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Search results for: FORECAST COMBINATIONS
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Impact of digital technologies on reliability of risk forecasting models - case study of enterprises in three global financial market regions
PublicationThis chapter focuses on the evaluation of impact of ICT on reliability of financial risk forecasting models. Presented study shows how the development of ICT can improve the effectiveness of such models. Determining a firm’s financial risk is one of the most interesting topics for investors and decision-makers. The multifaceted goal of the presented research is to separately estimate five traditional statistical and five soft computing...
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The Dynamics of Trade Relations between Ukraine and Romania: Modelling and Forecasting
PublicationThe article examines the monthly dynamics of exports, imports and balance of trade between Ukraine and Romania in the period from 2005 to 2021. Time series from 2015 to 2021 were used for modelling and forecasting (since the date the European Union–Ukraine Association Agreement took effect). Adequate models of the dynamics series of the Box-Jenkins methodology were built: additive models with seasonal component ARIMA (Autoregressive...
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Twenty years' (1996-2016) tropospheric parameters for selected EPN stations derived from GPS double-difference processing
Open Research DataPropagation of global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) signals through the Earth’s atmosphere is affected by its physical properties. Both hydrostatic and wet part of the atmosphere (mostly related with troposphere) causes delays of GNSS signal, which usually are expressed in the zenith direction (zenith hydrostatic delay - ZHD, and zenith wet delay...
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Twenty years' (1996-2016) tropospheric parameters for selected EPN stations derived from GPS precise point positioning
Open Research DataPropagation of global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) signals through the Earth’s atmosphere is affected by its physical properties. Both hydrostatic and wet part of the atmosphere (mostly related with troposphere) causes delays of GNSS signal, which usually are expressed in the zenith direction (zenith hydrostatic delay - ZHD, and zenith wet delay...
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The fertility rate (TFR) in selected EU countries in 2015
Open Research DataThe main reasons for the negative consequences of demographic changes are: natural increase in the life span of the population, decline in fertility and emigration of unusual dimensions.
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Percentage of the working age population in selected EU countries in 2006 and 2017
Open Research DataThe phenomenon of aging of the society, and thus changes in the structure of the share of population in pre- and post-working age, is typical for all European Union countries. The median age of the population in the European Union countries in 2001-2016 increased from 38.5 years to 43 years. This is the scale of the aging of the population (Median age...
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Miasta na prawach powiatu z rozwiniętym przemysłem jako lokalne ośrodki rozwoju na obszarach peryferyjnych polskich regionów
PublicationMost of the growth factors is situated in big cities, especially in metropolitan areas. Questions arise: 1) Whether and what development factors are in the peripheral areas of voivodeships (i.e. outside the functional areas of their capitals)? 2) Can the industry be the driving force of the development of these areas? These questions are related to the discussion on the reindustrialisation of the European Union and the role of...
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Integration of the Eurasian Economic Union in Comparison to European Union Integration
PublicationThe aim of the article is to show the specificity of the integration of the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) on the example of the integration of the European Union (EU). The EEU is a relatively young grouping that was established in 2015 by Republic of Armenia, the Republic of Belarus, the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic and the Russian Federation. Its creators try to give the Eurasian integration process a different...
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Upper Limb Bionic Orthoses: General Overview and Forecasting Changes
PublicationUsing robotics in modern medicine is slowly becoming a common practice. However, there are still important life science fields which are currently devoid of such advanced technology. A noteworthy example of a life sciences field which would benefit from process automation and advanced robotic technology is rehabilitation of the upper limb with the use of an orthosis. Here, we present the state-of-the-art and prospects for development...
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Deviations of treeline Norway spruce radial growth from summer temperatures in East-Central Europe
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Sawing frozen wood with narrow kerf saws: Energy and quality effects.
PublicationOpór skrawania zależy podczas przecinania nie tylko od wilgotności drewna lecz również od jego temperatury. W pracy przedstawiono wyniki badań eksperymentalnych przecinania drewna sosnowego zmrożonego na pilarce ramowej wielopiłowej. Dla porównania wykonano również testy dla drewna o temperaturze pokojowej. Czynnikami badanymi były: moc skrawania, dokładność przecinania w postaci grubości elementów, a także chropowatość powierzchni....
