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Search results for: forecast
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Bi-GRU-APSO: Bi-Directional Gated Recurrent Unit with Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for Sales Forecasting in Multi-Channel Retail
PublicationIn the present scenario, retail sales forecasting has a great significance in E-commerce companies. The precise retail sales forecasting enhances the business decision making, storage management, and product sales. Inaccurate retail sales forecasting can decrease customer satisfaction, inventory shortages, product backlog, and unsatisfied customer demands. In order to obtain a better retail sales forecasting, deep learning models...
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Fire Weather Index data for Poland (March – September 2019) based on high-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting Model
Open Research DataThis dataset contains forecasted FWI indices calculated for the period: March 1 - September 30, 2019, based on the meteorological fields derived from the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) ver. 4.2.1. For each day FWI data with the forecast range equal 24 and 48 hour were stored in GeoTIFF files. In addition, soil moisture and temperature...
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The role of the European Union and democratisation process in post-communist Romania
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The European Union and Cultural, Economic and Political Development of Minority in Central and Eastern Europe
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Forecasting Poland`s road deaths. W: [CD-ROM]. Zbornik referatov. V. Medna- rodna Konferenca Globalna Varnost. V. International Conference Global Safe- ty. Portoroz, od 6. do 9 oktobra 2002, Slovenija. [B.m.]: ZVD, Slovene Road Safety Council**2002 [7 s. 5 rys. bibliogr. 8 poz.] Prognozowanie liczby zabitych w ruchu drogowym w Polsce.
PublicationW referacie przedstawiono sytuację w zakresie bezpieczeństwa ruchu drogowegow Polsce oraz metodykę tworzenia długoterminowych prognoz rozwoju ryzyka w ruchu drogowym na przykładzie prognozy dla potrzeb Krajowego Programu Bez-pieczeństwa Ruchu drogowego GAMBIT 2000.
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The potential of web awareness as a determinant of dually defined customer value
PublicationIn the conditions of increasing demand barrier, the enterprise’s basic capital is customers. From an enterprise point of view, this means the need to create a dual perceived and defined customer value which remains related to market value (income and development potential) and customer resource value (reference, information and cooperative potential). The progressing digitisation process transfers business processes, and thus relationships, into...
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Reshaping financial systems: The role of ICT in the diffusion of financial innovations – Recent evidence from European countries
PublicationExchange-traded funds (ETFs) are among the fastest-growing types of innovative financial products. The emergence and spread of these instruments have been facilitated by the digital revolution. Information and communication technology (ICT) is profoundly reshaping the global economic landscape, laying solid foundations for unrestricted and unbounded flows of information and knowledge, eliminating information asymmetries, and furthering...
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ICT technologies and financial innovations: The case of exchange traded funds in Brazil, Japan, Mexico, South Korea and the United States
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An evaluation of effectiveness of fuzzy logic model in predicting the business bankruptcy
PublicationW artykule sprawdzono skuteczność pojedynczego modelu logiki rozmytej w prognozowaniu ryzyka upadłości przedsiębiorstw w Polsce. W badaniach wykorzystano wartości 14 wskaźników finansowych oraz ich dynamikę zmiany między pierwszym a drugim, drugim a trzecim oraz trzecim a czwartym rokiem objętymi analizą. We wnioskach omówiono różnicę w skutecznościach modelu uzyskanego na wartościach statycznych oraz dynamicznych wskaźników finansowych....
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SafeCity – a GIS-based tool profiled for supporting decision making in urban development and infrastructure protection
PublicationThis paper presents a system for analysis of municipal Critical Infrastructures, which offers integrated tools for target analysis, hazard scenario simulations and spatial analysis within a remotely accessible Web-based Geographic Information System. The system has been applied to research conducted in the city of Gdansk with the aid of blast attack, chemical leakage and flood hazard scenarios, as well as a spatial density algorithm,...
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Tracing financial innovation diffusion and substitution trajectories. Recent evidence on exchange-traded funds in Japan and South Korea.
PublicationSince the rapid growth of the popularity of ETFs, the potential substitution between innovative financial products, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and traditional investment funds (open-end and closed-end funds) is recognized as one of the most-discussed issues in the financial industry. This is the first study to empirically verify and compare the diffusion and substitution of ETFs using monthly data on their assets in two selected...
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Government in the metaverse: Requirements and suitability for providing digital public services
PublicationDigital government comprises all means to enable governments to interact with their constituents digitally. The metaverse provides a virtual reality environment where various activities can be carried out without physically visiting the places of interest, including the public authorities. Yet, how governments can use the metaverse is unknown. This paper aims to extend the understanding of the metaverse architecture requirements...
