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Search results for: prediction model
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Polybrominated diphenyl ether (PBDE) concentrations in dust from various indoor environments in Gdańsk, Poland: Prediction of concentrations in indoor air and assessment of exposure of adults
PublicationMonitoring of polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) in indoor environments involves the determination of their concentrations in air, airborne particles, and settled dust. Each of these is a source of human exposure to PBDEs. In this study, we attempted to model PBDEs concentrations in various typical indoor environments on the basis of real PBDEs measurements in dust collected from them. The analytical procedure for determining...
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Wyznaczanie współczynnika przejmowania ciepła podczas wrzenia w przepływie dwutlenku węgla (Prediction of flow boling heat transfer coefficient for carbon dioxide in minichannels)
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono wyniki obliczeń uzyskane za pomocą własnego modelu półemirycznego dla wybranych danych eksperymentalnych dla wrzenia w przepływie dwutlenku węgla. Metoda obliczeniowa została zweryfikowana z danymi eksperymentalnymi Docoulombiera i innych (2011) oraz Mastrullo i innych (2009). Badania eksperymentalne dotyczą pełnego zakresu zmienności stopnia suchości oraz zakresu prędkości masowej G=200-1200 kg/m2s. rozwijany...
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Long-term hindcast simulation of sea level in the Baltic Sea
Open Research DataThe dataset contains the results of numerical modelling of sea level fluctuations over a period of 50 years (1958-2007) in the Baltic Sea. A long-term hindcast simulation was performed using a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model PM3D (Kowalewski and Kowalewska-Kalkowska, 2017), a new version of the M3D model (Kowalewski, 1997). The hydrodynamic model...
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Optimized Deep Learning Model for Flood Detection Using Satellite Images
PublicationThe increasing amount of rain produces a number of issues in Kerala, particularly in urban regions where the drainage system is frequently unable to handle a significant amount of water in such a short duration. Meanwhile, standard flood detection results are inaccurate for complex phenomena and cannot handle enormous quantities of data. In order to overcome those drawbacks and enhance the outcomes of conventional flood detection...
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Ship Dynamic Positioning Based on Nonlinear Model Predictive Control
PublicationThe presented work explores the simulation test results of using nonlinear model predictive control algorithm for ship dynamic positioning. In the optimization task, a goal function with a penalty was proposed with a variable prediction step. The results of the proposed control algorithm were compared with backstepping and PID. The effect of estimation accuracy on the control quality with the implemented algorithms was investigated....
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Prediction of Overall In Vitro Microsomal Stability of Drug Candidates Based on Molecular Modeling and Support Vector Machines. Case Study of Novel Arylpiperazines Derivatives
PublicationOther than efficacy of interaction with the molecular target, metabolic stability is the primary factor responsible for the failure or success of a compound in the drug development pipeline. The ideal drug candidate should be stable enough to reach its therapeutic site of action. Despite many recent excellent achievements in the field of computational methods supporting drug metabolism studies, a well-recognized procedure to model...
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Road noise mapping in the city area: measurements compared to model-based estimations
PublicationThe paper presents an approach to the verification of noise prediction models in selected localization in the city of Gdansk. The experiments described include a comparison between environmentalmeasurement results performed in the terrain and the noise level prediction results. The NMPB-96 (Nouvelle Méthode de Prévision du Bruit) and Harmonoise models outcomes provide the subject ofthe analysis. The proposed solution of continuous...
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Chained machine learning model for predicting load capacity and ductility of steel fiber–reinforced concrete beams
PublicationOne of the main issues associated with steel fiber–reinforced concrete (SFRC) beams is the ability to anticipate their flexural response. With a comprehensive grid search, several stacked models (i.e., chained, parallel) consisting of various machine learning (ML) algorithms and artificial neural networks (ANNs) were developed to predict the flexural response of SFRC beams. The flexural performance of SFRC beams under bending was...
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Bankruptcy Prediction - History, Present and Future.
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono krótką wzmiankę dotyczącą dotychczasowych badań w obszarze zagrożenia przedsiębiorstw upadłością, techniki wykorzystywane do budowy modeli prognozowania upadłości przedsiębiorstw oraz metody stosowane w analizie porównawczej tego typu modeli.
