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Estimating and Forecasting GDP in Poland with Dynamic Factor Model
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Employment and export specialization patterns versus GDP per capita performance - unifying approach
PublikacjaThis paper analyses the evolution of specialization patterns along the process of economic development. The scope of the paper is twofold: first of all, it aims at understanding if the evolution of employment specialization is reflected in the same manner in trade specialisation patterns. Secondly, it explores the link between the degree of specialization on one side and cross country GDP per capita performance on the other. We...
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Relationship among Economic Growth (GDP), Energy Consumption and Carbon Dioxide Emission: Evidence from V4 Countries
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The Economic Legacy of Mega Sporting Events. The Impact of Hosting European Olympic Games on GDP Growth Through Infrastructure Development
PublikacjaIntroduction. The positive legacy of the Olympics is often cited by the International Olympic Committee and national or-ganizers. Some scholars, however, question an uncritical approach to an exclusively positive economic legacy. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of hosting the Olympics on infrastructure development, with a potential impact on economic growth in the form of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in three phases...
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CPLFD-GDPT5: High-resolution gridded daily precipitation and temperature data set for two largest Polish river basins
PublikacjaThe CHASE-PL (Climate change impact assessment for selected sectors in Poland) Forcing Data–Gridded Daily Precipitation & Temperature Dataset–5 km (CPLFD-GDPT5) consists of 1951–2013 daily minimum and maximum air temperatures and precipitation totals interpolated onto a 5 km grid based on daily meteorological observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB; Polish stations), Deutscher Wetterdienst...
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The Most Valuable Global Brands and Condition of Economies: a Spatial Approach
PublikacjaResearch background: Brands are considered to be the most valuable asset of a company. Some of them achieve spectacular global results. The significance of global brands is proved by the fact that their value is often greater than the sum of all company’s net assets. Purpose of the article: The aim of this article is to highlight that brand value does not only create company’s value but also leverages economies. We claim that even though...
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The condition of economies. Do most valuable global brands matter?
PublikacjaResearch background: Brands are considered to be the most valuable asset of a company. Some of them achieve spectacular global results. The significance of global brands is proved by the fact that their value is often greater than the sum of all company’s net assets. Purpose of the article: The aim of this article is to highlight that brand value does not only create company’s value, but also leverages economies. The Authors claim...
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Koncepcja międzynarodowej konkurencyjności makrootoczenia przedsiębiorstw
PublikacjaCelem badań przedstawionych w niniejszym artykule jest opracowanie koncepcji konkurencyjności międzynarodowej (IC) krajów, której podstawą jest makroekonomiczne otoczenie przedsiębiorstw. Motywem podjęcia tych badań były poważne wady metodologii pomiaru IC gospodarek stosowanej przez Światowe Forum Ekonomiczne (WEF). WEF rekomenduje Globalny Indeks Konkurencyjności (GCI) jako globalną miarę produktywności kraju. WEF utrzymuje,...
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Similarities and differences in the production of renewable energy in Central and Eastern Europe countries
PublikacjaResearch background: In the era of climate change, environmental degradation, but also growing pub-lic awareness, there is a need to look for new ecological energy sources. This condition can be met by renewable energy sources (RES). The EU seeks to have a 32% share of its gross final energy consumption from renewable sources by 2030. While the EU as a whole is on course to meet its...
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Fertility rebound and economic growth. New evidence for 18 countries over the period 1970-2011.
PublikacjaLong-run impact of economic growth on fertility trends is ambiguous and sensitive for in-time variations. Noticeably, over last decades, economic growth has led in many countries to significant falls in total fertility rates. However, recently, in high-income economies a kind of ‘fertility rebound’ emerged (Goldstein, 2009; Luci and Thevenon, 2011; Day, 2012), which supports the hypothesis that reversal trends in total fertility...
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Do global brands contribute to the economy of their country of origin? A dynamic spatial approach
PublikacjaPurpose - Brand positioning based on the brand’s country of origin is at the centre of attention in international marketing. It is evident that global brands constitute critical intangible assets for businesses and places. However, it is not clear how they contribute to national economies. This paper aims to discuss the significance of brands as contributing to the value of their companies but also helping to leverage national...
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The forecasts-based instrument rule and decision making. How closely interlinked? The case of Sweden
PublikacjaResearch background: The Central Bank of Sweden declared in years 1999–2006 the implementation of the Svensson’s concept of inflation forecast targeting (IFT). It means that the repo rate decision-making process depends on the inflation forecasts. The concept evolved from the strict IFT with the decision-making algorithm called ‘the rule of thumb’ to the flexible IFT. Purpose of the article: The aim of...
