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Search results for: UNCERTAINTY MAP
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Statistical properties of a modified standard map in quantum and classical regimes
PublicationWe present a model—a modified standard map. This model has interesting properties that allow quantum–classical correspondences to be studied. For some range of parameters in the classical phase space of this model, there exist large accelerator modes. We can create a family of maps that have large accelerator modes.
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Fashion Games, Fashion in Games and Gamification in Fashion. A First Map
PublicationFashion companies have been using different forms of entertainment such as film and television, sport, music, museums, and photography as inspiration sources and as communication and marketing channels for decades. However, in recent years, they have also started to consider the gaming world. While gaming offers a potential revenue stream from sales of physical and digital clothing, change in it is also the gateway to access new...
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Vector and Triangular Representations of Project Estimation Uncertainty: Effect of Gender on Usability
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Multi-fidelity robust aerodynamic design optimization under mixed uncertainty
PublicationThe objective of this paper is to present a robust optimization algorithm for computationally efficient airfoil design under mixed (inherent and epistemic) uncertainty using a multi-fidelity approach. This algorithm exploits stochastic expansions derived from the Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos (NIPC) technique to create surrogate models utilized in the optimization process. A combined NIPC expansion approach is used, where both...
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Estimation of the uncertainty of the LEM CV 3-500 transducers processing function
PublicationThe paper presents the methodology for estimating uncertainty of a voltage transducer processing function based on the example of LEM CV 3-500 transducer. The analysis was performed using the method based on the GUM Guide propagation of uncertainty law and the Monte Carlo numerical method. The article also presents a comparative analysis of the results of a voltage measurement evaluation done using the Monte Carlo simulation method,...
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Uncertainty Quantification in Experimental Structural Dynamics Identification of Composite Material Structures
PublicationComposite materials are widely used in manufacture of aerospace and wind energy structural components. These load carrying structures are subjected to dynamic time-varying loading conditions. Robust structural dynamics identification procedure impose tight constraints on the quality of modal models estimates obtained from vibration experiments. Modal testing results are influenced by numerous factors introducing uncertainty to...
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Cash Flow Management in Small and Medium Enterprises in Times of Economic Uncertainty
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Closer Look at the Uncertainty Estimation in Semantic Segmentation under Distributional Shift
PublicationWhile recent computer vision algorithms achieve impressive performance on many benchmarks, they lack robustness - presented with an image from a different distribution, (e.g. weather or lighting conditions not considered during training), they may produce an erroneous prediction. Therefore, it is desired that such a model will be able to reliably predict its confidence measure. In this work, uncertainty estimation for the task...
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Evaluation of expanded uncertainty of instantaneous power measurement in a bearing diagnostic system.
PublicationThe paper presents the issues concerning the estimation of the expanded uncertainty in the system for the diagnosis of rolling bearings, consisting of transducers: voltage and current voltage, which is used for diagnostic bearing motors method based on the measurement and analysis of the instantaneous power signal consumed by the induction motor. It presents the methodology for assessing the measurement uncertainty and presents...
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Trust-Based Model for the Assessment of the Uncertainty of Measurements in Hybrid IoT Networks
PublicationThe aim of this paper is to introduce a NUT model (NUT: network-uncertainty-trust) that aids the decrease of the uncertainty of measurements in autonomous hybrid Internet of Things sensor networks. The problem of uncertainty in such networks is a consequence of various operating conditions and varied quality of measurement nodes, making statistical approach less successful. This paper presents a model for decreasing the uncertainty...
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Cryptocurrencies as a Speculative Asset: How Much Uncertainty is Included in Cryptocurrency Price?
PublicationThe aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between uncertainty indices (Geopolitical Uncertainty Index and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index) and cryptocurrencies. This study evaluated the behavior of cryptocurrencies with the evolution of uncertainties (GPU, EPU) on returns and volatility in terms of safe heaven as in traditional specualtive assets it increases their volaitility and reduces risk. For this purpose,...