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Toward Prediction of Environmental Arctic Change
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numerical prediction of vortex generated by hydrofoil
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono wyniki obliczeń programami Fluent i Comet dla płata śruby napędowej. Pola prędkości oraz wirowość za płatem porównano z wynikami pomiarów (LDA- Laser Doppler Anemometry) w tunelu kawitacyjnym Centrum Techik Okrętowych (CTO). Przedstawiono wpływ adaptacji siatki wg różnych kryteriów (lokalnej wirowości lub prędkości) na zgodność wyników obliczeń z danymi eksperymentalnymi.
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COMPARISON OF BLOOD PRESSURE PREDICTION METHODS
PublicationIn the paper dierent approaches of predicting blood pressure values are presented. Basically, two methods and theirs modifications are considered. In total, seven algorithms have been examined. Tests have been conducted using both synthetic and clinical data. From our study it follows that none of the examined methods is superior to other.
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Long-term hindcast simulation of currents in the Baltic Sea
Open Research DataThe dataset contains the results of numerical modelling of currents over a period of 50 years (1958-2007) in the Baltic Sea . A long-term hindcast simulation was performed using a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model PM3D (Kowalewski and Kowalewska-Kalkowska, 2017), a new version of the M3D model (Kowalewski, 1997). The hydrodynamic model was coupled...
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Lattice filter based autoregressive spectrum estimation with joint model order and estimation bandwidth adaptation
PublicationThe problem of parametric, autoregressive model based estimation of a time-varying spectral density function of a nonstationary process is considered. It is shown that estimation results can be considerably improved if identification of the autoregressive model is carried out using the two-sided doubly exponentially weighted lattice algorithm which combines results yielded by two one-sided lattice algorithms running forward in...
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Long-term hindcast simulation of water temperature and salinity in the Baltic Sea
Open Research DataThe dataset contains the results of numerical modelling of water temperature and salinity over a period of 50 years (1958-2007) in the Baltic Sea. A long-term hindcast simulation was performed using a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model PM3D (Kowalewski and Kowalewska-Kalkowska, 2017), a new version of the M3D model (Kowalewski, 1997). The hydrodynamic...
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Impact of Low Switching-to-Fundamental Frequency Ratio on Predictive Current Control of PMSM: A simulation study
PublicationPredictive current control algorithms for permanent magnet synchronous (PMSM) drives rely on an assumption that within short intervals motor currents can be approximated with linear functions. This approximation may result either from discretizing the motor model or from simplifications applied to the continuous-time model. As the linear current approximation has been recognized as inaccurate in case when the drive operates with...
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Simplified, multiregional fuzzy model of a nuclear power plant steam turbine
PublicationPower systems, including steam turbines and synchronous generators, are complex nonlinear systems with parameters varying over time. The paper presents the developed simplified, multiregional fuzzy model of the steam turbine of a nuclear power plant turbine generator set and compares the results with a full nonlinear model and commonly used linear input-output model of a steam turbine. The proposed model consist of series of linear...
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Application Isssues of the Semi-Markov Reliability Model
PublicationPredicting the reliability of marine internal combustion engines, for instance, is of particular importance, as it makes it possible to predict their future reliability states based on the information on the past states. Correct reliability prediction is a complex process which consists in processing empirical results obtained from operating practice, complemented by analytical considerations. The process of technical state changes...
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Autonomous Ship Utility Model Parameter Estimation Utilising Extended Kalman Filter
PublicationIn this paper, a problem of autonomous ship utility model identification for control purposes is considered. In particular, the problem is formulated in terms of model parameter estimation (one-step-ahead prediction). This is a complex task due to lack of measurements of the parameter values, their time-variability and structural uncertainty introduced by the available models. In this work, authors consider and compare two utility...
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Lattice filter based multivariate autoregressive spectral estimation with joint model order and estimation bandwidth adaptation
PublicationThe problem of parametric, autoregressive model based estimation of a time-varying spectral density function of a multivariate nonstationary process is considered. It is shown that estimation results can be considerably improved if identification of the autoregressive model is carried out using the two-sided doubly exponentially weighted lattice algorithm which combines results yielded by two one-sided lattice algorithms running...
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Induction machine behavioral modeling for prediction of EMI propagation.
