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Search results for: crash prediction model
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Ireneusz Kreja dr hab. inż.
PeopleGraduated from the mathematical class at the Nicolaus Copernicus High School in Gdańsk (1974). Master of Sciences in Civil Engineering after studies at Gdansk University of Technology (GUT), Poland (1974-1979). Since 1979 became an employee of the GUT. In 1989 earned a Ph.D. degree in Civil Engineering (with grade "Summa cum Laude") from the GUT. In 2008 obtained a D. Sc. (Habilitation) degree in Civil Engineering (with grade...
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A comparative analysis of the effectiveness of corporate bankruptcy prediction models based on financial ratios: Evidence from Colombia, 2008 to 2015
PublicationLogit and discriminant analyses have been used for corporate bankruptcy prediction in several studies since the last century. In recent years there have been dozens of studies comparing the several models available, including the ones mentioned above and also probit, artificial neural networks, support vector machines, among others. For the first time for Colombia, this paper presents a comparative analysis of the effectiveness...
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Artificial intelligence models in prediction of response to cardiac resynchronization therapy: a systematic review
PublicationThe aim of the presented review is to summarize the literature data on the accuracy and clinical applicability of artificial intelligence (AI) models as a valuable alternative to the current guidelines in predicting cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) response and phenotyping of patients eligible for CRT implantation. This systematic review was performed...
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Adaptive prediction of stock exchange indices by state space wavelet networks
PublicationThe paper considers the forecasting of the Warsaw Stock Exchange price index WIG20 by applying a state space wavelet network model of the index price. The approach can be applied to the development of tools for predicting changes of other economic indicators, especially stock exchange indices. The paper presents a general state space wavelet network model and the underlying principles. The model is applied to produce one session...
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Strain energy density and entire fracture surface parameters relationship for LCF life prediction of additively manufactured 18Ni300 steel
PublicationIn this study, the connection between total strain energy density and fracture surface topography is investigated in additively manufactured maraging steel exposed to low-cycle fatigue loading. The specimens were fabricated using laser beam powder bed fusion (LB-PBF) and examined under fully-reversed strain-controlled setup at strain amplitudes scale from 0.3% to 1.0%. The post-mortem fracture surfaces were explored using a non-contact...
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CoRBAC – kontekstowo zorientowany model bezpieczeństwa
PublicationZaproponowano uogólniony model kontroli dostępu do usługowych systemów internetowych uwzględniający różne kategorie kontekstu. Określono wpływ kontekstu na model jak i architekturę systemu bezpieczeństwa. Podano przykład implementacji modelu i architektury bezpieczeństwa dla zestawu usług dotyczących e-uczelni i wstępnie oszacowano zalety takiego rozwiązania.
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Model of identification of events and accident scenarios for a method of risk and safety assessment of ships in damaged conditions
PublicationW pracy opisano podstawowe problemy związane z identyfikacją zdarzeń i scenariuszy wypadku oraz modelowaniem ryzyka dla alternatywnej metody oceny bezpieczeństwa statków w stanie uszkodzonym. Zastosowano podejście do bezpieczeństwa statków oparte na ocenie zachowania się statku i ocenie ryzyka wypadku. Wskazano możliwości zastosowania modelowania do analizy bezpieczeństwa statków na etapie projektowania, w czasie eksploatacji i...
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COMPARISON OF BLOOD PRESSURE PREDICTION METHODS
PublicationIn the paper dierent approaches of predicting blood pressure values are presented. Basically, two methods and theirs modifications are considered. In total, seven algorithms have been examined. Tests have been conducted using both synthetic and clinical data. From our study it follows that none of the examined methods is superior to other.
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Toward Prediction of Environmental Arctic Change
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numerical prediction of vortex generated by hydrofoil
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono wyniki obliczeń programami Fluent i Comet dla płata śruby napędowej. Pola prędkości oraz wirowość za płatem porównano z wynikami pomiarów (LDA- Laser Doppler Anemometry) w tunelu kawitacyjnym Centrum Techik Okrętowych (CTO). Przedstawiono wpływ adaptacji siatki wg różnych kryteriów (lokalnej wirowości lub prędkości) na zgodność wyników obliczeń z danymi eksperymentalnymi.
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Bankruptcy Prediction - History, Present and Future.
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono krótką wzmiankę dotyczącą dotychczasowych badań w obszarze zagrożenia przedsiębiorstw upadłością, techniki wykorzystywane do budowy modeli prognozowania upadłości przedsiębiorstw oraz metody stosowane w analizie porównawczej tego typu modeli.