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Activity of Patents in Fuel Cells and Hydrogen Production in the Context of Passenger Car Fleet in the V4 Countries
PublikacjaThe hydrogen market in the world today is capable ovule and em-pirical evidence on activity of patents in fuel cells and hydrogen production islimited so far. Patent applications in zero-emission mobility in the aspect of fuelcells include: DAFC/DMFC&DMFC, PEMFC, SOFC, AFC, PAFC. As for thepatents relating to the hydrogen production, they concern low carbon, electrol-ysis and inorganic. The purpose of the study was to investigate...
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Sources of macroeconomic competitiveness in Central and East European Countries
PublikacjaThe aim of the paper is to assess empirially economic growth and productivity patterns in Central and East European Countries (CEECs), and to provide a thorough insight into the factors influencing macroeconomic competitiveness in the CEE region. The study goes back to early 1990s and describes macroeconomic developments in eight countries which joined the EU in 2004 (namely: the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania,...
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Towards Changes of Macro-Economic Structures in Middle Eastern Countries. Empirical Evidence for 1970–2018
PublikacjaMiddle East countries share a wide bundle of specific structural economic features and one of the latest is a high dependency of these economies on fossil fuels, which is quantitatively demonstrated through the share of oil and gas revenues in total export, but also in gross domestic product composition. This high economic dependency on natural resources on one hand has recently generated a material wealth of Middle Eastern countries...
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Digital transformation and economic growth - DESI improvement and implementation
PublikacjaThe paper aims to improve the methodology of the Digital Economic and Society Index (DESI), the European Commission’s newest index to assess the development of the digital economy. In particular, we investigate whether methodological changes to the structure of DESI improve its ability to capture the digital transformation of EU economies. Using the sensitivity- based analysis, we check whether the selection of weights of individual...
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Wzrost gospodarczy a zapotrzebowanie na prace - teoria i rzeczywistość gospodarcza Polski w latach 1995-2014
PublikacjaW części teoretycznej artykułu w pierwszej kolejności przedstawiono makroekonomiczne podstawy zapotrzebowania na pracę w warunkach postępu technicznego oraz zmian kapitału rzeczowego. W następnej kolejności sformułowano założenia dla modelu opisującego zależności pomiędzy stopami wzrostu produktu krajowego i zatrudnienia. W części empirycznej artykułu rozważano wybrane wersje oszacowanego modelu opisujące gospodarkę Polski. Do...
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The impact of technological and structural changes in the national economy on the labour-capital relations
PublikacjaThe aim of the research presented in this paper is to present the relations between labour and capital in the national economy, resulting from technological and structural changes taking place in the years 1991 to 2008. The structure of the paper is as follows. It first presents the functional determinants for the Polish economy in 1991-2008 affecting the phenomenon subject to study. Then it presents the preliminary analysis of...
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How Does International Competitiveness Affect Economic Development? A Two-Phase Hypothesis
PublikacjaThis paper analyses the impact of international competitiveness on economic development, based on the World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) and GDP/capita of 125 countries during the period 2007-2010. The results reveal two phases of the evolution of competitiveness. When GCI < 4.5 (on 1-7 scale), any improvement of a country’s competitiveness affects current development more than future development. When...
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Krótko- i długookresowe skorygowane krańcowe skłonności do konsumpcji. Gospodarka Polski w latach 1995-2018
PublikacjaWe wstępnej części artykułu - odwołując się do teorii Keynesa - omówiono i zdefiniowano podstawowe relacje makroekonomiczne pomiędzy konsumpcją globalną a produktem krajowym brutto. W następnej kolejności przeprowadzono analizę informacji statystycznych dotyczących prywatnych wydatków konsumpcyjnych gospodarstw domowych (C) oraz globalnych wydatków konsumpcyjnych społeczeństwa (CO) na tle produktu krajowego brutto (PKB) w Polsce...
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Assessment of TFP in European and American higher education institutions – application of Malmquist indices
PublikacjaIn this study we apply Malmquist methodology, based on the estimation of distance measures through Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), to a sample of 500 universities (in 10 European countries and the U.S.) over the period 2000 to 2010 in order to assess and compare their productivity. On average, a rise in TFP is registered for the whole European sample (strongest for Dutch and Italian HEIs), while the productivity of American HEIs...