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Thickness monitoring of thin lamellae by optical measurement method
PublicationDo dnia dziesiejszego do pomiaru grubosci tarcicy używa się głównie suwmiarek. Celem projektu było opracowanie skanera, nie wymagajacego wysokich nakładów finansowych, do pomiarów grubości lameli po operacji rozpiłowywania drewna. Opracowany system jest zdolny do wykrywania elementów odbiegajacych od okreslonych tolerancji wymiarowych. zastosowano metodę pomiaru typu sandwich wykorzystująca 4 głowice laserowe. Wyazano, że przy...
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The geodetic monitoring of the engineering structure – a practical solution of the problem in 3D space
PublicationThe study raises the issues concerning the automatic system designed for the monitoring of movement of controlled points, located on the roof covering of the Forest Opera in Sopot. It presents the calculation algorithm proposed by authors. It takes into account the specific design and location of the test object. High forest stand makes it difficult to use distant reference points. Hence the reference points used to study the stability...
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Method of determining the residual fluxes in transformer core
PublicationThe article presents the method of calculating the residual induction in transformer columns. The method is based on measurement of the magnetic induction in selected points around the transformer core. The values of residual induction are calculated as linear combination of the results of measurement.
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Auto-tuning methodology for configuration and application parameters of hybrid CPU + GPU parallel systems based on expert knowledge
PublicationAuto-tuning of configuration and application param- eters allows to achieve significant performance gains in many contemporary compute-intensive applications. Feasible search spaces of parameters tend to become too big to allow for exhaustive search in the auto-tuning process. Expert knowledge about the utilized computing systems becomes useful to prune the search space and new methodologies are needed in the face of emerging heterogeneous...
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ANALIZA PORÓWNAWCZA DROGI HAMOWANIA MOTOCYKLA Z WŁĄCZONYM I WYŁĄCZONYM UKŁADEM ABS
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono wyniki pomiaru drogi hamowania motocykla przy użyciu hamulca koła przedniego, koła tylnego oraz kombinacji obu tych hamulców. Próby intensywnego hamowania motocykla przeprowadzono na suchej nawierzchni asfaltowej z włączonym i wyłączonym układem ABS. Na podstawie zmierzonej drogi hamowania dokonano obliczenia średniego opóźnienia hamowania.
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Calibration of precipitation estimation algorithm with particular emphasis on the Pomeranian region using high performance computing
PublicationFast and accurate precipitation estimation is an important element of remote atmosphere monitoring, as it allows, for example, to correct short-term weather forecasts and the prediction of several types of meteorological threats. The paper presents methodology for calibrating precipitation estimation algorithm based on MSG SEVIRI sensor data, and Optimal Cloud Analysis product available via EumetCast transmission. Calibration is...
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Safety Assessment of the Regional Warmia and Mazury Road Network Using Time-Series Analysis
PublicationWarmia and Mazury still belongs to the areas with the smallest transport accessibility in Europe. Unsatisfactory state of road infrastructure is a major barrier to the development of the regional economy, impacting negatively on the life conditions of the population. Also in terms of road safety Warmia and Mazury is one of the most endangered regions in Poland. The Police statistics show that beside a high pedestrian risk observed...
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Simulation of the derecho event in Poland of 11th August 2017 using the WRF model and GFS data as initial conditions
Open Research DataThis series contains datasets related to the forecasting of a severe weather event, a derecho, in Poland on 11 August 2017. The simulations were conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.2.1 with initial and boundary conditions from Global Forecast System (GFS). Simulation was performed for two starting hours: at 00:00...
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Movement perception with the use of a motorized delta armrest and virtual reality
PublicationIn this paper we present a combination of neuroscience experiments with the use of a parallel armrest robot to study the effects of temporal delays and spatial biases on the movement perception. A dedicated armrest to guide and manipulate the arm has been developed for these experiments. It is a three-degree-of-freedom Delta structure. In combination with a virtual reality application, the movement perception has been evaluated....
