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Wyniki wyszukiwania dla: INFLATION FORECAST TARGETING, INFLATION FORECAST, CREDIBILITY INDEX, INFLATION EXPECTATIONS
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Modeling process of planning finished product sales volumes at industrial enterprises in modern economic conditions
PublikacjaThis article presents improving the existing system of planning finished products sales volumes. The influencing factors of the sales volumes in modern economic conditions have been determined: falling world oil prices, the reduction of pipe consumption in the domestic market, the global pandemic. The algorithm of planning finished products sales volumes has been constructed. Calculations based on the Holt forecasting method has...
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Relationship between GIX, SIDX, and ROTI ionospheric indices and GNSS precise positioning results under geomagnetic storms
PublikacjaIonospheric indices give information about ionospheric perturbations, which may cause absorption, diffraction, refraction, and scattering of radio signals, including those from global navigation satellite systems (GNSS). Therefore, there may be a relationship between index values and GNSS positioning results. A thorough understanding of ionospheric indices and their relationship to positioning results can help monitor and forecast...
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The effects of selected factors on regional road fatalities – analysis of the Łódź region
PublikacjaAnalysis of regional accident records shows that a country’s national road safety programme does not have the same effect in each of its regions. What may be a serious problem in one region may be of marginal significance in another. Polish and international experience shows that main risk groups and types of accidents related to the level of development and quality of the road network differ from region to region. The conclusion...
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Forecasting of retail prices of liquid fuels in Poland
PublikacjaMotivation: In recent years, the prices of liquid fuels in Poland have been rising , negatively affecting the country’s economy and the daily life of its inhabitants. Consequently, there is a need for effective forecasting of prices in fuel markets, as this could enable entrepreneurs and consumers to make more informed decisions. Aim: The objective of the article was to forecast the retail prices of EU95 petrol and diesel fuel...
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Sailing Vessel Routing Considering Safety Zone and Penalty Time for Altering Course
PublikacjaIn this paper we introduce new model for simulation sea vessel routing. Besides a vessel types (polar diagram) and weather forecast, travel security and the number of maneuvers are considered. Based on these data both the minimal travelling costs and the minimal processing time are found for different vessels and different routes. To test our model the applications SailingAssistance wad improved. The obtained results shows that...
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Fire Weather Index data for Poland (March – September 2019) based on high-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting Model
Dane BadawczeThis dataset contains forecasted FWI indices calculated for the period: March 1 - September 30, 2019, based on the meteorological fields derived from the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) ver. 4.2.1. For each day FWI data with the forecast range equal 24 and 48 hour were stored in GeoTIFF files. In addition, soil moisture and temperature...
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High-Resolution Discharge Forecasting for Snowmelt and Rainfall Mixed Events
PublikacjaDischarge events induced by mixture of snowmelt and rainfall are strongly nonlinear due to consequences of rain-on-snow phenomena and snowmelt dependence on energy balance. However, they received relatively little attention, especially in high-resolution discharge forecasting. In this study, we use Random Forests models for 24 h discharge forecasting in 1 h resolution in a 105.9 km 2 urbanized catchment in NE Poland: Biala River....
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Multi-factor fuzzy sets decision system forecasting consumer insolvency risk
PublikacjaThe objective of this study is to develop a multi-factor decision system predicting insolvency risk for natural persons with the use of fuzzy sets. Considering that the financial situation of households is affected by various endogenous and exogenous factors, the main assumption of this study is that the system for predicting financial difficulties should not be limited to the use of only a few financial variables concerning consumers,...
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Capacity analysis of the selected track system in partially ordered space
PublikacjaA proper location of the interval sections has significant impact on the traffic flow in the railway track network. This issue is critical during line modernization as well as when a new solution accounting for the traffic forecast at particular element of the railway track network is developed . However, the situation is more complex and more expensive for railway stations since improvement of the capacity requires critical organizational...
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System numerycznej prognozy pogody oparty na pakiecie WRF EMS
PublikacjaW artykule przedstawiono zagadnienia dotyczące wykorzystania systemów numerycznego prognozowania pogody przy pomocy oprogramowania wchodzącego w skład pakietu WRF EMS (ang. Weather Research and Forecast Environmental Modeling System). Artykuł opisuje podstawowe równania modelujące procesy w atmosferze oraz architekturę systemu numerycznego prognozowania pogody WRF EMS. Przedstawiono także architekturę prototypu systemu informacji...
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The impact of initial and boundary conditions on severe weather event simulations using a high-resolution WRF model. Case study of the derecho event in Poland on 11 August 2017
PublikacjaPrecise simulations of severe weather events are a challenge in the era of changing climate. By performing simulations correctly and accurately, these phenomena can be studied and better understood. In this paper, we have verified how different initial and boundary conditions affect the quality of simulations performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF). For our analysis, we chose...