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PUBLIC SOURCES OF FINANCE FOR CULTURE AS AN ELEMENT OF CULTURAL SECURITY IN POLAND
PublikacjaCulture is an important element of the country, playing an important role both for its security and the economy. It cannot be only seen as a cost-creating sector, but may be a significant factor in economic development. For this to happen, it is necessary to create a system of financing this economic sector. This article’s aim is to analyze the use of funds from public sources in Poland to finance culture-related activities. The...
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Rekonstrukcja światowego rozkładu dochodów na podstawie minimalnej informacji statystycznej
PublikacjaCelem pracy jest uzyskanie próby ze światowego rozkładu dochodów (WID). Zakładamy, że krajowe rozkłady dochodów są log-logistyczne z jednostkową średnią. Stąd wynika, że takie rozkłady są całkowicie określone przez indeks Giniego. Oceny indeksu Giniego dla 119 krajów w latach 1990-2005uzyskaliśmy z baz danych Deningera-Squire’a, WID2 i innych baz. Wygenerowaliśmy próbę losową z każdego rozkładu i przemnożyliśmy jej wartości przez...
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E-Estonia as a role model? Some general considerations and applicability in France
PublikacjaEstonia has recently been widely recognised – in the policy circles, academia, as well as the media space – as one of the more advanced nation states when it comes to digital government (and governance) transformation (e.g. Margetts and Naumann, 2017; Heller, 2017). Ever greater attention Estonia attracted with the two most recent digital government initiatives, namely the e-Residency and the virtual data embassy, both first of...
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A spatio-temporal approach to intersectoral labour and wage mobility
PublikacjaThe article presents the spatio-temporal approach for intersectoral labor and wage mobility. Analyses of interindustry mobility were performed with the use of general entropy mobility indices (GEMM). Spatio- temporal approach was obtained thanks to the separate measurement of spatial autocorrelation and regression for each set of sectoral wage and employment structure and was conducted in each year of the research period separately....
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A Spatio-temporal Approach to Intersectoral Labour and Wage Mobility
PublikacjaThe article presents the spatio-temporal approach for intersectoral labor and wage mobility. Analyses of interindustry mobility were performed with the use of general entropy mobility indices (GEMM). Spatio-temporal approach was obtained thanks to the separate measurement of spatial autocorrelation and regression for each set of sectoral wage and employment structure and was conducted in each year of the research period separately....
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Convergence or divergence in the European Union
PublikacjaThe disparities in economic prosperity revealed both from inter-country and inter-region perspective are one of the main problem in the modern economy. They consist of the dispersion in the real values such as incomes, GDP or productivity, but also nominal values such as prices and costs. The European Union is aware of this problem hence the role of the regional and structural policy aiming enhancing the cohesion between member...
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Globalisation and world economic poverty: The significance of hidden dimensions
PublikacjaThe aim of our research is to examine how individual dimensions of globalization affect economic poverty in the World. for this, regression models are estimated with FGT0 or FGT1 poverty measures as dependent variables and KOF indices of globalization as despendent variables. The poverty indices are estimated for 119 countries' income didtributions assuming log-normality and using Gini estimates from the WID2 database and GDP/capita...
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An evaluation and explanation of (in)efficiency in higher education institutions in Europe and the U.S. with the application of two-stage semi-parametric DEA
PublikacjaIn this study the technical efficiency of number of public European and American HEIs is assessed over a decade. Efficiency scores are determined using nonparametric DEA with different input-output sets and considering different frontiers: global frontier (all HEIs pooled together), regional frontier (Europe and the U.S. having their own frontiers) and country-specific ones. The external factors affecting the degree of HEI inefficiency...
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Upgrading low value-added activities in global value chains: a functional specialisation approach
PublikacjaThis paper aims to identify patterns of functional specialisation (FS) in global value chains (GVCs) and determinants of upgrading them for selected Central Eastern European (CEE) economies. By combing the World Input-Output Database with data on occupations, we reveal a new FS pattern among subgroups of CEEs. Poland and Slovakia have an unfavourable GVC position and specialise in low value-added fabrication function. In contrast,...
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Employment Specialization in the Enlarged European Union
PublikacjaThis paper presents the evolution of absolute employment specialization along the course of economic growth of 25 EU countries. We focus on the degree to which EU economies concentrate labor force in a few sectors/industries. Using disaggregated statistics classified according to NACE Rev. 1 division (71 sectors) we calculate various synthetic indices measuring the degree of diversification typical for the employment structures...
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Global Competitiveness and Economic Growth: A One-Way or Two-Way Relationship?
