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Search results for: crash prediction model
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Intelligent Decision Forest Models for Customer Churn Prediction
PublicationCustomer churn is a critical issue impacting enterprises and organizations, particularly in the emerging and highly competitive telecommunications industry. It is important to researchers and industry analysts interested in projecting customer behavior to separate churn from non‐churn consumers. The fundamental incentive is a firm’s intent desire to keep current consumers, along with the exorbitant expense of gaining new ones....
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Prediction based on integration of Decisional DNA and a feature selection algorithm Relief-F
PublicationThe paper presents prediction model based on Decisional DNA and Set of experienced integrated with Relief_F algorithm for feature selection
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NUMERICAL ESTIMATION OF HULL HYDRODYNAMIC DERIVATIVES IN SHIP MANOUVERING PREDICTION
PublicationOperating in crowded waterways pose a risk of accidents and disasters due to maneuvering limitations of the ship. In order to predict ship’s maneuvering characteristics at the design stage, model tests are often executed as the most accurate prediction tool. Two approaches can be distinguished here: free running model tests and numerical simulations based on planar motion model with the use of hydrodynamic derivatives obtained...
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Multicomponent ionic liquid CMC prediction
PublicationWe created a model to predict CMC of ILs based on 704 experimental values published in 43 publications since 2000. Our model was able to predict CMC of variety of ILs in binary or ternary system in a presence of salt or alcohol. The molecular volume of IL (Vm), solvent-accessible surface (Sˆ), solvation enthalpy (DsolvGN), concentration of salt (Cs) or alcohol (Ca) and their molecular volumes (Vms and Vma, respectively) were chosen...
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A model of occurrence of the situations endangering inland waterways passanger ships and the environment
PublicationZaproponowano czterostanowy semimarkowski model pojawiania się sytuacji zagrażających pasażerskim statkom śródlądowym. Model ten został opracowany w formie semimarkowskiego procesu dyskretnego w stanach i ciągłego w czasie, którego wartościami są rodzaje stanów, interpretowanych jako sytuacje: normalna, skomplikowana, niebezpieczna oraz awaryjna. Zobrazowano przykładową realizację procesu zmian sytuacji, jakie mogą pojawić się...
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A semi-Markov model of fuel combustion process in a Diesel engine
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono czterostanowy model procesu spalania w przestrzeniach roboczych (cylindrach) silników o zapłonie samoczynnym w formie procesu semimarkowskiego, dyskretnego w stanach i ciągłego w czasie. Wartościami tego procesu są stany odpowiadające powszechnie akceptowanym rodzajom spalania w tego rodzaju silnikach a mianowicie takie stany procesu jak: spalanie pełne (całkowite i zupełne), spalanie niezupełne, spalanie...
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Systematic Literature Review on Click Through Rate Prediction
PublicationThe ability to anticipate whether a user will click on an item is one of the most crucial aspects of operating an e-commerce business, and clickthrough rate prediction is an attempt to provide an answer to this question. Beginning with the simplest multilayer perceptrons and progressing to the most sophisticated attention networks, researchers employ a variety of methods to solve this issue. In this paper, we present the findings...
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QoS-sensitive selfish behavior in ad hoc wireless lans: a stochastic game model
PublicationRozważany jest prosty model stacji sieci bezprzewodowej wprowadzają-cych ruch elastyczny przy wymaganiu minimalnej przepływności. Każda stacja, okresowo przełączając się na egoistyczną konfigurację MAC, próbuje wyeliminować inne stacje z ubiegania się o pasmo sieci. Dla powstającej w ten sposób gry zastosowano model gry markowowskiej i pokazano istnienie symetrycznego punktu równowagi strategicznej.
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Factors affecting the conclusion of an arrangement in restructuring proceedings: evidence from Poland
PublicationThe EU Restructuring Directive (2019/1023) requires Member States to provide a preventive restructuring framework for financially distressed entities that remain viable or are likely to readily restore economic viability. The first step to a successful restructuring is the approval of an arrangement between the debtor and creditors. The main research objective of the article is to identify factors affecting the conclusion of an...
