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Wyniki wyszukiwania dla: RISK ANALYSIS, RISK MANAGEMENT
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OCCUPATIONAL RISK ASSESSMENT USING THE RISK SCORE METHOD DURING GEODETIC MEASUREMENTS
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Risk factors assessment and risk prediction models in lung cancer screening candidates
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Ryzyko statystyczne a ryzyko rzeczywistego pacjenta = Statistical risk and risk of the real patient
PublikacjaDzięki wieloletnim obserwacjom populacji ludzkiej udało się zidentyfikować czynniki ryzyka choroby wieńcowej. Najważniejsze z nich to: wiek, płeć, obciążenie genetyczne, palenie papierosów, stężenie cholesterolu we krwi, ciśnienie tętnicze, brak aktywności fizycznej, nadwaga, obecność cukrzycy. Obserwacje prospektywne populacji dostarczyły danych do opracowania modeli, które określają relacje między wartościami czynników ryzyka...
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Conditional Value-at-Risk Vs. Value-at-Risk to Multi-Objective Portfolio Optimization
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A risk comparison framework for autonomous ships navigation
PublikacjaMaritime autonomous surface ships (MASS) may operate in three predefined operational modes (OM): manual, remote, or autonomous control. Determining the appropriate OM for MASS is important for operators and competent authorities that monitor and regulate maritime traffic in given areas. However, a science-based approach to this respect is currently unavailable. To assist the selection of the proper OM, this study presents a risk-based...
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Collision Risk-Informed Weather Routing for Sailboats
PublikacjaSelected COLREG rules, good seamanship and sheer common sense indicate that it is in a sailboat's interest to follow collision-free routes without relying on large power-driven ships to give way. Until now, however, no method has integrated a sailboat's weather routing with collision risk monitoring and collision avoidance. Therefore, a new deterministic approach to combine the above features within one method is introduced here....
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An environmental risk measure of ships
PublikacjaW referacie wyszczególniono najistotniejsze rodzaje zanieczyszczeń emitowanych przez statki do środowiska naturalnego. Przeprowadzono krótką dyskusję norweskiej propozycji indeksacji środowiskowej statków. Zaproponowano probabilistyczny model do oceny ryzyka stwarzanego przez statki względem środowiska morskiego. Jest to model strategii liniowej. Wiąże w jedną wartość liczbową prawdopodobieństwa uwolnienia zanieczyszczeń ze statku...
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Financial risk information avoidance
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Highway engineering risk assessment
PublikacjaNa drogach krajowych w Polsce rocznie ginie ponad 2000 osób w wypadkach drogowych, co stanowi ponad 37% ogółu ofiar śmiertelnych w wypadkach. Do poprawy stanu bezpieczeństwa na tych drogach muszą byc podjęte działania zmierzające do systematycznego dostosowania poszcz. odcinków dróg do standardów bezpieczeństwa. Jednym z narzędzi pomocnych do wyboru odcinków dróg o największym potencjale mozliwych do uratowania od śmierci uczestników...
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Environmental risk measure of ships
PublikacjaW artykule wyszczególniono najistotniejsze zanieczyszczenia uwalniane podczas eksploatacji statków. Przedyskutowano norweską propozycję indeksacji środowiskowej statków. Zaproponowano probabilistyczny model do oceny ryzyka stwarzanego przez statki względem środowiska morskiego oraz miarę tego ryzyka. Przedstawiono także wyniki badań wpływu niezawodnośći elementów technicznych i poziomu wyszkolenia załogi na roczne ryzyko środowiskowe...
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The trajectories of the financial crisis of companies at risk of bankruptcy
PublikacjaThis article concerns the assessment of the trajectory of the collapse of enterprises in Central Europe. The author has developed a model of a Kohonen artificial neural network. This model was used to determine 6 different classes of risk and was allowed to graphically determine the 5- to 10-year trajectory of going bankrupt. The study used data on 140 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. This population was divided into...
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Dynamic risk assessment in autonomous vehicles motion planning
PublikacjaArguing that an autonomous mobile system is sufficiently safe to operate in presence of other vehicles and objects is an important element in development of such systems. Traditional approach to assure safety is to distinguish between safe and unsafe area and prevent the autonomous vehicle from entering the unsafe area. The paper presents a model of autonomous vehicle control system which uses risk assessment...
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CARDIOVASCULAR RISK FACTORS AMONG POLISH EMPLOYEES OF UNIFORMED SERVICES
PublikacjaObjectives: Employees of uniformed services (EoUS) were screened for cardiovascular risk factors. Material and Methods: A total of 1138 EoUS (age M±SD 49.9±6.0 years) and 263 controls (age M±SD 54.4±9.7 years) under the care of the cardiology clinic in Gdańsk, Poland,were included in the study. Medical history and blood samples were collected, and a physical examination was performed. Ten-year cardiovascular risk of death was...
