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Wyniki wyszukiwania dla: INVESTMENT RISK EVALUATION METHODS
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The investment risk forecasting in a local energy market
PublikacjaThe paper considers the general problems faced when evaluating the risk of investing in a local energy market by computer tools. The proposal formulated for the emerging local energy markets suggests broadening the method of evaluating investment risk so as to include elements of cluster analysis. The paper also discusses the significance of estimating investment risk in market terms and the importance and range of the local energy...
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Sources of investment risk in urban regeneration projects
PublikacjaThe scope of the article includes multidimensional risk analysis of urban regeneration projects, whose base is to identify areas of its occurrence. Authors thoroughly analyze the sources of potential threats and attempts to answer the question, what is their contribution into overall urban regeneration’ investment risk. The target concept will be used to assess the level of investment risk at the stage of initiation, preparation...
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Model of Risk Assessment (MORA) concept for the investment part of urban regeneration projects
PublikacjaThe main goal of this paper is presentation of the model concept (MORA) that will be used to control level of risk and manage technical risk in investment projects in the area of urban regeneration risk management.
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Exploring the relationship between investment choices, cognitive abilities risk attitudes and financial literacy
PublikacjaPurpose The main purpose of this study is to investigate the investment choices' relationship with cognitive abilities, risk aversion, risky investment intentions, subjective financial literacy and objective financial literacy. Design/methodology/approach To examine the relationship, two investment choices were given to 256 subjects from Pakistan. Questionnaire had total 20 questions for measuring five variables. To review this...
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Prognostic and diagnostic capabilities of OOBN in assessing investment risk of complex construction projects
PublikacjaModelling decision problems using Bayesian networks is extremely valuable especially in case of issues related to uncertainty; it is also very helpful in constructing and understanding visual representation of the elements and their relations. This approach facilitates subsequent application of Bayesian networks, however there can be situations where using simple Bayesian networks is impractical or even ineffective. The aim of...
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Risk of Delays in Implementation of Building Investment in Urban Conditions in the Aspect of Historical Background of its Location
PublikacjaThe implementation of a construction investment in urban conditions is extremely complex, and at the same time exposed to a high risk of a specific character. In case of construction investment located in the historic part of the city, the possible accumulation of many unfavourable factors, which in course of its implementation, may constitute a serious source of delays and disruptions, should be taken into account at the preparation...
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Błażej Prusak dr hab.
OsobyBłażej Prusak jest kierownikiem Katedry Finansów na Wydziale Zarządzania i Ekonomii Politechniki Gdańskiej oraz redaktorem naczelnym czasopisma Research on Enterprise in Modern Economy - theory and practice (REME)/Przedsiębiorstwo we współczesnej gospodarce - teoria i praktyka, a także członkiem komitetów redakcyjnych takich czasopism jak: Intellectual Economics; Przestrzeń. Ekonomia. Społeczeństwo; Akademia Zarządzania. Jest autorem...
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Risk of Cost Overruns in Implementation of Building Investment in Urban Conditions in the Aspect of Historical Background of its Location
PublikacjaThe article is a continuation of the authors' analyzes on the risk of delays in implementation of building investment in urban conditions in the aspect of historical background of its location. In case of construction investment located in the historic part of the city, the possible accumulation of many unfavourable factors, which in course of its implementation, may constitute a serious source of cost overruns and disruptions,...
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Interdisciplinary risk analysis of construction investment and property value in the areas with mining impact
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Building Information Modelling as an opportunity and risk for stakeholders involved in construction investment process
PublikacjaThe requirements to apply Building Information Modelling (BIM) in public investments worldwide are currently very high. Significant interest (sometimes formulated also as a requirement) in BIM technology can be observed also among private investors. Design technology that applies BIM is supported by many private investors due to its numerous advantages. A growing group of construction designers (steel, concrete and reinforced concrete...
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Selected problems of decision making modelling in power engineering
PublikacjaThe paper presents the selected problems of decision making modelling in power engineering specially investment risk evaluation methods. The proposed model can be used in the range programming the development and investing process in power engineering. Decision making problems in power engineering and the evaluation of investment effectiveness in particular are closely related to modelling which relatively accurately reflects...
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Analysis and Risk Evaluation on the Case of Alteration, Revitalization and Conversion of a Historic Building in Gdańsk
PublikacjaEach investment plan, including the one concerning a building, is exposed to the consequences of various types of threats taking place. Therefore, in the case of some large-scale, atypical and complicated building ventures, some actions included in the procedure of risk management should be taken. This will allow for the risk to be eliminated or limited. While preparing a building venture, an investor does not possess full information...