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A new index for statistical analyses and prediction of travelling ionospheric disturbances
PublicationTravelling Ionospheric Disturbances (TIDs) are signatures of atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs) observed in changes in the electron density. The analysis of TIDs is relevant for studying coupling processes in the thermosphere–ionosphere system. A new TID index is introduced, which is based on an easy extension of the commonly used approach for TID detection. This TID activity index, which can be applied for individual Global Navigation...
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Tool Wear Prediction in Single-Sided Lapping Process
PublicationSingle-sided lapping is one of the most effective planarization technologies. The process has relatively complex kinematics and it is determined by a number of inputs parameters. It has been noted that prediction of the tool wear during the process is critical for product quality control. To determine the profile wear of the lapping plate, a computer model which simulates abrasive grains trajectories was developed in MATLAB. Moreover,...
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A model of risk for assessment of ships in damaged conditions
PublicationW pracy omówiono problemy związane z modelowaniem zagrożeń, konsekwencji i ryzyka, w metodzie oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym. W celu dokonania oceny bezpieczeństwa statku, w metodzie zastosowano podejścia oparte na ocenie zachowania się statku i ocenie ryzyka. Podejście oparte na ocenie zachowania się statku związane jest z oceną charakterystyk hydromechanicznych statku w stanie uszkodzonych w warunkach zbliżonych...
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Lattice type fracture model for brittle materials
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono wyniki obliczeń propagacji rys w elementach betonowych przy zastosowaniu modelu dyskretnego opartego na ruszcie belkowym. Obliczenia wykonano dla różnych problemów brzegowych. W modelu przyjęto inne właściwości dla kruszywa, zaczynu cementowego oraz strefy kontaktu.
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2D lattice model for fracture in brittle materials
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono wyniki obliczeń propagacji rys w elementach betonowych przy zastosowaniu modelu dyskretnego opartego na ruszcie belkowym. Obliczenia wykonano dla różnych problemów brzegowych.
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High quality speech codec employing sines+noise+transients model
PublicationA method of high quality wideband speech signal representation employing sines+transients+noise model is presented. The need for a wideband speech coding approach as well as various methods for analysis and synthesis of sines, residual and transient states of speech signal is discussed. The perceptual criterion is applied in the proposed approach during encoding of sines amplitudes in order to reduce bandwidth requirements and...
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Improved model of void fraction distribution in two-phase flow in the boundary layer
PublicationPraca skupiona jest na eksperymentalnej weryfikacji sił działających na pęcherzyk gazowy przepływający wzdłuż ścianki kanału, a następnie implementacji uzyskanych wyników do zaproponowanego wczesniej przez jednego z współautorów modelu rozkładu stopnia zapełnienia w warstwie przyściennej przepływu dwufazowego. Podczas badań pęcherzyk modelowany był sztywną kulą podwieszoną na strunie. Autorzy przekonują, że pokazany model dobrze...
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Model of speed-varing rotor for mechatronic systems analysis and design
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono sposób modelowania złożonych układów mechatronicznych w oparciu o metodę grafów wiązań. Celem zilustrowania metody posłużono się przykładem liczbowym, w którym rozważano wirnik obracający się ze zmienną prędkością kątową. Prezentowana metodyka doskonale nadaje się do modelowania układów o zróżnicowanej naturze fizycznej. Otrzymany model ma charakter obiektu o pewnej liczbie wejść i wyjść, który można w...
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Stochastic model of the process of starting combustion engines and practical application of the process
PublicationW atrykule zaproponowano model procesu rozruchu silników o zapłonie samoczynnym w formie procesu semimarkowskiego dyskretnego w stanach i ciągłego w czasie. Zaproponowano również koncepcję zastosowania opracowanego modelu do określenia ilości substancji szkodliwych, jakie są emitowane wraz z spalinami do otoczenia podczas rozruchu każdego silnika. W rozważaniach tych przyjęto, że statystyka zmiennej losowej, rozumianej jako masa...
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Robust Parameter Estimation and Output Prediction for Reactive Carrier-Load Nonlinear Dynamic Networks
PublicationIn this paper an extension of on-line model simplification technique for a class of networked systems, namely reactive carrier-load nonlinear dynamic networked system (RCLNDNS), kept within point-parametric model (PPM) framework is addressed. The PPM is utilised to acquire a piece wise constant time-varying parameter linear structure for the RCLNDNS suitable for the on-line one step ahead prediction that may be applied to monitoring...
