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Search results for: Sociology of Risk
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The investment risk forecasting in a local energy market
PublicationThe paper considers the general problems faced when evaluating the risk of investing in a local energy market by computer tools. The proposal formulated for the emerging local energy markets suggests broadening the method of evaluating investment risk so as to include elements of cluster analysis. The paper also discusses the significance of estimating investment risk in market terms and the importance and range of the local energy...
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Traffic risk modelling using time-series
PublicationW referacie przedstawiono metodę prognozowania ryzyka w ruchu drogowym powstałą na bazie analizy szeregów czasowych. W jej oparciu dla danych o liczbie śmiertelnych ofiar wypadków drogowych w Polsce w latach 1989-2000 zbudowano model i wykonano prognozę rozwoju trendu w przyszłości.
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Risk Analysis by a Probabilistic Model of the Measurement Process
PublicationThe aim of the article is presentation of the testing methodology and results of examination the probabilistic model of the measurement process. The case study concerns the determination of the risk of an incorrect decision in the assessment of the compliance of products by measurement. Measurand is characterized by the generalized Rayleigh distribution. The model of the meas-urement process was tested in parallel mode by six risk...
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Risk assessment for tram traffic on tramway bridges
PublicationMiejski transport szynowy wielu miastach stanowi istotny element systemu transportowego i jest przestrzennie rozwijającym się systemem zapewniającym mieszkańcom codzienną obsługę transportową. Bezpieczeństwo pasażerów transportu szynowego i użytkowników dróg jest jednym z najważniejszych czynników, który należy uwzględnić w trakcie projektowania infrastruktury oraz w ocenie operacyjnej systemu miejskiego transportu tramwajowego....
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Collision Risk-Informed Weather Routing for Sailboats
PublicationSelected COLREG rules, good seamanship and sheer common sense indicate that it is in a sailboat's interest to follow collision-free routes without relying on large power-driven ships to give way. Until now, however, no method has integrated a sailboat's weather routing with collision risk monitoring and collision avoidance. Therefore, a new deterministic approach to combine the above features within one method is introduced here....
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A risk comparison framework for autonomous ships navigation
PublicationMaritime autonomous surface ships (MASS) may operate in three predefined operational modes (OM): manual, remote, or autonomous control. Determining the appropriate OM for MASS is important for operators and competent authorities that monitor and regulate maritime traffic in given areas. However, a science-based approach to this respect is currently unavailable. To assist the selection of the proper OM, this study presents a risk-based...
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Basics on Commodities Risk Management for Grains Trading
PublicationCelem artykułu jest określenie rodzajów grup ryzyka występujących na rynku zbóż oraz przedstawienie możliwości ograniczania wystąpienia zjawisk niepożądanych. Pojawia się kwestia: w jakim stopniu podmioty rynku zbóż, a w szczególności producenci, powinni sami neutralizować występujące ryzyko, a kiedy powinni oczekiwać wsparcia ze strony instytucji państwowych. Coraz powszechniej zastosowanie znajdują instrumenty finansowe w postaci...
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Sources of investment risk in urban regeneration projects
PublicationThe scope of the article includes multidimensional risk analysis of urban regeneration projects, whose base is to identify areas of its occurrence. Authors thoroughly analyze the sources of potential threats and attempts to answer the question, what is their contribution into overall urban regeneration’ investment risk. The target concept will be used to assess the level of investment risk at the stage of initiation, preparation...
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Environmental Risk Assessment of WWII Shipwreck pollution
PublicationThe pollution of the sea is a global problem that has arisen as a consequence of the industrialization of the world and the intense transportation of crude oil and the products of its refinement. As sailing vessels were replaced by motor propelled ships towards the end of the 19th century, a new source of sea water pollution came into being. Every emergency involving a tanker carrying crude oil and its products is a potential source...
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The trajectories of the financial crisis of companies at risk of bankruptcy
PublicationThis article concerns the assessment of the trajectory of the collapse of enterprises in Central Europe. The author has developed a model of a Kohonen artificial neural network. This model was used to determine 6 different classes of risk and was allowed to graphically determine the 5- to 10-year trajectory of going bankrupt. The study used data on 140 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. This population was divided into...
