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Search results for: RISK
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Women’s health, cardiovascular risk and hypertension: the perspective still needs to improve
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New data on antihypertensive drugs and risk of cancer: should we worry?
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Triple-objective models for portfolio optimisation with symmetric and percentile risk measures
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Protective Footwear And The Risk Of Slipping In Older Workers – Definitions, Achievements, Recommendations
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Spillover and risk transmission in the components of the term structure of eurozone yield curve
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Idiosyncratic risk and cross-section of stock returns in emerging European markets
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Idiosyncratic volatility and the cross-section of anomaly returns: is risk your Ally?
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Is tail risk priced in the cross-section of Chinese mutual fund returns?
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Air Pollution, Oxidative Stress, and the Risk of Development of Type 1 Diabetes
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Challenges of the risk analysis of critical systems for insurance purposes under uncertainty
PublicationProponuje się metodę analizy ryzyka dla celów ubezpieczeniowych. Podkreśla się, że zarządzanie bezpieczeństwem systemów podwyższonego ryzyka i systemów krytycznych, obejmujące instrumenty Ubezpieczeniowe, wymaga stosowania odpowiednich metod szczególnej analizy ryzyka z uwzględnieniem problemu niepewności. Proponuje się podejście reprezentowania niepewności w ocenach ryzyka za pomocą przedziałów liczbowych, ogólnie przedziałów...
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Methodology for incorporating the human and organizational factors inqualitative and quantative risk assessments
PublicationZaproponowano metodykę systematycznego uwzględniania czynników ludzkich i organizacyjnych w jakościowych i ilościowych modelach ryzyka stosując hierarchiczne diagramy wpływu (HID). Współczynniki wagowe i skalowe czynników wpływu w HID określone są odpowiednio na podstawie wiedzy ogólnej i audytu danego systemu. Metodykę zaimplementowano w programie komputerowym zaprojektowanym do obliczeń złożonych HID
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Risk analysis and functional safety assessment with regard to human andorganisational factors
PublicationReferat poświęcono wybranym zagadnieniom analizy ryzyka i zarządzania bezpieczeństwem funkcjonalnym systemów związanych z bezpieczeństwem. Systemy takie, zawierające coraz częściej jednostki programowalne, są potencjalnie narażone na błędy człowieka, które mają swoje źródło w uchybieniach organizacyjnych. W procesie analizy ryzyka takich systemów proponuje się stosować metody jakościowe i ilościowe. Potencjalne błędy człowieka...
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Multi-Criteria Early Warning System Against Enteprise Bankruptcy Risk
PublicationW artykule tym autor porównuje skuteczność opracowanego przez niego wielokryterialnego systemu wczesnego ostrzegania firm z tradycyjnym modelem analizy dyskryminacyjnej prognozowania upadłości. System wczesnego ostrzegania oparty został na metodzie logiki rozmytej. Badania te są jedną z pierwszych prób na świecie wykorzystania logiki rozmytej w prognozowaniu zagrożenia bankructwem firm. Uzyskane wyniki świadczą o dużym potencjale...
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Influence of Shunt Compensation with SVC Devices on Resonance Risk in Power Systems
PublicationMany analyses are required to locate a new reactive power source in a power system. The choice of a location is a very complex matter which requires various aspects to be considered. Selecting a location also entails the necessity to assess it from the point of view of the selected compensator’s structure as well as the system’s performance in various states with the new device on. The paper presents the issues of assessing compensator...
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The Application of Risk Analysis in the Assessment and Management of Road Safety in Road Tunnels
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Priorities in the risk assessment and risk management during the ship accident at sea /Priorytety w ocenie ryzyka i zarządzaniu ryzykiem w czasie katastrofy statku na morzu
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Model of Risk Assessment (MORA) concept for the investment part of urban regeneration projects
PublicationThe main goal of this paper is presentation of the model concept (MORA) that will be used to control level of risk and manage technical risk in investment projects in the area of urban regeneration risk management.