PublicationThis paper presents the results of wideband behavioral modeling of an induction machine (IM). The proposed solution enables modeling the IM differential- and common-mode impedance for a frequency range from 1 kHz to 10 MHz. Methods of parameter extraction are derived from the measured IM impedances. The developed models of 1.5 kW and 7.5 kW induction machines are designed using the Saber Sketch scheme editor and simulated in the...
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Creep failure prediction of pipelines in elevated temperature
PublicationW pracy omówiono zastoswanie modelu konstytutytwnego pełzania pozwalającego na analizę trwałości metalowych ruruciągów pracujących w wysokich temperaturach. Zaprezentowano wyniki obliczeń opartych na metodzie elementów skończonych (MES) wykonanych z wykorzystaniem procedur użytkownika w komercyjnym programie MES. Porównano wyniki dla dwóch typów 4-węzłowych elementów powłokowych.
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Pitch etection enhancement employing music prediction.
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono przegląd metod detekcji częstotliwości podstawowej we frazach muzycznych. Wskazano też główne problemy występujące w procesie estymacji dźwięków muzycznych. W celu zmniejszenia błędów oktawowych zaproponowano uwzględnienie w systemie predyktora neuronalnego. Opracowana przez Autorów metoda predykcji zdarzeń muzycznych wykorzystywana jest jako moduł wspomagający pracę systemu. Proponowane podejście pozwala...
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Prediction of Deflagrative Explosions in Variety of Closed Vessels
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Prediction of Weld Deformations by Numerical Methods - Review
PublicationThe welding process is the basic technique of joining in the shipbuilding industry. This method generates welding distortions that cause a lot of problems during the manufacturing process due to both the time and cost of straightening as well as their influence on later stages of production. Proper preparation of welding processes plays a growing role in the shipbuilding industry and the development of calculating tools is being...
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A Stand for Measurement and Prediction of Scattering Properties of Diffusers
PublicationIn this paper we present a set of solutions which may be used for prototyping and simulation of acoustic scattering devices. A system proposed is capable of measuring sound field. Also a way to use an open source solution for simulation of scattering phenomena occurring in proximity of acoustic diffusers is shown. The result of our work are measurement procedure and a prototype of the simulation script based on FEniCS - an open source...
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Algorithms for Ship Movement Prediction for Location Data Compression
PublicationDue to safety reasons, the movement of ships on the sea, especially near the coast should be tracked, recorded and stored. However, the amount of vessels which trajectories should be tracked by authorized institutions, often in real time, is usually huge. What is more, many sources of vessels position data (radars, AIS) produces thousands of records describing route of each tracked object, but lots of that records are correlated...
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Vibro piles performance prediction using result of CPT
PublicationVibro piles belong to the group of full displacement piles with an expanded base, characterised by a very high load capacity, especially in non-cohesive soils. The problem is to adopt a reliable method for the determination of full load–settlement (Q–s) curve. A frequent difficulty is the determination of the load capacity limit based on the static load test because the course of the load–settlement curve is of a linear nature....
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Shales Leaching Modelling for Prediction of Flowback Fluid Composition
PublicationThe object of the paper is the prediction of flowback fluid composition at a laboratory scale, for which a new approach is described. The authors define leaching as a flowback fluid generation related to the shale processing. In the first step shale rock was characterized using X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy, X-ray diractometry and laboratory analysis. It was proven that shale rock samples taken from the selected sections of horizontal...
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A Data Driven Model for Predicting RNA-Protein Interactions based on Gradient Boosting Machine
PublicationRNA protein interactions (RPI) play a pivotal role in the regulation of various biological processes. Experimental validation of RPI has been time-consuming, paving the way for computational prediction methods. The major limiting factor of these methods has been the accuracy and confidence of the predictions, and our in-house experiments show that they fail to accurately predict RPI involving short RNA sequences such as TERRA RNA....
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Elimination of clicks from archive speech signals using sparse autoregressive modeling
PublicationThis paper presents a new approach to elimination of impulsivedisturbances from archive speech signals. The proposedsparse autoregressive (SAR) signal representation is given ina factorized form - the model is a cascade of the so-called formantfilter and pitch filter. Such a technique has been widelyused in code-excited linear prediction (CELP) systems, as itguarantees model stability. After detection of noise pulses usinglinear...
