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Search results for: INFLATION FORECAST TARGETING, INFLATION FORECAST, CREDIBILITY INDEX, INFLATION EXPECTATIONS
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Modeling process of planning finished product sales volumes at industrial enterprises in modern economic conditions
PublicationThis article presents improving the existing system of planning finished products sales volumes. The influencing factors of the sales volumes in modern economic conditions have been determined: falling world oil prices, the reduction of pipe consumption in the domestic market, the global pandemic. The algorithm of planning finished products sales volumes has been constructed. Calculations based on the Holt forecasting method has...
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Relationship between GIX, SIDX, and ROTI ionospheric indices and GNSS precise positioning results under geomagnetic storms
PublicationIonospheric indices give information about ionospheric perturbations, which may cause absorption, diffraction, refraction, and scattering of radio signals, including those from global navigation satellite systems (GNSS). Therefore, there may be a relationship between index values and GNSS positioning results. A thorough understanding of ionospheric indices and their relationship to positioning results can help monitor and forecast...
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The effects of selected factors on regional road fatalities – analysis of the Łódź region
PublicationAnalysis of regional accident records shows that a country’s national road safety programme does not have the same effect in each of its regions. What may be a serious problem in one region may be of marginal significance in another. Polish and international experience shows that main risk groups and types of accidents related to the level of development and quality of the road network differ from region to region. The conclusion...
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Sailing Vessel Routing Considering Safety Zone and Penalty Time for Altering Course
PublicationIn this paper we introduce new model for simulation sea vessel routing. Besides a vessel types (polar diagram) and weather forecast, travel security and the number of maneuvers are considered. Based on these data both the minimal travelling costs and the minimal processing time are found for different vessels and different routes. To test our model the applications SailingAssistance wad improved. The obtained results shows that...
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High-Resolution Discharge Forecasting for Snowmelt and Rainfall Mixed Events
PublicationDischarge events induced by mixture of snowmelt and rainfall are strongly nonlinear due to consequences of rain-on-snow phenomena and snowmelt dependence on energy balance. However, they received relatively little attention, especially in high-resolution discharge forecasting. In this study, we use Random Forests models for 24 h discharge forecasting in 1 h resolution in a 105.9 km 2 urbanized catchment in NE Poland: Biala River....
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Fire Weather Index data for Poland (March – September 2019) based on high-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting Model
Open Research DataThis dataset contains forecasted FWI indices calculated for the period: March 1 - September 30, 2019, based on the meteorological fields derived from the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) ver. 4.2.1. For each day FWI data with the forecast range equal 24 and 48 hour were stored in GeoTIFF files. In addition, soil moisture and temperature...
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Multi-factor fuzzy sets decision system forecasting consumer insolvency risk
PublicationThe objective of this study is to develop a multi-factor decision system predicting insolvency risk for natural persons with the use of fuzzy sets. Considering that the financial situation of households is affected by various endogenous and exogenous factors, the main assumption of this study is that the system for predicting financial difficulties should not be limited to the use of only a few financial variables concerning consumers,...
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Capacity analysis of the selected track system in partially ordered space
PublicationA proper location of the interval sections has significant impact on the traffic flow in the railway track network. This issue is critical during line modernization as well as when a new solution accounting for the traffic forecast at particular element of the railway track network is developed . However, the situation is more complex and more expensive for railway stations since improvement of the capacity requires critical organizational...
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System numerycznej prognozy pogody oparty na pakiecie WRF EMS
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono zagadnienia dotyczące wykorzystania systemów numerycznego prognozowania pogody przy pomocy oprogramowania wchodzącego w skład pakietu WRF EMS (ang. Weather Research and Forecast Environmental Modeling System). Artykuł opisuje podstawowe równania modelujące procesy w atmosferze oraz architekturę systemu numerycznego prognozowania pogody WRF EMS. Przedstawiono także architekturę prototypu systemu informacji...
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The impact of initial and boundary conditions on severe weather event simulations using a high-resolution WRF model. Case study of the derecho event in Poland on 11 August 2017
PublicationPrecise simulations of severe weather events are a challenge in the era of changing climate. By performing simulations correctly and accurately, these phenomena can be studied and better understood. In this paper, we have verified how different initial and boundary conditions affect the quality of simulations performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF). For our analysis, we chose...
