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Search results for: DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS, FINANCIAL RATIOS, FUZZY LOGIC, FORECASTING, FINANCIAL CRISIS
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Applying Fuzzy Logic of Expert Knowledge for Accurate Predictive Algorithms of Customer Traffic Flows in Theme Parks
PublicationThis study analyzes two forecasting models based on the application of fuzzy logic and evaluates their effectiveness in predicting visitor expenditure and length of stay at a popular theme park. The forecasting models are based on a set of more than 600 decision rules constructed in the form of a complex series of IF-THEN statements. These algorithms store expert knowledge. A descriptive instrument that records the individual visitor's...
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Improving the regulation of the derivatives market as an objective prerequisite for sustainable development of the global financial system
PublicationThe development of financial markets is characterized by the emergence of new financial instruments, in particular derivatives, the risk level analysis of which is complicated. Counterparties are not always fully aware of and do not adequately assess the potential risks of derivatives, which may lead to large financial losses and sometimes bankruptcies. The purpose of the study is to generalize approaches to regulating derivative...
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Early warning models against bankruptcy risk for Central European and Latin American enterprises
PublicationThis article is devoted to the issue of forecasting the bankruptcy risk of enterprises in Latin America and Central Europe. The author has used statistical and soft computing methods to program the prediction models. It compares the effectiveness of twelve different early warningmodels for forecasting the bankruptcy risk of companies. In the research conducted, the author used data on 185 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange...
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Students receiving scholarships in 1990-2011
Open Research DataSince 2005, the financial support system for students has been operating on the basis of on the Act of 27 July 2005, the Law on Higher Education (Journal of Laws No. 164, item 1365), as amended, and detailed regulations for determining the amount, awarding and payment of financial assistance benefits for students determined by rectors in consultation...
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Anna Rzeczycka dr hab.
PeopleAnna Rzeczycka is the deputy head of the Department of Finance at the Faculty of Economics and Management of the Gdańsk University of Technology. Publications are situated in the field of social sciences in the discipline of economics and finance. They include books, monographs, articles, publications and scientific editions of monographs and scientific journals. In terms of numbers, it includes the following items: 12 monographs...
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Knowledge Management for Managing Crisis in Tourism: Theoretical insights
PublicationCOVID-19 has caused an unprecedented crisis affecting the entire tourism industry. Accommodation, food, and travel sectors have been affected by the decreased number of visitors, which had a ripple effect on the financial situation of the whole industry. The purpose of this work is a better understanding of the role of knowledge management in terms of mitigating the crisis in the tourism sector, as well as a development of the...
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Public Finance in Poland in a COVID Fog: A Look Through the Lens of Fiscal Transparency and Accountability
PublicationAbstract. Goal– The aim of the article is to identify dysfunctional phenomena (implementation of specific mechanisms/solutions and actions taken), generating increased opacity and limit the responsibility/accountability of public f inance in Poland, exacerbated by the COVID-19 crisis. Methods– descriptive analysis, comparative analysis and financial analysis methods were used. Results– fiscal transparency and accountability in...
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Financial Analysis exercises - New (copy)
e-Learning CoursesTo obtain theoretical and practical experience of financial and economic analysis. Methods of economic analysis: Elements of production and human resources analysis, tangible assets analysis, inventory analysis, which would enable to understand the business case, to measure them and find suitable decision. To obtain theoretical and practical experience of financial analysis.
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Financial Analysis exercises - New
e-Learning CoursesTo obtain theoretical and practical experience of financial and economic analysis. Methods of economic analysis: Elements of production and human resources analysis, tangible assets analysis, inventory analysis, which would enable to understand the business case, to measure them and find suitable decision. To obtain theoretical and practical experience of financial analysis.
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Multi-region fuzzy logic controller with local PID controllers for U-tube steam generator in nuclear power plant
PublicationIn the paper, analysis of multi-region fuzzy logic controller with local PID controllers for steam generator of pressurized water reactor (PWR) working in wide range of thermal power changes is presented. The U-tube steam generator has a nonlinear dynamics depending on thermal power transferred from coolant of the primary loop of the PWR plant. Control of water level in the steam generator conducted by a traditional PID controller...
