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Wyniki wyszukiwania dla: UNCERTAINTY
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Wyrażanie niepewności za pomocą przedziałów
PublikacjaZ perspektywy dwóch różnych interpretacji prawdopodobieństwa - klasycznej (częstościowej) i subiektywnej (bayesowskiej) oraz propozycji nowego przewodnika ustalającego zasady obliczania i wyrażania niepewności pomiaru (GUM), porównano sposoby komunikowania niepewności za pomocą przedziałów: ufności, bayesowskiego, objęcia, rozszerzenia.
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Adaptive Sampling for Non-intrusive Reduced Order Models Using Multi-Task Variance
PublikacjaNon-intrusive reduced order modeling methods (ROMs) have become increasingly popular for science and engineering applications such as predicting the field-based solutions for aerodynamic flows. A large sample size is, however, required to train the models for global accuracy. In this paper, a novel adaptive sampling strategy is introduced for these models that uses field-based uncertainty as a sampling metric. The strategy uses...
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Constrained aerodynamic shape optimization using neural networks and sequential sampling
PublikacjaAerodynamic shape optimization (ASO) involves computational fluid dynamics (CFD)-based search for an optimal aerodynamic shape such as airfoils and wings. Gradient-based optimization (GBO) with adjoints can be used efficiently to solve ASO problems with many design variables, but problems with many constraints can still be challenging. The recently created efficient global optimization algorithm with neural network (NN)-based prediction...
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Advanced sensitivity analysis of the impact of the temporal distribution and intensity of rainfall on hydrograph parameters in urban catchments
PublikacjaKnowledge of the variability of the hydrograph of outflow from urban catchments is highly important for measurements and evaluation of the operation of sewer networks. Currently, hydrodynamic models are most frequently used for hydrograph modeling. Since a large number of their parameters have to be identified, there may be problems at the calibration stage. Hence, sensitivity analysis is used to limit the number of parameters....
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An optimized dissolved oxygen concentration control in SBR with the use of adaptive and predictive control schemes
PublikacjaThis paper addresses the problem of optimizing control of the aeration process in a water resource recovery facility (WRRF) using sequencing batch reactor (SBR), one that affects the efficiency of wastewater treatment by stimulating metabolic reactions of microorganisms through dissolved oxygen (DO) level control, and accounts for the predominant part of operating costs. Two independent approaches to DO control algorithm design...
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Nowe wyzwania, nowe rozwiązania. Jak przedsiębiorstwo branży IT odnajduje się w erze VUCA?
PublikacjaZmienność, niepewność, złożoność i niejednoznaczność, określane akronimem VUCA (volatility, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity) towarzyszą funkcjonowaniu każdego przedsiębiorstwa. Jak wykorzystać te nieodłączne cechy otoczenia przedsiębiorstw jako szanse dla ich rozwoju to wy-zwania stojące przed nimi, a zarazem pytanie badawcze artykułu. Celem artykułu jest wykazanie, na przykładzie przedsiębiorstwa branży IT, że analiza zmienności,...
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The loop impedance measurement
Dane BadawczeThe loop impedance measurement
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The applicability of low-cost PM10 sensors for atmospheric air quality monitoring
PublikacjaDescribed in this work are the results of field tests carried out in the Tricity Agglomeration between 01 April 2018 and 30 June 2018 in order to evaluate the usefulness of low-cost PM10 sensors in atmospheric air quality monitoring. The results were juxtaposed with the results obtained using reference methods. The results were validated based on the measurement uncertainty as described in...
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Ocena efektywności monitoringu obiektów inżynierskich za pomocą sieci Bayesa
PublikacjaW swojej pracy autorzy zaproponowali zastosowanie sieci Bayesa do projektowania monitoringu i podejmowania decyzji w działaniach eksploatacyjnych. Ponadto pokazano dwie metody oceny wartości informacji diagnostycznych. Pierwszą z nich jest wartość oczekiwana EVSI (ang. Expected Value of Sample Information), która stanowi podstawę do wyboru spośród alternatywnych obserwacji symptomów zmiennej diagnostycznej. Natomiast drugą metodą...
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Five strategies for the uncertain future
PublikacjaThe paper focuses on strategies of architectural education the in an era of increasing mobility, emerging alternative energy solutions and prevailing tone of uncertainty concerning future development of cities. Five strategies implemented at the Faculty of Architecture, Gdańsk University of Technology have been presented.