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How digital technology affects working conditions in globally fragmented production chains: Evidence from Europe
PublicationThis paper uses a sample of over 9 million workers from 22 European countries to study the intertwined relationship between digital technology, cross-border production links and working conditions. We compare the social consequences of technological change exhibited by three types of innovation: computerisation (software), automation (robots) and artificial intelligence (AI). To fully quantify work-related wellbeing, we propose...
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Modeling process of planning finished product sales volumes at industrial enterprises in modern economic conditions
PublicationThis article presents improving the existing system of planning finished products sales volumes. The influencing factors of the sales volumes in modern economic conditions have been determined: falling world oil prices, the reduction of pipe consumption in the domestic market, the global pandemic. The algorithm of planning finished products sales volumes has been constructed. Calculations based on the Holt forecasting method has...
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Skuteczne prognozowanie krótkoterminowe mocy farm wiatrowych
PublicationPrognozowanie mocy wytwórczej konkretnej farmy wiatrowej (FW) w horyzoncie 24-godzinnymwymaga zarówno wiarygodnej prognozy wietrzności, jak i narzędzi wspomagających. Narzędzie to jest dedykowanym modelem mocy farmy. Model powinien uwzględniać nie tylko ogólne zasady przetwarzania energii wiatru na energię mechaniczną, ale także cechy szczególnekonkretnej farmy. Liczba czynników wpływających na moc farmy jest duża i dokładna prognozamocy,...
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Tomasz Korol dr hab. inż.
PeopleEducation Gdańsk University of Technology, Faculty of Management and Economics (2001) University of Applied Sciences Stralsund (1999) Degree / scientific title Habilitation – Gdańsk University of Technology, Faculty of Management and Economics (2015) Ph.D. – Gdańsk University of Technology, Faculty of Management and Economics (2004) Employment Gdańsk University of Technology - associate professor (since 2017); assistant professor...
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Consequences of russia’s military invasion of Ukraine for Polish-Ukrainian trade relations
PublicationAn accurate forecast of interstate trade volume allows for short-term and long-term planning, particularly deciding on state budget revenues, foreign exchange earnings, border arrangement, other infrastructure, migration and social policies. Hostilities are destructive so the russian military aggression against Ukraine in 2022 needs to be assessed in terms of its effects on key economic aspects of Polish-Ukrainian relations, as...
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Eurozone or National Inflation Projections: Which has Greater Impact on Consumer Expectations?
PublicationWe compare the dependence of consumer inflation expectations on European Central Bank (ECB) inflation projections with that on national central bank (NCB) projections in four economies: Austria, Belgium, Finland, and Germany. We aim to assess whether the information published by central banks affects consumers, and whether inflation projections published by NCBs are more relevant to consumers than those published for the entire...
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The effects of selected factors on regional road fatalities – analysis of the Łódź region
PublicationAnalysis of regional accident records shows that a country’s national road safety programme does not have the same effect in each of its regions. What may be a serious problem in one region may be of marginal significance in another. Polish and international experience shows that main risk groups and types of accidents related to the level of development and quality of the road network differ from region to region. The conclusion...
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Inflation rate (In percentage) in Iran
Open Research DataCurrently, a major concern of the Iranian economy is high inflation. Increasing prices of basic goods, and their increase in wages do not follow. At the same time the unemployment rate has raised. The following data set present the inflation rate between 2010-2020 (forecast).
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Simulation of the derecho event in Poland of 11th August 2017 using the WRF model and GFS data as initial conditions
Open Research DataThis series contains datasets related to the forecasting of a severe weather event, a derecho, in Poland on 11 August 2017. The simulations were conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.2.1 with initial and boundary conditions from Global Forecast System (GFS). Simulation was performed for two starting hours: at 00:00...
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Sailing Vessel Routing Considering Safety Zone and Penalty Time for Altering Course
PublicationIn this paper we introduce new model for simulation sea vessel routing. Besides a vessel types (polar diagram) and weather forecast, travel security and the number of maneuvers are considered. Based on these data both the minimal travelling costs and the minimal processing time are found for different vessels and different routes. To test our model the applications SailingAssistance wad improved. The obtained results shows that...
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Capacity analysis of the selected track system in partially ordered space
PublicationA proper location of the interval sections has significant impact on the traffic flow in the railway track network. This issue is critical during line modernization as well as when a new solution accounting for the traffic forecast at particular element of the railway track network is developed . However, the situation is more complex and more expensive for railway stations since improvement of the capacity requires critical organizational...