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A Computationally Efficient Model for Predicting Successful Memory Encoding Using Machine-Learning-based EEG Channel Selection
PublicationComputational cost is an important consideration for memory encoding prediction models that use data from dozens of implanted electrodes. We propose a method to reduce computational expense by selecting a subset of all the electrodes to build the prediction model. The electrodes were selected based on their likelihood of measuring brain activity useful for predicting memory encoding better than chance (in terms of AUC). A logistic...
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Numerical Analysis of TB32 Crash Tests for 4-cable Guardrail Barrier System Installed on the Horizontal Convex Curves of Road
PublicationHorizontal curves are one of the elements of road infrastructure where statistically a relatively high number of accidents have been reported. In the last ten years in Poland approx. 10% of all road accidents happened on horizontal curves of roads and was responsible for approx. 14% of all fatalities on Polish roads. Thus, this issue is important and requires extensive research and proper road safety treatments. One possible measure...
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Performance Modeling and Prediction of Real Application Workload in a Volunteer-based System
PublicationThe goal of this paper is to present a model that predicts the real workload placed on a volunteer based system by an application, with incorporation of not only performance but also availability of volunteers. The application consists of multiple data packets that need to be processed. Knowing the computational workload demand of a single data packet we show how to estimate the application workload in a volunteer based system. Furthermore,...
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Prediction of consumer electricity needs based on Internet weather forecasts
PublicationElectrical energy is considered both as an important driver for producing and transporting goods in companies, as well as a good in itself which requires planning and management for generating and delivering it to consumers in proper time and amounts. Weather information can be considered to convey part of the data on energy delivery needs of consumers. Free meteorological data sources on the Web do not offer consistent data to...
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Review of Research into Enterprise Bankruptcy Prediction in Selected Central and Eastern European Countries
PublicationIn developed countries, the first studies on forecasting bankruptcy date to the early 20th century. In Central and Eastern Europe, due to, among other factors, the geopolitical situation and the introduced economic system, this issue became the subject of researcher interest only in the 1990s. Therefore, it is worthwhile to analyze whether these countries conduct bankruptcy risk assessments and what their level of advancement is....
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Prediction of fracture toughness in fibre-reinforced concrete, mortar, and rocks using various Machine learning techniques
PublicationMachine Learning (ML) method is widely used in engineering applications such as fracture mechanics. In this study, twenty different ML algorithms were employed and compared for the prediction of the fracture toughness and fracture load in modes I, II, and mixed-mode (I-II) of various materials, including fibre-reinforced concrete, cement mortar, sandstone, white travertine, marble, and granite. A set of 401 specimens of “Brazilian...
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Machine learning-based prediction of seismic limit-state capacity of steel moment-resisting frames considering soil-structure interaction
PublicationRegarding the unpredictable and complex nature of seismic excitations, there is a need for vulnerability assessment of newly constructed or existing structures. Predicting the seismic limit-state capacity of steel Moment-Resisting Frames (MRFs) can help designers to have a preliminary estimation and improve their views about the seismic performance of the designed structure. This study improved data-driven decision techniques in...
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Prediction of flow boiling heat transfer data for R134a, R600a and R290 in minichannels
PublicationIn the paper presented is the analysis of the results of calculations using a model to predict flow boiling of refrigerants such as R134a, R600a and R290. The latter two fluids were not used in development of model semiempirical correction. For that reason the model was verified with present experimental data. The experimental research was conducted for a full range of quality variation and a relatively wide range of mass velocity....
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Comparative study on total nitrogen prediction in wastewater treatment 1 plant and effect of various feature selection methods on machine learning algorithms performance
PublicationWastewater characteristics prediction in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) is valuable and can reduce the number of sampling, energy, and cost. Feature Selection (FS) methods are used in the pre-processing section for enhancing the model performance. This study aims to evaluate the effect of seven different FS methods (filter, wrapper, and embedded methods) on enhancing the prediction accuracy for total nitrogen (TN) in the WWTP...
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Ship Dynamic Positioning Based on Nonlinear Model Predictive Control
PublicationThe presented work explores the simulation test results of using nonlinear model predictive control algorithm for ship dynamic positioning. In the optimization task, a goal function with a penalty was proposed with a variable prediction step. The results of the proposed control algorithm were compared with backstepping and PID. The effect of estimation accuracy on the control quality with the implemented algorithms was investigated....
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Application of gas chromatographic data and 2D molecular descriptors for accurate global mobility potential prediction
PublicationMobility is a key feature affecting the environmental fate, which is of particular importance in the case of persistent organic pollutants (POPs) and emerging pollutants (EPs). In this study, the global mobility classification artificial neural networks-based models employing GC retention times (RT) and 2D molecular descriptors were constructed and validated. The high usability of RT was confirmed based on the feature selection...