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Quality prediction of foil capacitors by acoustic emission signals
PublicationJakość i trwałość kondensatorów foliowych jest zależna od ich warunków pracy (np. nadmiarowego napięcia pracy, temperatury, wilgotności) oraz od potencjalnych defektów wprowadzonych na różnych etapach wytwarzania kondensatorów. Nieustanny nacisk na wzrost jakości wytwarzanych elementów przy jednoczesnej redukcji kosztów wytwarzania oznacza, że nowe, tanie i szybkie metody predykcji jakości tych elementów są mocno poszukiwane. W...
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Long-term hindcast simulation of sea ice in the Baltic Sea
Open Research DataThe data set contains the results of numerical modeling of sea ice over a period of 50 years (1958-2007) in the Baltic Sea. A long-term hindcast simulation was performed using a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model PM3D (Kowalewski and Kowalewska-Kalkowska, 2017), a new version of the M3D model (Kowalewski, 1997). A numerical dynamic-thermodynamic model...
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Prediction of protein assemblies, the next frontier: The CASP14‐CAPRI experiment
PublicationWe present the results for CAPRI Round 50, the 4th joint CASP-CAPRI protein assembly prediction challenge. The Round comprised a total of 12 targets, including 6 dimers, 3 trimers, and 3 higher-order oligomers. Four of these were easy targets, for which good structural templates were available either for the full assembly, or for the main interfaces (of the higher-order oligomers). Eight were difficult targets for which only distantly...
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CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION IN POLAND AGAINST THE BACKGROUND OF FOREIGN EXPERIENCE
PublicationIn highly developed countries, research in the field of bankruptcy risk prediction has been conducted for many years. For example, in the United States, which can be considered a pioneering country, the first publications appeared in the early twentieth century. In Poland, due to political and economic reasons, the interest in this issue dates back to the early 1990s. For this reason, this publication attempts to answer the following...
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CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION IN POLAND AGAINST THE BACKGROUND OF FOREIGN EXPERIENCE
PublicationIn highly developed countries, research in the field of bankruptcy risk prediction has been conducted for many years. For example, in the United States, which can be considered a pioneering country, the first publications appeared in the early twentieth century. In Poland, due to political and economic reasons, the interest in this issue dates back to the early 1990s. For this reason, this publication attempts to answer the following...
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Laboratory Determination of Burger's Model Parameters for Visco-elastic Analysis of Road Pavement Materials
PublicationBurger's Model is one of those models that describes performance of asphalt mixtures. Its parameters can be used in road construction analysis based on visco-elastic properties in wide variety of temperatures using dedicated programs (e.g. Veroad) or in Finite Element Method (FEM). Parameters of Burger's Model can be used for example in prediction of low temperature cracking in low winter temperatures or permanent deformation...
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Sensing Direction of Human Motion Using Single-Input-Single-Output (SISO) Channel Model and Neural Networks
PublicationObject detection Through-the-Walls enables localization and identification of hidden objects behind the walls. While numerous studies have exploited Channel State Information of Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) WiFi and radar devices in association with Artificial Intelligence based algorithms (AI) to detect and localize objects behind walls, this study proposes a novel non-invasive Through-the-Walls human motion direction...
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Machine learning-based prediction of preplaced aggregate concrete characteristics
PublicationPreplaced-Aggregate Concrete (PAC) is a type of preplaced concrete where coarse aggregate is placed in the mold and a Portland cement-sand grout with admixtures is injected to fill the voids. Due to the complex nature of PAC, many studies were conducted to determine the effects of admixtures and the compressive and tensile strengths of PAC. Considering that a prediction tool is needed to estimate the compressive and tensile strengths...
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Application of a stochastic compartmental model to approach the spread of environmental events with climatic bias
PublicationWildfires have significant impacts on both environment and economy, so understanding their behaviour is crucial for the planning and allocation of firefighting resources. Since forest fire management is of great concern, there has been an increasing demand for computationally efficient and accurate prediction models. In order to address this challenge, this work proposes applying a parameterised stochastic model to study the propagation...
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Personal bankruptcy prediction using machine learning techniques
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Parametric method of preliminary prediction of the ship operating costs.