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Environmental Risk Assessment of WWII Shipwreck pollution
PublikacjaThe pollution of the sea is a global problem that has arisen as a consequence of the industrialization of the world and the intense transportation of crude oil and the products of its refinement. As sailing vessels were replaced by motor propelled ships towards the end of the 19th century, a new source of sea water pollution came into being. Every emergency involving a tanker carrying crude oil and its products is a potential source...
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Marine traffic risk modelling – an innovative approach and a case study
PublikacjaThis paper presents a model to analyse the risk of two common marine accidents: collision and grounding. Attention is focused on oil tankers since they pose the highest environmental risks. A case study in selected areas of the Gulf of Finland in ice-free conditions is presented. The model utilizes a formula for risk calculation that considers both the probability of an unwanted event and its consequences. The model can be decomposed...
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Towards the Development of a Risk Model for Unmanned Vessels Design and Operations
PublikacjaAn unmanned merchant vessel seems to be escaping from the stage of idea exploration. Once the concept proofs its safety, it may become a part of maritime reality. Although the safety aspect of such a ship has been addressed by a handful of scholars, the problem remains open. This is mainly due to lack of knowledge regarding actual operational circumstances and design of unmanned ships, which are yet to be developed. In the...
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Frameworks for uncertainly representation in risk assessments
PublikacjaArtykuł dotyczy wybranych zagadnień związanych z niepewnością w ilościowych obliczeniach analizy ryzyka. Problem ten stał się bardzo istotny, ponieważ wystąpiły wymagania w określaniu niepewności w procedurach obliczeń ryzyka.Dyskutuje się potencjalne źródła niepewności oraz dokonuje przeglądu teoretycznych ram do modelowania niepewności. Dla złożonych systemów ryzyka proponuje się obliczenia przedziałowo (rozmyto) probabilistyczne,...
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Risk Identification Patterns for Software Projects.
PublikacjaArtykuł prezentuje metodę identyfikacji ryzyka w projektach informatycznych z użyciem wzorców ryzyka odnoszących się do modelu procesu projektowego. W artykule zdefiniowano meta-model dla modelowania procesów ukierunkowany na analizę ryzyka oraz proste i złożone wzorce ryzyka wywiedzione z tego meta-modelu, jak również pokazano przykładowe użycie wzorców do opisu czynników ryzyka odnoszących się do modelu RUP. Metodę poddano walidacji...
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A service-oriented approach to the identification of IT Risk
PublikacjaArtykuł przedstawia ogólne podejście do identyfikacji ryzyka eksploatacji systemów informatycznych, które obejmuje bezpieczeństwo, ochronę, prywatność oraz uzależnienie. Podejście oparte jest na badaniu trybów awarii usług dostarczanych użytkownikom przez oprogramowanie. Identyfikacja ryzyka na podstawie przeglądu usług uzupełniana jest listami kontrolnymi wyprowadzonymi ze standardów, a także klasycznymi technikami analizy bezpieczeństwa...
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Risk Modelling for Passages in Approach Channel
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Board Gender Diversity and Firm Risk
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Strategic Risk Measures in Road Traffic
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Flood zones - a risk for the urban areas
PublikacjaPrzedstawiono studium dotyczące wyznaczenia stref zagrożenia powodziowego dla miasta Warszawy wskutek wezbrań rzeki Wisły. Do oszacowania zasięgu stref wykorzystano matematyczny model ustalonego przepływu wolnozmiennego oraz numeryczny model terenu doliny rzeki. Do zobrazowania uzyskanych wyników zastosowano system GIS. Na podstawie uzyskanych wyników zidentyfikowano obszary miasta Warszawy narażone na ewentualną powódź oraz odcinki...
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Model of Risk Assessment (MORA) concept for the investment part of urban regeneration projects
PublikacjaThe main goal of this paper is presentation of the model concept (MORA) that will be used to control level of risk and manage technical risk in investment projects in the area of urban regeneration risk management.
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The effects of perceived risk, brand value, and brand trust on eWOM
PublikacjaUnrestricted access to the Internet, mobile devices, social applications and offering shopping comment options via online stores and platforms, encourages customers to generate online reviews about brands. That is why it became important to learn about the factors that motivate customers to create electronic word of mouth (eWOM). The survey aimed to check if there are links between perceived brand value, perceived risk, brand trust...