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Lubichowska - Pomorska street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Lubichowska street. Date 06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Lubichowska and Pomorska street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki – Ignacego Paderewskiego street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Kościuszki and Paderewskiego street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Lubichowska – Kościuszki - Chojnicka street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Lubichowska street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Lubichowska Kościuszki and Chojnicka street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Pomorska - Pelplińska street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Pomorska street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Pomorska and Pelplińska street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Pomorska – Tadeusza Kościuszki street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Pomorska and Tadeusza Kościuszki street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki – Jana Sobieskiego street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Tadeusza Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Tadeusza Kościuszki and Jana Sobieskiego street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki - Pelplińska street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Tadeusza Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Tadeusza Kościuszki and Pelplińska street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki – aleja Jana Pawła II street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Kościuszki and Jana Pawła II street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Application of Support Vector Machine for Determination of Impact of Traffic-Induced Vibrations on Buildings
PublikacjaThe aim of the article is to present an algorithm of Support Vector Machine created to forecast the impact of traffic-induced vibrations on residential buildings. The method is designed to classify the object into one of two classes. The classification into the first class means that there is no impact of vibrations on the building, while classification to the second class indicates the possible influence and suggests the execution...
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Pomorska – Aleja Jana Pawła II street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at aleja Jana Pawła II street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Pomorska and Aleja Jana Pawła II street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Operational Enhancement of Numerical Weather Prediction with Data from Real-time Satellite Images
PublikacjaNumerical weather prediction (NWP) is a rapidly expanding field of science, which is related to meteorology, remote sensing and computer science. Authors present methods of enhancing WRF EMS (Weather Research and Forecast Environmental Modeling System) weather prediction system using data from satellites equipped with AMSU sensor (Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit). The data is acquired with Department of Geoinformatics’ ground...
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Aleja Niepodległości, Pomorska and Mikołaja Kopernika street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles.
Dane BadawczeThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Aleja Niepodległości street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Aleja Niepodległości – Galeria Neptun street and Pomorska – Mikołaja Kopernika street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Net electricity production by fuel (2006-2030)
Dane BadawczeThis dataset presents the current structure of electricity sources and a forecast of the share of individual fuels in electricity production in Poland until 2030. First of all, it should be noted the constantly growing supply of electricity. It is related to the continuous economic development, increasing consumption both by enterprises and households.
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Application of Multivariate Analysis Methods in Welding Engineering
PublikacjaPhenomena and processes taking place during welding are usually very complex and, for this reason, should be described using multivariate methods. The article discusses the methodological basis and selected application areas as regards the solving of welding problems using statistical multivariate methods. In addition, the article presents exemplary applications of the design of experiment, multiple regression analysis, cluster...
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The multivariate multilevel analisis of different regional factors impact on road saferty in european country regions = Wielopoziomowa analiza wieloczynnikowa wpływu różnych charakterystyk regionalnych na poziom bezpieczeństwo ruchu w regionach krajów europejskich
PublikacjaIn this research, the effect of the European regional differences on the risk of been killed in road accident in these regions is investigated. Factors which differentiate regions can be described as automotive, economic, infrastructural, demographic, geographic. Analyzed risk, counted as regional fatality rate was modeled by the Poisson model. Because of regional diversity of Poisson distribution parameters, the Poisson distribution...
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Exergy and Energy Analyses of Microwave Dryer for Cantaloupe Slice and Prediction of Thermodynamic Parameters Using ANN and ANFIS Algorithms
PublikacjaThe study targeted towards drying of cantaloupe slices with various thicknesses in a microwave dryer. The experiments were carried out at three microwave powers of 180, 360, and 540 W and three thicknesses of 2, 4, and 6 mm for cantaloupe drying, and the weight variations were determined. Artificial neural networks (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS) were exploited to investigate energy and exergy indices of...
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ANALIZA PRZEPUSTOWOŚCI WYBRANEGO UKŁADU TOROWEGO W PRZESTRZENI CZĘŚCIOWO – UPORZĄDKOWANEJ
PublikacjaNa sieci kolejowej istotny wpływ na płynność ruchu mają odpowiednio usytuowane odcinki odstępowe. Z podobną sytuacją mamy do czynienia przy modernizacji stacji kolejowych i tworzeniu nowych rozwiązań, w których należy uwzględnić prognozy rozwoju ruchu na danym elemencie sieci kolejowej. Jednak w przypadku stacji sytuacja staje się dużo bardziej skomplikowana i kosztowna, gdyż poprawa przepustowości wymaga istotnych zmian organizacyjnych...
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Analysis and bioanalysis: an effective tool for data collection of environmental conditions and processes
PublikacjaReliable information that allows us to estimate the state of the environment and to forecast changes in the ecosystem are constantly required. Increasing environmental consciousness and dynamic development of analytical techniques are the main reasons for determining the wide range of pollutants occurring at very low concentrations in complex matrix samples. The presence and concentration of many of those pollutants in the environment...