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Is Artificial Intelligence Ready to Assess an Enterprise’s Financial Security?
PublicationThis study contributes to the literature on financial security by highlighting the relevance of the perceptions and resulting professional judgment of stakeholders. Assessing a company’s financial security using only economic indicators—as suggested in the existing literature—would be inaccurate when undertaking a comprehensive study of financial security. Specifically, indices and indicators based on financial or managerial reporting...
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Annual growth of House price index in European Union in 2006-2017
Open Research DataThe financial crisis of 2008 has caused a number of changes in the investment of both companies and individuals. One of the widely invested assets became the real estate market. The decline in real estate prices was noted in 2009 and 2012-2014. The highest decrease in property prices was indicated in Bulgaria, Ireland, Lithuania, Latvia, Slovakia and...
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Credit default swaps and banks
PublicationThis chapter aims to explore the evolving role of credit default swaps (CDS) in managing and transferring default risk from the perspective of banks from a holistic perspective. This chapter examines credit default swaps (CDSs) as derivative financial instruments that transfer credit risk on debt securities. While CDSs offer benefits such as risk management and risk trading, they also introduce potential systemic risks, as evidenced...
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Kształtowanie wartości wskaźników wspomagania finan-sowego przez ponadprzeciętnie rentowne MSP w okresie dobrej i złej koniunktury gospodarczej
PublicationW artykule porównano kształtowanie wartości wskaźników z obszaru wspomagania finansowego przez ponadprzeciętnie rentowne MSP w okresie dobrej i złej koniunktury gospodarczej. Celem przeprowadzonych badań było ponadto zaproponowanie przedziałów wartości rekomendowanych dla wskaźników z obszaru wspomagania finansowego, z osobna dla okresu dobrej jak i złej koniunktury gospodarczej. W trakcie przepro-wadzonych badań uwzględniono...
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Interactive information and decision support system for urban and industrial air quality management based on multi-agent system
PublicationThis article presents conception of interactive information and decision support system for urban and industrial air quality management. The emphasis of the project is on real-time analysis and multi-media information, and the support of distributed and mobile clients through the Internet. The approach integrates meteorological data and forecasts, air quality and emission monitoring, dynamic 3D simulation modelling and forecasting,...
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Assessment of Trajectories of Non-bankrupt and Bankrupt Enterprises
PublicationThe aim of this study is to show how long-term trajectories of enterprises can be used to increase the forecasting horizon of bankruptcy prediction models. The author used seven popular forecasting models (two from Europe, two from Asia, two from North America and one from Latin America). These models (five multivariate discriminant analysis models and two logit models) were used to develop 17-year trajectories separately for non-bankrupt...
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Conference of the International Society for Decision Support Systems
Conferences -
Diamond investments – Is the market free from multiple price bubbles?
PublicationThe following study aims to investigate whether multiple price bubbles, in which the quoted market price of diamonds significantly deviates from their fundamental value, exist in the diamond market. It was conducted using ADF, SADF and GSADF tests, with the latter found to be an optimal form of evaluating the analysed issue. The presented results support the conclusion that the diamond market is not free from periods defined as...
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ASSESSMENT OF FINANCIAL SECURITY OF AN ENTERPRISE ON THE BASIS OF BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS
PublicationThe article substantiates that the level of company’s financial security depends not so much on the indicators of its activity, but on its perception of decision-makers and other stakeholders. At the same time, this perception is formed due to the continuous participation of the stakeholder in operations, constant monitoring of financial indicators, the study of current approaches to enterprise management, changes in the environment,...
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CERGE-EI, 16th Annual Regional Research Competition “Reshaping financial systems - identifying the role of ICT in diffusion of financial innovations. Recent evidence from European countries”
ProjectsProject realized in Gdańsk University of Technology according to CERGE_GDN agreement from 2016-01-01
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Application of artificial intelligence into/for control of flexible manufacturing cell
PublicationThe application of artificial intelligence in technological processes control is usually limited. One problem is how to respond to changes in the environment of manufacturing system. A way to overcome the above shortcoming is to use fuzzy logic for representation of the inexact information. In this paper fundamentals of artificial intelligence and fuzzy logic are introduced from a theoretical point of view. Still more the fuzzy...