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System numerycznej prognozy pogody oparty na pakiecie WRF EMS
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono zagadnienia dotyczące wykorzystania systemów numerycznego prognozowania pogody przy pomocy oprogramowania wchodzącego w skład pakietu WRF EMS (ang. Weather Research and Forecast Environmental Modeling System). Artykuł opisuje podstawowe równania modelujące procesy w atmosferze oraz architekturę systemu numerycznego prognozowania pogody WRF EMS. Przedstawiono także architekturę prototypu systemu informacji...
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The impact of initial and boundary conditions on severe weather event simulations using a high-resolution WRF model. Case study of the derecho event in Poland on 11 August 2017
PublicationPrecise simulations of severe weather events are a challenge in the era of changing climate. By performing simulations correctly and accurately, these phenomena can be studied and better understood. In this paper, we have verified how different initial and boundary conditions affect the quality of simulations performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF). For our analysis, we chose...
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Lubichowska - Pomorska street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Lubichowska street. Date 06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Lubichowska and Pomorska street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki – Ignacego Paderewskiego street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Kościuszki and Paderewskiego street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Lubichowska – Kościuszki - Chojnicka street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Lubichowska street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Lubichowska Kościuszki and Chojnicka street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Pomorska - Pelplińska street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Pomorska street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Pomorska and Pelplińska street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Pomorska – Tadeusza Kościuszki street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Pomorska and Tadeusza Kościuszki street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Application of Support Vector Machine for Determination of Impact of Traffic-Induced Vibrations on Buildings
PublicationThe aim of the article is to present an algorithm of Support Vector Machine created to forecast the impact of traffic-induced vibrations on residential buildings. The method is designed to classify the object into one of two classes. The classification into the first class means that there is no impact of vibrations on the building, while classification to the second class indicates the possible influence and suggests the execution...
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki – Jana Sobieskiego street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Tadeusza Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Tadeusza Kościuszki and Jana Sobieskiego street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki - Pelplińska street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Tadeusza Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Tadeusza Kościuszki and Pelplińska street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Tadeusza Kościuszki – aleja Jana Pawła II street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Kościuszki street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Kościuszki and Jana Pawła II street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Operational Enhancement of Numerical Weather Prediction with Data from Real-time Satellite Images
PublicationNumerical weather prediction (NWP) is a rapidly expanding field of science, which is related to meteorology, remote sensing and computer science. Authors present methods of enhancing WRF EMS (Weather Research and Forecast Environmental Modeling System) weather prediction system using data from satellites equipped with AMSU sensor (Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit). The data is acquired with Department of Geoinformatics’ ground...
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Pomorska – Aleja Jana Pawła II street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at aleja Jana Pawła II street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Pomorska and Aleja Jana Pawła II street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Starogard Gdański 2019, Aleja Niepodległości, Pomorska and Mikołaja Kopernika street - video data - pedestrian, bicycles, vehicles.
Open Research DataThe data contain video traffic data (pedestrian, cyclists, vehicles) registered at Aleja Niepodległości street. Date 13.06.2019, 6:00-18:00. The video camera was installed around intersections at Aleja Niepodległości – Galeria Neptun street and Pomorska – Mikołaja Kopernika street. Camera was mounted on 7-meter-high mast.
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Net electricity production by fuel (2006-2030)
Open Research DataThis dataset presents the current structure of electricity sources and a forecast of the share of individual fuels in electricity production in Poland until 2030. First of all, it should be noted the constantly growing supply of electricity. It is related to the continuous economic development, increasing consumption both by enterprises and households.
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The multivariate multilevel analisis of different regional factors impact on road saferty in european country regions = Wielopoziomowa analiza wieloczynnikowa wpływu różnych charakterystyk regionalnych na poziom bezpieczeństwo ruchu w regionach krajów europejskich
PublicationIn this research, the effect of the European regional differences on the risk of been killed in road accident in these regions is investigated. Factors which differentiate regions can be described as automotive, economic, infrastructural, demographic, geographic. Analyzed risk, counted as regional fatality rate was modeled by the Poisson model. Because of regional diversity of Poisson distribution parameters, the Poisson distribution...
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Application of Multivariate Analysis Methods in Welding Engineering
PublicationPhenomena and processes taking place during welding are usually very complex and, for this reason, should be described using multivariate methods. The article discusses the methodological basis and selected application areas as regards the solving of welding problems using statistical multivariate methods. In addition, the article presents exemplary applications of the design of experiment, multiple regression analysis, cluster...
