Search results for: UNCERTAINTY BUDGET
-
Cryptocurrencies as a speculative asset. How much uncertainty is included in cryptocurrency price?
PublicationThe aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between uncertainty indices (Geopolitical Uncertainty Index and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index) and cryptocurrencies. In order to conduct research, the authors collected the data on the major cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, Dogecoin and USD coin) which account for 78% of the total market cap. Using panel OLS regression, this study finds that Bitcoin...
-
Efficient uncertainty quantification using sequential sampling-based neural networks
PublicationUncertainty quantification (UQ) of an engineered system involves the identification of uncertainties, modeling of the uncertainties, and the forward propagation of the uncertainties through a system analysis model. In this work, a novel surrogate-based forward propagation algorithm for UQ is proposed. The proposed algorithm is a new and unique extension of the recent efficient global optimization using neural network (NN)-based...
-
Closer Look at the Uncertainty Estimation in Semantic Segmentation under Distributional Shift
PublicationWhile recent computer vision algorithms achieve impressive performance on many benchmarks, they lack robustness - presented with an image from a different distribution, (e.g. weather or lighting conditions not considered during training), they may produce an erroneous prediction. Therefore, it is desired that such a model will be able to reliably predict its confidence measure. In this work, uncertainty estimation for the task...
-
Trust-Based Model for the Assessment of the Uncertainty of Measurements in Hybrid IoT Networks
PublicationThe aim of this paper is to introduce a NUT model (NUT: network-uncertainty-trust) that aids the decrease of the uncertainty of measurements in autonomous hybrid Internet of Things sensor networks. The problem of uncertainty in such networks is a consequence of various operating conditions and varied quality of measurement nodes, making statistical approach less successful. This paper presents a model for decreasing the uncertainty...
-
Five strategies for the uncertain future
PublicationThe paper focuses on strategies of architectural education the in an era of increasing mobility, emerging alternative energy solutions and prevailing tone of uncertainty concerning future development of cities. Five strategies implemented at the Faculty of Architecture, Gdańsk University of Technology have been presented.
-
OCENA JAKOŚCI WYNIKÓW W KONTEKŚCIE BUDŻETU NIEPEWNOŚCI
PublicationKażdy wynik jest konsekwencją przeprowadzonego pomiaru. Nadrzędnym celem wykonującego pomiar jest otrzymanie wyniku jak najbardziej zbliżonego do wartości oczekiwanej (rzeczywistej). Wynik pomiaru nie jest wartością stałą lecz ma pewną wartość nieznaną, która powinna mieścić się w przedziale nazywanym niepewnością. Konsekwencją tego jest konieczność określania wielkości tego przedziału jako wymaganej informacji niezbędnej do odpowiedniego...
-
Burgen und Schlösser
Journals -
Potrzeby osób z niepełnosprawnością a budżet obywatelski. Wyniki ankiety opinii wśród społeczności warszawskiego Muranowa
PublicationThe participatory budget in Warsaw is a form of citizen involvement in city planning. The projects submitted in the budget concern, among other things, the physical transformation of space, organizing events integrating the community, and educational programs. Each of the above categories may determine the inclusion of people with disabilities in society. Social inclusion in the perspective of city change is an interesting and...
-
INFLUENCE OF WRONGLY ASSUMED PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION ON THE UNCERTAINTY OF RESISTANCE MEASUREMENT BY TECHNICAL METHOD
PublicationThe paper presents studies on the influence of probability distributions on the expanded uncertainty of the resistance measurement. Choosing the correct probability distribution is very important to estimate of measurement uncertainty. The most commonly used distribution is the rectangular distribution. The paper presents the results of analysis of the resistance measurement uncertainty using the technical method of two resistances:...
-
Determining and verifying the safety integrity level of the controland protection systems under uncertainty
PublicationThe probabilistic models of the electrical, electronic and programmable electronic (E/E/PE)systems, which are proposed in the IEC 61508 and IEC 61511 standards, do not cover the uncertainty aspectsof results obtained from these models. The proposed method takes into consideration the sensitivity analysisof probabilistic models of E/E/PE systems as well as the uncertainty of probabilistic results. It uses differentialfactors, which...