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Electricity demand prediction by multi-agent system with history-based weighting
PublicationEnergy and load demand forecasting in short-horizons, over an interval ranging from one hour to one week, is crucial for on-line scheduling and security functions of power system. Many load forecasting methods have been developed in recent years which are usually complex solutions with many adjustable parameters. Best-matching models and their relevant parameters have to be determined in a search procedure. We propose a hybrid...
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Prediction of manoeuvring abilities of 10000 DWT pod-driven coastal tanker
PublicationThis paper aims to present a new approach in the prediction of manoeuvring abilities of pod-driven ships. A new mathematical model of motions based on MMG methodology was developed and a new type of description of forces acting on azimuth drives is presented. Captive model tests of medium-size coastal tanker and pod open water tests were carried out in CTO S.A. (Ship Design and Research Centre S.A.) to obtain hull hydrodynamic derivatives...
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Rapid antenna design optimization using shape-preserving response prediction
PublicationAn approach to rapid optimization of antennas using the shape-preserving response-prediction (SPRP) technique and coarsediscretization electromagnetic (EM) simulations (as a low-fidelity model) is presented. SPRP allows us to estimate the response of the high-fidelity EM antenna model, e.g., its reflection coefficient versus frequency, using the properly selected set of so-called characteristic points of the low-fidelity model...
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Stochastic model of the process of starting piston combustion engines and the practical use of the process
PublicationW artykule zaproponowano model procesu rozruchu silników o zapłonie samoczynnym, w formie procesu semimarkowskiego, dyskretnego w stanach i ciągłego w czasie eksploatacji. Stanami tego procesu są: stan zimny silnika (s1), stan ciepły silnika (s2) i stan gorący silnika (s3). Zaproponowano również koncepcję zastosowania opracowanego modelu do określenia ilości substancji szkodliwych, jakie emitowane są w spalinach podczas rozruchu...
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Personal bankruptcy prediction using machine learning techniques
PublicationIt has become crucial to have an early prediction model that provides accurate assurance for users about the financial situation of consumers. Recent studies have focused on predicting corporate bankruptcies and credit defaults, not personal bankruptcies. Due to this situation, the present study fills the literature gap by comparing different machine learning algorithms to predict personal bankruptcy. The main objective of the...
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Viscoelastic model of waterhammer in single pipeline - problems and questions
PublicationW artykule dokonano analizy zastosowania lepkosprężystego modelu uderzenia hydraulicznego w pojedynczym przewodzie. Przedstawiono teoretyczne podstawy lepkosprężystego zachowania się materiału przewodu oraz matematyczny opis modelu uderzenia hydraulicznego w rurociągu z tworzywa sztucznego. Przedyskutowano główne problemy pojawiające się przy aplikacji takiego modelu. Nacisk położono na identyfikację parametrów modelu. Przeanalizowano...
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Stochastic model of the load spectrum for main engines of sea-going ships
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono możliwość zastosowania procesów semimarkowskich do probabilistycznego opisu widma obciążeń silników o zapłonie samoczynnym, zastosowanych do napędu statków - czyli silników głównych. W rozważaniach uwzględnione zostały charakterystyki zewnętrzne mocy tego rodzaju silników. Umożliwiły one sformułowanie czteroelementowego zbioru stanów procesu obciążeń tego rodzaju silników. Do opisu rzeczywistego procesu...
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Analysis of muscles behaviour. Part II. The computational model of muscles group acting on the elbow joint
PublicationThe purpose of this paper is to present the computational model of muscles' group describing the movements of flexion/extension at the elbow joint in the sagittal plane of the body when the forearm is being kept in the fixed state of supination/pronation. The method ofevaluating the muscle forces is discussed in detail. This method is the basis for the quantitative and qualitative verification of the proposed computational model...
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Robust output prediction of differential – algebraic systems – application to drinking water distribution system
PublicationThe paper presents the recursive robust output variable prediction algorithm, applicable for systems described in the form of nonlinear algebraic-differential equations. The algorithm bases on the uncertainty interval description, the system model, and the measurements. To improve the algorithm efficiency, nonlinear system models are linearised along the nominal trajectory. The effectiveness of the algorithm is demonstrated on...