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Quasi-Static Response
PublikacjaConcern for the quasi-static response of ship and offshore structures, as required for safety and serviceability assessments. Attention shall be given to uncertainty quantification of quasi-static load and response analysis approaches, and their limitations, including exact and approximate methods for derivation of different acceptance criteria.
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Robust asymptotic super twisting sliding mode observer for non-linear uncertain biochemical systems
PublikacjaThe problem of state estimation (reconstruction of the state vector) for a given class of biochemical systems under uncertain system dynamics has been addressed in this paper. In detail, the bioreactor at a water resource recovery facility represents the considered biochemical systems. The biochemical processes taking place in the bioreactor have been modelled using an activated sludge model. Based on this model, an appropriate...
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Towards Improving Optimised Ship Weather Routing
PublikacjaThe aim of the paper is to outline a project focusing on the development of a new type of ship weather routing solution with improved uncertainty handling, through better estimation of ship performance and responses to sea conditions. Ensemble forecasting is considered to take into account the uncertainty levels that are typical of operations in a stochastic environment. Increased accuracy of weather prediction is achieved through...
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The assessment of metrological properties of segmental orifice based on simulations and experiments
PublikacjaSegmental orifices are often used to measure flows of heterogeneous mixtures, especially in flow meters in the power industry, for example. The orifice (with module m= 0.25) was installed in a stainless-steel pipe with internal diameter of 50 mm, placed in a hydraulic water system. The research was performed for Reynolds numbers ranging from 9,000 to 17,000. The flow characteristics of this orifice obtained based on simulation...
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Robust Model Predictive Control for Autonomous Underwater Vehicle – Manipulator System with Fuzzy Compensator
PublikacjaThis paper proposes an improved Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach including a fuzzy compensator in order to track desired trajectories of autonomous Underwater Vehicle Manipulator Systems (UVMS). The tracking performance can be affected by robot dynamical model uncertainties and applied external disturbances. Nevertheless, the MPC as a known proficient nonlinear control approach should be improved by the uncertainty estimator...
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Set of Experience and Decisional DNA: Experience-Based Knowledge Structures
PublikacjaThis chapter presents a description of Set of Experience Knowledge Structure (SOEKS) and Decisional DNA (DDNA), argumentation for a knowledge representation, composition, configuration and metrics. SOEKS is a combination of filtered and amalgamated information obtained from formal decision events. It facilitates effective explicit representation of decisional experience taken from different technologies. SOEKS comprises variables,...
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Robust Object Detection with Multi-input Multi-output Faster R-CNN
PublikacjaRecent years have seen impressive progress in visual recognition on many benchmarks, however, generalization to the out-of-distribution setting remains a significant challenge. A state-of-the-art method for robust visual recognition is model ensembling. However, recently it was shown that similarly competitive results could be achieved with a much smaller cost, by using multi-input multi-output architecture (MIMO). In this work,...
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Robust Model Predictive Control for Autonomous Underwater Vehicle–Manipulator System with Fuzzy Compensator
PublikacjaThis paper proposes an improved Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach including a fuzzy compensator in order totrack desired trajectories of autonomous Underwater Vehicle Manipulator Systems (UVMS). The tracking performancecan be affected by robot dynamical model uncertainties and applied external disturbances. Nevertheless, the MPCas a known proficient nonlinear control approach should be improved by the...
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Information content of systems as a physical principle
PublikacjaTo explain the conceptual gap between classical and quantum and other, hypothetical descriptions of the world, several principles have been proposed. So far, all these principles have not explicitly included the uncertainty relation. Here we introduce an information content principle ( ICP ) which represents a constrained uncertainty principle. The principle, by taking into account the encoding and decoding properties of a single physical...
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NON-LINE ANALYSIS OF STIFFNESS IN COMPRESSION CONDITIONS
PublikacjaThe analyzes were aimed at demonstrating the influence of parameters describing the deformation of the structure on the uncertainty of critical force, and the impact of technological imperfections on stress uncertainty in compression conditions. In a linear buckling analysis, the problem is considered only for the initial, permanent state of the stiffness matrix. In the case of demonstrating the influence of initial deformations...
