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wszystkich: 2018
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Wyniki wyszukiwania dla: price change prediction
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DIAMENTY JAKO PRZYKŁAD INWESTYCJI ALTERNATYWNEJ
PublikacjaW artykule scharakteryzowano determinanty decydujące o powodzeniu inwestycji w diamenty. Cel artykułu to zbadanie, jak masa, czystość, szlif, kolor, jednostka certyfikująca i kształt wpływają na cenę diamentu. Aby określić wpływ tych cech na cenę diamentu, zbudowano pięć modeli ekonometrycznych. Dla realizacji postawionego celu badawczego wykorzystano charakterystyki dla ponad 265 tysięcy diamentów. W wyniku przeprowadzonej analizy...
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A Computationally Efficient Model for Predicting Successful Memory Encoding Using Machine-Learning-based EEG Channel Selection
PublikacjaComputational cost is an important consideration for memory encoding prediction models that use data from dozens of implanted electrodes. We propose a method to reduce computational expense by selecting a subset of all the electrodes to build the prediction model. The electrodes were selected based on their likelihood of measuring brain activity useful for predicting memory encoding better than chance (in terms of AUC). A logistic...
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MP3vec: A Reusable Machine-Constructed Feature Representation for Protein Sequences
Publikacja—Machine Learning (ML) methods have been used with varying degrees of success on protein prediction tasks, with two inherent limitations. First, prediction performance often depends upon the features extracted from the proteins. Second, experimental data may be insufficient to construct reliable ML models. Here we introduce MP3vec, a transferable representation for protein sequences that is designed to be used specifically for sequence-to-sequence...
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Self-Organization in Multi-Agent Systems Based on Examples of Modeling Economic Relationships between Agents
PublikacjaThe goal of the research was to observe and analyze self-organization patterns in Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) by modeling basic economic relationships between agents forming a closed loop of relations necessary for their survival. The paper describes a worked-out MAS including an example of a production cycle and used economic rules. A special focus is put on behavior rules and decision systems of an individual agent such as: product...
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Znaczenie płci w procesie zakupu marek własnych sieci handlowych – analiza wielogrupowa
PublikacjaThe purpose of the article is to analyze the differences in the behavior of men and women in the process of purchasing store brands (SBs). Using an established conceptual model, we intended to identify differences, depending on gender of buyers, in the size of the effects of store image and brand price-image on perceived risk and subsequently on store brand purchase intention. A total of 652 respondents participated in the study....
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Wpływ postrzeganego ryzyka oraz czynników wizerunkowych na zamiar zakupu marek własnych sieci handlowych
PublikacjaCelem przeprowadzonych badań była analiza wpływu wizerunku sklepu, postrzeganego ryzyka oraz wizerunku cenowego marek własnych na zamiar ich zakupu. Dokonano replikacji modelu zaproponowanego przez M.F. Diallo i w jej ramach zastosowano technikę wywiadu realizowanego za pośrednictwem Internetu (CAWI) i przeprowadzono analizy z wykorzystaniem modelu równań strukturalnych (SEM) przy pomocy oprogramowania AMOS. Stwierdzono, że zamiar...
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Early warning models against bankruptcy risk for Central European and Latin American enterprises
PublikacjaThis article is devoted to the issue of forecasting the bankruptcy risk of enterprises in Latin America and Central Europe. The author has used statistical and soft computing methods to program the prediction models. It compares the effectiveness of twelve different early warningmodels for forecasting the bankruptcy risk of companies. In the research conducted, the author used data on 185 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange...
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Fashion Games, Fashion in Games and Gamification in Fashion. A First Map
PublikacjaFashion companies have been using different forms of entertainment such as film and television, sport, music, museums, and photography as inspiration sources and as communication and marketing channels for decades. However, in recent years, they have also started to consider the gaming world. While gaming offers a potential revenue stream from sales of physical and digital clothing, change in it is also the gateway to access new...
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Technical and Economic Analysis of an Intermediate Size Photovoltaic Power Plant. Case Study
PublikacjaThe article presents an analysis of the construction of a photovoltaic power plant with an installed capacity of about 30 kW. The principles of selecting the basic elements of the plant are shown. The impact of a high constant price on the profitability of the project is highlighted. The article also describes the existing mechanisms for subsidizing the investment.