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Fast and reliable knowledge-based design closure of antennas by means of iterative prediction-correction scheme
PublicationA novel framework for expedited antenna optimization with an iterative prediction-correction scheme is proposed. The methodology is comprehensively validated using three real-world antenna structures: narrow-band, dual-band and wideband, optimized under various design scenarios. The keystone of the proposed approach is to reuse designs pre-optimized for various sets of performance specifications and to encode them into metamodels...
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Prediction of the motion stability of three-wheel mobile robot
PublicationW pracy rozważa się projektowanie i realizację trajektorii ruchu 3-kołowego robota mobilnego, z uwzględnieniem jego kinematyki i dynamiki. Kołowe roboty mobilne zaliczane są do układów nieholonomicznych, w przypadku których przyjęte ograniczenia (więzy) dotyczą chwilowych prędkości punktów charakterystycznych układu. Model matematyczny obiektu przedstawiono w postaci skończonej liczby nieliniowych równań różniczkowych kinematyki...
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Application Isssues of the Semi-Markov Reliability Model
PublicationPredicting the reliability of marine internal combustion engines, for instance, is of particular importance, as it makes it possible to predict their future reliability states based on the information on the past states. Correct reliability prediction is a complex process which consists in processing empirical results obtained from operating practice, complemented by analytical considerations. The process of technical state changes...
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Simplified, multiregional fuzzy model of a nuclear power plant steam turbine
PublicationPower systems, including steam turbines and synchronous generators, are complex nonlinear systems with parameters varying over time. The paper presents the developed simplified, multiregional fuzzy model of the steam turbine of a nuclear power plant turbine generator set and compares the results with a full nonlinear model and commonly used linear input-output model of a steam turbine. The proposed model consist of series of linear...
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Optimized Deep Learning Model for Flood Detection Using Satellite Images
PublicationThe increasing amount of rain produces a number of issues in Kerala, particularly in urban regions where the drainage system is frequently unable to handle a significant amount of water in such a short duration. Meanwhile, standard flood detection results are inaccurate for complex phenomena and cannot handle enormous quantities of data. In order to overcome those drawbacks and enhance the outcomes of conventional flood detection...
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PREDICTION OF SHIP MOTIONS IN IRREGULAR WAVES BASED ON RESPONSE AMPLITUDE OPERATORS EVALUATED EXPERIMENTALLY IN NOISE WAVES
PublicationThe most common methods for predicting ship roll motions in a specified sea state are direct measurements of motions in a representative irregular wave realisation (time domain) or calculations of motions from response amplitude operators (RAOs) in the frequency domain. The result of the first method is valid only for the tested sea state, whilst the second method is more flexible but less accurate. RAO-based predictions are calculated...
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Estimation and Prediction of Vertical Deformations of Random Surfaces, Applying the Total Least Squares Collocation Method
PublicationThis paper proposes a method for determining the vertical deformations treated as random fields. It is assumed that the monitored surfaces are subject not only to deterministic deformations, but also to random fluctuations. Furthermore, the existence of random noise coming from surface’s vibrations is also assumed. Such noise disturbs the deformation’s functional models. Surface monitoring with the use of the geodetic levelling...
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Prediction of metal deformation due to line heating; an alternative method of mechanical bending, based on artificial neural network approach
PublicationLine heating is one of the alternative methods of forming metals and this kind of forming uses the heating torch as a source of heat input. During the process, many parameters are considered like the size of the substrate, thickness, cooling method, source power intensity, the travel speed of the power source, the sequence of heating, and so on. It is important to analyze the factors affecting the...
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Model zaangażowania w relacji usługodawca-klient
PublicationW niniejszej monografii przedstawiono rozwiązania pozwalające lepiej zrozumieć złożoność relacji występujących pomiędzy usługodawcami a klientami oraz metody, które pozwalają tę wiedzę wykorzystać w doskonaleniu procesów organizacji usługowych. Monografia podejmuje problem kształtowania zaangażowania na styku usługodawca–klient jako wstępnego i koniecznego warunku rozwijania relacji w usługach. Opierając się na klasycznej drabinie...
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Prediction of the stability during optimal control of the 3-wheel mobile platform
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono metodę badania stabilności sterowania optymalnego 3-kołową platformą mobilną podczas realizacji zadanej trajektorii ruchu. Badany robot posiada więzy nieholonomiczne. Model matematyczny robota 3-kołowego opisano za pomocą skończonej liczby nieliniowych równań różniczkowych. Stąd, prognozowanie ruchu takiego obiektu wymaga zastosowania efektywnych algorytmów.