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Framework for extracting rails and setting-out railway line axis based on UAV photogrammetric measurements
Dane BadawczeTechnical diagnostics enables assessing the current technical condition of a railway line and adjacent infrastructure, and to forecast its changes over a specific time horizon. One of its elements is the periodic monitoring of rail position and their geometry. The data set presents a new framework for the setting-out of a railway track axis. The process...
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CUTTING POWER FORECASTING WHILE WOOD SAWING: FRACTURE MECHANICS APPROACH AND AXELSSON’S MODEL COMPARISON
PublikacjaIn the classical approach, energetic effects (cutting forces and cutting power) of wood sawing process are generally calculated on the basis of the specific cutting resistance, which is in the case of wood cutting the function of more or less important factors. On the other hand, cutting forces (power) could be considered from a point of view of modern fracture mechanics. Another way is to forecast cutting power consumption on...
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A multi-agent method for periodicity detection in distributed events
PublikacjaMulti-agent systems working in constantly changing environments may be challenged by instantaneous unavailability of their autonomous agents caused e.g. by limited computing resources. A new method of self-organization of distributed service components is proposed, suitable for multi-agent systems. This method relies on particular agents carrying out separate analyzes of their individual processing loads or other specific events....
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Road safety information system in Poland - supporting tools and their development
PublikacjaAs a signatory to the UN Declaration on road safety and member of the EU, Poland has an obligation to comply with relevant EU policies and in particular to halve the overall number of road deaths by 2020. To monitor the progress in reaching the targets, the road safety situation must be evaluated and its processes understood. For this purpose regional and national road safety observatories were launched in Poland, which triggered...
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Management and economic of engineer projects
Kursy OnlineLectures - 05 October-30 November, 2023 1. Project management: Engineers, projects, management, planning and scheduling, personnel and organizational, team building, project control, estimating and ordering. 2. Team building: personality types, team effectiveness. 3. Project management: WBS, Gantt, Earned Value Method, critical path, risk management. 4. Economic Engineering: Establishing economic equivalence, Interest: cost...
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Metodologia budowy modelu sieci połączonych systemów UCTE i obliczania wskaźników służączych do oceny zagrożeń współpracy systemu europejskiego.
PublikacjaLiberalizacja rynku energii doprowadziła do znacznego zwiększenia obrotów energią elektryczną pomiędzy systemami elektroenergetycznymi. Operatorzy Systemów Przesyłowych są zobligowania do prognozowania rozpływow mocy w połączonych systemach i identyfikowania zagrożeń systemowych nawet w cyklach dobowych - na dzień nastepny. w referacie zostana omówione elementy występujące w procesie tworzenia modelu sieci przesyłowej systemów...
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Predicting the impact of traffic–induced vibrations on buildings using artificial neural networks
PublikacjaTraffic–induced vibrations may constitute a considerable load to a building, cause cracking of plaster, cracks in load–bearing elements or even a global structural collapse of the whole structure [1-4]. Vibrations measurements of real structures are costly and laborious, not justified in all cases. The aim of the paper is to create an original algorithm, to predict the negative dynamic impact on the examined residential building...
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Data-driven Models for Predicting Compressive Strength of 3D-printed Fiber-Reinforced Concrete using Interpretable Machine Learning Algorithms
Publikacja3D printing technology is growing swiftly in the construction sector due to its numerous benefits, such as intricate designs, quicker construction, waste reduction, environmental friendliness, cost savings, and enhanced safety. Nevertheless, optimizing the concrete mix for 3D printing is a challenging task due to the numerous factors involved, requiring extensive experimentation. Therefore, this study used three machine learning...
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Simulations of the Derecho Event in Poland of 11th August 2017 Using WRF Model
PublikacjaThis series contains datasets related to the forecasting of a severe weather event, a derecho, in Poland on 11 August 2017. The simulations were conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.2.1 with different initial and boundary conditions of the pressure and model levels derived from 5 global models: Global Forecast System (GFS), Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS), European Centre for Medium-Range...
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Comparison of Traffic Flow Models with Real Traffic Data Based on a Quantitative Assessment
PublikacjaThe fundamental relationship of traffic flow and bivariate relations between speed and flow, speed and density, and flow and density are of great importance in transportation engineering. Fundamental relationship models may be applied to assess and forecast traffic conditions at uninterrupted traffic flow facilities. The objective of the article was to analyze and compare existing models of the fundamental relationship. To that...