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TISAX - optimization of IT risk management in the automotive industry
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Uncertainty assessment in the safety and security oriented risk analyses
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono uwzględnienie oceny niepewności w procesie związanym z analizą ryzyka i analizą bezpieczeństwa oraz ochroną informacji. Przedstawiona została koncepcja oceny bezpieczeństwa i zarządzania ryzykiem z uwzględnieniem analizy warstw zabezpieczeń LOPA. W artykule nakreślono wyzwania związane z integracją podejścia oceny bezpieczeństwa (safety) i ochrony informacji (security) w projektowaniu systemów zabezpieczeń...
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Is geopolitical risk priced in the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns?
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Pet Ownership and the Risk of Arterial Hypertension and Cardiovascular Disease
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Downside Risk Approach for Multi-Objective Portfolio Optimization
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Arterial stiffness, central hemodynamics, and cardiovascular risk in hypertension
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Sleep apnea: epidemiology, pathophysiology, and relation to cardiovascular risk
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A Bi-Objective Portfolio Optimization with Conditional Value-at-Risk
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Plasma Lipid Composition and Risk of Developing Cardiovascular Disease
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Food safety of potato processed in the aspect of acrylamide risk
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A risk assessment of dietary exposure to ochratoxin A for the Polish population
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Risk assessment of biocides in roof paint. Part 1
PublicationSzereg pokryć dachowych, jak farby dachowe, zawiera w swoim składzie biocydy. Dotychczas nie wiadomo do jakiego stopnia biocydy wymywane są z farb dachowych, a ponadto jakie ich stężenie może występować w systemach zbierających wodę deszczową. Zbadano podatność na wymywanie biocydów z różnych niemieckich farb dachowych oraz oszacowano ich stężenie w zebranej wodzie deszczowej
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Dynamic risk assessment in autonomous vehicles motion planning
PublicationArguing that an autonomous mobile system is sufficiently safe to operate in presence of other vehicles and objects is an important element in development of such systems. Traditional approach to assure safety is to distinguish between safe and unsafe area and prevent the autonomous vehicle from entering the unsafe area. The paper presents a model of autonomous vehicle control system which uses risk assessment...
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Methodological issues of security vulnerability analysis and risk assessment
PublicationArtykuł przedstawia wybrane aspekty metodyczne związane z zarządzaniem bezpieczeństwem i ochroną instalacji podwyższonego ryzyka. Podkreślono, że występują instalacje podwyższonego ryzyka, które wymagają specjalnej uwagi w zarządzaniu bezpieczeństwem. Zaproponowano metodykę opartą na wiedzy do zintegrowanej analizy LOPA (warstw zabezpieczeń) i ROPA (pierścieni zabezpieczeń). Nadrzędnym celem jest opracowanie metod i narzędzi wspomagających...
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Supporting Navigator's Decisions By Visualizing Ship Collision Risk
PublicationW artykule wprowadzono metodę wizualizacji, która umożliwia nawigatorowi oszacowanie ryzyka kolizji i (w razie konieczności) wybór manewru antykolizyjnego. Metoda jest oparta na wcześniejszej metodzie CTPA, uwzględnia dowolną zadaną domenę statku i jest wystarczająco szybka do zastosowania w okrętowych systemach wspierania decyzji nawigatora.
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A Model of Risk for Assessment of Safety of Ships in Damaged Conditions
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A risk analysis of winter navigation in Finnish sea areas
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On a systematic perspective on risk for formal safety assessment (FSA)
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Predicting Risk of Collision for Oil Tankers in the Gulf of Finland
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Effect of increased protein intake on the risk of female infertility
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Current risk analysis and management issues in technical systems.
PublicationDealing with the reliability and safety of industrial hazardous plants requires taking into account relevant interdisciplinary scientific knowledge and some existing approaches based on so-called good engineering practice, also those included in the international standards and guidelines. In this article an approach is proposed how to integrate the functional safety concept with information security aspects in the design and management...
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The linkage between knowledge risk management and organizational performance
PublicationThe purpose of this study is to examine the effect of knowledge risk management (KRM) on organizational performance, with measures considered as “softer” measures of performance, i.e. innovativeness, responsiveness, sustainability, and agility. Data were collected using an online questionnaire sent to private and public orga- nizations located all over the world. The analysis and hypotheses testing were performed using structural...
