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Search results for: RISK EVALUATION
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Price nonsynchronicity, idiosyncratic risk, and expected stock returns in China
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Ship Collision Risk Assessment Based on Collision Detection Algorithm
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Tools for an Extended Risk Assessment for Ropax Ship-Ship Collision
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A risk-informed ship collision alert system: Framework and application
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Municipality’s financial potencial and policy of flood risk management in Poland
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Ambulatory blood pressure and long-term risk for atrial fibrillation
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Evaluating the risk of endometriosis based on patients’ self-assessment questionnaires
PublicationBackground Endometriosis is a condition that significantly affects the quality of life of about 10 % of reproductive-aged women. It is characterized by the presence of tissue similar to the uterine lining (endometrium) outside the uterus, which can lead lead scarring, adhesions, pain, and fertility issues. While numerous factors associated with endometriosis are documented, a wide range of symptoms may still be undiscovered. Methods In...
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Incorporation of human and organizational factors into qualitative and quantitative risk analyses.
PublicationArtykuł obejmuje aktualne zagadnienia dot. uwzględniania czynników ludzkich w analizie ryzyka i zarządzaniu bezpieczeństwem złożonych obiektów podwyższonego ryzyka. Podkreśla się rosnącą świadomość, że eksploatacja złożonych systemów wyposażonych w środki bezpieczeństwa i redundancyjne systemy sterowania / zabezpieczeń, może spowodować większą zależność systemów od czynników ludzkich i organizacyjnych.
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Quantitative Risk Assessment in Construction Disputes Based on Machine Learning Tools
PublicationA high monetary value of the construction projects is one of the reasons of frequent disputes between a general contractor (GC) and a client. A construction site is a unique, one-time, and single-product factory with many parties involved and dependent on each other. The organizational dependencies and their complexity make any fault or mistake propagate and influence the final result (delays, cost overruns). The constant will...
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Classification of Urban Regeneration Participants as a Basis for Identification of Construction Investment's Risk Sources
PublicationOn the basis of the conducted research it can be concluded that the majority of the existing urban regeneration problems are revealed by the lack of an in-depth analysis of sources and risk factors. For the above reasons, the subject of this study is classification of urban regeneration's participants as a basis for identification of construction investment's risk sources. The research methodology is based on an in-depth analysis...
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Risk Assessment Due To Customs Delays In Supply Chains By Fuzzy Logic
PublicationDue to violations of existing trade relations, cargo flows between the European Union and Ukraine have been redistributed. As a result, new supply chains have been created that have increased the tension on ground transport, including road and rail. Unfortunately, this has caused significant delays when crossing the border, which has led to a greater increase in the total delivery time of goods. Therefore, to plan for effective...
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Designing issues of the alarm system in context of functional safety and human factors
PublicationThis article addresses selected aspects of the alarm system and human factors that should be evaluated during the design and operation of an industrial hazardous installation. In such installations the layer of protection analysis (LOPA) methodology is often applied for simplified risk analysis based on defined accident scenarios. To reduce and control the risks the safety instrumented functions (SIFs) are identified and their...
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Methodology for assessing the lighting of pedestrian crossings based on light intensity parameters
PublicationOne of the possible preventive measures that could improve safety at crossings is to assess the state of illumination of the lighting installation located in the transition area for pedestrians. The City of Warsaw has undertaken to comprehensively assess the pedestrian crossings to determine the level of road safety and the condition of lighting. The lighting conditions related to pedestrian crossings without traffic lights in...
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The risk assessment of adverse events of nursing activities as the element of quality management in healhcare
PublicationThe purpose of the paper is to present MedCARVER+Shock method and Pareto analysis and its usability for the risk assessment of adverse events of nursing activities. 888 activities carried out by all 190 nurses working at the District Hospital X located in Poland were taken into account. During the research the qualitative approach was used. As the result sixteen groups of nursing activities causing the highest risk of adverse events...
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Prognostic and diagnostic capabilities of OOBN in assessing investment risk of complex construction projects
PublicationModelling decision problems using Bayesian networks is extremely valuable especially in case of issues related to uncertainty; it is also very helpful in constructing and understanding visual representation of the elements and their relations. This approach facilitates subsequent application of Bayesian networks, however there can be situations where using simple Bayesian networks is impractical or even ineffective. The aim of...
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FORECASTING EXCHANGE RATES IN THE PROCESS OF THE ASSESSMENT OF CONSUMER RISK BANKRUPTCY IN CENTRAL EUROPE
PublicationThis paper focuses on the issue of forecasting the fluctuation of exchange rates as part of the early warning system against the risk of consumer bankruptcy. The author identified the main macroeconomic factors affecting the level of bankruptcies for households in Poland. The fluctuation of exchange rates, which directly affects the deterioration of the economic situation of borrowers who have opened credit accounts in a foreign...