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Aleksandra Parteka dr hab. inż.
OsobyAbout me: I am an associate professor and head of doctoral studies at the Faculty of Management and Economics, Gdansk University of Technology (GdanskTech, Poland). I got my MSc degree in Economics from Gdansk University of Technology (2003) and Universita’ Politecnica delle Marche (2005), as well as MA degree in Contemporary European Studies from Sussex University (2006, with distinction). I received my PhD in Economics...
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Piotr Figura dr inż.
OsobyPiotr Figura jest pracownikiem Katedry Finansów na Wydziale Zarządzania i Ekonomii Politechniki Gdańskiej, a także członkiem Komisji Wydziałowej ds. Weryfikacji Efektów Uczenia się oraz recenzentem akademickim zadań z zakresu rachunkowości Centralnej Komisji Edukacyjnej. Jest autorem lub współautorem kilku monografii naukowych w tym: Wartości wzorcowe wskaźników finansowych przedsiębiorstw giełdowych; Classical and modern concepts...
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Marcin Potrykus dr inż.
OsobyAbsolwent Wydziału Zarządzania i Ekonomii Politechniki Gdańskiej. Od 2008 zatrudniony jako Asystent w Katedrze Finansów na Wydziale Zarządzania i Ekonomii Politechniki Gdańskiej. W 2015 roku obronił (w dyscyplinie ekonomia) rozprawę doktorską zatytułowaną „Inwestycje alternatywne – opłacalność a ryzyko”. Od 2016 zatrudniony jako adiunkt w Katedrze Analizy Ekonomicznej i Finansów na Politechnice Gdańskiej. Jego zainteresowania naukowe...
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Błażej Kochański dr
OsobyBłażej Kochański jest adiunktem w Katedrze Statystyki i Ekonometrii na Wydziale Zarządzania i Ekonomii Politechniki Gdańskiej, ekspertem ds. ryzyka bankowego. Pracował dla banków w Polsce i Europie jako specjalista ds. ryzyka, kierownik ds. planowania i analiz, członek zarządu ds. ryzyka, członek rady nadzorczej i konsultant ds. zarządzania. Zbudował liczne modele predykcyjne wspomagające zarządzanie ryzykiem, z sukcesem zarządzał...
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ASSESSMENT OF GOLD AND/OR CRUDE OIL AS INVESTMENTS FOR PORTFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION. A WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE CASE STUDY
PublikacjaThe purpose of the study is to assess whether the inclusion of investments in gold and/or crude oil improves an investment portfolio consisting of shares of enterprises included in the WIG20 index (traditional invest-ments). All possible combinations of investment portfolios with minimal risk and maximum efficiency were tested. The portfolios were determined based on Markowitz’s portfolio theory. All results were compared...
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The share of investments in gold and oil using the example of selected European stock exchanges– A comparative analysis
PublikacjaIn this article, optimal investment portfolios with minimal risk and maximum efficiency were calculated. The portfolios were designated for ten selected European stock exchanges, based on the listings of the twenty largest companies in each of those markets. All calculations were made based on company shares only, company shares and investments in gold, shares of companies and investments in crude oil as well as shares of companies...
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Markowitz’s portfolio theory – optimal length of estimation window for gold and the biggests companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange
PublikacjaThe following article is dedicated to the construction of an investment portfolio consisting of 3 investments from the Polish capital market found in the WIG20 index and from investment in gold. The purpose of the study was to determine the optimal length of the estimation window for building a portfolio with minimal risk and maximum efficiency. The length of the estimation window was also assessed in terms of the rate of return...
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Kazimierz Darowicki prof. dr hab. inż.
OsobyStudia wyższe ukończyłem w czerwcu 1981 roku po zdaniu egzaminu dyplomowego i obronie pracy magisterskiej. Opiekunem pracy magisterskiej był dr hab. inż. Tadeusz Szauer. W roku 1991, 27 listopada uzyskałem stopień naukowy broniąc pracę doktorską zatytułowaną „Symulacyjna i korelacyjna analiza widm immitancyjnych inhibitowanej reakcji elektrodowej”. Promotorem pracy był prof. dr hab. inż. Józef Kubicki (Wydział Chemiczny...