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Ruchotwórczość wielkopowierzchniowych obiektów handlowych trzeciej generacji na przykładzie Trójmiasta
PublicationWielkopowierzchniowe obiekty (handlowe, usługowe itp.) generują ruch o dużych natężeniach, które często przekraczają możliwości przepustowe przyległego układu ulicznego. Wpływają w ten sposób na znaczne pogorszenie się warunków ruchu w najbliższym otoczeniu obiektu i zakłócenia w prawidłowym funkcjonowaniu systemu transportowego miasta. Wobec braku polskich doświadczeń konieczne jest badanie wpływu wybranych czynników demograficznych,...
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A machine learning approach to classifying New York Heart Association (NYHA) heart failure
PublicationAccording to the European Society of Cardiology, globally the number of patients with heart failure nearly doubled from 33.5 million in 1990 to 64.3 million in 2017, and is further projected to increase dramatically in this decade, still remaining a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. One of the most frequently applied heart failure classification systems that physicians use is the New York Heart Association (NYHA) Functional...
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Zerowaste Architecture 2022/23
e-Learning CoursesThe issues of the classes include design in the spirit of "zerowaste", i.e. maximum use of existing tissue and the use of secondary building materials. In the face of climate change, construction should face the enormity of waste generated by this sector. Minimizing the production of a new substance and maximizing the use of the existing substance in combination with high aesthetic values is a considerable architectural challenge. The...
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Zerowaste Architecture 2023/24
e-Learning CoursesThe issues of the classes include design in the spirit of "zerowaste", i.e. maximum use of existing tissue and the use of secondary building materials. In the face of climate change, construction should face the enormity of waste generated by this sector. Minimizing the production of a new substance and maximizing the use of the existing substance in combination with high aesthetic values is a considerable architectural challenge. The...
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DK16 Mrągowo-Ełk 2017- video data
Open Research DataDK16 Mrągowo-Ełk 2017- video data
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An optimal form of the finite element mass matrix in the analysis of longitudinal vibrations of rods
PublicationIn this paper, an attempt is made to find the optimal form of the mass matrix of a rod finite element, which allows one to obtain the smallest errors in the longitudinal frequency determination of natural vibrations of any boundary conditions within the whole range of determined frequencies. It is assumed that the mass matrix can be treated as a linear combination of the consistent and diagonal matrices. Based on analytical considerations,...
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A method of determining and visualizing safe motion parameters of a ship navigating in restricted waters
PublicationThe paper presents a method of displaying ship collision avoidance information which is based on an unconventional Collision Threat Parameters Area (CTPA) technique. The solution presented here extends CTPA's functionality from past works by supporting navigation in restricted waters and handling ship domains analytically instead of numerically. It visualizes potential navigational threats as well as possible collision avoidance...
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Application of a stochastic compartmental model to approach the spread of environmental events with climatic bias
PublicationWildfires have significant impacts on both environment and economy, so understanding their behaviour is crucial for the planning and allocation of firefighting resources. Since forest fire management is of great concern, there has been an increasing demand for computationally efficient and accurate prediction models. In order to address this challenge, this work proposes applying a parameterised stochastic model to study the propagation...
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Machine-Learning Methods for Estimating Performance of Structural Concrete Members Reinforced with Fiber-Reinforced Polymers
PublicationIn recent years, fiber-reinforced polymers (FRP) in reinforced concrete (RC) members have gained significant attention due to their exceptional properties, including lightweight construction, high specific strength, and stiffness. These attributes have found application in structures, infrastructures, wind power equipment, and various advanced civil products. However, the production process and the extensive testing required for...
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A survey on network resiliency methodologies against weather-based disruptions
PublicationDue to the increasing dependence on network services of our society, research has recently been concentrating on enhancing traditional protection strategies to withstand large-scale failures, as in case of disaster events. The recently-formed EU-funded RECODIS project aims at coordinating and fostering research collaboration in Europe on disaster resiliency in communication networks. In particular, the Working Group (WG) 2 of the...
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The Possibility of Phase Change Materials (PCM) Usage to Increase Efficiency of the Photovoltaic Modules
PublicationSolar energy is widely available, free and inexhaustible. Furthermore this source of energy is the most friendly to the environment. For direct conversion of solar energy into useful forms like of electricity and thermal energy, respectively photovoltaic cells and solar collectors are being used. Forecast indicate that the first one solution will soon have a significant part in meeting the global energy demand. Therefore it is...