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Impacts on human health in the Arctic owing to climate-induced changes in contaminant cycling – The EU ArcRisk project policy outcome
PublikacjaResults of the EU ArcRisk project on human health impacts in the Arctic owing to climate-induced changes in contaminant cycling are summarized in the context of their policy application. The question on how will climate change affect the transport of selected persistent organic pollutants (POPs) and mercury, both to and within the Arctic has been addressed, as well as the issue of human health impacts of these pollutants in the...
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Influence of bush wear in water lubricated marine stern tube bearings with shaft misalignment
PublikacjaWater lubricated propeller shaft bearings are frequently employed on modern ships due to their advantages such as durability, simplicity and low price. Specific working conditions on ships cause shaft misalignment which often results in rapid wearing of bush and shaft. Shaft misalignment could be an effect of manufacturing or assembly faults but sometimes it appears due to hull or shaft deformation. The wearing process has influence...
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Criteria for evaluation and selection of the best offer for the Contract Engineer service
PublikacjaThe purpose of the legal regulations regarding public procurement in EU countries is to ensure effective funds' spending. When assessing and selecting the best offer, the contracting entities have at their disposal many different criteria, including non-price criteria. Their proper selection and application is necessary to ensure the high quality of the ordered product, delivery or service. Making an order for intellectual services,...
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Constrained aerodynamic shape optimization using neural networks and sequential sampling
PublikacjaAerodynamic shape optimization (ASO) involves computational fluid dynamics (CFD)-based search for an optimal aerodynamic shape such as airfoils and wings. Gradient-based optimization (GBO) with adjoints can be used efficiently to solve ASO problems with many design variables, but problems with many constraints can still be challenging. The recently created efficient global optimization algorithm with neural network (NN)-based prediction...
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Agent-based social network as a simulation of a market behaviour
PublikacjaRecent years and the outbreak of world's economic crisis in 2008 proved the crucial importance of reliable analysis of market dynamics. However, werarely apply models of proper detail level (the global prosperity forecast of 2007 can be seen as a grim proof). The behaviour of individuals and companies is far from being ideal and rational. Many claims that the economic paradigm of rational expectations (coming from J. Muth and R....
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Modelling of the Polish Electricity Generation Subsystem in MARKAL Program with Emphasis on the EU Emissions Trading Scheme
PublikacjaThis paper addresses issues related to greenhouse gas emissions in the European Union and measures to reduce them, in particular the European Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS). A model of the Polish electricity generation subsystem, taking into account EU ETS mechanisms, has been developed using the MARKAL optimization package. Data collected on the basis of available projects, regulations and statistics were entered into the model....
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Thermodynamic and economic analysis of nuclear power unit operating in partial cogeneration mode to produce electricity and district heat
PublikacjaThis paper presents the methodology of techno-economic analysis for a nuclear unit operating in partial cogeneration mode and its application for the case study: a nuclear power plant planned in Poland. The research objectives were: to propose EPR, AP1000 and ESBWR nuclear condensing-extraction turbine systems modifications required for operation in cogeneration, to determine optimal heat production and heat transport line (HTL)...
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Experimental validation of pressure drop models during flow boiling of R134a – effect of flow acceleration and entrainment
PublikacjaA crucial step to assure proficient work of power and process apparatus is their proper design. A wide array of those devices operates within boiling or condensation of the working fluid to benefit from high heat transfer rates. Two-phase flows are associated with high heat transfer coefficients because of the latent heat of evaporation and high turbulence level between the liquid and the solid surface. Predicting heat transfer...
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Road noise mapping in the city area: measurements compared to model-based estimations
PublikacjaThe paper presents an approach to the verification of noise prediction models in selected localization in the city of Gdansk. The experiments described include a comparison between environmentalmeasurement results performed in the terrain and the noise level prediction results. The NMPB-96 (Nouvelle Méthode de Prévision du Bruit) and Harmonoise models outcomes provide the subject ofthe analysis. The proposed solution of continuous...
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Adapt or die—Response of large herbivores to environmental changes in Europe during the Holocene
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Tipping point in plant–fungal interactions under severe drought causes abrupt rise in peatland ecosystem respiration
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Ericoid shrub encroachment shifts aboveground–belowground linkages in three peatlands across Europe and Western Siberia
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Sea to air transport of trace gases in the coastal zone: a literature review
PublikacjaW pracy przedstawiono informacje i dane liczbowe dotyczące zjawiska wymiany składników śladowych (CO2, N2O, CH4, DMS, COS, NH3, metyloaminy, lotne związki halogenoorganiczne, CO) pomiędzy powierzchnią morza i powietrzem atmosferycznym w strefie przybrzeżnej. Dokonano oceny ogólnej emisji tych związków oraz podano informacje o stężeniach i o strumieniach (w skali rocznej).