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Ship weather routing featuring w-MOEA/D and uncertainty handling
PublicationThe paper presents a new version of evolutionary multi-objective weather routing (WR) for ships taking into account uncertainties of weather forecasts in route optimization. The method applies authors’ w-MOEA/D algorithm: MOEA/D framework incorporating Decision Maker’s (DM) preferences by means of w-dominance relation. Owing to this, DM preferences are taken into account throughout optimization, allowing the process to focus on...
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Efficient uncertainty quantification using sequential sampling-based neural networks
PublicationUncertainty quantification (UQ) of an engineered system involves the identification of uncertainties, modeling of the uncertainties, and the forward propagation of the uncertainties through a system analysis model. In this work, a novel surrogate-based forward propagation algorithm for UQ is proposed. The proposed algorithm is a new and unique extension of the recent efficient global optimization using neural network (NN)-based...
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Cryptocurrencies as a speculative asset. How much uncertainty is included in cryptocurrency price?
PublicationThe aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between uncertainty indices (Geopolitical Uncertainty Index and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index) and cryptocurrencies. In order to conduct research, the authors collected the data on the major cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, Dogecoin and USD coin) which account for 78% of the total market cap. Using panel OLS regression, this study finds that Bitcoin...
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Challenges of the risk analysis of critical systems for insurance purposes under uncertainty
PublicationProponuje się metodę analizy ryzyka dla celów ubezpieczeniowych. Podkreśla się, że zarządzanie bezpieczeństwem systemów podwyższonego ryzyka i systemów krytycznych, obejmujące instrumenty Ubezpieczeniowe, wymaga stosowania odpowiednich metod szczególnej analizy ryzyka z uwzględnieniem problemu niepewności. Proponuje się podejście reprezentowania niepewności w ocenach ryzyka za pomocą przedziałów liczbowych, ogólnie przedziałów...
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Five strategies for the uncertain future
PublicationThe paper focuses on strategies of architectural education the in an era of increasing mobility, emerging alternative energy solutions and prevailing tone of uncertainty concerning future development of cities. Five strategies implemented at the Faculty of Architecture, Gdańsk University of Technology have been presented.
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Prediction of CO2 emissions of a car using the discrete map of the operating conditions
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono propozycję opisu warunków eksploatacji pojazdów w wybranej aglomeracji miejskiej z użyciem dyskretnej mapy warunków eksploatacji. Mapa taka umożliwia prognozowanie wybranych parametrów eksploatacyjnych pojazdów dla przyjętych dróg przejazdu oraz różnych jednostek napędowych. Głównymi parametrami wyznaczanymi z użyciem dyskretnej mapy warunków eksploatacji są: całkowita energia przeznaczana do napędu wybranego...
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Tworzenie map konceptów dla ontologii opartych na logice opisowej
PublicationW poprzednich pracach przedstawiono nową metodę reprezentacji wiedzy nazwaną metodą kartograficzną. Metoda ta pozwala na uchwycenie zależności pomiędzy pojęciami wyznaczonymi w ramach terminologii, jak również na stopniowe (w miarę zwiększania się naszej wiedzy) przyporządkowywanie indywidualnych obiektów tym pojęciom. Zależności te reprezentowane są w postaci tzw. mapy konceptów. Efektywność budowy mapy konceptów stanowi zagadnienie...
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TWORZENIE MAP SIECI KOMPUTEROWYCH Z WYKORZYSTANIEM PROTOKOŁÓW TYPU LLDP
PublicationDla administratorów systemów sieciowych niezwykle istot-nym jest posiadanie narzędzia tworzącego dynamicznie mapę sieci do celów zarządzania, diagnostyki, zapobiegania awariom i włamaniom. Artykuł prezentuje protokoły wspierające tworzenie map sieci a także własne badania nad usprawnieniem istniejących algorytmów. Proponowane rozwiązania to: budowa map z użyciem protokołu LLDP i SNMP, odkrywanie wąskich gardeł w sieciach dzięki...