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Towards a process based management system for oil port infrastructure in context of insurance
PublikacjaThis article addresses selected methodological aspects of a process based management system based on analysis of hazards and threats and risk evaluation for an oil port infrastructure in context of insurance. The oil port terminal is regarded as important system of the critical infrastructure that require careful system oriented approach to deal with integrated aspects of environmental, safety and security management to reduce...
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Positive Risk of Creativity in Software Projects: an Expected Result, a Threat or an Opportunity?
PublikacjaPositive risk of creativity appears when there is an excess of creativity. This paper aims at exploring the concept of positive risk of creativity in software projects. It presents a taxonomy of positive risks as well as case studies of positive risks in diploma software projects. It also attempts to answer the question whether positive risks should be treated as expected results of applying creativity process, or they cause additional...
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Designing Control and Protection Systems with Regard to Integrated Functional Safety and Cybersecurity Aspects
PublikacjaThis article addresses current problems of risk analysis and probabilistic modelling for functional safety management in the life cycle of safety-related systems. Two main stages in the lifecycle of these systems are distinguished, namely the design and operation. The risk analysis and probabilistic modelling differ in these stages in view of available knowledge and data. Due to the complexity and uncertainty involved, both qualitative...
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Evaluation of the factors influencing business bankruptcy risk in Poland
PublikacjaThis article is devoted to the issue of assessing the causes of business failure. The presented studies answer two research questions – what are the causes of corporate bankruptcies in Poland and how to more efectively predict the scale of bankruptcies in the country. The author has conducted a study to analyze the specic endogenous and exogenous causes of company bankruptcy depending on the type of the bankruptcy with consideration...
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Metals in the environment as risk factors for infectious diseases: gaps and opportunities
PublikacjaThis chapter aims to provide insights into current knowledge and gaps in our understanding of the influence that trace metals in the environment have on the pathogenesis of infectious diseases. By reducing immune function, trace metal deficiencies may substantially contribute to the global burden of diarhea, pneumonia, and malaria. Improved methods and biomarkers for assessing the risk of trace metals deficiencies and toxicities...
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Folate/homocysteine metabolism and lung cancer risk among smokers
PublikacjaBackground: Folate and homocysteine are involved in DNA synthesis and methylation processes, which are deregulated during carcinogenesis. Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between folate/homocysteine concentrations, the functional polymorphisms of folate/homocysteine genes and lung cancer risk among cigarette smokers. Study design: The study included 132 lung cancer patients and 396 controls from...
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Corporate social responsibility and forward default risk mediated by financial performance and goodwill
PublikacjaIn today’s business environment, corporate social responsibility (CSR) has become an increasingly significant factor for firms. This study is driven by the motivation to add to the current literature by investigating the mediating elements that explain the relationship between CSR and forward default risk. In this paper, we attempt to identify the important mediators and give a more comprehensive explanation of this connection...
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Procedure based functional safety and information security management of industrial automation and control systems on example of the oil port installations
PublikacjaThe approach addresses selected technical and organization aspects of risk mitigation in the oil port installations with regard to functional safety and security requirements specified in standards IEC 61508, IEC 61511 and IEC 62443. The procedure for functional safety management includes the hazard identification, risk analysis and assessment, specification of overall safety requirements and definition of...
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Advanced Bayesian study on inland navigational risk of remotely controlled autonomous ship
PublikacjaThe arise of autonomous ships has necessitated the development of new risk assessment techniques and methods. This study proposes a new framework for navigational risk assessment of remotely controlled Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS). This framework establishes a set of risk influencing factors affecting safety of navigation of a remotely-controlled MASS. Next, model parameters are defined based on the risk factors, and...
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Knowledge-based functional safety and security management in hazardous industrial plants with emphasis on human factors
PublikacjaExisting and emerging new hazards have significant potential to impact destructively operation of technical systems, hazardous plants, and systems / networks of critical infrastructure. The programmable control and protection systems play nowadays an important role in reducing and controlling risk in the process of hazardous plant operation. It is outlined how to deal with security related hazards concerning such systems to be...
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Environmental risk, toxicity, and biodegradation of polyethylene: a review
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Automatic system of constructions corrosion risk assessment
PublikacjaPrzedstawiony został system pomiaru szybkości korozji pracujący w przemysłowej instalacji wodnej. Mierzone wartości szybkości korozji przesyłane są za pomocą telefonii komórkowej (GPRS) co umożliwia obserwację wyników on-line. Zastosowanie tego rodzaju systemu pozwala na wykonywanie pomiarów korozyjnych umożliwiających kontrolę instalacji w sposób ciągły.