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ANALIZA PRZEPUSTOWOŚCI WYBRANEGO UKŁADU TOROWEGO W PRZESTRZENI CZĘŚCIOWO – UPORZĄDKOWANEJ
PublicationNa sieci kolejowej istotny wpływ na płynność ruchu mają odpowiednio usytuowane odcinki odstępowe. Z podobną sytuacją mamy do czynienia przy modernizacji stacji kolejowych i tworzeniu nowych rozwiązań, w których należy uwzględnić prognozy rozwoju ruchu na danym elemencie sieci kolejowej. Jednak w przypadku stacji sytuacja staje się dużo bardziej skomplikowana i kosztowna, gdyż poprawa przepustowości wymaga istotnych zmian organizacyjnych...
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Analysis and bioanalysis: an effective tool for data collection of environmental conditions and processes
PublicationReliable information that allows us to estimate the state of the environment and to forecast changes in the ecosystem are constantly required. Increasing environmental consciousness and dynamic development of analytical techniques are the main reasons for determining the wide range of pollutants occurring at very low concentrations in complex matrix samples. The presence and concentration of many of those pollutants in the environment...
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Framework for extracting rails and setting-out railway line axis based on UAV photogrammetric measurements
Open Research DataTechnical diagnostics enables assessing the current technical condition of a railway line and adjacent infrastructure, and to forecast its changes over a specific time horizon. One of its elements is the periodic monitoring of rail position and their geometry. The data set presents a new framework for the setting-out of a railway track axis. The process...
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A multi-agent method for periodicity detection in distributed events
PublicationMulti-agent systems working in constantly changing environments may be challenged by instantaneous unavailability of their autonomous agents caused e.g. by limited computing resources. A new method of self-organization of distributed service components is proposed, suitable for multi-agent systems. This method relies on particular agents carrying out separate analyzes of their individual processing loads or other specific events....
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Road safety information system in Poland - supporting tools and their development
PublicationAs a signatory to the UN Declaration on road safety and member of the EU, Poland has an obligation to comply with relevant EU policies and in particular to halve the overall number of road deaths by 2020. To monitor the progress in reaching the targets, the road safety situation must be evaluated and its processes understood. For this purpose regional and national road safety observatories were launched in Poland, which triggered...
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Predicting the impact of traffic–induced vibrations on buildings using artificial neural networks
PublicationTraffic–induced vibrations may constitute a considerable load to a building, cause cracking of plaster, cracks in load–bearing elements or even a global structural collapse of the whole structure [1-4]. Vibrations measurements of real structures are costly and laborious, not justified in all cases. The aim of the paper is to create an original algorithm, to predict the negative dynamic impact on the examined residential building...
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Metodologia budowy modelu sieci połączonych systemów UCTE i obliczania wskaźników służączych do oceny zagrożeń współpracy systemu europejskiego.
PublicationLiberalizacja rynku energii doprowadziła do znacznego zwiększenia obrotów energią elektryczną pomiędzy systemami elektroenergetycznymi. Operatorzy Systemów Przesyłowych są zobligowania do prognozowania rozpływow mocy w połączonych systemach i identyfikowania zagrożeń systemowych nawet w cyklach dobowych - na dzień nastepny. w referacie zostana omówione elementy występujące w procesie tworzenia modelu sieci przesyłowej systemów...
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Comparison of Traffic Flow Models with Real Traffic Data Based on a Quantitative Assessment
PublicationThe fundamental relationship of traffic flow and bivariate relations between speed and flow, speed and density, and flow and density are of great importance in transportation engineering. Fundamental relationship models may be applied to assess and forecast traffic conditions at uninterrupted traffic flow facilities. The objective of the article was to analyze and compare existing models of the fundamental relationship. To that...
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Simulations of the Derecho Event in Poland of 11th August 2017 Using WRF Model
PublicationThis series contains datasets related to the forecasting of a severe weather event, a derecho, in Poland on 11 August 2017. The simulations were conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.2.1 with different initial and boundary conditions of the pressure and model levels derived from 5 global models: Global Forecast System (GFS), Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS), European Centre for Medium-Range...
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Methods of liquid biofuels production - the bioethanol example.
PublicationEthanol is used in chemical and food industry, mainly either in the synthesis or as a solvent. The newest application of ethanol is as a fuel. This alcohol, produced on an industrial scale from crop waste, is widely known under the name bioethanol. It could be used as a fuel by itself or in a mixture with gasoline. Today, there are several technologies for bioethanol production known. The relatively simple method of obtaining bioethanol...