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Deep Features Class Activation Map for Thermal Face Detection and Tracking
PublicationRecently, capabilities of many computer vision tasks have significantly improved due to advances in Convolutional Neural Networks. In our research, we demonstrate that it can be also used for face detection from low resolution thermal images, acquired with a portable camera. The physical size of the camera used in our research allows for embedding it in a wearable device or indoor remote monitoring solution for elderly and disabled...
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Raman Spectra Measurements for Chemical Identifications - Aspect of Uncertainty Sources and Reduction of Their Effects
PublicationRaman spectrometers enable fast and non-contact identification of examined chemicals. These devices measure Raman spectra and compare with the spectra database to identify unknown and often illicit chemicals (e.g. drugs, explosives) usually without any sample preparation. Raman spectra measurements are a challenge due to noise and interferences present outside the laboratories (field applications). The design of a portable Raman...
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Determining and verifying the safety integrity level of the controland protection systems under uncertainty
PublicationThe probabilistic models of the electrical, electronic and programmable electronic (E/E/PE)systems, which are proposed in the IEC 61508 and IEC 61511 standards, do not cover the uncertainty aspectsof results obtained from these models. The proposed method takes into consideration the sensitivity analysisof probabilistic models of E/E/PE systems as well as the uncertainty of probabilistic results. It uses differentialfactors, which...
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Uncertainty in maritime risk analysis: Extended case study on chemical tanker collisions
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INFLUENCE OF WRONGLY ASSUMED PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION ON THE UNCERTAINTY OF RESISTANCE MEASUREMENT BY TECHNICAL METHOD
PublicationThe paper presents studies on the influence of probability distributions on the expanded uncertainty of the resistance measurement. Choosing the correct probability distribution is very important to estimate of measurement uncertainty. The most commonly used distribution is the rectangular distribution. The paper presents the results of analysis of the resistance measurement uncertainty using the technical method of two resistances:...
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Method of Estimating Uncertainty as a Way to Evaluate Continuity Quality of Power Supply in Hospital Devices
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The Evaluation of Expanded Uncertainty of DC Voltages in the Presence of Electromagnetic Interferences using the LabVIEW Environment
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The Influence of Noise Level on the Value of Uncertainty in a Measurement System Containing an Analog-to-Digital Converter
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Determining and verifying the safety integrity level of the safety instrumented systems with the uncertainty and security aspects
PublicationSafety and security aspects consist of two different group of functional requirements for the control and protection systems. In the paper it is proposed that the security analysis results can be used as a factor increasing or decreasing the risk level. It concerns a process of determining required safety integrity level of given safety functions. The authors propose a new approach for functional safety risk analysis. In this case...
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Uncertainty assessment of ultimate strength of corroded stiffened plates subjected to different maintenance actions
PublicationThe study deals with the uncertainty assessment of different governing factors related to the ultimate strength of the corroded stiffened plates. The load-carrying capacity is predicted with the use of the nonlinear Finite Element Method. The most influencing governing factors in the non-linear FE analysis, such as material properties and initial imperfections are modeled and analysed as stochastic variables. The ultimate strength...
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Modeling nutrient removal and energy consumption in an advanced activated sludge system under uncertainty
PublicationActivated sludge models are widely used to simulate, optimize and control performance of wastewater treatment plants (WWTP). For simulation of nutrient removal and energy consumption, kinetic parameters would need to be estimated, which requires an extensive measurement campaign. In this study, a novel methodology is proposed for modeling the performance and energy consumption of a biological nutrient removal activated sludge system...