PublikacjaThe Global Competitiveness Index is treated as a standard to measure the competitiveness of countries. Leaders look at it to make policy and resource allocation decisions because global competitiveness is expected to be related to economic growth. However, studies which analyze the empirical relationship between these two economic categories are very rare. It is still an open question in the literature whether economic growth can...
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Price convergence in the EU-an aggregate and disaggregate approach
PublikacjaThis article examines the price dispersion in the European Union (EU) over 15 years (1990-2005). An extensive overview of the literature offers inconclusive results with the half-lives of price shocks from 2.8 to 282 months. Until now, most of the empirical research has been either micro or macro based. In contrast, we conducted a complex analysis utilizing both aggregate and disaggregate price data. The macro approach is based...
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GROWTH AND STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN TRANSITION COUNTRIES: THE CHICKEN OR THE EGG?
PublikacjaThe objective of this study is to test empirically the relationship between structural changes (changes in gross value added and employment) and economic growth. We used a panel Granger-causality analysis based on annual data for eight transition countries, covering the period 1995–2011. The main finding is that the causality relations analysed are heterogeneous processes and are identified more often...
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Analysis of road accident causes in the voivodships in the years 2014-2021 in the aspect of socio-economic costs – towards the implementation of sustainable development
PublikacjaThe article addresses the topic of road safety. The objective of the research was to assess road accidents caused by voivodships. The analysis took account of the socio-economic differences in the voivodships, which deter-mine the unit costs of fatalities and injuries. A descriptive analysis is given to show the dynamics of changes in the years 2014-2021 in the voivodships and how different factors influenced change. The article...
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Changes in the structure of Armenia’s labour resources between 1993 and 2020
PublikacjaThe article characterises the structure of Armenia’s labour resources in the period between1993 and 2020. It aims to assess the changes on the Armenian labour market by means of a deductive analysis of historical data and observation of changes in the structure of resources based on generally available macroeconomic data. The authors evaluate these processes against the background of demographic and economic changes, by presenting...
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Próba oszacowania światowego rozkładu dochodów
PublikacjaŚwiatowy rozkład dochodów potraktowano jako mieszankę rozkładów krajo-wych, z wagami równymi udziałom populacji danego kraju w łącznej populacji anali-zowanych krajów. Jako teoretyczny model krajowych rozkładów dochodów przyjęto dwuparametryczny rozkład log-logistyczny (Fiska). Wybór tego typu rozkładu teore-tycznego był podyktowany jakością dostępnych danych statystycznych. Z istniejących baz danych nt. dochodu w krajach świata...
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INWESTYCJE A ZATRUDNIENIE W POLSCE W PERSPEKTYWIE FINANSOWE 2007-2013
PublikacjaNakłady inwestycyjne przedsiębiorstw traktowane są jako jeden z głównych czynników wzrostu gospodarczego. Ich wielkość i dynamika mogą mieć wpływ na zmiany w poziomie zatrudnienia. Światowy kryzys finansowy przyczynił się do spowolnienia dynamiki wzrostu oraz gwałtownego spadku w 2009 roku PKB w większości gospodarek świata. We wspomnianym okresie w Polsce zaobserwowano spowolnienie gospodarcze, które miało wpływ na decyzje...
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Specialization and inequality along the development path: an interindustry analysis.
PublikacjaCelem niniejszej rozprawy doktorskiej jest przeprowadzenie empirycznej analizy procesów zwišzanych ze zmianami w strukturze specjalizacyjnej państw w procesie rozwoju ekonpmicznego oraz zwišzanych z nimi efektami dystrybucyjnymi dotyczšcymi rozkładu płac i dochodu. Rozprawa składa się z czterech częci: I. Employment and export specialization patterns versus GDP per capita performance - unifying approach; II.Determinants of export...
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Multi-factor fuzzy sets decision system forecasting consumer insolvency risk
PublikacjaThe objective of this study is to develop a multi-factor decision system predicting insolvency risk for natural persons with the use of fuzzy sets. Considering that the financial situation of households is affected by various endogenous and exogenous factors, the main assumption of this study is that the system for predicting financial difficulties should not be limited to the use of only a few financial variables concerning consumers,...
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Systems of Public Higher Education in Poland and Germany. Evidence from Institution Level Data
PublikacjaThe chapter presents a comparative analysis of public higher education systems (HES) in Germany and Poland. Instead of limiting our study to macro indicators such as gross expenditure on higher education or R&D as per cent of GDP, we draw on the evidence based on micro data especially collected for this study and concerning individual higher education institutions (HEIs). Comparative analysis is based on a sample of 71 public...