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Hierarchical approach to security monitoring and risk evaluation
PublikacjaPrzedstawiono problemy bezpieczeństwa sieciowego z uwzględnieiem metod szacowania i oceny bezpieczeństwa w skali lokalnej i globalnej. Podano przykłady analizy 3 systemów wraz z wnioskami oraz sugestie dotyczące trendów przyszłościowych.
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Mycotoxins in red wine: Occurrence and risk assessment
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Traffic risk modelling using time-series
PublikacjaW referacie przedstawiono metodę prognozowania ryzyka w ruchu drogowym powstałą na bazie analizy szeregów czasowych. W jej oparciu dla danych o liczbie śmiertelnych ofiar wypadków drogowych w Polsce w latach 1989-2000 zbudowano model i wykonano prognozę rozwoju trendu w przyszłości.
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A model of risk for assessment of ships in damaged conditions
PublikacjaW pracy omówiono problemy związane z modelowaniem zagrożeń, konsekwencji i ryzyka, w metodzie oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym. W celu dokonania oceny bezpieczeństwa statku, w metodzie zastosowano podejścia oparte na ocenie zachowania się statku i ocenie ryzyka. Podejście oparte na ocenie zachowania się statku związane jest z oceną charakterystyk hydromechanicznych statku w stanie uszkodzonych w warunkach zbliżonych...
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An appropriate SCORE to assess cardiovascular risk in hypertension?
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Quantitative risk assessment of new ship designs in damage conditions
PublikacjaThe paper is devoted to safety of ships in damage conditions. The novel contribution of the paper is connected with a new Multi-Task ship (MT-ship) design at the preliminary stage of design. There are a few problems at the preliminary stage that should be considered. One problem is connected with if the quantitative risk-based method is a reliable and formal method for safety assessment of such the new design (MT-ship) in damage...
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Classification of Urban Regeneration Participants as a Basis for Identification of Construction Investment's Risk Sources
PublikacjaOn the basis of the conducted research it can be concluded that the majority of the existing urban regeneration problems are revealed by the lack of an in-depth analysis of sources and risk factors. For the above reasons, the subject of this study is classification of urban regeneration's participants as a basis for identification of construction investment's risk sources. The research methodology is based on an in-depth analysis...
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A Simulation Model for Risk and Pricing Competition in the Retail Lending Market
PublikacjaWe propose a simulation model of the retail lending market with two types of agents: borrowers searching for low interest rates and lenders competing through risk-based pricing. We show that individual banks observe adverse selection, even if every lender applies the same pricing strategy and a credit scoring model of comparable discrimination power. Additionally, the model justifies the reverse-S shape of the response rate curve....
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Identification of Risk Factors for Collisions Involving Cyclists Based on Gdansk Example
PublikacjaThe role of pedestrian and bicycle traffic in Poland has growing trend. The comprehensive traffic study, conducted in Gdansk in 2016, has confirmed the increase in the number of cyclists and their share in the modal split. Therefore, it is particularly important to ensure the safety of this group of unprotected road users. Only in 2015 on the roads of Gdansk occurred 93 accidents (excluding collisions) involving cyclists. As a...
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Implementing artificial intelligence in forecasting the risk of personal bankruptcies in Poland and Taiwan
PublikacjaResearch background: The global financial crisis from 2007 to 2012, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the current war in Ukraine have dramatically increased the risk of consumer bankruptcies worldwide. All three crises negatively impact the financial situation of households due to increased interest rates, inflation rates, volatile exchange rates, and other significant macroeconomic factors. Financial difficulties may arise when the...
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Environmental risk assessment of Polish wastewater treatment plant activity
PublikacjaWastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) play an extremely important role in shaping modern society's environmental wellbeing and awareness, however only well operated and supervised systems can be considered as environmentally sustainable. For this reason, an attempt was undertaken to assess the environmental burden posed by WWTPs in major Polish cities by collecting water samples prior to and just after wastewater release points....
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Preeclampsia Risk Prediction Using Machine Learning Methods Trained on Synthetic Data
PublikacjaThis paper describes a research study that investigates the use of machine learning algorithms on synthetic data to classify the risk of developing preeclampsia by pregnant women. Synthetic datasets were generated based on parameter distributions from three real patient studies. Four models were compared: XGBoost, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, and Explainable Boosting Machines (EBM). The study found that the XGBoost...
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Prognostic and diagnostic capabilities of OOBN in assessing investment risk of complex construction projects
PublikacjaModelling decision problems using Bayesian networks is extremely valuable especially in case of issues related to uncertainty; it is also very helpful in constructing and understanding visual representation of the elements and their relations. This approach facilitates subsequent application of Bayesian networks, however there can be situations where using simple Bayesian networks is impractical or even ineffective. The aim of...