Filters
total: 1771
filtered: 1331
displaying 1000 best results Help
Search results for: RISK CLASSES, FORECASTING
-
Forecasting of railway track tamping based on settlement of sleepers using fuzzy logic
PublicationThe sleepers in a railway track transfer vertical, transverse and longitudinal loads to the track ballast and subgrade. The sleepers allow for keeping the distance between the rails constant. The thickness of ballast should be between 16 and 35 cm depending on the design standard of the track, and it should be densified where the ballast supports the sleeper. The exploitation causes contamination of the ballast, crushing the material...
-
The risk of corporate bankruptcy - the conceptual model
PublicationThis article concerns the assessment of different types of risks influencing the corporate bankruptcy risk. The author has developed conceptual model that explains the causes and the trajectories of the collapse of enterprises. In the analyses such factors as demographic, financial, market, political and operational factors influencing the risk of failure were taken into account.
-
Sources of investment risk in urban regeneration projects
PublicationThe scope of the article includes multidimensional risk analysis of urban regeneration projects, whose base is to identify areas of its occurrence. Authors thoroughly analyze the sources of potential threats and attempts to answer the question, what is their contribution into overall urban regeneration’ investment risk. The target concept will be used to assess the level of investment risk at the stage of initiation, preparation...
-
Marine traffic risk modelling – an innovative approach and a case study
PublicationThis paper presents a model to analyse the risk of two common marine accidents: collision and grounding. Attention is focused on oil tankers since they pose the highest environmental risks. A case study in selected areas of the Gulf of Finland in ice-free conditions is presented. The model utilizes a formula for risk calculation that considers both the probability of an unwanted event and its consequences. The model can be decomposed...
-
Ttrans-risk - an integrated method for risk management in transport =Trans-risk - zintegrowana metoda zarządzania ryzykiem w transporcie
PublicationPodjęto już wiele prób integracji metod zarządzania ryzykiem w innych dziedzinach życia. Przegląd metod zarządzania ryzykiem w poszczególnych gałęziach transportu wskazuje na dość duże rozbieżności terminologiczne i dotyczące szczegółowych zasad i zastosowań metod zarządzania ryzykiem. Istnieje zatem konieczność podjęcia próby integracji metod zarządzania ryzykiem w transporcie. Niniejsza praca jest wynikiem działań interdyscyplinarnego...
-
FIRE RISK ASSESSMENT IN INDUSTRIAL PREMISES
PublicationChapter presents different aspects of fire risk assessment in industrial sites
-
APPLICATION OF QUANTITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENT TO SHIPS IN EMERGENCY CONDITIONS
PublicationThe paper is devoted to safety of ships in emergency conditions. The currently valid prescriptive method of safety assessment of ships in damage conditions is included in the SOLAS 2009 Part B-2 Ch.II-1 regulations. It is devoted to the design stage and difficult to apply in operation. A possible alternative described in this paper is a method based on assessment of performance of ships and risk assessment. Type of risk evaluation...
-
A risk comparison framework for autonomous ships navigation
PublicationMaritime autonomous surface ships (MASS) may operate in three predefined operational modes (OM): manual, remote, or autonomous control. Determining the appropriate OM for MASS is important for operators and competent authorities that monitor and regulate maritime traffic in given areas. However, a science-based approach to this respect is currently unavailable. To assist the selection of the proper OM, this study presents a risk-based...
-
Forecasting of fatigue life of laser welded joints
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono podstawowe dane na temat stalowych paneli typu sandwich. Zaprezentowano wyniki testów zmęczeniowych elementarnych połączeń teowych spawanych laserowo. Omówiono szczegółowo te cechy, które mają istotny wpływ na statyczne i zmęczeniowe własności złącza. Na podstawie przedstawionych wyników badań zmęczeniowych elementarnych połączeń spawanych laserowo uzyskano krzywą projektową S-N dla jednego z pokazanych modeli...
-
Forecasting of the Employment Rate in the EU ICT Field
Publication -
Increasing rail life by forecasting fatigue failure.
PublicationReferat poświęcony jest przedłużaniu żywotności szyn i obejmuje zagadnienia prognozowania liczby pęknięć a także planowania szlifowań szyn. Dane pomiarowe pochodzą z wieloletnich badań przeprowadzonych w Katedrze Inżynierii Kolejowej Politechniki Gdańskiej na liniach magistralnych PKP.