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LONG-TERM RISK CLASS MIGRATIONS OF NON-BANKRUPT AND BANKRUPT ENTERPRISES
PublicationThis paper investigates how the process of going bankrupt can be recognized much earlier by enterprises than by traditional forecasting models. The presented studies focus on the assessment of credit risk classes and on determination of the differences in risk class migrations between non-bankrupt enterprises and future insolvent firms. For this purpose, the author has developed a model of a Kohonen artificial neural network to...
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Hybrid systems using hydrodynamic cavitation/ultrasound/Fenton processes for effective treatment of wastewater
PublicationThe present situation of rapid growth in industrialization generates complex recalcitrant pollutants that are challenging to degrade by conventional wastewater treatment processes. The new generation pollutants such as non-metals in cosmetics or household cleaning chemicals and radioactive compounds which are recalcitrant are the emerging threat to the ecosystem. The headstrong micro and macro pollutants present in wastewater are...
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Nośność konstrukcji gruntowo-łukowej prefabrykowanego wiaduktu w świetle obliczeń numerycznych i badań „in situ”
PublicationWartykule przedstawiono analizy przeprowadzone dla wiaduktu WK-15 Pomorskiej Kolei Metropolitalnej wykonanego w technologii łuków prefabrykowanych przykrytych gruntem (system TechSpan). W celu weryfikacji obliczeń numerycznych wykonano próbne obciążenie konstrukcji. Przedstawiono wyniki pomiarów naprężeń i prezmieszczeń konstrukcji. Odniesiono się krytycznie do zastosowanego modelu obliczeniowego.
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The methodology for determining of the value of cutting power for cross cutting on optimizing sawing machine
PublicationIn the article the methodology of forecasting the energy effects of the cross-cutting process using the classical method, which takes into account the specific cutting resistance, is presented. The values of cutting power for the cross-cutting process of two types of wood (softwood and hardwood) were forecasted for the optimizing sawing machine with using presented methodology. The cross-cutting process with high values of feed...
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Prognozowanie ostrzegawcze w małej firmie
PublicationW artykule pokazano możliwości zastosowania prostych metod prognostycznych do ostrzegania w małej firmie przed niekorzystnymi zjawiskami. Przedmiotem badań jest sprzedaż, a ze względu na występowanie w szeregu czasowym sezonowości, w celu wyznaczenia sygnałów ostrzegawczych dokonano porównań trendów prognozowanych i rzeczywistych w okresach jednoimiennych za pomocą pierwszych różnic. Do prognozowania sprzedaży wykorzystano proste...
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THE METHOD OF MEASURING THE MEMBRANE COVER GEOMETRY USING LASER SCANNING AND SYNCHRONOUS PHOTOGRAMMETRY
PublicationThe authors present the experience and results of field studies carried out at the technical acceptance of Forest Opera (name in Polish: Opera Leśna) in Sopot (Poland). An unusual design of covering made in the form of “Sheerfill I” technical fabric membrane required spanned in the form of sails, required the use of terrestrial laser scanning. Such approach allowed for the fast and accurate record of the surface of individual panels...
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Implementation of multicriteria decision analysis in design of experiment for dispersive liquid-liquid microextraction optimization for chlorophenols determination
PublicationA novel and efficient approach to optimization of extraction step prior the chromatographic determination of nine chlorinated phenols is described. It is based on the combination of design of experiments and multicriteria decision analysis. Such an approach is used to optimize dispersive liquid-liquid microextraction procedure for the determination of 9 chlorophenols in water samples. Three parameters are optimized – sample volume,...
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Degradation of bisphenol S – a contaminant of emerging concern - by synergistic ozone and percarbonate based AOP
PublicationDegradation of bisphenol S was studied using ozone activated by sodium percarbonate and the effectiveness of optimized process was compared with the peroxone process. The influence of several factors including sodium percarbonate concentration, ozone dose, pH, and water matrix were investigated. A synergetic coefficient of 3.84 was achieved for the combination of sodium percarbonate and ozone, confirming the effectiveness of this...