-
Raman Spectra Measurements for Chemical Identifications - Aspect of Uncertainty Sources and Reduction of Their Effects
PublicationRaman spectrometers enable fast and non-contact identification of examined chemicals. These devices measure Raman spectra and compare with the spectra database to identify unknown and often illicit chemicals (e.g. drugs, explosives) usually without any sample preparation. Raman spectra measurements are a challenge due to noise and interferences present outside the laboratories (field applications). The design of a portable Raman...
-
Uncertainty in maritime risk analysis: Extended case study on chemical tanker collisions
Publication -
Characterization of fatty acid composition in Eurasian badger (Meles meles)
PublicationPolyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs, LA and ALA) are not synthesized in mammals in the absence of their essential fatty acid precursors. However, hibernating animals and animals sleeping through the winter need sufficiently high amounts of these acids. The Eurasian badger does not hibernate, but sleeps over winter. In the autumn the body weight of adult badgers increases even twofold, since they put on fat before the winter. Fat...
-
Determinants of judges’ career choices and productivity: a Polish case study
PublicationThe goal of this paper is to identify factors which affect judges’ productivity and career choice motives with the view of increasing judicial efficiency. Specifically, the investigation focuses on such aspects as judges’ remuneration, promotion, threat of judgment revocation, service/mission, periodic assessment, the threat of a complaint about protracted proceedings or of disciplinary proceedings, the threat of destabilization...
-
Internetowy system dydaktyczny typu online judge
PublicationOmówiony w pracy system typu Online Judge został wykorzystany na przedmiotach związanych z algorytmiką i optymalizacją dyskretną na Wydziale ETI Politechniki Gdańskiej. Najważniejsze funkcje systemu, z punktu widzenia dydaktyki, pozwalają na wykorzystanie go do automatycznej oceny rozwiązań problemów algorytmicznych, jako repozytorium dokumentów (sprawozdań) oraz jako platformę do zarządzania przedmiotem z możliwością kontroli...
-
Sławomir Jerzy Ambroziak dr hab. inż.
PeopleSławomir J. Ambroziak was born in Poland, in 1982. He received the M.Sc., Ph.D. and D.Sc. degrees in radio communication from Gdańsk University of Technology (Gdańsk Tech), Poland, in 2008, 2013, and 2020 respectively. Since 2008 he is with the Department of Radiocommunication Systems and Networks of the Gdańsk Tech: 2008-2013 as Research Assistant, 2013-2020 as Assistant Professor, and since 2020 as Associate Professor. He is...
-
Determination of the uncertainty of mass flow measurement using the orifice for different values of the Reynolds number
PublicationStandard orifice flowmeters are widely used in the chemical and energy industry. Therefore, it is essential to know how accurate the measurements made with these instruments are. The paper presents an estimation of measurement uncertainty of a liquid mass flow using the orifice plate. The authors will present the influence of ranges of the Reynolds number on the estimated uncertainty, obtained on the basis of simulation and laboratory...
-
Uncertainty assessment of ultimate strength of corroded stiffened plates subjected to different maintenance actions
PublicationThe study deals with the uncertainty assessment of different governing factors related to the ultimate strength of the corroded stiffened plates. The load-carrying capacity is predicted with the use of the nonlinear Finite Element Method. The most influencing governing factors in the non-linear FE analysis, such as material properties and initial imperfections are modeled and analysed as stochastic variables. The ultimate strength...
-
The Evaluation of Expanded Uncertainty of DC Voltages in the Presence of Electromagnetic Interferences using the LabVIEW Environment
Publication -
The Influence of Noise Level on the Value of Uncertainty in a Measurement System Containing an Analog-to-Digital Converter
Publication -
Integrated model for the fast assessment of flood volume: Modelling – management, uncertainty and sensitivity analysis
PublicationThe specific flood volume is an important criterion for assessing the performance of sewage networks. It has been shown that its value is greatly influenced by the layout of the sewers in the catchment area, which is usually expressed by a fractal dimension. Currently, only mechanistic models (such as SWMM) enable the determination of the impact of the layout of the sewers on flooding volume, but they require additional and robust...