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Risk Diagnosis and Management with BBN for Civil Engineering Projects during Construction and Operation
PublicationThe authors demonstrate how expert knowledge about the construction and operation phases combined with monitoring data can be utilized for the diagnosis and management of risks typical to large civil engineering projects. The methodology chosen for estimating the probabilities of risk elements is known as Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN). Using a BBN model one can keep on updating the risk event probabilities as the new evidence...
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Preeclampsia Risk Prediction Using Machine Learning Methods Trained on Synthetic Data
PublicationThis paper describes a research study that investigates the use of machine learning algorithms on synthetic data to classify the risk of developing preeclampsia by pregnant women. Synthetic datasets were generated based on parameter distributions from three real patient studies. Four models were compared: XGBoost, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, and Explainable Boosting Machines (EBM). The study found that the XGBoost...
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Risk of power cables insulation failure due to the thermal effect of solar radiation
PublicationLow-voltage, as well as high-voltage power cable lines, are usually buried in the ground. The ampacity of the power cables in the ground mainly depends on the thermal resistivity of the soil, which may vary in a wide range. A common practice in power cable systems performance is to supply them from a pole of an overhead line. If so, a section of the line is located in free air and can be directly exposed to solar radiation. In...
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The effect of job-related stress on psychological well-being = Wpływ stresu zawodowego na dobrostan psychiczny
PublicationThe aim of the investigation was to evaluate the effect of job stress factors on psychological well-being of firemen. Goldberg's GHQ-12 for well-being evaluation, the Perceived Job Stress Questionnaire by Dudek et al. for job stress assessment, and indicator of participation in traumatic events were used. 19% of the firemen were qualified to the group with increased risk of mental disorders. Occupational stress had a strong impact...
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Multi-factor fuzzy sets decision system forecasting consumer insolvency risk
PublicationThe objective of this study is to develop a multi-factor decision system predicting insolvency risk for natural persons with the use of fuzzy sets. Considering that the financial situation of households is affected by various endogenous and exogenous factors, the main assumption of this study is that the system for predicting financial difficulties should not be limited to the use of only a few financial variables concerning consumers,...
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Expert systems in assessing the construction process safety taking account of the risk of disturbances
PublicationThe objective of the paper is to present the issue of safety manage-ment during the construction process. Threats in the form of disturb-ances may occur in the preparatory phase, during the execution of the construction project and also during its operational use. The arti-cle presents the concept of applying the methodology based, among others, on Learning Bayesian Networks, Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Machine,...
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Brachytherapy boost improves survival and decreases risk of developing distant metastases compared to external beam radiotherapy alone in intermediate and high risk group prostate cancer patients
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Exploring the relationship between investment choices, cognitive abilities risk attitudes and financial literacy
PublicationPurpose The main purpose of this study is to investigate the investment choices' relationship with cognitive abilities, risk aversion, risky investment intentions, subjective financial literacy and objective financial literacy. Design/methodology/approach To examine the relationship, two investment choices were given to 256 subjects from Pakistan. Questionnaire had total 20 questions for measuring five variables. To review this...
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Application of BN in Risk Diagnostics Arising from the Degree of Urban Regeneration Area Degradation
PublicationUrban regeneration as a complex project, generates many extremely specific threats affecting the increase of investment risk. Its unique nature causes that probability parameter, normally applied in the process of risk quantification, is extremely difficult to estimate. Due to lack of historical data urban regeneration related activities are therefore associated with uncertainty. According to the authors, a useful tool for resolving...
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Exposure scenario and risk assessment of infants and newborns to bisphenols and their derivatives from diapers
PublicationNewborns and infants are more sensitive to harmful compounds such as bisphenols and their derivatives because of their not fully developed detoxification mechanism. Exposure to these substances can lead to developmental problems and health consequences in adulthood. Since disposable baby diapers are used from the first days of life and remain in contact with the baby skin, it seems important to monitor the levels of endocrine disrupting chemicals...
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Ischemic stroke in general practice - risk factors, prognosis - prospective single center study
PublicationBackground. Ischemic stroke is one of the leading causes of death and disability in Poland, in the European Union and in the United States. Awareness related to the risk factors, particularly the modifiable ones, is of crucial importance in general practice and may improve early and long-term prognoses. Objectives. The aim of this study was to assess the risk factors and half-year survival rate in patients with ischemic stroke...
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Influence of Shunt Compensation with SVC Devices on Resonance Risk in Power Systems
PublicationMany analyses are required to locate a new reactive power source in a power system. The choice of a location is a very complex matter which requires various aspects to be considered. Selecting a location also entails the necessity to assess it from the point of view of the selected compensator’s structure as well as the system’s performance in various states with the new device on. The paper presents the issues of assessing compensator...