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Impact of digital technologies on reliability of risk forecasting models - case study of enterprises in three global financial market regions
PublikacjaThis chapter focuses on the evaluation of impact of ICT on reliability of financial risk forecasting models. Presented study shows how the development of ICT can improve the effectiveness of such models. Determining a firm’s financial risk is one of the most interesting topics for investors and decision-makers. The multifaceted goal of the presented research is to separately estimate five traditional statistical and five soft computing...
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Methods of liquid biofuels production - the bioethanol example.
PublikacjaEthanol is used in chemical and food industry, mainly either in the synthesis or as a solvent. The newest application of ethanol is as a fuel. This alcohol, produced on an industrial scale from crop waste, is widely known under the name bioethanol. It could be used as a fuel by itself or in a mixture with gasoline. Today, there are several technologies for bioethanol production known. The relatively simple method of obtaining bioethanol...
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METHODS OF LIQUID BIOFUEL PRODUCTION – THE BIOETHANOL EXAMPLE
PublikacjaEthanol is used in chemical and food industry, mainly either in the synthesis or as a solvent. The newest application of ethanol is as a fuel. This alcohol, produced on an industrial scale from crop waste, is widely known under the name bioethanol. It could be used as a fuel by itself or in a mixture with gasoline. Today, there are several technologies for bioethanol production known. The relatively simple method of obtaining bioethanol...
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The Dynamics of Trade Relations between Ukraine and Romania: Modelling and Forecasting
PublikacjaThe article examines the monthly dynamics of exports, imports and balance of trade between Ukraine and Romania in the period from 2005 to 2021. Time series from 2015 to 2021 were used for modelling and forecasting (since the date the European Union–Ukraine Association Agreement took effect). Adequate models of the dynamics series of the Box-Jenkins methodology were built: additive models with seasonal component ARIMA (Autoregressive...
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LONG-TERM RISK CLASS MIGRATIONS OF NON-BANKRUPT AND BANKRUPT ENTERPRISES
PublikacjaThis paper investigates how the process of going bankrupt can be recognized much earlier by enterprises than by traditional forecasting models. The presented studies focus on the assessment of credit risk classes and on determination of the differences in risk class migrations between non-bankrupt enterprises and future insolvent firms. For this purpose, the author has developed a model of a Kohonen artificial neural network to...
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The Possibility of Phase Change Materials (PCM) Usage to Increase Efficiency of the Photovoltaic Modules
PublikacjaSolar energy is widely available, free and inexhaustible. Furthermore this source of energy is the most friendly to the environment. For direct conversion of solar energy into useful forms like of electricity and thermal energy, respectively photovoltaic cells and solar collectors are being used. Forecast indicate that the first one solution will soon have a significant part in meeting the global energy demand. Therefore it is...
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A survey on network resiliency methodologies against weather-based disruptions
PublikacjaDue to the increasing dependence on network services of our society, research has recently been concentrating on enhancing traditional protection strategies to withstand large-scale failures, as in case of disaster events. The recently-formed EU-funded RECODIS project aims at coordinating and fostering research collaboration in Europe on disaster resiliency in communication networks. In particular, the Working Group (WG) 2 of the...
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Machine-Learning Methods for Estimating Performance of Structural Concrete Members Reinforced with Fiber-Reinforced Polymers
PublikacjaIn recent years, fiber-reinforced polymers (FRP) in reinforced concrete (RC) members have gained significant attention due to their exceptional properties, including lightweight construction, high specific strength, and stiffness. These attributes have found application in structures, infrastructures, wind power equipment, and various advanced civil products. However, the production process and the extensive testing required for...
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Simulation of the derecho event in Poland of 11th August 2017 using the WRF model and GFS data as initial conditions
Dane BadawczeThis series contains datasets related to the forecasting of a severe weather event, a derecho, in Poland on 11 August 2017. The simulations were conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.2.1 with initial and boundary conditions from Global Forecast System (GFS). Simulation was performed for two starting hours: at 00:00...
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Ruchotwórczość wielkopowierzchniowych obiektów handlowych trzeciej generacji na przykładzie Trójmiasta
PublikacjaWielkopowierzchniowe obiekty (handlowe, usługowe itp.) generują ruch o dużych natężeniach, które często przekraczają możliwości przepustowe przyległego układu ulicznego. Wpływają w ten sposób na znaczne pogorszenie się warunków ruchu w najbliższym otoczeniu obiektu i zakłócenia w prawidłowym funkcjonowaniu systemu transportowego miasta. Wobec braku polskich doświadczeń konieczne jest badanie wpływu wybranych czynników demograficznych,...
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Influence of sensor design and optical properties of tissue on the photoplethysmographic signal
PublikacjaPhotopletysmography and an associated technique called pulse oximetry are still explored due to the expectations that they give a lot of information about the state of the patient and, also, due to the fact that they are non invasive. Knowledge about the impact of various parameters on the measured signal leads to a faster and a more reliable way of analyzing measurement results and finding the dependencies between the involved...