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Lubichowska - Pomorska street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Lubichowska street. Date 06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Lubichowska and Pomorska street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki – Ignacego Paderewskiego street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Kościuszki and Paderewskiego street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Lubichowska – Kościuszki - Chojnicka street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Lubichowska street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Lubichowska Kościuszki and Chojnicka street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Pomorska - Pelplińska street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Pomorska street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Pomorska and Pelplińska street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Pomorska – Tadeusza Kościuszki street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Pomorska and Tadeusza Kościuszki street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Application of Support Vector Machine for Determination of Impact of Traffic-Induced Vibrations on Buildings
PublicationThe aim of the article is to present an algorithm of Support Vector Machine created to forecast the impact of traffic-induced vibrations on residential buildings. The method is designed to classify the object into one of two classes. The classification into the first class means that there is no impact of vibrations on the building, while classification to the second class indicates the possible influence and suggests the execution...
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki – Jana Sobieskiego street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Tadeusza Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Tadeusza Kościuszki and Jana Sobieskiego street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki - Pelplińska street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Tadeusza Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Tadeusza Kościuszki and Pelplińska street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki – aleja Jana Pawła II street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Kościuszki and Jana Pawła II street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Operational Enhancement of Numerical Weather Prediction with Data from Real-time Satellite Images
PublicationNumerical weather prediction (NWP) is a rapidly expanding field of science, which is related to meteorology, remote sensing and computer science. Authors present methods of enhancing WRF EMS (Weather Research and Forecast Environmental Modeling System) weather prediction system using data from satellites equipped with AMSU sensor (Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit). The data is acquired with Department of Geoinformatics’ ground...
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Pomorska – Aleja Jana Pawła II street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at aleja Jana Pawła II street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Pomorska and Aleja Jana Pawła II street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Aleja Niepodległości, Pomorska and Mikołaja Kopernika street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles.
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Aleja Niepodległości street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Aleja Niepodległości – Galeria Neptun street and Pomorska – Mikołaja Kopernika street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Net electricity production by fuel (2006-2030)
Open Research DataThis dataset presents the current structure of electricity sources and a forecast of the share of individual fuels in electricity production in Poland until 2030. First of all, it should be noted the constantly growing supply of electricity. It is related to the continuous economic development, increasing consumption both by enterprises and households.
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Application of Multivariate Analysis Methods in Welding Engineering
PublicationPhenomena and processes taking place during welding are usually very complex and, for this reason, should be described using multivariate methods. The article discusses the methodological basis and selected application areas as regards the solving of welding problems using statistical multivariate methods. In addition, the article presents exemplary applications of the design of experiment, multiple regression analysis, cluster...
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The multivariate multilevel analisis of different regional factors impact on road saferty in european country regions = Wielopoziomowa analiza wieloczynnikowa wpływu różnych charakterystyk regionalnych na poziom bezpieczeństwo ruchu w regionach krajów europejskich
PublicationIn this research, the effect of the European regional differences on the risk of been killed in road accident in these regions is investigated. Factors which differentiate regions can be described as automotive, economic, infrastructural, demographic, geographic. Analyzed risk, counted as regional fatality rate was modeled by the Poisson model. Because of regional diversity of Poisson distribution parameters, the Poisson distribution...
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Exergy and Energy Analyses of Microwave Dryer for Cantaloupe Slice and Prediction of Thermodynamic Parameters Using ANN and ANFIS Algorithms
PublicationThe study targeted towards drying of cantaloupe slices with various thicknesses in a microwave dryer. The experiments were carried out at three microwave powers of 180, 360, and 540 W and three thicknesses of 2, 4, and 6 mm for cantaloupe drying, and the weight variations were determined. Artificial neural networks (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS) were exploited to investigate energy and exergy indices of...
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ANALIZA PRZEPUSTOWOŚCI WYBRANEGO UKŁADU TOROWEGO W PRZESTRZENI CZĘŚCIOWO – UPORZĄDKOWANEJ
PublicationNa sieci kolejowej istotny wpływ na płynność ruchu mają odpowiednio usytuowane odcinki odstępowe. Z podobną sytuacją mamy do czynienia przy modernizacji stacji kolejowych i tworzeniu nowych rozwiązań, w których należy uwzględnić prognozy rozwoju ruchu na danym elemencie sieci kolejowej. Jednak w przypadku stacji sytuacja staje się dużo bardziej skomplikowana i kosztowna, gdyż poprawa przepustowości wymaga istotnych zmian organizacyjnych...
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Analysis and bioanalysis: an effective tool for data collection of environmental conditions and processes
PublicationReliable information that allows us to estimate the state of the environment and to forecast changes in the ecosystem are constantly required. Increasing environmental consciousness and dynamic development of analytical techniques are the main reasons for determining the wide range of pollutants occurring at very low concentrations in complex matrix samples. The presence and concentration of many of those pollutants in the environment...
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Framework for extracting rails and setting-out railway line axis based on UAV photogrammetric measurements
Open Research DataTechnical diagnostics enables assessing the current technical condition of a railway line and adjacent infrastructure, and to forecast its changes over a specific time horizon. One of its elements is the periodic monitoring of rail position and their geometry. The data set presents a new framework for the setting-out of a railway track axis. The process...