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Tax Policy Tools of Selected European Countries as a Mechanism for Counteracting the Effects of the Crisis Caused by the COVID-19 Disease Pandemic
PublicationCrises play an important role in a economics life. They are common and it is impossible to omit them. This following study investigates the concept of ‘crisis’ in the context of economic situation. This text describes the most important financial crises that took place in the past. After that authors passes on a detailed analysis of the actual corona-crisis and the way that it affects the economy globally. The main goal of this...
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Role patterns in IT projects teams - design of a selection module using fuzzy logic techniques
PublicationPresented paper introduces an approach based on usage of role patterns and modelling by the use of fuzzy logic tool for selection process with limitation to the area of IT projects environment. The article shows a concept of role patterns structures and their further usage in process of forming a fuzzy model dedicated to candidate assessment process support
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Hybrid fuzzy-ontological project framework of a team work simulation system
PublicationThe aim of this article is to present the project framework for constructing a Software Process Simulation Modeling (SPSM) system. SPSM systems can be used as a virtual environment for the selection of methods and tools of project management in IT support organizations. The constructed system simulates the Scrum methodology, including the management processes and the project roles. For the implementation of Scrum processes, the...
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Comparison of Poland, Germany and the European average using the components of the summary innovation index
Open Research DataThe analysis presents a comparison of the innovation policies of Poland and Germany using all the indicators included in the Summary Innovation Index (SII), then the obtained results were analyzed and conclusions were formulated.The indicators are divided into three main categories, each group of indicators shows a different aspect of the innovativeness...
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Geoscience Methods in Real Estate Market Analyses Subjectivity Decrease
PublicationReal estate management, including real estate market analysis, is part of a so-called geosystem. In recent years, the popularity of creating various types of systems and automatic solutions in real estate management, including those related to property classification and valuation, has been growing in the world, mainly to reduce the impact of human subjectivity, to increase the scope of analyses and reduce research time. A very...
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Optimization of Division and Reconfiguration Locations of the Medium-Voltage Power Grid Based on Forecasting the Level of Load and Generation from Renewable Energy Sources
PublicationThe article addresses challenges in optimizing the operation of medium voltage networks, emphasizing optimizing network division points and selecting the best network configuration for minimizing power and energy losses. It critically reviews recent research on the issue of network configuration optimization. The optimization of the medium voltage power grid reconfiguration process was carried out using known optimization tools....
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Prioritising national healthcare service issues from free text feedback – A computational text analysis & predictive modelling approach
PublicationPatient experience surveys have become a key source of evidence for supporting decision-making and continuous quality improvement within healthcare services. To harness free-text feedback collected as part of these surveys for additional insights, text analytics methods are increasingly employed when the data collected is not amenable to traditional qualitative analysis due to volume. However, while text analytics techniques offer...
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Developing Novel Solutions to Realise the European Energy - Information Sharing & Analysis Centre
PublicationFor more effective decision making in preparation for and response to cyberevents in the energy sector, multilevel situation awareness, from technical to strategic is essential. With an uncertain picture of evolving threats, sharing of the latest cybersecurity knowledge among all sector stakeholders can inform and improve decisions and responses. This paper describes two novel solutions proposed during the formation of the European...
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Development of banking sectors in Kosovo and Montenegro in the years 2000 - 2010
PublicationThe article presents main aspects of development of banking markets in two Balkan countries - Kosovo and Montenegro. Both of them are charaterised by similar recent history, both in political and economical fields. Their financial sectors have had to be built almost from scretch. The author describes stages of development of competition in the banking sectors, using the following ratios: performace, structure, liquidity. The data...
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Hybrid System for Ship-Aided Design Automation
PublicationA hybrid support system for ship design based on the methodology of CBR with some artificial intelligence tools such as expert system Exsys Developer along with fuzzy logic, relational Access database and artificial neural network with backward propagation of errors.
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Aneta Sobiechowska-Ziegert dr
PeopleShe works at the Department of Statistics and Econometrics at the Faculty of Management and Economics. She is passionate about using modern teaching methods in quantitative subjects. She is a certified coach and tutor. She teaches courses in economic forecasting and spatial econometrics. She is also the chair of the Faculty's Quality of Education Committee and oversees the EMOS education track, certified by Eurostat. Currently,...