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Optimizing FSO networks resilient to adverse weather conditions by means of enhanced uncertainty sets
PublicationThis work deals with dimensioning of wireless mesh networks (WMN) composed of FSO (free space optics) links. Although FSO links realize broadband transmission at low cost, their drawback is sensitivity to adverse weather conditions causing transmission degradation on multiple links. Hence, designing such FSO networks requires an optimization model to find the cheapest configuration of link capacities that will be able to carry...
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Determination of the uncertainty of mass flow measurement using the orifice for different values of the Reynolds number
PublicationStandard orifice flowmeters are widely used in the chemical and energy industry. Therefore, it is essential to know how accurate the measurements made with these instruments are. The paper presents an estimation of measurement uncertainty of a liquid mass flow using the orifice plate. The authors will present the influence of ranges of the Reynolds number on the estimated uncertainty, obtained on the basis of simulation and laboratory...
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The Influence of Camera and Optical System Parameters on the Uncertainty of Object Location Measurement in Vision Systems
PublicationThe article presents the influence of the camera and its optical system on the uncertainty of object position measurement in vision systems. The aim of the article is to present the methodology for estimating the combined standard uncertainty of measuring the object position with a vision camera treated as a measuring device. The identification of factors affecting the location measurement uncertainty and the determination of their...
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Customization of UWB 3D-RTLS Based on the New Uncertainty Model of the AoA Ranging Technique
PublicationThe increased potential and effectiveness of Real-time Locating Systems (RTLSs) substantially influence their application spectrum. They are widely used, inter alia, in the industrial sector, healthcare, home care, and in logistic and security applications. The research aims to develop an analytical method to customize UWB-based RTLS, in order to improve their localization performance in terms of accuracy and precision. The analytical...
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Accounting for the distributions of input quantities in the procedure for the measurement uncertainty evaluation when calibrating the goniometer
PublicationThe discords concerning the measurement uncertainty evaluation in the Guide to the Expressing of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM) and its Supplement 1 are considered. To overcome these discords, the authors of the paper propose to use the kurtosis method and the law of the propagation of the expanded uncertainty. Using the example of the goniometer calibration, the features of accounting for the distribution laws of input quantities...
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Integrated model for the fast assessment of flood volume: Modelling – management, uncertainty and sensitivity analysis
PublicationThe specific flood volume is an important criterion for assessing the performance of sewage networks. It has been shown that its value is greatly influenced by the layout of the sewers in the catchment area, which is usually expressed by a fractal dimension. Currently, only mechanistic models (such as SWMM) enable the determination of the impact of the layout of the sewers on flooding volume, but they require additional and robust...
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Uncertainty Quantification of Additive Manufacturing Post-Fabrication Tuning of Resonator-Based Microwave Sensors
PublicationReconfigurability, especially in terms of the ability of adjusting the operating frequency, has become an important prerequisite in the design of modern microwave components and systems. It is also pertinent to microwave sensors developed for a variety of applications such as characterization of material properties of solids or liquids. This paper discusses uncertainty quantification of additive-manufacturing-based post-fabrication...
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Mówiące Mapy
PublicationW referacie zaprezentowana została koncepcja oraz wizja prototypu implementacji dedykowanego systemu informacji przestrzennej (GIS) wspierającego samodzielne poruszanie się i nawigację po terenie miejskim osób niewidomych. Po wprowadzeniu w zagadnienie, omówiono wykorzystanie bazy danych przestrzennych miejskiej sieci tras dostępnych dla osób pieszych, co umożliwia systemowi automatyczne znajdowanie optymalnej trasy z punktu...
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Mówiące mapy
PublicationW niniejszym referacie przedstawiony został prototyp systemu informacji przestrzennej oraz nawigacji, przeznaczony do wspomagania poruszania się osób niewidomych po terenie miejskim. Stanowi on wynik prac badawczych wykonanych w Katedrze Systemów Geoinformatycznych wydziału ETI Politechniki Gdańskiej w ramach grantu badawczo-rozwojowego "Mówiące Mapy". Jego działanie było przedmiotem wielu testów, których rezultaty zostały przedstawione...