-
Risk Analysis by a Probabilistic Model of the Measurement Process
PublicationThe aim of the article is presentation of the testing methodology and results of examination the probabilistic model of the measurement process. The case study concerns the determination of the risk of an incorrect decision in the assessment of the compliance of products by measurement. Measurand is characterized by the generalized Rayleigh distribution. The model of the meas-urement process was tested in parallel mode by six risk...
-
Assessment of cardiovascular risk in assisted living
PublicationWady i choroby układu krążenia są jedną z podstawowych przyczyn problemów zdrowotnych oraz przyczyn śmierci. Wczesne ich wykrycie jest szczególnie cenne jako, że może zapobiec przez poważnymi incydentami (np. zawał, udar, itp.). W artykule przedstawiono nasobny system pomiarowy integrujący wiele pomiarów przydatnych do oceny problemów kardiologicznych.Disorders of the heart and blood vessels are the leading cause of health problems...
-
Collision Risk-Informed Weather Routing for Sailboats
PublicationSelected COLREG rules, good seamanship and sheer common sense indicate that it is in a sailboat's interest to follow collision-free routes without relying on large power-driven ships to give way. Until now, however, no method has integrated a sailboat's weather routing with collision risk monitoring and collision avoidance. Therefore, a new deterministic approach to combine the above features within one method is introduced here....
-
Falling accident risk in Poland.
PublicationFor the last few years we observe optimistic tendencies in traffic risk development in Poland the number of fatalities decreases about 10% per year, bringing Poland closer to European Union standards. Nevertheless in 2001 we observed the unexpected, and bigger than forecasted, casualty reduction. The reason was the economic downturn suffered across the country, resulting in reduced demand for transportation. The danger lies in...
-
Falling accident risk in Poland.
PublicationFor the last few years we observe optimistic tendencies in traffic risk development in Poland - the number of fatalities decreases about 10% per year, bringing Poland closer to European Union standards. Nevertheless in 2001 we observed the unexpected, and bigger than forecasted, fatality reduction. The reason was the economic downturn suffered across the country, resulting in reduced demand for transportation. The danger lies in...
-
Assessment of occupational risk in technical undertakings
PublicationSummary An undertaking - as a new and often single action - in its nature creates problems with predicting the realization of planned aims. Each undertaking bears some risk. Protection of a man who carries out an undertaking is even a more difficult task. The article offers a method of estimating potential risks connected with labour conditions on the basis of risk evaluation at the stage of undertaking planning.Streszczenie Realizacja...
-
Pedestrian safety management using the risk-based approach
PublicationThe paper presents a concept of a multi-level pedestrian safety management system. Three management levels are distinguished: strategic, tactical and operational. The basis for the proposed approach to pedestrian safety management is a risk-based method. In the approach the elements of behavioural and systemic theories were used, allowing for the development of a formalised and repeatable procedure integrating the phases of risk...
-
The impact of knowledge risk management on sustainability
PublicationPurpose The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of knowledge risk management (KRM) on organizational sustainability and the role of innovativeness and agility in this relationship. Methodology The study presents the results of a quantitative survey performed among 179 professionals from knowledge-intensive organizations dealing with knowledge risks and their management in organizations. Data included in this study are...
-
Antenatal Classes in the Context of Prenatal Anxiety and Depression during the COVID-19 Pandemic
Publication -
Semi- incremental construction of minimal cyclic finite state automata usingcontinuation classes.
PublicationMinimalne automaty skończone są często wybierane do przedstawiania słowników morfologicznych języka naturalnego. Wśród ich zalet znajdują się duża szybkość rozpoznawania i małe wymagania pamięciowe. Tłumaczenie opisów morfologicznych opartych o klasy kontynuacji na minimalne, cykliczne automaty skończone jest tradycyjnie dokonywane w kilku fazach, zawierających tworzenie automatu niedeterministycznego z przejściami etykietowanymi...
-
Arterial stiffness, central hemodynamics, and cardiovascular risk in hypertension
Publication -
CARDIOVASCULAR RISK FACTORS AMONG POLISH EMPLOYEES OF UNIFORMED SERVICES
PublicationObjectives: Employees of uniformed services (EoUS) were screened for cardiovascular risk factors. Material and Methods: A total of 1138 EoUS (age M±SD 49.9±6.0 years) and 263 controls (age M±SD 54.4±9.7 years) under the care of the cardiology clinic in Gdańsk, Poland,were included in the study. Medical history and blood samples were collected, and a physical examination was performed. Ten-year cardiovascular risk of death was...