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Designing Control and Protection Systems with Regard to Integrated Functional Safety and Cybersecurity Aspects
PublikacjaThis article addresses current problems of risk analysis and probabilistic modelling for functional safety management in the life cycle of safety-related systems. Two main stages in the lifecycle of these systems are distinguished, namely the design and operation. The risk analysis and probabilistic modelling differ in these stages in view of available knowledge and data. Due to the complexity and uncertainty involved, both qualitative...
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Robust output prediction of differential – algebraic systems – application to drinking water distribution system
PublikacjaThe paper presents the recursive robust output variable prediction algorithm, applicable for systems described in the form of nonlinear algebraic-differential equations. The algorithm bases on the uncertainty interval description, the system model, and the measurements. To improve the algorithm efficiency, nonlinear system models are linearised along the nominal trajectory. The effectiveness of the algorithm is demonstrated on...
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Szacowanie niepewności pomiarowej układu do diagnostyki łożysk opartej na analizie mocy chwilowej
PublikacjaW artykule przedstawiono sposób szacowania niepewności układu pomiarowego, składającego się z dzielnika napięcia oraz bocznika, który wykorzystano do badań diagnostycznych łożysk silników indukcyjnych. Wyniki analizy metrologicznej pozwalają sprecyzować, jakiej niepewności pomiarowej można się spodziewać, dokonując badań diagnostycznych łożysk silników indukcyjnych w określonych warunkach, na stanowisku badawczym metodą...
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Szacowanie niepewności pomiarowej układu do diagnostyki łożysk opartej na analizie mocy chwilowej.
PublikacjaW artykule przedstawiono metodologię szacowania niepewności pomiarowej wykorzystanego do badań diagnostycznych łożysk silników indukcyjnych układu pomiarowego, składającego się z dzielnika napięcia oraz bocznika. Wyniki tych analiz pozwalają spre-cyzować, jakiej niepewności pomiarowej można się spodziewać, dokonując badań diagnostycznych łożysk silników indukcyjnych w określonych warunkach, na stanowisku badawczym metodą pomiaru...
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On reliability assessment of ship machinery system in different autonomy degree; A Bayesian-based approach
PublikacjaAnalyzing the reliability of autonomous ships has recently attracted attention mainly due to epistemic uncertainty (lack of knowledge) integrated with automatic operations in the maritime sector. The advent of new random failures with unrecognized failure patterns in autonomous ship operations requires a comprehensive reliability assessment specifically aiming at estimating the time in which the ship can be trusted to be left unattended....
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Metrological analysis of precision of the system of delivering a water capsule for explosive production of water aerosol
PublikacjaIn this paper an analysis of precision of the system controlling delivery by a helicopter of water-capsule designed for extinguishing large scale fires is presented. The analysis was performed using the numerical method of distribution propagation (Monte Carlo method) supplemented with results of application of the uncertainty propagation method. In addition the optimum conditions for the airdrop are determined to ensure achievement...
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Risk factor assessment in agricultural supply chain by fuzzy logic
PublikacjaSignificant uncertainty characterizes the harvest period. This aspect is due to various risks impacting agrifood supply chains. The occurrence of risks is due to hazards: technological failures, technical breakdowns, or adverse weather conditions. Hence, the operational time of the agricultural supply chain during the harvest period increases due to such risk factors. In essence, some hazards are fuzzy, and the nature of most threats...
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Semantic segmentation training using imperfect annotations and loss masking
PublikacjaOne of the most significant factors affecting supervised neural network training is the precision of the annotations. Also, in a case of expert group, the problem of inconsistent data annotations is an integral part of real-world supervised learning processes, well-known to researchers. One practical example is a weak ground truth delineation for medical image segmentation. In this paper, we have developed a new method of accurate...
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Application of Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets to the assessment of technical university students
PublikacjaThe article proposes application of artificial intelligence methods to assess students of technical universities. The level of achieved educational goals can be assessed using measurements based on the idea of Fuzzy Intuitionistic Sets (IFS). A classification algorithm was developed and an exemplary distribution of the criteria values using IFS was presented. The application of the proposed approach in online education can enrich...
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Using the Fingerprinting Method to Customize RTLS Based on the AoA Ranging Technique
PublikacjaReal-time Locating Systems (RTLSs) have the ability to precisely locate the position of things and people in real time. They are needed for security and emergency applications, but also for healthcare and home care appliances. The research aims for developing an analytical method to customize RTLSs, in order to improve localization performance in terms of precision. The proposed method is based on Angle of Arrival (AoA), a ranging...