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ADAPTIVE PREDICTIONS OF THE EURO/ZŁOTY CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATE USING STATE SPACE WAVELET NETWORKS AND FORECAST COMBINATIONS
PublikacjaThe paper considers the forecasting of the euro/Polish złoty (EUR/PLN) spot exchange rate by applying state space wavelet network and econometric forecast combination models. Both prediction methods are applied to produce one-trading-day- ahead forecasts of the EUR/PLN exchange rate. The paper presents the general state space wavelet network and forecast combination models as well as their underlying principles. The state space...
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VALUATION OF EMBEDDED OPTIONS IN NON-MARKETABLE CALLABLE BONDS: A NEW NUMERICAL APPROACH
PublikacjaThe issue of how to price options embedded in callable bonds has attracted a lot of interest over the years. The usual bond valuation methods rely on yield curves, risk premium, and other parameters to estimate interest rates used in discounted cash flow calculations. The option to retire the bond is, however, neglected in the standard pricing models, causing a systematic overvaluation of callable bonds. In the event of a decline...
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Examples of Taxation on Real Estate Properties as an Long-term Investment Asset. Description of Situation in Selected European Countries
PublikacjaReal estate properties have become the alternative asset for long-term savings and investments. Such investment however is strictly related to risk inter alia taxation policy. The following article describes and discusses both theoretical and practical aspects of long-term investment taxation imposed on real estate market in selected European countries. The article presents the analyses of the taxes including its functions, mechanisms...
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The Selection of Anchoring System for Floating Houses by Means of AHP Method
PublikacjaThis paper indicates and analyses the use of anchoring systems, such as mooring piles, booms, mooring cables, and deadweight anchors with additional elastic connectors, which are the most frequently applied by the producers of floating houses. The selection of the most advantageous anchoring system is complicated and requires the application of quantitative and qualitative data and methods. This publication presents the results...
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Investing in wine, precious metals and G-7 stock markets – A co-occurrence analysis for price bubbles
PublikacjaThis paper used the GSADF test to determine the periods defined in this paper as price bubbles in the three markets studied, i.e. the investment wine market, precious metal market and national stock market indices of G-7 countries. The results obtained enabled the calculation of the values of the phi correlation coefficients, which served the research objective of assessing the co-occurrence of price bubbles in the markets analysed....
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Balkan Stock Exchanges – Consideration of the Length of the Estimation Window in Similar Markets
PublikacjaPurpose: We study if capital markets in the Balkan are closely and positively related in terms of rate of return, risk, efficiency, and maximum cumulative loss in relation to different lengths of the estimation window. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research was carried out for the period from 01/01/2017 to 31/12/2019 using portfolio analysis. It was divided into an estimation window (01/01/2019 to 31/12/2019) and another with...
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Application of BN in Risk Diagnostics Arising from the Degree of Urban Regeneration Area Degradation
PublikacjaUrban regeneration as a complex project, generates many extremely specific threats affecting the increase of investment risk. Its unique nature causes that probability parameter, normally applied in the process of risk quantification, is extremely difficult to estimate. Due to lack of historical data urban regeneration related activities are therefore associated with uncertainty. According to the authors, a useful tool for resolving...
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Application of Bayesian Networks in risk diagnostics arising from the degree of urban regeneration area degradation
PublikacjaUrban regeneration as a complex project, generates many extremely specific threats affecting the increase of investment risk. Its unique nature causes that probability parameter, normally applied in the process of risk quantification, is extremely difficult to estimate. Due to lack of historical data urban regeneration related activities are therefore associated with uncertainty. According to the authors, a useful tool for resolving...
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Classification of Urban Regeneration Participants as a Basis for Identification of Construction Investment's Risk Sources
PublikacjaOn the basis of the conducted research it can be concluded that the majority of the existing urban regeneration problems are revealed by the lack of an in-depth analysis of sources and risk factors. For the above reasons, the subject of this study is classification of urban regeneration's participants as a basis for identification of construction investment's risk sources. The research methodology is based on an in-depth analysis...
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Wpływ modernizacji linii kolejowych na poprawę wybranych parametrów techniczno - eksploatacyjnych
PublikacjaW artykule przedstawiono pojęcie jakości robót inwestycyjnych poszczególnych elementów infrastruktury kolejowej oraz metody jej oceny. Skupiono uwagę na jakości początkowej nawierzchni kolejowej po pracach modernizacyjnych na sieci Polskich Linii Kolejowych. Wskazano błędy oraz najczęstsze problemy techniczne występujące w trakcie trwania robót oraz po ich zakończeniu na poszczególnych etapach odbiorów. Opisano wpływ jakości początkowej...