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System Supporting Speech Perception in Special Educational Needs Schoolchildren
PublicationThe system supporting speech perception during the classes is presented in the paper. The system is a combination of portable device, which enables real-time speech stretching, with the workstation designed in order to perform hearing tests. System was designed to help children suffering from Central Auditory Processing Disorders.
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Forecasting energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission of Vietnam by prognostic models based on explainable machine learning and time series
PublicationThis study assessed the usefulness of algorithms in estimating energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions in Viet- nam, in which the training dataset was used to train the models linear regression, random forest, XGBoost, and AdaBoost, allowing them to comprehend the patterns and relationships between population, GDP, and carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption. The results revealed that random forest, XGBoost, and AdaBoost...
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Skin Conductance Level (SCL) data collected during mental training of group of 30 athletes
Open Research DataThe dataset contain raw Skin Conductance Level (SCL) data, collected at a frequency of 40 Hz and expressed in units of microsiemens (μS), during mental training of group of 30 athletes, under the project "Psychophysiology of guided and self-produced imagery in sport".
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PULSE and ECG measurement from the hand with single fingers - elbows resting on the armrests of the chair - Man 29 age
Open Research DataThe data set presents the measurements of the pulse and the ECG signal from the hand made with the use of a proprietary measuring system based on the AD8232 chip, a set of green diode and a phototransistor made on the STM32 microcontroller. Thanks to such a constructed device, it is possible to measure the ECG signal in a non-standard way - from the...
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PULSE and ECG measurement from the hand with standing - hands resting on the device - Man 29 age
Open Research DataThe data set presents the measurements of the pulse and the ECG signal from the hand made with the use of a proprietary measuring system based on the AD8232 chip, a set of green diode and a phototransistor made on the STM32 microcontroller. Thanks to such a constructed device, it is possible to measure the ECG signal in a non-standard way - from the...
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PULSE and ECG measurement from the hand with elbows in the air - Woman 27 age
Open Research DataThe data set presents the measurements of the pulse and the ECG signal from the hand made with the use of a proprietary measuring system based on the AD8232 chip, a set of green diode and a phototransistor made on the STM32 microcontroller. Thanks to such a constructed device, it is possible to measure the ECG signal in a non-standard way - from the...
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PULSE and ECG measurement from the hand with standing - hands resting on the device - Woman 27 age
Open Research DataThe data set presents the measurements of the pulse and the ECG signal from the hand made with the use of a proprietary measuring system based on the AD8232 chip, a set of green diode and a phototransistor made on the STM32 microcontroller. Thanks to such a constructed device, it is possible to measure the ECG signal in a non-standard way - from the...
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PULSE and ECG measurement from the hand with standing - hands resting on the device - Woman 28 age
Open Research DataThe data set presents the measurements of the pulse and the ECG signal from the hand made with the use of a proprietary measuring system based on the AD8232 chip, a set of green diode and a phototransistor made on the STM32 microcontroller. Thanks to such a constructed device, it is possible to measure the ECG signal in a non-standard way - from the...
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PULSE and ECG measurement from the hand with elbows resting on the table top - Second Man 29 age
Open Research DataThe data set presents the measurements of the pulse and the ECG signal from the hand made with the use of a proprietary measuring system based on the AD8232 chip, a set of green diode and a phototransistor made on the STM32 microcontroller. Thanks to such a constructed device, it is possible to measure the ECG signal in a non-standard way - from the...
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PULSE and ECG measurement from the hand with single fingers - elbows resting on the armrests of the chair - Second Man 29 age
Open Research DataThe data set presents the measurements of the pulse and the ECG signal from the hand made with the use of a proprietary measuring system based on the AD8232 chip, a set of green diode and a phototransistor made on the STM32 microcontroller. Thanks to such a constructed device, it is possible to measure the ECG signal in a non-standard way - from the...
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PULSE and ECG measurement from the hand with elbows resting on the armrests of the chair - Woman 28 age
Open Research DataThe data set presents the measurements of the pulse and the ECG signal from the hand made with the use of a proprietary measuring system based on the AD8232 chip, a set of green diode and a phototransistor made on the STM32 microcontroller. Thanks to such a constructed device, it is possible to measure the ECG signal in a non-standard way - from the...