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The application of risk analysis in the assessment and management of road safety in road tunnels
PublicationTunele drogowe są najbardziej wrażliwymi za zakłócenia, spowodowane wypadkami drogowymi, elementami sieci drogowej. Najpoważniejszymi wypadkami w tych obiektach są zdarzenia z udziałem samochodów ciężarowych przewożących materiały niebezpieczne. Od kilku lat zatem rozwijane są w Europie metody analizy ryzyka i budowane narzedzia do zarządzania ryzykiem w tunelach drogowych. W Polsce zaczyna się budować tunele drogowe, a problem...
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Multi-Criteria Early Warning System Against Enteprise Bankruptcy Risk
PublicationW artykule tym autor porównuje skuteczność opracowanego przez niego wielokryterialnego systemu wczesnego ostrzegania firm z tradycyjnym modelem analizy dyskryminacyjnej prognozowania upadłości. System wczesnego ostrzegania oparty został na metodzie logiki rozmytej. Badania te są jedną z pierwszych prób na świecie wykorzystania logiki rozmytej w prognozowaniu zagrożenia bankructwem firm. Uzyskane wyniki świadczą o dużym potencjale...
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Methodology for incorporating the human and organizational factors inqualitative and quantative risk assessments
PublicationZaproponowano metodykę systematycznego uwzględniania czynników ludzkich i organizacyjnych w jakościowych i ilościowych modelach ryzyka stosując hierarchiczne diagramy wpływu (HID). Współczynniki wagowe i skalowe czynników wpływu w HID określone są odpowiednio na podstawie wiedzy ogólnej i audytu danego systemu. Metodykę zaimplementowano w programie komputerowym zaprojektowanym do obliczeń złożonych HID
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Risk analysis and functional safety assessment with regard to human andorganisational factors
PublicationReferat poświęcono wybranym zagadnieniom analizy ryzyka i zarządzania bezpieczeństwem funkcjonalnym systemów związanych z bezpieczeństwem. Systemy takie, zawierające coraz częściej jednostki programowalne, są potencjalnie narażone na błędy człowieka, które mają swoje źródło w uchybieniach organizacyjnych. W procesie analizy ryzyka takich systemów proponuje się stosować metody jakościowe i ilościowe. Potencjalne błędy człowieka...
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Challenges of the risk analysis of critical systems for insurance purposes under uncertainty
PublicationProponuje się metodę analizy ryzyka dla celów ubezpieczeniowych. Podkreśla się, że zarządzanie bezpieczeństwem systemów podwyższonego ryzyka i systemów krytycznych, obejmujące instrumenty Ubezpieczeniowe, wymaga stosowania odpowiednich metod szczególnej analizy ryzyka z uwzględnieniem problemu niepewności. Proponuje się podejście reprezentowania niepewności w ocenach ryzyka za pomocą przedziałów liczbowych, ogólnie przedziałów...
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The rs1447295 and DG8S737 markers on chromosome 8q24 and cancer risk in the Polish population
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A common nonsense mutation of the BLM gene and prostate cancer risk and survival
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MC1R common variants, CDKN2A and their association with melanoma and breast cancer risk
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Triple-objective models for portfolio optimisation with symmetric and percentile risk measures
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Air Pollution, Oxidative Stress, and the Risk of Development of Type 1 Diabetes
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A unified measure of collision risk derived from the concept of a ship domain
PublicationW artykule zaprezentowano nową miarę ryzyka kolizji dwóch statków, wywiedzioną z koncepcji domeny statku. Jej prostota oraz fakt, że uwzględnia ona kursy obydwu statków czynią ją dobrą alternatywą dla często stosowanego pojęcia odległości największego zbliżenia. Miara ta jest elastyczna, tzn. można korzystać z niej w powiązaniu z dowolną, zadaną domeną statku. Szczegółowo przedstawiono wyprowadzenia wszystkich niezbędnych wzorów...
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Protective Footwear And The Risk Of Slipping In Older Workers – Definitions, Achievements, Recommendations
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Spillover and risk transmission in the components of the term structure of eurozone yield curve
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Idiosyncratic risk and cross-section of stock returns in emerging European markets
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Idiosyncratic volatility and the cross-section of anomaly returns: is risk your Ally?
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Is tail risk priced in the cross-section of Chinese mutual fund returns?
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Decision Support Based on Optimal Collision Avoidance Path and Collision Risk
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Towards a Framework of Operational-Risk Assessment for a Maritime Autonomous Surface Ship
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A quantitative approach for risk assessment of a ship stuck in ice in Arctic waters
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Towards an evidence-based probabilistic risk model for ship-grounding accidents
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Adaptability of a socio-ecological system. The case of a polish municipality at risk of flood
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Expert consensus for the diagnosis and treatment of patient with hyperuricemia and high cardiovascular risk
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