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Maria Jastrzębska dr hab.
OsobyMaria Jastrzębska jest pracownikiem Katedry Finansów. Autorka ponad 170 publikacji, w tym 8 monografii - Zarządzanie finansami gmin. Aspekty teoretyczne; Polityka budżetowa jednostek samorządu terytorialnego; Zarządzanie długiem jednostek samorządu terytorialnego; Finanse jednostek samorządu terytorialnego; Zarządzanie ryzykiem w działalności jednostek samorządu terytorialnego ze szczególnym uwzględnieniem ryzyka katastroficznego...
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Confidence, Financial Literacy and Investment in Risky Assets: Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances
PublikacjaWe employ recent Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) microdata from the US to analyze the impacts of confidence in one's own financial knowledge, confidence in the economy, and objective financial literacy on investment in risky financial assets (equity and bonds) on both the extensive and intensive margins. Controlling for a rich set of covariates including risk aversion, we find that objective financial literacy is positively...
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State tax policy and reform tools as a risk of running a business. Case study based on Polski Ład – Polish tax reform
PublikacjaThe aim of the article is to describe and present the Polish tax reform introduced at the beginning of 2022. Tax changes introduced in Poland had a strong impact on the risk of running a business in Poland because in their assumption they directly changed the rules of running a business. Due to the pace of the introduced changes, as well as the scope of the reform, the new tax law was subject to numerous criticisms of taxpayers...
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Exchange-Traded Funds in Europe
PublikacjaExchange-Traded Funds in Europe provides a single point of reference on a diverse set of regional ETF markets, illuminating the roles ETFs can play in risk mitigation and speculation. Combining empirical data with models and case studies, the authors use diffusion models and panel/country-specific regressions—as well as graphical and descriptive analyses— to show how ETFs are more than conventional, passive investments. With new...
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Magdalena Apollo dr inż.
Osoby2017 - PhD in Civil Engineering, thesis: Risk management in construction investments related to urban regeneration projects, Gdansk University of Technology IX 2012–VI 2013 - Postgraduate Studies at Gdynia Maritime University: Research Project Management (IPMA D Certificate) 2010 – MSc in Management and Marketing, Gdansk University of Technology 2007 – MSc in Civil Engineering, Gdansk University of Technology 2007-2010 - structural...
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Zastosowanie specjalnego uziemienia żył powrotnych w liniach kablowych SN
PublikacjaW artykule porównano metody uziemiania żył powrotnych kabli średniego napięcia. Głównym kryterium oceny poszczególnych rozwiązań było ograniczenie strat w przesyle energii elektrycznej oraz zapewnienie ochrony przeciwprzepięciowej osłon kabli. Na podstawie symulacji kabli zamodelowanych w programie CYMCAP i otrzymanych wyników obciążalności prądowej i strat w linii zaprezentowano metodę krzyżowania żył powrotnych (CB – cross-bonding...
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Transparency of publicly available information about fiscal and monetary policy in Poland
PublikacjaResearch background: The quality of information provided by fiscal and monetary authorities are important in a democratic state. Ensuring fiscal policy transparency reduces fiscal risk and corruption and promotes public acceptance of fiscal reforms. Ensuring transparency in monetary policy allows market participants to anticipate central bank responses and take their effects into account when making investment and consumption decisions. Aim...
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Analiza Niezawodności Człowieka w Ramach Funkcji związanych z Bezpieczeństwem w Przykładowej Instalacji
PublikacjaW analizie bezpieczeństwa funkcjonalnego systemów sterowania i zabezpieczeń należy określić wymagany poziom nienaruszalności bezpieczeństwa SIL w procesie analizy ryzyka, a następnie zweryfikować ten poziom stosując odpowiednie metody modelowania probabilistycznego. Działania człowieka mogą mieć istotny wpływ na realizację funkcji bezpieczeństwa. Wpływ ten ocenia się na podstawie wyników analizy niezawodności człowieka HRA. W niniejszym...
