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Search results for: RISK CLASSES, FORECASTING
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Microbial Risk Analysis
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HEALTH RISK & SOCIETY
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Statistics & Risk Modeling
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Health Risk Analysis
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Risk and Decision Analysis
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JOURNAL OF RISK AND INSURANCE
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JOURNAL OF RISK RESEARCH
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Journal of Operational Risk
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JOURNAL OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY
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Fire Weather Index data for Poland (March – September 2019) based on high-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting Model
Open Research DataThis dataset contains forecasted FWI indices calculated for the period: March 1 - September 30, 2019, based on the meteorological fields derived from the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) ver. 4.2.1. For each day FWI data with the forecast range equal 24 and 48 hour were stored in GeoTIFF files. In addition, soil moisture and temperature...
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A Simulation Model for Risk and Pricing Competition in the Retail Lending Market
PublicationWe propose a simulation model of the retail lending market with two types of agents: borrowers searching for low interest rates and lenders competing through risk-based pricing. We show that individual banks observe adverse selection, even if every lender applies the same pricing strategy and a credit scoring model of comparable discrimination power. Additionally, the model justifies the reverse-S shape of the response rate curve....
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Detailed results of shaping personnel risk factors in enterprise D
Open Research DataThe data presents the shape of all the researched personnel risk factors in the D enterprise (which was tested by the author). Further considerations should be started with the presentation of the synthesis of the obtained results, which is presented in this research data.
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Detailed results of shaping personnel risk factors in enterprise A
Open Research DataThe data presents the shape of all the researched personnel risk factors in the A enterprise (which was tested by the author). Further considerations should be started with the presentation of the synthesis of the obtained results, which is presented in this research data.
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Continuation classes for a population model with harvesting. Case He-Se: Equal harvesting and equal survival rates of juveniles and adults
Open Research DataThis dataset contains selected results of rigorous numerical computations conducted in the framework of the research described in the paper "Global dynamics in a stage-structured discrete population model with harvesting" by E. Liz and P. Pilarczyk: Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol. 297 (2012), pp. 148–165, doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.12.012.
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A synthetic result of the development of personnel risk factors in the A, B, C, D enterprise
Open Research DataThe data below presents the shape of all the researched personnel risk factors in the A, B, C, D enterprise (which were tested by the author). Further considerations should be started with the presentation of the synthesis of the obtained results, which is presented in this research data.
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Environmental risk assessment of Polish wastewater treatment plant activity
PublicationWastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) play an extremely important role in shaping modern society's environmental wellbeing and awareness, however only well operated and supervised systems can be considered as environmentally sustainable. For this reason, an attempt was undertaken to assess the environmental burden posed by WWTPs in major Polish cities by collecting water samples prior to and just after wastewater release points....
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Risk of Delays in Implementation of Building Investment in Urban Conditions in the Aspect of Historical Background of its Location
PublicationThe implementation of a construction investment in urban conditions is extremely complex, and at the same time exposed to a high risk of a specific character. In case of construction investment located in the historic part of the city, the possible accumulation of many unfavourable factors, which in course of its implementation, may constitute a serious source of delays and disruptions, should be taken into account at the preparation...
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An environmental risk measure of ships
PublicationW referacie wyszczególniono najistotniejsze rodzaje zanieczyszczeń emitowanych przez statki do środowiska naturalnego. Przeprowadzono krótką dyskusję norweskiej propozycji indeksacji środowiskowej statków. Zaproponowano probabilistyczny model do oceny ryzyka stwarzanego przez statki względem środowiska morskiego. Jest to model strategii liniowej. Wiąże w jedną wartość liczbową prawdopodobieństwa uwolnienia zanieczyszczeń ze statku...
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Financial risk information avoidance
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Highway engineering risk assessment
PublicationNa drogach krajowych w Polsce rocznie ginie ponad 2000 osób w wypadkach drogowych, co stanowi ponad 37% ogółu ofiar śmiertelnych w wypadkach. Do poprawy stanu bezpieczeństwa na tych drogach muszą byc podjęte działania zmierzające do systematycznego dostosowania poszcz. odcinków dróg do standardów bezpieczeństwa. Jednym z narzędzi pomocnych do wyboru odcinków dróg o największym potencjale mozliwych do uratowania od śmierci uczestników...