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The EU Tyre Noise Label: The problem with measuring the noise level of only a few of all tyre variants
PublikacjaThe STEER project, described in another Inter-Noise 2022 paper, has evaluated the performance of the noise label of the European tyre label. The major finding was that uncertainties of the tyre/road noise measurements were higher than should be accepted. One of the worst uncertainty sources was found to be the common practice to measure only some tyres of all sizes or variants within a tyre line, to save money. Generally, only...
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Robustified estimators of radar elevation angle using a specular multipath model
PublikacjaWe consider the problem of estimating the elevation angle in the presence of multipath. The proposed method belongs to the class of maximum likelihood-like estimators and employs a modified specular reflection model that accounts for the uncertainty of the steering vector by assuming that they are subject to unknown deterministic perturbations with bounded norms. The analysis, performed using convex optimization methods, allows...
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Performance-driven yield optimization of high-frequency structures by kriging surrogates
PublikacjaUncertainty quantification is an important aspect of engineering design, as manufacturing toler-ances may affect the characteristics of the structure. Therefore, quantification of these effects is in-dispensable for adequate assessment of the design quality. Toward this end, statistical analysis is performed, for reliability reasons, using full-wave electromagnetic (EM) simulations. Still, the computational expenditures associated...
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Innowacje jako przedmiot obrotu rynkowego
PublikacjaW artykule podjęto problem cech innowacji jako produktów, które na świecie, coraz częściej również w Polsce, stają się przedmiotem obrotu rynkowego. Różnią się zdecydowanie od produktów, oferowanych przez przedsiębiorstwa produkcyjno-usługowe na rynkach dóbr konsumpcyjnych, także gotowych dóbr przemysłowych. Kluczowe różnice wynikają z tego, że innowacja może być produktem - przedmiotem obrotu rynkowego już jako idea i koncepcja,...
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Dynamic risk assessment in autonomous vehicles motion planning
PublikacjaArguing that an autonomous mobile system is sufficiently safe to operate in presence of other vehicles and objects is an important element in development of such systems. Traditional approach to assure safety is to distinguish between safe and unsafe area and prevent the autonomous vehicle from entering the unsafe area. The paper presents a model of autonomous vehicle control system which uses risk assessment...
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Entropy function application within the selection process of diagnostic parameters of marine diesel and gas turbine engines
PublikacjaThe paper presents the method of conducting an analysis of the diagnostic informativeness among the parameters characterizing the observed gas dynamic processes carried out within working spaces of marine diesel and gas turbine engines. An entropy function, as the measure of uncertainty of the identified states' set of the engine unfitness was applied. Having evaluated the diagnostic information the most adequate parameters were...
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Zero phase shift digital filtering for assessment of exposure to non-sinusoidal magnetic fields
PublikacjaAccuracy of assessment of human body exposure to magnetic fields is affected by several uncertainty sources. One of them is estimation of the total exposure to non-sinusoidal fields. Standard methods can be implemented using analogue or digital filters that introduce a phase shift that affect the result of total exposure level estimation. The paper presents a new method that allows performing more precise assessment of exposure...
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Trade-offs in multiparty Bell-inequality violations in qubit networks
PublikacjaTwo overlapping bipartite binary input Bell inequalities cannot be simultaneously violated as this would contradict the usual no-signalling principle. This property is known as monogamy of Bell inequality violations and generally Bell monogamy relations refer to trade-offs between simultaneous violations of multiple inequalities. It turns out that multipartite Bell inequalities admit weaker forms of monogamies that allow for violations...
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Approach to evaluation of time to the critical degradation of ship pipelines
PublikacjaIn the article an approach to the problem of estimating time to the critical degradation of ship pipelines is considered. Such an assessment would consist of six stages. The fundamental idea is to include to the estimation of time to failure of pipelines such elements like: materials that the pipelines are made, destructive physical phenomena taking place in them and applied means of protection. The result of that evaluation should...
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Zastosowanie statystyki Bayesowskiej do uzasadnienia zmiany sposobu obliczania standardowej niepewności pomiaru
PublikacjaCelem pracy jest wyjaśnienie powodu, dla którego Wspólny Komitet ds. Przewodników w Metrologii (JCGM) wprowadza zmianę sposobu obliczania standardowej niepewności pomiaru. Modyfikacja ma obowiązywać w nowej wersji przewodnika Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM). Rozważania w artykule są oparte na przykładzie oceny niepewności pomiaru metodą typu A, z zastosowaniem statystyki Bayesowskiej w formie eksperymentów...