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Assessing the Risk in Urban Public Transport for Epidemiologic Factors
PublicationPandemics have presented new challenges for public transport organisers and operators. New diseases (e.g., influenza H1N1, severe acute respiratory syndrome—SARS, as well as, more recently, SARS-CoV-2) increase the need for new protection measures to prevent epidemic outbreaks in public transport infrastructure. The authors’ goal is to present a set of actions in the area of public transport that are adjusted to different levels...
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An analysis of domain-based ship collision risk parameters
PublicationAccording to a lot of contemporary research on ship collision avoidance the classic approach parameters – distance at closest point of approach (DCPA) and time to the closest point of approach (TCPA) – are not sufficient for estimating ship collision risk and for planning evasive manoeuvres. Consequently new measures are introduced, often utilizing the concept of a ship domain. Their drawback, up to this point, was the lack of...
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Evaluation of the factors influencing business bankruptcy risk in Poland
PublicationThis article is devoted to the issue of assessing the causes of business failure. The presented studies answer two research questions – what are the causes of corporate bankruptcies in Poland and how to more efectively predict the scale of bankruptcies in the country. The author has conducted a study to analyze the specic endogenous and exogenous causes of company bankruptcy depending on the type of the bankruptcy with consideration...
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Pedestrian safety management using the risk-based approach
PublicationThe paper presents a concept of a multi-level pedestrian safety management system. Three management levels are distinguished: strategic, tactical and operational. The basis for the proposed approach to pedestrian safety management is a risk-based method. In the approach the elements of behavioural and systemic theories were used, allowing for the development of a formalised and repeatable procedure integrating the phases of risk...
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APPLICATION OF QUANTITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENT TO SHIPS IN EMERGENCY CONDITIONS
PublicationThe paper is devoted to safety of ships in emergency conditions. The currently valid prescriptive method of safety assessment of ships in damage conditions is included in the SOLAS 2009 Part B-2 Ch.II-1 regulations. It is devoted to the design stage and difficult to apply in operation. A possible alternative described in this paper is a method based on assessment of performance of ships and risk assessment. Type of risk evaluation...
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Providing for continuous risk management in distributed software projects.
PublicationArtykuł prezentuje koncepcję ciągłego zarządzania ryzykiem w rozproszonych projektach informatycznych. Proponowane podejście koncentruje się na dostarczeniu uczestnikom projektu szerokiego i łatwo dostępnego kanału komunikacyjnego, przez który mogą oni komunikować informację o ryzyku. Zebrane informacje mogą być później analizowane pod różnymi kątami tak, by wybrać największe zagrożenia dla projektu lub też by prześledzić...
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Risk-driven Software Process Improvement - a Case Study.
PublicationArtykuł przedstawia studium przypadku praktycznego zastosowania metody sterowanej ryzykiem poprawy procesów programowych w rzeczywistym projekcie informatycznym. Metoda zakłada jawne modelowanie procesu i jego braków (czynników ryzyka), a także wspiera ewolucję procesów. Ponadto zawiera dedykowane techniki identyfikacji ryzyka procesów oraz wywodzenia z niego sugestii poprawy procesów. Techniki te są wbudowane w cykliczną procedurę...
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Need for multiple risk reduction strategies in clinical trials enrolling high risk patients - FOURIER investigating PCSK-9 inhibitor to lower cholesterol revisited
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XPD Common Variants and their Association with Melanoma and Breast Cancer Risk
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Common variants of xeroderma pigmentosum genes and prostate cancer risk
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STATISTICAL EVALUATION OF FAMILIAL RISK FACTORS IN TYPE 1 DIABETES
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Towards the Development of a Risk Model for Unmanned Vessels Design and Operations
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Petrographic, mineralogical, and climatic analyses, and risk maps for conservation strategies
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Country Risk and Expected Returns across Global Equity Markets
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Risk-based explanation for the country-level size and value effects
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Price nonsynchronicity, idiosyncratic risk, and expected stock returns in China
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Ambulatory blood pressure and long-term risk for atrial fibrillation
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Risk Scoring Models for Trade Credit in Small and Medium Enterprises
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