-
Accounting for the distributions of input quantities in the procedure for the measurement uncertainty evaluation when calibrating the goniometer
PublicationThe discords concerning the measurement uncertainty evaluation in the Guide to the Expressing of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM) and its Supplement 1 are considered. To overcome these discords, the authors of the paper propose to use the kurtosis method and the law of the propagation of the expanded uncertainty. Using the example of the goniometer calibration, the features of accounting for the distribution laws of input quantities...
-
Method of Estimating Uncertainty as a Way to Evaluate Continuity Quality of Power Supply in Hospital Devices
Publication -
Uncertainty Quantification of Additive Manufacturing Post-Fabrication Tuning of Resonator-Based Microwave Sensors
PublicationReconfigurability, especially in terms of the ability of adjusting the operating frequency, has become an important prerequisite in the design of modern microwave components and systems. It is also pertinent to microwave sensors developed for a variety of applications such as characterization of material properties of solids or liquids. This paper discusses uncertainty quantification of additive-manufacturing-based post-fabrication...
-
Determining and verifying the safety integrity level of the safety instrumented systems with the uncertainty and security aspects
PublicationSafety and security aspects consist of two different group of functional requirements for the control and protection systems. In the paper it is proposed that the security analysis results can be used as a factor increasing or decreasing the risk level. It concerns a process of determining required safety integrity level of given safety functions. The authors propose a new approach for functional safety risk analysis. In this case...
-
Customization of UWB 3D-RTLS Based on the New Uncertainty Model of the AoA Ranging Technique
PublicationThe increased potential and effectiveness of Real-time Locating Systems (RTLSs) substantially influence their application spectrum. They are widely used, inter alia, in the industrial sector, healthcare, home care, and in logistic and security applications. The research aims to develop an analytical method to customize UWB-based RTLS, in order to improve their localization performance in terms of accuracy and precision. The analytical...
-
Optimizing FSO networks resilient to adverse weather conditions by means of enhanced uncertainty sets
PublicationThis work deals with dimensioning of wireless mesh networks (WMN) composed of FSO (free space optics) links. Although FSO links realize broadband transmission at low cost, their drawback is sensitivity to adverse weather conditions causing transmission degradation on multiple links. Hence, designing such FSO networks requires an optimization model to find the cheapest configuration of link capacities that will be able to carry...
-
Modeling nutrient removal and energy consumption in an advanced activated sludge system under uncertainty
PublicationActivated sludge models are widely used to simulate, optimize and control performance of wastewater treatment plants (WWTP). For simulation of nutrient removal and energy consumption, kinetic parameters would need to be estimated, which requires an extensive measurement campaign. In this study, a novel methodology is proposed for modeling the performance and energy consumption of a biological nutrient removal activated sludge system...
-
The Influence of Camera and Optical System Parameters on the Uncertainty of Object Location Measurement in Vision Systems
PublicationThe article presents the influence of the camera and its optical system on the uncertainty of object position measurement in vision systems. The aim of the article is to present the methodology for estimating the combined standard uncertainty of measuring the object position with a vision camera treated as a measuring device. The identification of factors affecting the location measurement uncertainty and the determination of their...
-
Operational loads of power systems of bucket dredgers in main service states
PublicationW artykule zaprezentowano wyniki badań eksploatacyjnych silników spalinowych układów energetycznych pogłębiarek wieloczerpakowych. Badania dotyczyły obciążeń silników głównych i pomocniczych w podstawowych stanach eksploatacji pogłębiarki wieloczerpakowej.
-
Model analityczny budżetu czasu opóźnienia w sieci IP QoS
PublicationPodstawowym celem artykułu jest przedstawienie i przebadanie sposobu podziału opóźnienia end-to-end dla danego strumienia pakietów wzdłuż łączy ścieżki, tak aby wolne zasoby przydzielane były w sposób gwarantujący jakość, a jednocześnie miała miejsce na tej ścieżce maksymalizacja liczby przyjętych do obsługi strumieni pakietów. Proces ten może dotyczyć zarówno łańcucha domen jak i łańcucha łączy. Opisany model LSS oparty jest na...