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Badanie MSP
PublicationW niniejszym rozdziale przeanalizowano świadomość przedsiębiorców odnośnie szans i zagrożeń, jakie niesie ze sobą organizacja EURO 2012. Została ona przebadana na próbie 300 firm z 3 branż: hotelarskiej, gastronomicznej i transportowej. Ponadto, przeprowadzono 3 wywiady pogłębionewśród firm z branży turystycznej.
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Diagnostic Utility of Selected Matrix Metalloproteinases (MMP-2, MMP-3, MMP-11, MMP-26), HE4, CA125 and ROMA Algorithm in Diagnosis of Ovarian Cancer
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Digital image transmission simulation using the PL-log-MAP turbo decoding algorithm
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GLEMOK – novel method for catchment moisture determination using high-resolution soil map
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Simplified Map-based Selection of Optimal Spindle Speeds When Milling Complex Structures
PublicationIn the paper a method for selecting optimal spindle speeds for complex structures during milling operations is presented. It is based on the selection of the spindle speed in accordance with a simple equation resulting from the minimisation of vibration energy, which leads to the minimisation of the work of cut-ting forces presented in previous elaborations by the authors [1]. Optimal spindle speeds are obtained for many points...
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Using Disparity Map for Moving Object Position Estimation in Pan Tilt Camera Images
PublicationIn this paper we present the algorithm for rapid moving object position estimation in an images acquired from pan tilt camera. Detection of a moving object in a image acquired from a moving camera might be quite challenging. Standard methods that relay on analyzing two consecutive frames are not applicable due to the changing background. To overtake this problem we decided to evaluate the possibility of calculating a disparity...
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The conception of uncertainty analysis of reliability assessment of the MC type diesel engine lubricating oil system
PublicationOmówiono elementy składające się na niepewność oszacowania niezawodności instalacji oleju smarowego dla silników typu MC. Przedstawiono, posługując się przykładem obliczeniowym, koncepcję analizy niepewności oceny rozpatrywanej instalacji. Ponadto zaproponowano sposób interpretacji otrzymanego wyniku, obarczonego dużą niepewnością, przy użyciu liczb rozmytych.
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Uncertainty of antioxidant profiling in complex mixtures using liquid chromatography involving post-column derivatisation
PublicationThe main goal of this paper is to discuss the problems associated with antioxidant profiling in complex samples using a high-throughput HPLC system coupled with post-column derivatisation reactor. Based on the experimental data reported in the literature, we demonstrated that improper optimisation of temperature and/or pH assay conditions performed using an on-line derivatisation reactor may substantially change the antioxidant...
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Airfoil Design Under Uncertainty Using Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos Theory and Utility Functions
PublicationFast and accurate airfoil design under uncertainty using non-intrusive polynomial chaos (NIPC) expansions and utility functions is proposed. The NIPC expansions provide a means to efficiently and accurately compute statistical information for a given set of input variables with associated probability distribution. Utility functions provide a way to rigorously formulate the design problem. In this work, these two methods are integrated...
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Estimating the uncertainty of discharge coefficient predicted for oblique side weir using Monte Carlo method
PublicationSide weir is a hydraulic structure, which is used in irrigation systems to divert some water from main to side channel. It is installed at the entrance of the side channel to control and measure passing water into the side channel. Many studies provided side weir water surface profile and coefficient of discharge to measure water discharge diverted into the side channel. These studies dealt with different side weir shapes (rectangular,...
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Analysis of Investments in RES Based on the Example of Photovoltaic Panels in Conditions of Uncertainty and Risk—A Case Study
PublicationThe aim of this study is to examine the profitability of investment in a photovoltaic microinstallation, to analyze the impact of legal changes on its profitability, and to perform a sensitivity analysis of the investment profitability to energy price changes. The novelty of the research applies to the financial analysis of two legal systems of discount called net-metering and net-billing. The two systems and the change in energy...