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Wireless Charging Station Design for Electric Scooters: Case Study Analysis
PublikacjaThis study proposes an example of a wireless charging station design for a small-scale vehicle available on the market. The article analyzes basic transmitter inverter topologies and their compensation methods in terms of flexibility of control, tolerance to uncertainty in positioning, and the possibility of decreasing the integration price. Our comprehensive analysis focuses on the battery voltage range, energy capacity, cost,...
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Regression points in non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion method and D-optimal design
PublikacjaThe paper addresses selected issues of uncertainty quantification in the modelling of a system containing surgical mesh used in ventral hernia repair. Uncertainties in the models occur e.g. due to variability of abdominal wall properties among others. In order to include them, a non-intrusive regression-based polynomial chaos expansion method is employed. Its accuracy depends on the choice of regression points. In the study a relation...
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Integration and verification of meteorological observations and NWP model data for the local GNSS tomography
PublikacjaGNSS meteorology applies the Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) to derive information about the state of the atmosphere (particularly troposphere). The tomography is one of the methods used in GNSS meteorology. The input data of GNSS tomography are the signal troposphere delays, results of GNSS data processing and additionally meteorological observations and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models data. Different types...
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Historical carpentry corner log joints—Numerical analysis within stochastic framework
PublikacjaThe paper presents the results of numerical analysis performed on historical, traditional carpentry corner logjoints of two basic topologies: the short-corner dovetail connection and the saddle notch connection. These types of carpentry joints are commonly used in currently preserved objects of wooden architecture. All connections have been modelled in pinewood, which has been defined in the Finite Element software MSC.Marc/Mentat...
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Quality Assurance and Quality Control in the Analytical Chemical Laboratory. A practical approach : Second edition
PublikacjaThe second edition defines the tools used in QA/QC, especially the application of statistical tools during analytical data treatment. Clearly written and logically organized, it takes a generic approach applicable to any field of analysis. The authors begin with the theory behind quality control systems, then detail validation parameter measurements, the use of statistical tests, counting the margin of error, uncertainty estimation,...
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Optimised Robust Placement of Hard Quality Sensors for Robust Monitoring of Quality in Drinking Water Distribution Systems
PublikacjaA problem of optimised robust placement of the hard quality sensors in Drinking Water Distribution Systems under several water demand scenarios for robust quality monitoring is formulated. Numerical algorithms to solve the problem are derived. The optimality is meant as achieving at the same time a desired trade off between the sensor capital and maintenance costs and resulting robust estimation accuracy of the monitoring algorithm...
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Transient States during Short-circuit in a Line Powered by UPS and its Impact on Earth Fault Loop Impedance Measurement and Power Quality
PublikacjaThe short-circuit in a line powered by Uninterruptible Power Supply (UPS) during different UPS operation modes is presented in the article. The transient state condition related to the short-circuit in a line fed from double conversion On-line UPS is discussed in detail. The results of the measurements of earth fault loop impedance (FLI) in circuits powered by UPS with the instruments of various manufacturers are presented. The...
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Optimizing control by robustly feasible model predictive control and application to drinking water distribution systems
PublikacjaThe paper considers optimizing Model Predictive Control (MPC) for nonlinear plants with output constraints under uncertainties. Although the MPC technology can handle the constraints in the model by solving constraint model based optimization task, satisfying the plant output constraints under the model uncertainty still remains a challenge. The paper proposes Robustly Feasible MPC (RFMPC), which achieves feasibility of the outputs...
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Observation Value Analysis – Integral Part of Bayesian Diagnostics
PublikacjaThe decision making process, in general, is understood as a process of selecting one of the available solutions to the problem. One of possible approaches supporting the process is Bayesian statistical decision theory providing a mathematical model to make decisions of a technical nature in conditions of uncertainty. Regarding above, a detailed subject of the research is to analyze the value of the observation, which is a part...
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Project Management Cycle in the Construction Industry Augmented by Collaborative Innovation Network Software
PublikacjaProject management is a very broad concept that has in recent times is growing rapidly. Management is especially complex in the construction sector, among the other sectors, due to the high uncertainty of workmanship and complexity of construction projects. Proper project management skills are an important factor in the success of projects, leading to reduced costs and shorten the time of investment. Nevertheless, most of the projects...