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La sfida di "Re Cotone". Una nuova storia del capitalismo attraverso la storia delle commodities?
PublikacjaThe article is divided into two parts. In the first one, it highlights the role of commodities in real economy and it observes the coincidence of their price increase after 2003 and their importance as a research topic particularly in the framework of global history. In the second one, it propose a comparative analysis of two recent books on cotton, considering similarities and differences of their approaches, and the difficult...
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Evaluation of Response Amplitude Operator of Ship Roll Motions Based on the Experiments in White Noise Waves
PublikacjaEvaluation of the response amplitude operator (RAO) function for ship wave frequency motions by means of scale model tests in regular waves is a standard procedure conducted by hydrodynamic model testing institutions. The resulting RAO function allows for evaluating sufficiently reliable seakeeping predictions for low to moderate sea states. However, for standard hull forms, correct prediction of roll motion in irregular wave (and...
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High precision and accuracy using low cost GNSS receivers and supporting technologies
PublikacjaThis chapter focuses on methods and techniques of positioning, based on the highly accurate and precise Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), which are available at a relatively low price. In this context, a comparison of different positioning methods provided by the free and open source software (FOSS) package called RTKLIB is given. Other aspects related to price reduction are also considered, including availability and...
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Detection of impulsive disturbances in archive audio signals
PublikacjaIn this paper the problem of detection of impulsive disturbances in archive audio signals is considered. It is shown that semi-causal/noncausal solutions based on joint evaluation of signal prediction errors and leave-one-out signal interpolation errors, allow one to noticeably improve detection results compared to the prediction-only based solutions. The proposed approaches are evaluated on a set of clean audio signals contaminated...
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Impact of Low Switching-to-Fundamental Frequency Ratio on Predictive Current Control of PMSM: A simulation study
PublikacjaPredictive current control algorithms for permanent magnet synchronous (PMSM) drives rely on an assumption that within short intervals motor currents can be approximated with linear functions. This approximation may result either from discretizing the motor model or from simplifications applied to the continuous-time model. As the linear current approximation has been recognized as inaccurate in case when the drive operates with...
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In silico modelling for predicting the cationic hydrophobicity and cytotoxicity of ionic liquids towards the Leukemia rat cell line, Vibrio fischeri and Scenedesmus vacuolatus based on molecular interaction potentials of ions
PublikacjaIn this study we present prediction models for estimating in silico the cationic hydrophobicity and the cytotoxicity (log [1/EC50]) of ionic liquids (ILs) towards the Leukemia rat cell line (IPC-81), the marine bacterium Vibrio fischeri and the limnic green algae Scenedesmus vacuolatus using linear free energy relationship (LFER) descriptors computed by COSMO calculations. The LFER descriptors used for the prediction model (i.e....
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Application of the Chimney Cap as a Method of Improving the Effectiveness of Natural Ventilation in Buildings
PublikacjaAdequately designed natural ventilation is the cheapest and easiest way to effectively remove indoor pollutants and keep the air inside a building fresh. A prediction of the performance and effectiveness of ventilation in order to determine the design of a ventilation system can provide real and long-term cost savings. The worst time in terms of the efficiency of natural ventilation is the spring-autumn transition period [7]. In...
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Analiza bibliometryczna w badaniach dotyczących prognozowania upadłości przedsiębiorstw w Polsce
PublikacjaCelem opracowania jest ukazanie obrazu piśmiennictwa poświęconego zagadnieniom prognozowania upadłości przedsiębiorstw w Polsce. Jako metodę badawczą zastosowano analizę bibliometryczną. Do analizy wykorzystano bazę Google Scholar oraz narzędzie Publish or Perish 7. Okresem badań objęto lata 1995– 2019. Jako frazy do wyszukiwania publikacji zastosowano: „prognozowanie upadłości”, „prognozowanie zagrożenia finansowego”, „systemy...