-
Application of Bayesian Networks for Forecasting Future Model of Farm
Publication -
Application of dynamic factor models for inflation forecasting in Poland
Publication -
Estimating and Forecasting GDP in Poland with Dynamic Factor Model
Publication -
Dynamic risk assessment in autonomous vehicles motion planning
PublicationArguing that an autonomous mobile system is sufficiently safe to operate in presence of other vehicles and objects is an important element in development of such systems. Traditional approach to assure safety is to distinguish between safe and unsafe area and prevent the autonomous vehicle from entering the unsafe area. The paper presents a model of autonomous vehicle control system which uses risk assessment...
-
The effect of environmental turbulence on cyber security risk management and organizational resilience
PublicationEven though there is a plethora of research on the role of environmental turbulence in organizational performance in general, little attention has been paid to the effect of environmental turbulence on cyber security risk management and further - organizational resilience. Drawing on the resource-based view and contingency theory, this study investigates how technological and market turbulence influence organizational cyber security...
-
The effects of perceived risk, brand value, and brand trust on eWOM
PublicationUnrestricted access to the Internet, mobile devices, social applications and offering shopping comment options via online stores and platforms, encourages customers to generate online reviews about brands. That is why it became important to learn about the factors that motivate customers to create electronic word of mouth (eWOM). The survey aimed to check if there are links between perceived brand value, perceived risk, brand trust...
-
Model of Risk Assessment (MORA) concept for the investment part of urban regeneration projects
PublicationThe main goal of this paper is presentation of the model concept (MORA) that will be used to control level of risk and manage technical risk in investment projects in the area of urban regeneration risk management.
-
An analysis of domain-based ship collision risk parameters
PublicationAccording to a lot of contemporary research on ship collision avoidance the classic approach parameters – distance at closest point of approach (DCPA) and time to the closest point of approach (TCPA) – are not sufficient for estimating ship collision risk and for planning evasive manoeuvres. Consequently new measures are introduced, often utilizing the concept of a ship domain. Their drawback, up to this point, was the lack of...
-
Forecasting of currency exchange rates using artificial neural networks
PublicationW rozdziale tym autor przedstawił wyniki swoich badań nad wykorzystaniem sztucznych sieci neuronowych do prognozowania kursu walut (na przykładzie pary walutowej PLN-USD).Głównym celem badań było porównanie skuteczności przewidywania kursu złotówki w latach 1997 - 2005 przy pomocy różnych rodzajów sieci neuronowych.
-
Forecasting demand for products in distribution networks using R software
Publication -
The original method of cutting power forecasting while wood sawing
PublicationEfekty energetyczne procesu przecinania drewna piłami (siły skrawania i moc skrawania) przy klasycznym podejściu do zagadnienia są określane na podstawie wartości właściwego powierzchniowego oporu skrawania. Z drugiej strony siły skrawania można rozważać z punktu widzenia współczesnej mechaniki pękania. Prognozowanie wartości kąta ścinania z zastosowaniem modeli uwzględniających wiązkość materiału obrabianego, ścinanie w płaszczyźnie...
-
Upper Limb Bionic Orthoses: General Overview and Forecasting Changes
PublicationUsing robotics in modern medicine is slowly becoming a common practice. However, there are still important life science fields which are currently devoid of such advanced technology. A noteworthy example of a life sciences field which would benefit from process automation and advanced robotic technology is rehabilitation of the upper limb with the use of an orthosis. Here, we present the state-of-the-art and prospects for development...
-
Trans-Risk - An Integrated Method for Risk Management in Transport
Publication -
A comparative study on geopolymers synthesized by different classes of fly ash after exposure to elevated temperatures
Publication -
Daylight Appraisal Classes For Achitecture Students A Survey Combined With A Practical Assessment For Educational Training Recommendations
PublicationThe main objectives of this article are: (i) to present the relations between architecture students' subjective assessment of daylight in classrooms and the objective evaluation of daylit conditions using daylight simulations tools, (ii) to formulate guidelines and recommendations on daylight appraisal methods and tools which may be useful in architectural training. The methodology used includes an evaluation of the results of...
-
Corporate social responsibility and forward default risk mediated by financial performance and goodwill
PublicationIn today’s business environment, corporate social responsibility (CSR) has become an increasingly significant factor for firms. This study is driven by the motivation to add to the current literature by investigating the mediating elements that explain the relationship between CSR and forward default risk. In this paper, we attempt to identify the important mediators and give a more comprehensive explanation of this connection...
-
Stormwater and snowmelt runoff storage control and flash flood hazard forecasting in the urbanized coastal basin.