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Environmental risk measure of ships
PublicationW artykule wyszczególniono najistotniejsze zanieczyszczenia uwalniane podczas eksploatacji statków. Przedyskutowano norweską propozycję indeksacji środowiskowej statków. Zaproponowano probabilistyczny model do oceny ryzyka stwarzanego przez statki względem środowiska morskiego oraz miarę tego ryzyka. Przedstawiono także wyniki badań wpływu niezawodnośći elementów technicznych i poziomu wyszkolenia załogi na roczne ryzyko środowiskowe...
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Artificial Neural Network in Forecasting the Churn Phenomena Among Costumers of IT and Power Supply Services
PublicationThis paper presents an attempt to use an artificial neural network to investigate the churn phenomenon among the customers of a telecommunications operator. An attempt was made to create a data model based on the customer lifetime value (CLV) rather than on activity alone. A multilayered artificial neural network was used for the experiments. The results yielded a 99% successful identification rate for customers in no danger of...
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Selected Aspects of Biofuels Market and the Electromobility Development in Poland: Current Trends and Forecasting Changes
PublicationThis work presents basic information associated with markets of selected alternative fuels used in transport, such as methyl esters, conventional bioethanol and lignocellulosic bioethanol, and the market of electrical vehicles. Legal conditions, which stimulate development and regulate the mode of functioning of the liquid biofuel market until 2020 are discussed, based on provisions of EU directives. Data on biofuel production...
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Interactive visualization of marine pollution monitoring and forecasting data via a Web-based GIS
PublicationArtykuł prezentuje zastosowanie sieciowego Systemu Informacji Geograficznej do monitoringu i prezentacji wyników modelowania plam ropy na morzu. Omawiany system wykorzystuje technologie ESRI ArcIMS (Arc Internet Map Server) oraz Open Source GeoServer z biblioteką klienta OpenLayers w celu wizualizacji i mapowania rozprzestrzeniania się wycieku ropy w dwóch wybranych obszarach Morza Egejskiego w Grecji. Przedstawiony GIS stanowi...
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Mariusz Figurski prof. dr hab. inż.
PeopleMariusz Józef Figurski (born 27 April 1964 in Łasinie, Poland) - Polish geodesist, professor of technical sciences, professor at the Gdańsk University of Technology. Early life and education He passed the matriculation examination in 1983 after he had finished Jan III Sobieski High school in Grudziądz. He graduated the Military University of Technology on an individual mode at the Faculty of Electromechanics and Civil Engineering...
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Heavy Metals in Sediments of Urban Streams: Contamination and Health Risk Assessment of Influencing Factors
PublicationSediments of two urban streams in northern Poland outflowing to the Baltic Sea were assessed to explain the spatial variation in relation to urbanization level of the catchment, the role of retention tanks (RTs) and identification of pollution level. During the 3 month period of investigation sediment samples were collected from the inflow (IN) and outflow (OUT) of six RTs located on streams for flood protection. Six heavy metals...
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Jakub Miler dr inż.
PeopleAcademic career: 2000: Master of Science - Gdansk University of Technology, Faculty of Electronics, Telecommunications and Informatics, thesis "Computer system for supporting risk management in a software engineering project", supervisor prof. Janusz Górski 2005: PhD - Gdansk University of Technology, Faculty of Electronics, Telecommunications and Informatics, thesis "A Method of Software Project Risk Identification and Analysis",...
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Random processes - theory for the practician summer term 2020/2021, computer classes
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Identification of Risk Factors for Collisions Involving Cyclists Based on Gdansk Example
PublicationThe role of pedestrian and bicycle traffic in Poland has growing trend. The comprehensive traffic study, conducted in Gdansk in 2016, has confirmed the increase in the number of cyclists and their share in the modal split. Therefore, it is particularly important to ensure the safety of this group of unprotected road users. Only in 2015 on the roads of Gdansk occurred 93 accidents (excluding collisions) involving cyclists. As a...