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Diagnostic model of compression-ignition engine slide bearings for controlling the changes of their state
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono koncepcję umożliwiającą sterowanie procesami zmian stanów eksploatacyjnych silnika na podstawie modelu diagnostycznego łożysk ślizgowych. Jako model łożyska ślizgowego przyjęty został topologiczny model diagnostyczny, pozwalający na pełne i dokładne wykorzystanie oleju smarowego jako jednego z nośników informacji o stanie technicznym łożyska. Przedstawiona została przykładowa interpretacja stanów eksploatacyjnych...
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Integrated information and prediction Web Service WaterPUCK General concept
PublicationIn this paper, general concept of a new method as ‘Integrated information and prediction Web Service WaterPUCK’ for investigation influence of agricultural holdings and land-use structures on coastal waters of the southern Baltic Sea is presented. WaterPUCK Service is focused on determination of the current and future environmental status of the surface water and groundwater located in the Puck District (Poland) and its impact...
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Impact of AlphaFold on structure prediction of protein complexes: The CASP15‐CAPRI experiment
PublicationWe present the results for CAPRI Round 54, the 5th joint CASP-CAPRI protein assembly prediction challenge. The Round offered 37 targets, including 14 homodimers, 3 homo-trimers, 13 heterodimers including 3 antibody–antigen complexes, and 7 large assemblies. On average 70 CASP and CAPRI predictor groups, including more than 20 automatics servers, submitted models for each target. A total of 21 941 models submitted by these groups...
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Rhamnolipid CMC Prediction
PublicationRelationships between the purity, pH, hydrophobicity (log Kow) of the carbon substrate, and the critical micelle concentration (CMC) of rhamnolipid type biosurfactants (RL) were investigated using a quantitative structure–property relationship (QSPR) approach and are presented here for the first time. Measured and literature CMC values of 97 RLs, representing biosurfactants at different stages of purification, were considered....
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Color prediction from first principle quantum chemistry computations: a case of alizarin dissolved in methanol
PublicationThe electronic spectrum of alizarin (AZ) in methanol solution was measured and used as reference data for color prediction. The visible part of the spectrum was modelled by different DFT functionals within the TD-DFT framework. The results of a broad range of functionals applied for theoretical spectrum prediction were compared against experimental data by a direct color comparison. The tristimulus model of color expressed in terms...
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On the validation of the LS-DYNA Geo Metro numerical model
PublicationThe paper presents experiences gained during work with numerical model of Geo Metro vehicle used for simulations of crash tests with road safety barriers. Attention is drawn to the subject of tire/wheel breakage during collision events. Some methods for improvement of the model are presented in the paper. Several results for the normative vehicle numerical tests are introduced. Simulations were carried out using LS-DYNA finite...
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A CNN based coronavirus disease prediction system for chest X-rays
PublicationCoronavirus disease (COVID-19) proliferated globally in early 2020, causing existential dread in the whole world. Radiography is crucial in the clinical staging and diagnosis of COVID-19 and offers high potential to improve healthcare plans for tackling the pandemic. However high variations in infection characteristics and low contrast between normal and infected regions pose great challenges in preparing radiological reports....
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An Intelligent Approach to Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Using Deep Neural Networks
PublicationIn this paper, an intelligent approach to the Short-Term Wind Power Prediction (STWPP) problem is considered, with the use of various types of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). The impact of the prediction time horizon length on accuracy, and the influence of temperature on prediction effectiveness have been analyzed. Three types of DNNs have been implemented and tested, including: CNN (Convolutional Neural Networks), GRU (Gated Recurrent...
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Beware of the crash risk: Tail beta and the cross-section of stock returns in China
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Dynamic Bankruptcy Prediction Models for European Enterprises
PublicationThis manuscript is devoted to the issue of forecasting corporate bankruptcy. Determining a firm’s bankruptcy risk is one of the most interesting topics for investors and decision-makers. The aim of the paper is to develop and to evaluate dynamic bankruptcy prediction models for European enterprises. To conduct this objective, four forecasting models are developed with the use of four different methods—fuzzy sets, recurrent and...
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Consumer Bankruptcy Prediction Using Balanced and Imbalanced Data
PublicationThis paper examines the usefulness of logit regression in forecasting the consumer bankruptcy of households using an imbalanced dataset. The research on consumer bankruptcy prediction is of paramount importance as it aims to build statistical models that can identify consumers in a difficult financial situation that may lead to consumer bankruptcy. In the face of the current global pandemic crisis, the future of household finances...