-
Do Judges’ Delegations Affect Judicial Performance? A Transition Economy Evidence
PublicationThe aim of this study is to discern whether, by delegating judges from the court to the Ministry of Justice, the Minister of Justice influences the results of courts in terms of adjudication. The study used a unique set of data for the Polish judicial system over a period of five years. The research results indicate that there are three reasons for delegating judges. Firstly, the delegation system serves to fill staff shortages...
-
Uncertain Supply Chain Management
Journals -
Tax income to the Polish state budget in 2010-2019
Open Research DataTax revenues are one of the main sources of state budget revenues (approx. 90%). Therefore thwy create the most important public fund, which is the basis for management in a given budgetary year. One of the main problems of fiscal policy of any state is appropriate coordination of budget revenues with budget expenditures, and hence maintaining budget...
-
Budget revenues from selected taxes in 2010-2019
Open Research DataThe state is not only a user of the country's resources, a buyer and seller of goods and services, but also under duress takes part of the money from its citizens or entities that carry out activities in the form of taxes. The source of the majority of budget revenues are taxes. The following dataset contains the budget revenues from selected taxes...
-
Bezpieczeństwo w systemie internetowym Sphere Online Judge
PublicationPrzedmiotem rozważań jest powszechnie dostępny portal internetowy udostępniający do rozwiązania wielu problemów o charakterze algorytmicznym. Użytkownicy za pośrednictwem przeglądarki internetowej nadsyłają programy, będące rozwiązaniami zadań, które są następnie kompilowane, uruchamiane i oceniane. Ze względu na charakter systemu, jego bezpieczeństwo jest niezmiernie ważne.
-
Application of an online judge & contester system in academic tuition
PublicationPraca zawiera opis systemu typu ''Online judge & contester'' o nazwie SPOJ, wykorzystywanego do zdalnej nauki programowania. Został on pomyślnie wdrożony w nauczaniu informatyki na Politechnice Gdańskiej. Omówiono zasadę działania i mechanizmy bezpieczeństwa systemu SPOJ. Przedstawiono wnioski z doświadczeń przy stosowaniu tego typu systemów w nauczaniu na etapie studiów 1. i 2. stopnia w ciągu ostatnich czterech lat.
-
Application of an online judge & contester system in academic tuition
PublicationPraca zawiera opis systemu typu ''Online judge & contester'' o nazwie SPOJ, wykorzystywanego do zdalnej nauki programowania. Został on pomyślnie wdrożony w nauczaniu informatyki na Politechnice Gdańskiej. Omówiono zasadę działania i mechanizmy bezpieczeństwa systemu SPOJ. Przedstawiono wnioski z doświadczeń przy stosowaniu tego typu systemów w nauczaniu na etapie studiów 1. i 2. stopnia w ciągu ostatnich czterech lat.
-
Airfoil Design Under Uncertainty Using Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos Theory and Utility Functions
PublicationFast and accurate airfoil design under uncertainty using non-intrusive polynomial chaos (NIPC) expansions and utility functions is proposed. The NIPC expansions provide a means to efficiently and accurately compute statistical information for a given set of input variables with associated probability distribution. Utility functions provide a way to rigorously formulate the design problem. In this work, these two methods are integrated...
-
Uncertainty of antioxidant profiling in complex mixtures using liquid chromatography involving post-column derivatisation
PublicationThe main goal of this paper is to discuss the problems associated with antioxidant profiling in complex samples using a high-throughput HPLC system coupled with post-column derivatisation reactor. Based on the experimental data reported in the literature, we demonstrated that improper optimisation of temperature and/or pH assay conditions performed using an on-line derivatisation reactor may substantially change the antioxidant...
