm of modelling and analysis of Latent Semantic Relations inside the argumentative type of documents collection. The novelty of the algorithm consists in using a systematic approach: in the combination of the probabilistic Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) and Linear Algebra based Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA) methods; in considering each document as a complex of topics, defined on the basis of separate...
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Simplified probabilistic analysis of settlement of cyclically loaded soil stratum using point estimate method
PublicationThe paper deals with the probabilistic analysis of settlement of a non-cohesive soil layer subjected to cyclic loading. Originally, the settlement assessment is based on deterministic compaction model which requires integration of a set of differential equations. However, making use of the Bessel functions the settlement of the soil stratum can be calculated by means of simplified algorithm. The compaction model parameters were...
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Prefabricated structures under earthquake excitation: damage and failure of connection joints
PublicationCelem artykułu jest analiza zachowania się złączy pomiędzy elementami belkowymi a słupami w konstrukcjach prefabrykowanych poddanych obciążeniom dynamicznym powstającym podczas trzęsień ziemi. Wyniki przedstawione w pracy, uzyskane na podstawie badań numerycznych przeprowadzonych dla wybranego modelu konstrukcji, pokazują, iż złącza są najsłabszym elementem wymagającym zwrócenia szczególnej uwagi przy projektowaniu konstrukcji...
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Acute renal failure due to leptospirosis. Diagnostic challenges – a case report
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