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Identification of ship’s hull mathematical model with numerical methods
PublikacjaThe modern maritime industry is moving toward the development of technology that will allow for full or partial autonomy of ship operation. This innovation places high demands on ship performance prediction techniques at the design stage. The researchwork presented in the article is related to the design stage of the ship and concerns methods for prognosis and evaluation of the specific operational condition of the ship, namely...
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VALUATION OF EMBEDDED OPTIONS IN NON-MARKETABLE CALLABLE BONDS: A NEW NUMERICAL APPROACH
PublikacjaThe issue of how to price options embedded in callable bonds has attracted a lot of interest over the years. The usual bond valuation methods rely on yield curves, risk premium, and other parameters to estimate interest rates used in discounted cash flow calculations. The option to retire the bond is, however, neglected in the standard pricing models, causing a systematic overvaluation of callable bonds. In the event of a decline...
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Wireless intelligent audio-video surveillance prototyping system
PublikacjaThe presented system is based on the Virtex6 FPGA and several supporting devices like a fast DDR3 memory, small HD camera, microphone with A/D converter, WiFi radio communication module, etc. The system is controlled by the Linux operating system. The Linux drivers for devices implemented in the system have been prepared. The system has been successfully verified in a H.264 compression accelerator prototype in which the most demanding...
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Dynamic ranking of cloud providers
PublikacjaThe paper focuses on how to create an effective dynamic ranking service for IaaS,PaaS and SaaS cloud providers. It considers building of a quality model for thispurpose along with definition of quality measurement procedures. The paper discussesseveral techniques known from already existing price comparison engines that couldbe modified and adopted for comparison of cloud providers. Furthermore, a tech-nique for filtering measured...
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Investigating the Impact of Curing System on Structure-Property Relationship of Natural Rubber Modified with Brewery By-Product and Ground Tire Rubber
PublikacjaThe application of wastes as a filler/reinforcement phase in polymers is a new strategy to modify the performance properties and reduce the price of biocomposites. The use of these fillers, coming from agricultural waste (cellulose/lignocellulose-based fillers) and waste rubbers, constitutes a method for the management of post-consumer waste. In this paper, highly-filled biocomposites based on natural rubber (NR) and ground tire...
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Elimination of impulsive disturbances from archive audio files – comparison of three noise pulse detection schemes
PublikacjaThe problem of elimination of impulsive disturbances (such as clicks, pops, ticks, crackles, and record scratches) from archive audio recordings is considered and solved using autoregressive modeling. Three classical noise pulse detection schemes are examined and compared: the approach based on open-loop multi-step-ahead signal prediction, the approach based on decision-feedback signal prediction, and the double threshold approach,...
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Efficient uncertainty quantification using sequential sampling-based neural networks
PublikacjaUncertainty quantification (UQ) of an engineered system involves the identification of uncertainties, modeling of the uncertainties, and the forward propagation of the uncertainties through a system analysis model. In this work, a novel surrogate-based forward propagation algorithm for UQ is proposed. The proposed algorithm is a new and unique extension of the recent efficient global optimization using neural network (NN)-based...
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Polymers for burn dressings and skin substitutes
PublikacjaSkin burns belong to the group of the most complex injuries due to convoluted skin structure which includes nerve cells, muscles, sweat and sebaceous glands and blood vessels. Both on the market and at the research stage, there are many different dressing and skin substitutes proposals that utilize various materials and active substances. This chapter focuses on summarizing and describing the most popular polymer-based commercial...
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On ship roll resonance frequency
PublikacjaThe paper deals with the problem of modeling of rolling motion under a variety of excitation parameters. Special emphasis is put on the analysis and prediction of the frequency of the resonant mode of rolling, since it is often an essential issue in terms of motion of a ship related to her safety against capsizing or excessive amplitudes of roll. The research is performed for both free rolling and excited rolling and it is based...
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Rola nowego tramwaju wodnego w Gdańsku
PublikacjaStreszczenie Tramwaj wodny – środek miejskiej komunikacji zbiorowej czy jednostka przewozów turystyczny? Identyfikacja, zestawienie i analiza czynników transportu nowopowstałej usługi przewozowej z komunikacją miejską i przewozem turystycznym tj. :cennik biletów, sposobu dystrybucji biletów, czasu przejazdu dostępności, przebieg trasy i częstotliwości kursowania. Wskazanie funkcji przewozowej tramwaju wodnego w Gdańsku.