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Road safety information system in Poland - supporting tools and their development
PublicationAs a signatory to the UN Declaration on road safety and member of the EU, Poland has an obligation to comply with relevant EU policies and in particular to halve the overall number of road deaths by 2020. To monitor the progress in reaching the targets, the road safety situation must be evaluated and its processes understood. For this purpose regional and national road safety observatories were launched in Poland, which triggered...
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A multi-agent method for periodicity detection in distributed events
PublicationMulti-agent systems working in constantly changing environments may be challenged by instantaneous unavailability of their autonomous agents caused e.g. by limited computing resources. A new method of self-organization of distributed service components is proposed, suitable for multi-agent systems. This method relies on particular agents carrying out separate analyzes of their individual processing loads or other specific events....
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CUTTING POWER FORECASTING WHILE WOOD SAWING: FRACTURE MECHANICS APPROACH AND AXELSSON’S MODEL COMPARISON
PublicationIn the classical approach, energetic effects (cutting forces and cutting power) of wood sawing process are generally calculated on the basis of the specific cutting resistance, which is in the case of wood cutting the function of more or less important factors. On the other hand, cutting forces (power) could be considered from a point of view of modern fracture mechanics. Another way is to forecast cutting power consumption on...
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Management and economic of engineer projects
e-Learning CoursesLectures - 05 October-30 November, 2023 1. Project management: Engineers, projects, management, planning and scheduling, personnel and organizational, team building, project control, estimating and ordering. 2. Team building: personality types, team effectiveness. 3. Project management: WBS, Gantt, Earned Value Method, critical path, risk management. 4. Economic Engineering: Establishing economic equivalence, Interest: cost...
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Predicting the impact of traffic–induced vibrations on buildings using artificial neural networks
PublicationTraffic–induced vibrations may constitute a considerable load to a building, cause cracking of plaster, cracks in load–bearing elements or even a global structural collapse of the whole structure [1-4]. Vibrations measurements of real structures are costly and laborious, not justified in all cases. The aim of the paper is to create an original algorithm, to predict the negative dynamic impact on the examined residential building...
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Metodologia budowy modelu sieci połączonych systemów UCTE i obliczania wskaźników służączych do oceny zagrożeń współpracy systemu europejskiego.
PublicationLiberalizacja rynku energii doprowadziła do znacznego zwiększenia obrotów energią elektryczną pomiędzy systemami elektroenergetycznymi. Operatorzy Systemów Przesyłowych są zobligowania do prognozowania rozpływow mocy w połączonych systemach i identyfikowania zagrożeń systemowych nawet w cyklach dobowych - na dzień nastepny. w referacie zostana omówione elementy występujące w procesie tworzenia modelu sieci przesyłowej systemów...
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Methods of liquid biofuels production - the bioethanol example.
PublicationEthanol is used in chemical and food industry, mainly either in the synthesis or as a solvent. The newest application of ethanol is as a fuel. This alcohol, produced on an industrial scale from crop waste, is widely known under the name bioethanol. It could be used as a fuel by itself or in a mixture with gasoline. Today, there are several technologies for bioethanol production known. The relatively simple method of obtaining bioethanol...
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METHODS OF LIQUID BIOFUEL PRODUCTION – THE BIOETHANOL EXAMPLE
PublicationEthanol is used in chemical and food industry, mainly either in the synthesis or as a solvent. The newest application of ethanol is as a fuel. This alcohol, produced on an industrial scale from crop waste, is widely known under the name bioethanol. It could be used as a fuel by itself or in a mixture with gasoline. Today, there are several technologies for bioethanol production known. The relatively simple method of obtaining bioethanol...
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Simulations of the Derecho Event in Poland of 11th August 2017 Using WRF Model
PublicationThis series contains datasets related to the forecasting of a severe weather event, a derecho, in Poland on 11 August 2017. The simulations were conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.2.1 with different initial and boundary conditions of the pressure and model levels derived from 5 global models: Global Forecast System (GFS), Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS), European Centre for Medium-Range...
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The Dynamics of Trade Relations between Ukraine and Romania: Modelling and Forecasting
PublicationThe article examines the monthly dynamics of exports, imports and balance of trade between Ukraine and Romania in the period from 2005 to 2021. Time series from 2015 to 2021 were used for modelling and forecasting (since the date the European Union–Ukraine Association Agreement took effect). Adequate models of the dynamics series of the Box-Jenkins methodology were built: additive models with seasonal component ARIMA (Autoregressive...