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Prediction of protein assemblies, the next frontier: The CASP14‐CAPRI experiment
PublicationWe present the results for CAPRI Round 50, the 4th joint CASP-CAPRI protein assembly prediction challenge. The Round comprised a total of 12 targets, including 6 dimers, 3 trimers, and 3 higher-order oligomers. Four of these were easy targets, for which good structural templates were available either for the full assembly, or for the main interfaces (of the higher-order oligomers). Eight were difficult targets for which only distantly...
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Induction machine behavioral modeling for prediction of EMI propagation.
PublicationThis paper presents the results of wideband behavioral modeling of an induction machine (IM). The proposed solution enables modeling the IM differential- and common-mode impedance for a frequency range from 1 kHz to 10 MHz. Methods of parameter extraction are derived from the measured IM impedances. The developed models of 1.5 kW and 7.5 kW induction machines are designed using the Saber Sketch scheme editor and simulated in the...
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Discrete-Element bonded-particle Sea Ice model DESIgn, version 1.3a – model description and implementation
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Mobilenet-V2 Enhanced Parkinson's Disease Prediction with Hybrid Data Integration
PublicationThis study investigates the role of deep learning models, particularly MobileNet-v2, in Parkinson's Disease (PD) detection through handwriting spiral analysis. Handwriting difficulties often signal early signs of PD, necessitating early detection tools due to potential impacts on patients' work capacities. The study utilizes a three-fold approach, including data augmentation, algorithm development for simulated PD image datasets,...
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CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION IN POLAND AGAINST THE BACKGROUND OF FOREIGN EXPERIENCE
PublicationIn highly developed countries, research in the field of bankruptcy risk prediction has been conducted for many years. For example, in the United States, which can be considered a pioneering country, the first publications appeared in the early twentieth century. In Poland, due to political and economic reasons, the interest in this issue dates back to the early 1990s. For this reason, this publication attempts to answer the following...
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CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION IN POLAND AGAINST THE BACKGROUND OF FOREIGN EXPERIENCE
PublicationIn highly developed countries, research in the field of bankruptcy risk prediction has been conducted for many years. For example, in the United States, which can be considered a pioneering country, the first publications appeared in the early twentieth century. In Poland, due to political and economic reasons, the interest in this issue dates back to the early 1990s. For this reason, this publication attempts to answer the following...
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Review of Selected Methods for Prediction of Added Resistance in Following Waves
PublicationThe added resistance in waves is a mean value of non-linear, second order reaction of a ship to incoming waves. In the beginning of the 20th century, the experimental methods for investigation of ship hydrodynamics at model scale were developed. They allowed the evaluation of added resistance by measurements in irregular waves (directly) or by measurements in regular waves (in-direct method). The main goal was to find more precise...
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Surrogate Modeling and Optimization Using Shape-Preserving Response Prediction: A Review
PublicationComputer simulation models are ubiquitous in modern engineering design. In many cases, they are the only way to evaluate a given design with sufficient fidelity. Unfortunately, an added computa-tional expense is associated with higher fidelity models. Moreover, the systems being considered are often highly nonlinear and may feature a large number of designable parameters. Therefore, it may be impractical to solve the design problem...
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Analysis and Comparison of Safety of Children and Adult Passenger in Car Based on Crash Tests Results
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Curb-to-Barrier Face Distance Variation an a TB51 Bridge Barrier Crash Test Simulation
PublicationThis paper addresses the problem of road safety regarding barrier placement as relative to the curb. A short summary of existing regulations is presented. Numerical simulations using the explicit finite element system Ls- Dyna are shown. In the analysis, variable distance between the barrier and the curb is assumed. The obtained result reveals that the distance has little impact on the working width of the barrier.
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Analysis and Comparison of Safety of Children and Adult Passenger in Car Based on Crash Tests Results
PublicationMost important features of the child seat were presented. There was made analysis of selected dynamic loads acting on mannequins heads during a collision. Comparison of loads acting on the kid in a child seat and the other passengers in a car is presented. In analysis of the results particular attention has been paid on the children's secure in a car. The phenomena of collision child's occipital bone with seat backrest was described....