PublicationPraca zawiera rezultaty badań dotyczących parametrycznej metody prognozowania kosztów eksploatacji statku - przydatnej w metodyce projektowania wstępnego okrętów. Przedstawiono założenia koncepcyjne i teoretyczne metody, dokonano identyfikacji czynników istotnie wpływających na koszt eksploatacji statku, z uwzględnieniem czasowej wartości pieniądza. Opracowano wzory służące do wyznaczania składników kosztów eksploatacji statku...
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A simple method for prediction of hydrodynamics forces on a pod propulsor
PublicationReferat przedstawia prostą metodę teoretyczną wyznaczania sił hydrodynamicznych na pędniku podowym przy różnych współczynnikach posuwu i kątach dryfu. Metoda jest oparta na elementarnej teorii płatów nośnych i na teorii pędnika idealnego. metoda ta jest podstawą dla programu komputerowego pozwalającego wyznaczać napór, siłę boczną i moment dla pędnika o znanej geometrii i znanych parametrach pracy. Rezultaty obliczeń są porównane...
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Parametric method of preliminary prediction of the ship building costs
PublicationPrzedstawiono założenia koncepcyjne i teoretyczne metody, opracowano wzory aproksymacyjne służące odpowiednio do wyznaczania jednostkowych kosztów budowy: kadłuba, wyposażenia okrętowego oraz siłowni z układem napędowym. Utylitarny charakter metody zilustrowano przykadami prognoz kosztów budowy czterech różnych typów statków zaprojektowanych w ramach projektu EUREKA BALTECOLOGICALSHIP E!3065.
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Prediction of ringing frequencies in DC-DC boost converter
PublicationIn the paper ringing phenomena in a DC-DC boost converter is presented. The ringing frequency is calculated using an analytical formula. The necessary wide band models of MOSFET transistor, passive and parasitics are described. The calculation results are verified in simulation and laboratory tests.
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ECG-based prediction of ventricular fibrillation by means of the PCA
PublicationA Sudden Cardiac Death (SCD) is a death resulting from cardiac failure with no significant symptoms earlier than one hour before occurrence. It is the cause of for approximately 400000 deaths per year in United States and millions of deaths worldwide. The proposed system, including two-stage algorithm and wearable diagnostic device allows for SCD risk estimation and continuous monitoring of high risk patients. A single channel...
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Theoretical pKa prediction of O-phosphoserine in aqueous solution
PublicationSprawdzono zdolność modelu polaryzowalnego kontinuum (PCM) do przewidywania wartości pKa w roztworze wodnym dla O-fosfoseryny (P-Ser). Obliczenia przeprowadzono w ramach teorii funkcjonału gęstości (DFT) przy użyciu funkcjonałów B3LYP i M06-2X oraz baz 6-31+G(d) and 6-31+G(d,p). Obliczenia na poziomie B3LYP/6-31+G(d,p) przy użyciu modelu solwatacji SMD zapewniają doskonałą zgodność z doświadczeniem, pod warunkiem uwzględnienia...
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Mass transfer in Spinning Fluids Reactor — Measurement and prediction
PublicationSpecific mass transfer area (a) and overall volumetric mass transfer coefficient (kLa) are mass transfer parameters commonly used in the description and comparison of various chemical reactors’ constructions. Determination of these was performed for Spinning Fluids Reactor (SFR). Sodium sulfite oxidation in the presence of cobalt ion catalyst was used for the determination of a and kLa. The a and kLa were successful predicted....
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On autoregressive spectrum estimation using the model averaging technique
PublicationThe problem of estimating spectral density of a nonstationary process satisfying local stationarity conditions is considered. The proposed solution is a two step procedure based on local autoregressive (AR) modeling. In the first step Bayesian-like averaging of AR models, differing in order, is performed. The main contribution of the paper is development of a new final-prediction-error-like statistic, which can be used to select...
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Mining Knowledge of Respiratory Rate Quantification and Abnormal Pattern Prediction
PublicationThe described application of granular computing is motivated because cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains a major killer globally. There is increasing evidence that abnormal respiratory patterns might contribute to the development and progression of CVD. Consequently, a method that would support a physician in respiratory pattern evaluation should be developed. Group decision-making, tri-way reasoning, and rough set–based analysis...