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Should Polish banks be domesticated?
PublicationThe financial crisis revealed vulnerabilities in the regulation and supervision of the banking system. The overarching goal of the proposal (Bazylea III and CRD IV) is to strengthen the resilience of the EU banking sector. The effects of these regulations will be detrimental to the Polish banking system and economy. This follows from the fact that listed banks in Poland are subsidiaries of international banking groups. The article...
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Hybrid Fuzzy-Ontological Project Framework of a Team Work Simulation System
PublicationThe aim of this article is to present the project framework for constructing a Software Process Simulation Modeling (SPSM) system. SPSM systems can be used as a virtual environment for the selection of methods and tools of project management in IT support organizations. The constructed system simulates the Scrum methodology, including the management processes and the project roles. For the implementation of Scrum processes, the...
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Porównawcza analiza kondycji finansowej polskich uczelni publicznych i niepublicznych
PublicationCelem artykułu jest dokonanie oceny oraz porównanie kondycji finansowej krajowych uczelni publicznych i niepublicznych. Wywód składa się z analizy literatury przedmiotu, dotyczącej warunków i sposobu funkcjonowania polskich uczelni publicznych i prywatnych. W części empirycznej artykułu użyta została analiza wskaźnikowa, stanowiąca jedną z najpopularniejszych metod analizy finansowej. Badaniu zostały poddane łącznie 23 wskaźniki...
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Oleksandr Melnychenko dr hab.
PeopleOleksandr Melnychenko works as a professor in a group of research and teaching staff at the Department of Finance of the Faculty of Management and Economics, the Gdańsk University of Technology; is a sworn translator of the Ukrainian language in Poland; an entrepreneur with many years of experience in running his own business and managing the companies' finances; has experience working in a commercial bank in a position dealing...
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Towards Improving Optimised Ship Weather Routing
PublicationThe aim of the paper is to outline a project focusing on the development of a new type of ship weather routing solution with improved uncertainty handling, through better estimation of ship performance and responses to sea conditions. Ensemble forecasting is considered to take into account the uncertainty levels that are typical of operations in a stochastic environment. Increased accuracy of weather prediction is achieved through...
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Measuring the effectiveness of digital communication - social media performance: an example of the role played by AI-assisted tools at a university
PublicationThe aim of the article is to show the role played by AI-powered tools in measuring the effectiveness of digital communication in social media using a university case study. Therefore, a research problem was formulated to identify the metrics (KPIs) used to measure the effectiveness – non-financial outcomes – of digital social media communication at the university using AI tools. The literature review on the role of AI in digital...
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ZRÓŻNICOWANIE PŁYNNOŚCI FINANSOWEJ W ZALEŻNOŚCI OD WIELKOŚCI PRZEDSIĘBIORSTWA
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono różnice w sposobie kształtowania wartości wskaźników z obszaru płynności finansowej pomiędzy małymi, średnimi i dużymi przedsiębiorstwami. W trakcie przeprowadzonych badań uwzględniono 97 471 sprawozdań finansowych przedsiębiorstw, prowadzących działalność gospodarczą w 12 różnych działach polskiej gospodarki narodowej. Do potwierdzenia zróżnicowania płynności finansowej w zależności od wielkości przedsiębiorstwa...
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Corrigendum to “T1 relaxation time callibration in magnetic resonance imaging using nanodiamond phantoms” [Phys Med 94 (2022) S119–S120/EPV029]
PublicationThe authors want to update the incorrect funding information. The correct funding note is: “The authors acknowledge the financial support from Gdańsk University of Technology by the 4/2020/IDUB/III.4.1/Tc grant under the Technetium Talent Management Grants ‘Excellence Initiative – Research University’. The financial support from Gdańsk University of Technology by the 1/2021/IDUB/II.2/Np grant under NEPTUNIUM Enhancing Baltic Region...