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Corporate social responsibility and forward default risk mediated by financial performance and goodwill
PublicationIn today’s business environment, corporate social responsibility (CSR) has become an increasingly significant factor for firms. This study is driven by the motivation to add to the current literature by investigating the mediating elements that explain the relationship between CSR and forward default risk. In this paper, we attempt to identify the important mediators and give a more comprehensive explanation of this connection...
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Advanced Bayesian study on inland navigational risk of remotely controlled autonomous ship
PublicationThe arise of autonomous ships has necessitated the development of new risk assessment techniques and methods. This study proposes a new framework for navigational risk assessment of remotely controlled Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS). This framework establishes a set of risk influencing factors affecting safety of navigation of a remotely-controlled MASS. Next, model parameters are defined based on the risk factors, and...
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Analysis and Risk Evaluation on the Case of Alteration, Revitalization and Conversion of a Historic Building in Gdańsk
PublicationEach investment plan, including the one concerning a building, is exposed to the consequences of various types of threats taking place. Therefore, in the case of some large-scale, atypical and complicated building ventures, some actions included in the procedure of risk management should be taken. This will allow for the risk to be eliminated or limited. While preparing a building venture, an investor does not possess full information...
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Classification of Urban Regeneration Participants as a Basis for Identification of Construction Investment's Risk Sources
PublicationOn the basis of the conducted research it can be concluded that the majority of the existing urban regeneration problems are revealed by the lack of an in-depth analysis of sources and risk factors. For the above reasons, the subject of this study is classification of urban regeneration's participants as a basis for identification of construction investment's risk sources. The research methodology is based on an in-depth analysis...
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The risk assessment of adverse events of nursing activities as the element of quality management in healhcare
PublicationThe purpose of the paper is to present MedCARVER+Shock method and Pareto analysis and its usability for the risk assessment of adverse events of nursing activities. 888 activities carried out by all 190 nurses working at the District Hospital X located in Poland were taken into account. During the research the qualitative approach was used. As the result sixteen groups of nursing activities causing the highest risk of adverse events...
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Prognostic and diagnostic capabilities of OOBN in assessing investment risk of complex construction projects
PublicationModelling decision problems using Bayesian networks is extremely valuable especially in case of issues related to uncertainty; it is also very helpful in constructing and understanding visual representation of the elements and their relations. This approach facilitates subsequent application of Bayesian networks, however there can be situations where using simple Bayesian networks is impractical or even ineffective. The aim of...
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Preeclampsia Risk Prediction Using Machine Learning Methods Trained on Synthetic Data
PublicationThis paper describes a research study that investigates the use of machine learning algorithms on synthetic data to classify the risk of developing preeclampsia by pregnant women. Synthetic datasets were generated based on parameter distributions from three real patient studies. Four models were compared: XGBoost, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, and Explainable Boosting Machines (EBM). The study found that the XGBoost...
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Risk Diagnosis and Management with BBN for Civil Engineering Projects during Construction and Operation
PublicationThe authors demonstrate how expert knowledge about the construction and operation phases combined with monitoring data can be utilized for the diagnosis and management of risks typical to large civil engineering projects. The methodology chosen for estimating the probabilities of risk elements is known as Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN). Using a BBN model one can keep on updating the risk event probabilities as the new evidence...
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FORECASTING EXCHANGE RATES IN THE PROCESS OF THE ASSESSMENT OF CONSUMER RISK BANKRUPTCY IN CENTRAL EUROPE
PublicationThis paper focuses on the issue of forecasting the fluctuation of exchange rates as part of the early warning system against the risk of consumer bankruptcy. The author identified the main macroeconomic factors affecting the level of bankruptcies for households in Poland. The fluctuation of exchange rates, which directly affects the deterioration of the economic situation of borrowers who have opened credit accounts in a foreign...
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Risk of power cables insulation failure due to the thermal effect of solar radiation
PublicationLow-voltage, as well as high-voltage power cable lines, are usually buried in the ground. The ampacity of the power cables in the ground mainly depends on the thermal resistivity of the soil, which may vary in a wide range. A common practice in power cable systems performance is to supply them from a pole of an overhead line. If so, a section of the line is located in free air and can be directly exposed to solar radiation. In...