PublicationCity of Gdańsk is located in a coastal region where changing climatic conditions increase the frequency of extreme weather events. Developing urbanization affects the hydrology of natural basins by simplification of the drainage system and reduction of infiltration and base flow. Consequently greater runoff rates flow into storm water collection systems, reservoirs and surrounding water bodies. Not only infrastructures of urban...
-
Good practices in requirements, project and risk managment in educational IT projects
PublicationOne can find many learning aids and simulations of physical phenomena on the market - provided as a standalone application or as part of an educational package. However, only a few of them allow for the building of interactive experiments: experiments similar to those that should be conducted in physics laboratories at schools. Gdańsk University of Technology decided to fill this market niche by designing and constructing a set...
-
Advanced Bayesian study on inland navigational risk of remotely controlled autonomous ship
PublicationThe arise of autonomous ships has necessitated the development of new risk assessment techniques and methods. This study proposes a new framework for navigational risk assessment of remotely controlled Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS). This framework establishes a set of risk influencing factors affecting safety of navigation of a remotely-controlled MASS. Next, model parameters are defined based on the risk factors, and...
-
Analysis and Risk Evaluation on the Case of Alteration, Revitalization and Conversion of a Historic Building in Gdańsk
PublicationEach investment plan, including the one concerning a building, is exposed to the consequences of various types of threats taking place. Therefore, in the case of some large-scale, atypical and complicated building ventures, some actions included in the procedure of risk management should be taken. This will allow for the risk to be eliminated or limited. While preparing a building venture, an investor does not possess full information...
-
Positive Risk of Creativity in Software Projects: an Expected Result, a Threat or an Opportunity?
PublicationPositive risk of creativity appears when there is an excess of creativity. This paper aims at exploring the concept of positive risk of creativity in software projects. It presents a taxonomy of positive risks as well as case studies of positive risks in diploma software projects. It also attempts to answer the question whether positive risks should be treated as expected results of applying creativity process, or they cause additional...
-
Towards the Development of a Risk Model for Unmanned Vessels Design and Operations
PublicationAn unmanned merchant vessel seems to be escaping from the stage of idea exploration. Once the concept proofs its safety, it may become a part of maritime reality. Although the safety aspect of such a ship has been addressed by a handful of scholars, the problem remains open. This is mainly due to lack of knowledge regarding actual operational circumstances and design of unmanned ships, which are yet to be developed. In the...
-
Metals in the environment as risk factors for infectious diseases: gaps and opportunities
PublicationThis chapter aims to provide insights into current knowledge and gaps in our understanding of the influence that trace metals in the environment have on the pathogenesis of infectious diseases. By reducing immune function, trace metal deficiencies may substantially contribute to the global burden of diarhea, pneumonia, and malaria. Improved methods and biomarkers for assessing the risk of trace metals deficiencies and toxicities...
-
Hierarchical influence diagrams for incorporating human and organizational factors in risk assessment of hazardous industrial systems
PublicationArtykuł dotyczy podstawowych zagadnień związanych z czynnikami organizacyjnymi i ludzkim w analizie ryzyka złożonych systemów przemysłowych. Analizuje się podobieństwa i różnice pomiędzy hierarchicznymi diagramami wpływu i hierarchicznym procesem analizy decyzyjnej i na tej podstawie proponuje się uogólnione podejście do rozważanej analizy decyzyjnej uwzględniające dane rozmyte.
-
A framework for onboard assessment and monitoring of flooding risk due to open watertight doors for passenger ships
PublicationPost-accident safety of ships is governed by damage stability, affected by watertight subdivisions which limit accidental flooding. This is important for passenger ships with watertight doors (WTDs) often fitted in the bulkheads. Awareness of the ship flooding risk due to open WTDs and the conditions under which the associated risk level changes are prerequisites for proactive risk mitigation. Accident risk is often expressed as...
-
Folate/homocysteine metabolism and lung cancer risk among smokers
PublicationBackground: Folate and homocysteine are involved in DNA synthesis and methylation processes, which are deregulated during carcinogenesis. Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between folate/homocysteine concentrations, the functional polymorphisms of folate/homocysteine genes and lung cancer risk among cigarette smokers. Study design: The study included 132 lung cancer patients and 396 controls from...
-
Risk Management in "Agile" methodologies using the example of Scrum and the IBM Rational Team Concert tool
PublicationProject risk is one of the key areas which should be subjected to a thorough analysis in any IT project. Project managers undertake steps to minimize risks, both in terms of organization (matching people to tasks or roles) as well as in terms of technology (using appropriate tools for the management and execution of tasks). Every method of project management defines and describes the processes and techniques related to knowledge...