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Comparison of Traffic Flow Models with Real Traffic Data Based on a Quantitative Assessment
PublicationThe fundamental relationship of traffic flow and bivariate relations between speed and flow, speed and density, and flow and density are of great importance in transportation engineering. Fundamental relationship models may be applied to assess and forecast traffic conditions at uninterrupted traffic flow facilities. The objective of the article was to analyze and compare existing models of the fundamental relationship. To that...
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Impact of digital technologies on reliability of risk forecasting models - case study of enterprises in three global financial market regions
PublicationThis chapter focuses on the evaluation of impact of ICT on reliability of financial risk forecasting models. Presented study shows how the development of ICT can improve the effectiveness of such models. Determining a firm’s financial risk is one of the most interesting topics for investors and decision-makers. The multifaceted goal of the presented research is to separately estimate five traditional statistical and five soft computing...
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LONG-TERM RISK CLASS MIGRATIONS OF NON-BANKRUPT AND BANKRUPT ENTERPRISES
PublicationThis paper investigates how the process of going bankrupt can be recognized much earlier by enterprises than by traditional forecasting models. The presented studies focus on the assessment of credit risk classes and on determination of the differences in risk class migrations between non-bankrupt enterprises and future insolvent firms. For this purpose, the author has developed a model of a Kohonen artificial neural network to...
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The Possibility of Phase Change Materials (PCM) Usage to Increase Efficiency of the Photovoltaic Modules
PublicationSolar energy is widely available, free and inexhaustible. Furthermore this source of energy is the most friendly to the environment. For direct conversion of solar energy into useful forms like of electricity and thermal energy, respectively photovoltaic cells and solar collectors are being used. Forecast indicate that the first one solution will soon have a significant part in meeting the global energy demand. Therefore it is...
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A survey on network resiliency methodologies against weather-based disruptions
PublicationDue to the increasing dependence on network services of our society, research has recently been concentrating on enhancing traditional protection strategies to withstand large-scale failures, as in case of disaster events. The recently-formed EU-funded RECODIS project aims at coordinating and fostering research collaboration in Europe on disaster resiliency in communication networks. In particular, the Working Group (WG) 2 of the...
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Machine-Learning Methods for Estimating Performance of Structural Concrete Members Reinforced with Fiber-Reinforced Polymers
PublicationIn recent years, fiber-reinforced polymers (FRP) in reinforced concrete (RC) members have gained significant attention due to their exceptional properties, including lightweight construction, high specific strength, and stiffness. These attributes have found application in structures, infrastructures, wind power equipment, and various advanced civil products. However, the production process and the extensive testing required for...
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Simulation of the derecho event in Poland of 11th August 2017 using the WRF model and GFS data as initial conditions
Open Research DataThis series contains datasets related to the forecasting of a severe weather event, a derecho, in Poland on 11 August 2017. The simulations were conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.2.1 with initial and boundary conditions from Global Forecast System (GFS). Simulation was performed for two starting hours: at 00:00...
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Ruchotwórczość wielkopowierzchniowych obiektów handlowych trzeciej generacji na przykładzie Trójmiasta
PublicationWielkopowierzchniowe obiekty (handlowe, usługowe itp.) generują ruch o dużych natężeniach, które często przekraczają możliwości przepustowe przyległego układu ulicznego. Wpływają w ten sposób na znaczne pogorszenie się warunków ruchu w najbliższym otoczeniu obiektu i zakłócenia w prawidłowym funkcjonowaniu systemu transportowego miasta. Wobec braku polskich doświadczeń konieczne jest badanie wpływu wybranych czynników demograficznych,...
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Influence of sensor design and optical properties of tissue on the photoplethysmographic signal
PublicationPhotopletysmography and an associated technique called pulse oximetry are still explored due to the expectations that they give a lot of information about the state of the patient and, also, due to the fact that they are non invasive. Knowledge about the impact of various parameters on the measured signal leads to a faster and a more reliable way of analyzing measurement results and finding the dependencies between the involved...
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Optimization issues in distributed computing systems design
PublicationIn recent years, we observe a growing interest focused on distributed computing systems. Both industry and academia require increasing computational power to process and analyze large amount of data, including significant areas like analysis of medical data, earthquake, or weather forecast. Since distributed computing systems – similar to computer networks – are vulnerable to failures, survivability mechanisms are indispensable...
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Novel Complementary Multiple Concentric Split Ring Resonator for Reliable Characterization of Dielectric Substrates with High Sensitivity
PublicationAccurate characterization of dielectric substrates with high sensitivity remains an important challenge in a variety of industrial applications. This paper proposes an innovative strategy to address this challenge by developing and optimizing a unique Complementary Multiple Concentric Split Ring Resonator (CMC-SRR). The major goal is to propose a sensor design with increased sensitivity and reliability for dielectric characterization....