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Multi-factor fuzzy sets decision system forecasting consumer insolvency risk
PublicationThe objective of this study is to develop a multi-factor decision system predicting insolvency risk for natural persons with the use of fuzzy sets. Considering that the financial situation of households is affected by various endogenous and exogenous factors, the main assumption of this study is that the system for predicting financial difficulties should not be limited to the use of only a few financial variables concerning consumers,...
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Expert systems in assessing the construction process safety taking account of the risk of disturbances
PublicationThe objective of the paper is to present the issue of safety manage-ment during the construction process. Threats in the form of disturb-ances may occur in the preparatory phase, during the execution of the construction project and also during its operational use. The arti-cle presents the concept of applying the methodology based, among others, on Learning Bayesian Networks, Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Machine,...
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Exposure scenario and risk assessment of infants and newborns to bisphenols and their derivatives from diapers
PublicationNewborns and infants are more sensitive to harmful compounds such as bisphenols and their derivatives because of their not fully developed detoxification mechanism. Exposure to these substances can lead to developmental problems and health consequences in adulthood. Since disposable baby diapers are used from the first days of life and remain in contact with the baby skin, it seems important to monitor the levels of endocrine disrupting chemicals...
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Corporate social responsibility and forward default risk under firm and industry heterogeneity
PublicationObjective: This study aims to evaluate the impact of corporate social responsibility on forward default risk (FDR) under the setting of firm and industry heterogeneity. Research Design & Methods: This study evaluated the impact of corporate social responsibility (CSR) on FDR using the data of 497 companies from 2007-2021 in the S&P 500 index, taking into account firm and industry heterogeneity aspects. This study utilized instrumental...
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Maritime transportation risk analysis: Review and analysis in light of some foundational issues
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Uncertainty in maritime risk analysis: Extended case study on chemical tanker collisions
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A model for performance assessment of damaged ships when using the risk-based method
PublicationW pracy omówiono metody oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym w warunkach operacyjnych. Przedstawiono metodę oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym opartą na analizie ryzyka. Przedstawiono model oceny zachowania się statku w stanie uszkodzonym, który jest oparty na tak zwanym quasi-dynamicznym modelu zatapiania statku. Omówiono elementy związane z analizą ryzyka i ocena bezpieczenstwa statków.
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Modeling of hazards, consequences and risk for safety assessment of ships in damaged conditions in operation
PublicationPraca dotyczy problematyki związanej z modelowaniem zagrożeń, konsekwencji i ryzyka, w metodzie oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym. Metoda oparta jest na podejściu zorientowanym na ocenę zachowania się statku i ocenę ryzyka wypadku. Kolejne moduły metody dotyczą identyfikacji zagrożeń i scenariuszy wypadków oraz oceny i kontroli ryzyka. Ocenę ryzyka można przeprowadzić przy zastosowaniu elementów metodyki Przypadku...
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Further evidence that oxidative stress may be a risk factor responsible for the development of atherosclerosis
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Life style and cardiovascular risk factors among students of Wroclaw postgraduate schools
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CDKN2A common variant and multi-organ cancer risk—a population-based study
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Germline mutations in theCHEK2 kinase gene are associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer
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A personalised approach to prostate cancer screening based on genotyping of risk founder alleles
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The phenomenon of HbA1c stability and the risk of hypoglycemia in long-standing type 1 diabetes
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The INTERSTROKE Study: hypertension is by far the most important modifiable risk factor for stroke
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Threat/risk assessment tool to assess vulnerability of Polish cities to Russian attacks
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Experimental analysis on the risk of vortex ventilation and the free surface ventilation of marine propellers
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Risk of Depression during Menopause in Women from Poland, Belarus, Belgium, and Greece
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Picking winners to pick your winners: The momentum effect in commodity risk factors
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Beware of the crash risk: Tail beta and the cross-section of stock returns in China
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Interdisciplinary risk analysis of construction investment and property value in the areas with mining impact
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Differentiation of Nutritional Risk among Polish Seniors Based on Selected Lifestyle Characteristics
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Evidence for interactions between homocysteine and genistein: insights into stroke risk and potential treatment
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