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Współczesne zmiany klimatyczne i ich wpływ na funkcjonowanie systemów miejskich (na przykładzie miast strefy nadmorskiej Polski)
PublikacjaThe purpose of this article is to present contemporary climatic changes in their actual scale, and to assess their impact on functioning of urban areas situated on the Polish coast. The results of the analysis of variability of hydro-climatic conditions that occurred in the last 65 years (1951-2015) in the area of the Polish coast suggest that important changes were concerning: (1) temperature of the air, and thickness and length...
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Urban Mentoring as a new polish management technique in participatory planning
PublikacjaA decade of experience in implementation of numerous urban modernization projects in Poland resulted in a lively debate on socialization of the planning process, in which the matter of the public space quality has become the center of gravity. In those years, transformation from the classic administrative model of „bureaucracy planning” to the model of „management planning” has not been complete. The socialist primacy of the public...
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Price bubbles and Co-bubbles in the green economy market
PublikacjaIn light of growing concerns about climate change and environmental issues, investor interest has surged in the new green economy market. However, the existing literature is limited regarding potential price bubble and co-bubble within this new domain. This study examines price bubble and co-bubble in the new green economy market, covering 31 indexes classified into three groups: the green economy market and its components, geographical...
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Analytical Methods for Causality Evaluation of Photonic Materials
PublikacjaWe comprehensively review several general methods and analytical tools used for causality evaluation of photonic materials. Our objective is to call to mind and then formulate, on a mathematically rigorous basis, a set of theorems which can answer the question whether a considered material model is causal or not. For this purpose, a set of various distributional theorems presented in literature is collected as the distributional...
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Evaluation of Path Based Methods for Conceptual Representation of the Text
PublikacjaTypical text clustering methods use the bag of words (BoW) representation to describe content of documents. However, this method is known to have several limitations. Employing Wikipedia as the lexical knowledge base has shown an improvement of the text representation for data-mining purposes. Promising extensions of that trend employ hierarchical organization of Wikipedia category system. In this paper we propose three path-based...
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Effect of adopted rules of inference and methods of defuzzification on the final result of the evaluation of reliability made using the fuzzy logic methods
PublikacjaThe object of interest is to solve the problem of risk management of marine systems. But the main trouble is a lack of numerous and sure data on the reliability of the components of such systems. The methods based on the fuzzy logic seem to be helpful here. The goal of the article is to check the effect of using different fuzzy inference rules and methods of defuzzification on the final result of reliability assessment. The three...
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Evaluation of Decision Fusion Methods for Multimodal Biometrics in the Banking Application
PublikacjaAn evaluation of decision fusion methods based on Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) and its modifications is presented in the article, studied over real biometric data from the engineered multimodal banking client verification system. First, the approaches for multimodal biometric data fusion for verification are explained. Then the proposed implementation of comparison scores fusion is presented, including details on the application...
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Hierarchical approach to security monitoring and risk evaluation
PublikacjaPrzedstawiono problemy bezpieczeństwa sieciowego z uwzględnieiem metod szacowania i oceny bezpieczeństwa w skali lokalnej i globalnej. Podano przykłady analizy 3 systemów wraz z wnioskami oraz sugestie dotyczące trendów przyszłościowych.
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Environmentally Oriented Models and Methods for the Evaluation of Drug x Drug Interaction Effects
PublikacjaThis detailed review compares known and widely used methods for drug interaction estimation, some of which now have historical significance. Pharmaceutical application has been noted as far back as several thousand years ago. Relatively late in the 20th century, however, researchers became aware that their fate and metabolism, which still remain a great challenge for environmental analysts and risk assessors. For the patient’s...
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Evaluation of the factors influencing business bankruptcy risk in Poland
PublikacjaThis article is devoted to the issue of assessing the causes of business failure. The presented studies answer two research questions – what are the causes of corporate bankruptcies in Poland and how to more efectively predict the scale of bankruptcies in the country. The author has conducted a study to analyze the specic endogenous and exogenous causes of company bankruptcy depending on the type of the bankruptcy with consideration...
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Language of Movement for Building Assessment: A Review of the Evaluation Methods of the Human Movement in the Built Space
PublikacjaThe purpose of this article is to provide a framework for the categorization of methods and techniques of human movement evaluation, measurement, and assessment in the built space. The reviewed
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Evaluation of electrical parameters of traction supply system for complex railway traffic conditions, using simulation methods
PublikacjaDevelopment of electrified transport systems, railways modernization, expansion of urban transport networks, purchases of modern rolling stock causes that updating of electric traction supply system is necessary. This chapter presents an effective method for electrical parameters of traction supply system evaluation, using simulation methods.