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Sztuczne sieci neuronowe oraz metoda wektorów wspierających w bankowych systemach informatycznych
PublicationW artykule zaprezentowano wybrane metod sztucznej inteligencji do zwiększania efektywności bankowych systemów informatycznych. Wykorzystanie metody wektorów wspierających czy sztucznych sieci neuronowych w połączeniu z nowoczesną technologią mikroprocesorową umożliwia znaczący wzrost konkurencyjności banku poprzez dodanie nowych funkcjonalności. W rezultacie możliwe jest także złagodzenie skutków kryzysu finansowego.
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Una crisi diversa?
PublicationIl capitolo tratta della recente crisi finanziaria, analizzandone cause e conseguenze per il sistema bancario e finanziario mondiale
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COMPLEXITY OF INNOVATIVE FINANCIAL PRODUCTS: THE CASE OF SYNTHETIC EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS IN EUROPE
PublicationThe aim of the text is the presentation of the most important categories of exchange traded funds (ETFs) – physical and synthetic ones. A theoretical part of the text includes an overview of the main features of ETFs, the presentation of differences between physical and synthetic funds and the main risks posed by both types to their users and the whole financial systems. An empirical part focuses on the European market. Time span...
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Effect of adopted rules of inference and methods of defuzzification on the final result of the evaluation of reliability made using the fuzzy logic methods
PublicationThe object of interest is to solve the problem of risk management of marine systems. But the main trouble is a lack of numerous and sure data on the reliability of the components of such systems. The methods based on the fuzzy logic seem to be helpful here. The goal of the article is to check the effect of using different fuzzy inference rules and methods of defuzzification on the final result of reliability assessment. The three...
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Extended Reflexive Ontologies for the Generation of Clinical Recommendations
PublicationDecision recommendations are a set of alternative options for clinical decisions (e.g., diagnosis, prognosis, treatment selection, follow-up, and prevention) that are provided to decision makers by knowledge-based Clinical Decision Support Systems (k-CDSS) as aids. We propose to follow a ‘‘reasoning over domain’’ approach for the generation of decision recommendations by gathering and inferring conclusions from production rules....
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Optimization model of agile team’s cohesion
PublicationTeam’s cohesion is one of the most important factors of IT project execution effectiveness. Optimization of team’s cohesion gives the possibility of reducing the risk of project failure. It also allows to increase the teamwork efficiency and thus optimize time of tasks execution, increase the guarantee of maintaining the scope of the project and the chance of achieving a given level of products quality. This article presents determination...
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Kształtowanie wartości wskaźników płynności finansowej przez ponadprzeciętnie rentowne MSP w okresie dobrej i złej koniunktury gospodarczej
Publication: W artykule porównano kształtowanie wartości wskaźników z obszaru płynności finansowej przez ponadprzeciętnie rentowne MSP w okresie dobrej i złej koniunktury gospodarczej. Celem przeprowadzonych badań było ponadto zaproponowanie przedziałów wartości rekomendowanych dla wskaźników z obszaru płynności finansowej z osobna dla okresu dobrej, jak i złej koniunktury gospodarczej. W trakcie przeprowadzonych badań uwzględniono 67 317...
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Corporate social responsibility and forward default risk mediated by financial performance and goodwill
PublicationIn today’s business environment, corporate social responsibility (CSR) has become an increasingly significant factor for firms. This study is driven by the motivation to add to the current literature by investigating the mediating elements that explain the relationship between CSR and forward default risk. In this paper, we attempt to identify the important mediators and give a more comprehensive explanation of this connection...
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Managing and funding the innovative path: a close look at the SimLE scientific club at Gdańsk University of Technology, Poland
PublicationThis article presents a case study of the simply learn experience (SimLE) scientific club at Gdańsk University of Technology (Gdańsk Tech), Gdańsk, Poland, showcasing an effective model for blending theoretical knowledge with practical engineering applications. This student-led organisation aims to develop soft skills and handson experience through project work, participation in international contests and conferences. This study...
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Michał Bernard Pietrzak dr hab.
PeopleMichal Pietrzak is head of the Department of Statistics and Econometrics at the Faculty of Economics and Management, Gdańsk University of Technology, and Deputy Editor-in-Chief for Statistical Reviewing of the journals: Oeconomia Copernicana and Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy. Until October 2021, he worked as an associate professor at the Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management, Nicolaus...