-
Different philosophical approaches to estimating missing data in AHP frameworks for uncertainty representation in risk assessments
PublicationAHP (ang. Analytic Hierarchy Process) jest jedną z metod szeroko stosowaną w wieloatrybutowym podejmowaniu decyzji. Zwykle ekspert lub grupa ekspertów jest proszona o wyrażenie swojej subiektywnej opinii o każdej z par wariantów decyzyjnych. Na tej podstawie tworzone są tzw. macierze ocen. Zdarza się często, że macierze takie są niekompletne i wtedy występuje problem brakujących danych. Referat dotyczy wybranych metod ich uzupełnienia.
-
The conception of uncertainty analysis of reliability assessment of the MC type diesel engine lubricating oil system
PublicationOmówiono elementy składające się na niepewność oszacowania niezawodności instalacji oleju smarowego dla silników typu MC. Przedstawiono, posługując się przykładem obliczeniowym, koncepcję analizy niepewności oceny rozpatrywanej instalacji. Ponadto zaproponowano sposób interpretacji otrzymanego wyniku, obarczonego dużą niepewnością, przy użyciu liczb rozmytych.
-
Estimating the uncertainty of discharge coefficient predicted for oblique side weir using Monte Carlo method
PublicationSide weir is a hydraulic structure, which is used in irrigation systems to divert some water from main to side channel. It is installed at the entrance of the side channel to control and measure passing water into the side channel. Many studies provided side weir water surface profile and coefficient of discharge to measure water discharge diverted into the side channel. These studies dealt with different side weir shapes (rectangular,...
-
Analysis of Investments in RES Based on the Example of Photovoltaic Panels in Conditions of Uncertainty and Risk—A Case Study
PublicationThe aim of this study is to examine the profitability of investment in a photovoltaic microinstallation, to analyze the impact of legal changes on its profitability, and to perform a sensitivity analysis of the investment profitability to energy price changes. The novelty of the research applies to the financial analysis of two legal systems of discount called net-metering and net-billing. The two systems and the change in energy...
-
Identification of synergistic and antagonistic actions of environmental pollutants: Bisphenols A, S and F in the presence of DEP, DBP, BADGE and BADGE·2HCl in three component mixtures
PublicationEcosystems are facing increased pressure due to the emission of many classes of emerging contaminants. However, very little is known about the interactions of these pollutants, such as bisphenols (BPs), plasticizers or pharmaceuticals. By employing bioluminescent bacteria (Microtox assay), we were able to define interactions between selected emerging pollutants (namely BPA, BPS, BPF, BADGE, BADGE·2HCl, DEP, DBP) in ternary mixtures, at...
-
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF UNCERTAINTY FUZZINESS AND KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS
Journals -
Influence of vision measurement system spatial configuration on measurement uncertainty, based on the example of electric traction application
PublicationTechnical diagnostics plays a significant role in ensuring operational reliability of electrified rail transport. The most critical point in the transmission of electric energy to vehicles is the sliding contact of the current collector with the traction network. For this reason, work is currently being carried on new measuring methods, whose appliance allows for more complete diagnostics of the contact line and current collectors,...
-
Validation of a sampling procedure
PublicationEach step of the analytical procedure influences the final results in a significant way. In the majority of cases the analytical procedure encompasses sampling because the analysis of the entire object (material) is usually not possible. Thus it is necessary to include the uncertainty related to sampling procedure in the uncertainty budget calculations. This paper describes two basic ways of estimating the sampling uncertainty,...
-
Reducing the Uncertainty of the Moving Object Location Measurement with the Method of Quasi-Multiple Measurement in GNSS Technology in Symmetrical Arrangement
Publication -
Uncertainty of mass flow measurement using centric and eccentric orifice for Reynolds number in the range 10,000 ≤ Re ≤ 20,000
PublicationThe article analyses the impact of the Reynolds number on the estimated uncertainty of the mass flow rate measurement using an orifice plate. The objects of the research were two types of orifices: centric (ISA) and eccentric, with the diameter ratio β = 0.5. Studies were performed by Monte Carlo simulation and experiments for Reynolds numbers in the range 10,000 ≤ Re ≤ 20,000. The obtained results have shown that for both orifice...