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Forecasting energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission of Vietnam by prognostic models based on explainable machine learning and time series
PublikacjaThis study assessed the usefulness of algorithms in estimating energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions in Viet- nam, in which the training dataset was used to train the models linear regression, random forest, XGBoost, and AdaBoost, allowing them to comprehend the patterns and relationships between population, GDP, and carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption. The results revealed that random forest, XGBoost, and AdaBoost...
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Ekonometryczna analiza konsumpcji w Polsce w latach 1995-2018- statyczne modele wydatków konsumpcyjnych w wartościach nominalnych
PublikacjaW artykule przeprowadzono badania makroekonomicznych związków pomiędzy konsumpcją globalną (C) a produktem krajowym brutto (PKB). W części teoretycznej artykułu: • zdefiniowano postacie analityczne przyczynowo-skutkowych makromodeli konsumpcji, • sformułowano interpretację mierników opisujących badane zależności, • sformułowano założenia stochastyczne dla rozważanych makromodeli konsumpcji, W części empirycznej artykułu:...
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Household Ability of Expenditures on Electricity and Energy Resources in the Countries That Joined the EU after 2004
PublikacjaThe purpose of the following article is to present the situation of the energy market from a household perspective between 2010 and 2020 in selected EU countries (the group of member states which joined EU after 2004). The selected countries when joining the EU had similar economic indicators and to some extent were similar in other macro-economic situations (personal income, unemployment rate, GDP level and annual growth). This...
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Wskaźnik przedsiębiorczości w jednostkach terytorialnych Polski – zróżnicowanie w czasie i przestrzeni
PublikacjaPrzedmiotem artykułu jest analiza zjawiska prowadzenia działalności gospodarczej przez osoby fizyczne, mierzonego poprzez wskaźnik liczby tych osób na 100 osób w wieku produkcyjnym. Wskaźnik ten nazywany jest nieraz wskaźnikiem przedsiębiorczości, mimo, że mierzy tylko jeden z jej przejawów. Badania prowadzono w układzie podregionów, powiatów i gmin (według ich rodzaju, z wyodrębnieniem miast w gminach miejsko-wiejskich). Celem...
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Health System Efficiency in European Countries: Network Data Envelopment Analysis Approach
PublikacjaPurpose: The article's main aim is to investigate the effectiveness of health systems in European countries based on EUROSTAT data. A comparative analysis of the health systems' effectiveness in different countries is based on their improvement (reform), using the best practices approach. Design/Methodology/Approach: The network DEA model and a slack-based model (NDEA – SBM) are used. A non-oriented model is used. The research...
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Transformation of Energy Markets: Description, Modeling of Functioning Mechanisms and Determining Development Trends
PublikacjaOne of the key contemporary economic and social issues today is the global energy transition. Energy transition processes are having a significant impact on the development of world economies, increasing their TFP and leading to an increase in their level of innovation through the transfer of myriad new technologies. These processes also contribute to an increase in foreign direct investment and, consequently, an increase in the...
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Analysis of the impact of socio-economic development on road safety based on the example of Baltic Sea Region countries
PublikacjaBaltic Sea Region (BSR) is a specific region of Europe, bringing together countries with different levels of socio-economic development. The main common point is territorial access to the Baltic Sea and the importance of maritime transport in the transportation of goods. The region consists of 9 countries, including Germany, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Finland, Sweden, Denmark and Russia (more specifically, Kaliningrad...
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SUICIDES FOR ECONOMIC REASONS AS A MEASURE OF THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY: THE CASE OF POLAND
PublikacjaSuicides are a phenomenon observed in many countries. The causes of a decision so drastic as far as consequences are concerned include i.a. economic reasons. The question arises whether the changing number of suicides reflects the state of the economy. The direct link between the state of the economy and suicides has not been sufficiently studied so far. The authors of this article attempted to identify the links between selected...
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MODELOWANIE WYBRANYCH MIAR BEZPIECZEŃSTWA RUCHU NA DŁUGICH ODCINKACH DRÓG
PublikacjaKażdego roku w wypadkach drogowych na świecie życie traci prawie 1,3 mln osób, co oznacza prawie niemal 3 tys. ofiar dziennie,. Tyle samo zabitych w ruchu drogowym odnotowujemy rocznie w Polsce. Ekonomiczne straty w wyniku tych wypadków wynoszą ok. 2% światowego PKB. W roku 2010 Organizacja Narodów Zjednoczonych (ONZ) przyjęła rezolucję pt. „Dekada działań na rzecz bezpieczeństwa ruchu drogowego na lata 2011 – 2020” rozpoczynającą...