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Internal legal acts of technical and medical universities in Poland regulating classes conducted in-person during the Covid-19 pandemic
Open Research DataA database of legal acts and other internal documents of medical and technical universities in Poland regulating the way of organizing in-person or hybrid classes during the COVID-19 pandemic from the summer semester 2019/2020 to the winter semester 2020/2021.Documents were encoded in two separate coding systems using the MAXQDA program for qualitative...
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Continuation classes for a population model with harvesting. Case Hj-Se: Harvesting juveniles only, equal survival rates of juveniles and adults
Open Research DataThis dataset contains selected results of rigorous numerical computations conducted in the framework of the research described in the paper "Global dynamics in a stage-structured discrete population model with harvesting" by E. Liz and P. Pilarczyk: Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol. 297 (2012), pp. 148–165, doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.12.012.
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Continuation classes for a population model with harvesting. Case Ha-Se: Harvesting adults only, equal survival rates of juveniles and adults
Open Research DataThis dataset contains selected results of rigorous numerical computations conducted in the framework of the research described in the paper "Global dynamics in a stage-structured discrete population model with harvesting" by E. Liz and P. Pilarczyk: Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol. 297 (2012), pp. 148–165, doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.12.012.
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Safety and risk in transportation systems - summer semester 2023/2024
e-Learning CoursesPodstawy teorii bezpieczeństwa i ryzyka w kontekście aplikacji w systemach transportowych.
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High meniscal slope angle as a risk factor for meniscal allograft extrusion
PublicationA meniscal graft extrusion is still an unresolved problem that affects most patients after a meniscal transplantation. Despite the advances in surgical techniques, together with the improved methods for a meniscal allograft sizing, success is only observed in up to 75% of patients after they experience a meniscal allograft transplantation. Because a meniscal extrusion is associated with a cartilage deterioration and the progression...
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Development of Physics-Based Energy Functions that Predict Medium-Resolution Structures for Proteins of the α, β, and α/β Structural Classes
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Activity Evaluation and Selection of Some Classes of Antibiotics with the use of Semi-Empirical Quantum Mechanics and Quantitative Structure- Activity Relationships Approach
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Expert systems in assessing the construction process safety taking account of the risk of disturbances
PublicationThe objective of the paper is to present the issue of safety manage-ment during the construction process. Threats in the form of disturb-ances may occur in the preparatory phase, during the execution of the construction project and also during its operational use. The arti-cle presents the concept of applying the methodology based, among others, on Learning Bayesian Networks, Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Machine,...
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Risk criteria for sea-going ships arising from the operation of the main engines' crankshaft - conecting rod - piston systems
PublicationIn the article the risk criterion for sea-going ships arising from the operation of the main engines' crankshaft - connecting rod - piston systems is proposed. These criterion is based on the procedures recommended in the Formal Safety Assessment method developed under the auspices of International Maritime Organization (IMO). First of all the collective risk criterion for ship has been proposed. In the next step, the share of...
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Forecasting values of cutting power for the sawing process of impregnated pine wood on band sawing machine
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono prognozowane wartości mocy skrawania dla pilarki taśmowej (ST100R firmy STENNER), które są stosowane w polskich tartakach. Wartości mocy skrawania oszacowano dla drewna sosny zwyczajnej (Pinus sylvestris L.), które zostało poddane impregnacji. Dla porównania wyznaczono również wartości mocy skrawania dla drewna niezaimpregnowanego. Wartości te określono za pomocą innowacyjnej metody prognozowania sił skrawania,...