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Global Surrogate Modeling by Neural Network-Based Model Uncertainty
PublikacjaThis work proposes a novel adaptive global surrogate modeling algorithm which uses two neural networks, one for prediction and the other for the model uncertainty. Specifically, the algorithm proceeds in cycles and adaptively enhances the neural network-based surrogate model by selecting the next sampling points guided by an auxiliary neural network approximation of the spatial error. The proposed algorithm is tested numerically...
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Trim Optimisation - Theory and Practice
PublikacjaForce Technology has been working intensively with trim optimisation tests for almost last 10 years. Focus has primarily been put on the possible power savings and exhaust gases reduction. This paper describes the trim optimisation process for a large cargo vessel. The physics behind changed propulsive power is described and the analyses in order to elaborate the optimum trimmed conditions are presented. Different methods for prediction...
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Elimination of clicks from archive speech signals using sparse autoregressive modeling
PublikacjaThis paper presents a new approach to elimination of impulsivedisturbances from archive speech signals. The proposedsparse autoregressive (SAR) signal representation is given ina factorized form - the model is a cascade of the so-called formantfilter and pitch filter. Such a technique has been widelyused in code-excited linear prediction (CELP) systems, as itguarantees model stability. After detection of noise pulses usinglinear...
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New semi-causal and noncausal techniques for detection of impulsive disturbances in multivariate signals with audio applications
PublikacjaThis paper deals with the problem of localization of impulsive disturbances in nonstationary multivariate signals. Both unidirectional and bidirectional (noncausal) detection schemes are proposed. It is shown that the strengthened pulse detection rule, which combines analysis of one-step-ahead signal prediction errors with critical evaluation of leave-one-out signal interpolation errors, allows one to noticeably improve detection results...
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A New Approach for Investigating the Impact of Pesticides and Nutrient Flux from Agricultural Holdings and Land-Use Structures on Baltic Sea Coastal Waters
PublikacjaKnowledge related to land-use management impacts on the Baltic Sea ecosystem is limited. The constant release of pollutants into water bodies has resulted in water quality degradation. Therefore, only the innovative approaches integrated with research will provide accurate solutions and methods for proper environment management and will enable understanding and prediction of the impacts of land-use in the Baltic Sea region. Modelling...
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Kreowanie nowej ścieżki rozwoju dzięki poprawie modelu procesów innowacji na Pomorzu
PublikacjaCreating of New Development Path Due to Upgrading the Innovation Process- es Model in Pomeranian Region. The study presents a change in the innovation model and a change of development path towards new industries and modernization of traditional indus- tries in the Pomeranian Voivodship. The characteristics of the region and the characteristics of the regional innovation system based on statistical data, existing research, analysis...
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Traffic Noise Analysis Applied to Automatic Vehicle Counting and Classification
PublikacjaProblems related to determining traffic noise characteristics are discussed in the context of automatic dynamic noise analysis based on noise level measurements and traffic prediction models. The obtained analytical results provide the second goal of the study, namely automatic vehicle counting and classification. Several traffic prediction models are presented and compared to the results of in-situ noise level measurements. Synchronized...
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TOWARDS EXPLAINABLE CLASSIFIERS USING THE COUNTERFACTUAL APPROACH - GLOBAL EXPLANATIONS FOR DISCOVERING BIAS IN DATA
PublikacjaThe paper proposes summarized attribution-based post-hoc explanations for the detection and identification of bias in data. A global explanation is proposed, and a step-by-step framework on how to detect and test bias is introduced. Since removing unwanted bias is often a complicated and tremendous task, it is automatically inserted, instead. Then, the bias is evaluated with the proposed counterfactual approach. The obtained results...
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An algorithm for selecting a machine learning method for predicting nitrous oxide emissions in municipal wastewater treatment plants
PublikacjaThis study presents an advanced algorithm for selecting machine learning (ML) models for nitrous oxide (N2O) emission prediction in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) employing the activated sludge process. The examined ML models comprised multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), support vector machines (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGboost). The study explores the concept that involves new criteria to select the...
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Machine learning-based seismic response and performance assessment of reinforced concrete buildings
PublikacjaComplexity and unpredictability nature of earthquakes makes them unique external loads that there is no unique formula used for the prediction of seismic responses. Hence, this research aims to implement the most well-known Machine Learning (ML) methods in Python software to propose a prediction model for seismic response and performance assessment of Reinforced Concrete Moment-Resisting Frames (RC MRFs). To prepare 92,400 data...