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CUTTING POWER FORECASTING WHILE WOOD SAWING: FRACTURE MECHANICS APPROACH AND AXELSSON’S MODEL COMPARISON
PublicationIn the classical approach, energetic effects (cutting forces and cutting power) of wood sawing process are generally calculated on the basis of the specific cutting resistance, which is in the case of wood cutting the function of more or less important factors. On the other hand, cutting forces (power) could be considered from a point of view of modern fracture mechanics. Another way is to forecast cutting power consumption on...
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A performance-oriented risk-based method for assessment of safety of ships. Modelling uncertainties in hazard and risk analysis
PublicationW artykule podano informacje na temat alternatywnej metody oceny bezpieczeństwa statków, opartej na ocenie zachowania się statku i ocenie ryzyka. Zaproponowano użycie metody do projektowania statków w oparciu o ocenę ryzyka. W takim podejściu do projektowania bezpieczeństwo powinno być celem projektowym. Ocena bezpieczeństwa w proponowanej metodzie powinna być dokonywana na podstawie oceny ryzyka. Do oceny ryzyka zastosowano elementy...
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A Revised Approach to Flood Damage Estimation in Flood Risk Maps and Flood Risk Management Plans, Poland
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Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting
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Continuation classes for a population model with harvesting. Case Ha-S1: Harvesting adults only, survival rates of juveniles and adults add up to 1
Open Research DataThis dataset contains selected results of rigorous numerical computations conducted in the framework of the research described in the paper "Global dynamics in a stage-structured discrete population model with harvesting" by E. Liz and P. Pilarczyk: Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol. 297 (2012), pp. 148–165, doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.12.012.
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Continuation classes for a population model with harvesting. Case Hj-S1: Harvesting juveniles only, survival rates of juveniles and adults add up to 1
Open Research DataThis dataset contains selected results of rigorous numerical computations conducted in the framework of the research described in the paper "Global dynamics in a stage-structured discrete population model with harvesting" by E. Liz and P. Pilarczyk: Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol. 297 (2012), pp. 148–165, doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.12.012.
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Procedure based proactive functional safety management for the risk mitigation of hazardous events in the oil port installations including insurance aspects
PublicationThis article addresses selected technical and organization aspects of risk mitigation in the oil port installations with regard to functional safety requirements specified in standards IEC 61508 and IEC 61511. The procedure for functional safety management includes the hazard identification, risk analysis and assessment, specification of overall safety requirements and definition of safety functions. Based on risk assessment results...
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Frameworks for uncertainly representation in risk assessments
PublicationArtykuł dotyczy wybranych zagadnień związanych z niepewnością w ilościowych obliczeniach analizy ryzyka. Problem ten stał się bardzo istotny, ponieważ wystąpiły wymagania w określaniu niepewności w procedurach obliczeń ryzyka.Dyskutuje się potencjalne źródła niepewności oraz dokonuje przeglądu teoretycznych ram do modelowania niepewności. Dla złożonych systemów ryzyka proponuje się obliczenia przedziałowo (rozmyto) probabilistyczne,...
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Risk Identification Patterns for Software Projects.
PublicationArtykuł prezentuje metodę identyfikacji ryzyka w projektach informatycznych z użyciem wzorców ryzyka odnoszących się do modelu procesu projektowego. W artykule zdefiniowano meta-model dla modelowania procesów ukierunkowany na analizę ryzyka oraz proste i złożone wzorce ryzyka wywiedzione z tego meta-modelu, jak również pokazano przykładowe użycie wzorców do opisu czynników ryzyka odnoszących się do modelu RUP. Metodę poddano walidacji...
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A service-oriented approach to the identification of IT Risk
PublicationArtykuł przedstawia ogólne podejście do identyfikacji ryzyka eksploatacji systemów informatycznych, które obejmuje bezpieczeństwo, ochronę, prywatność oraz uzależnienie. Podejście oparte jest na badaniu trybów awarii usług dostarczanych użytkownikom przez oprogramowanie. Identyfikacja ryzyka na podstawie przeglądu usług uzupełniana jest listami kontrolnymi wyprowadzonymi ze standardów, a także klasycznymi technikami analizy bezpieczeństwa...
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Risk Modelling for Passages in Approach Channel
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