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Prediction of the fatigue lifetime of PUR structural elements using a combined experimental-numerical approach
PublicationThis paper presents a method for estimating the fatigue life of polyurethane elastomeric components. A rubber replacement - polyurethane of hardness 80ShA commonly used in vibration damping systems, for example, in motor vehicle suspensions, was used for the study. A metal-rubber bushing component was selected for analysis, and numerical analysis was carried out along with a fatigue model proposal based on a modification of the...
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Autonomous Ship Utility Model Parameter Estimation Utilising Extended Kalman Filter
PublicationIn this paper, a problem of autonomous ship utility model identification for control purposes is considered. In particular, the problem is formulated in terms of model parameter estimation (one-step-ahead prediction). This is a complex task due to lack of measurements of the parameter values, their time-variability and structural uncertainty introduced by the available models. In this work, authors consider and compare two utility...
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Prediction of Deflagrative Explosions in Variety of Closed Vessels
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Prediction of Weld Deformations by Numerical Methods - Review
PublicationThe welding process is the basic technique of joining in the shipbuilding industry. This method generates welding distortions that cause a lot of problems during the manufacturing process due to both the time and cost of straightening as well as their influence on later stages of production. Proper preparation of welding processes plays a growing role in the shipbuilding industry and the development of calculating tools is being...
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A Stand for Measurement and Prediction of Scattering Properties of Diffusers
PublicationIn this paper we present a set of solutions which may be used for prototyping and simulation of acoustic scattering devices. A system proposed is capable of measuring sound field. Also a way to use an open source solution for simulation of scattering phenomena occurring in proximity of acoustic diffusers is shown. The result of our work are measurement procedure and a prototype of the simulation script based on FEniCS - an open source...
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Creep failure prediction of pipelines in elevated temperature
PublicationW pracy omówiono zastoswanie modelu konstytutytwnego pełzania pozwalającego na analizę trwałości metalowych ruruciągów pracujących w wysokich temperaturach. Zaprezentowano wyniki obliczeń opartych na metodzie elementów skończonych (MES) wykonanych z wykorzystaniem procedur użytkownika w komercyjnym programie MES. Porównano wyniki dla dwóch typów 4-węzłowych elementów powłokowych.
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Pitch etection enhancement employing music prediction.
PublicationW artykule przedstawiono przegląd metod detekcji częstotliwości podstawowej we frazach muzycznych. Wskazano też główne problemy występujące w procesie estymacji dźwięków muzycznych. W celu zmniejszenia błędów oktawowych zaproponowano uwzględnienie w systemie predyktora neuronalnego. Opracowana przez Autorów metoda predykcji zdarzeń muzycznych wykorzystywana jest jako moduł wspomagający pracę systemu. Proponowane podejście pozwala...
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Ship model resistance - KCS
Open Research DataShip model instantaneous resistance, velocity, pitch and heave measured data for a KCS built and tested in the towing tank of the Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Ship Technology of Gdansk University of Technology under regular head waves.
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Validation of lumbar spine finite element model
Open Research DataThe functional biomechanics of the lumbar spine have been better understood by finite element method (FEM) simulations. However, there are still areas where the behavior of soft tissues can be better modeled or described in a different way. The purpose of this research is to develop and validate a lumbar spine section intended for biomechanical research....
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Lattice filter based autoregressive spectrum estimation with joint model order and estimation bandwidth adaptation
PublicationThe problem of parametric, autoregressive model based estimation of a time-varying spectral density function of a nonstationary process is considered. It is shown that estimation results can be considerably improved if identification of the autoregressive model is carried out using the two-sided doubly exponentially weighted lattice algorithm which combines results yielded by two one-sided lattice algorithms running forward in...
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Prediction of flow boiling heat transfer coefficient for carbon dioxide in minichannels and conventional channels
PublicationIn the paper presented are the results of calculations using authors own model to predict heat transfer coefficient during flow boiling of carbon dioxide. The experimental data from various resea rches were collected. Calculations were conducted for a full range of quality variation and a wide range of mass velocity. The aim of the study was to test the sensitivity of the in-house model. The results show the importance of taking into...
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Wieloźródłowy model pola elektrycznego okrętu = Multisource model of ship electric field
PublicationW pracy przedstawiono wieloźródłowy model pola elektrycznego okrętu. Wieloźródłowy model stanowi układ źródeł prądowych o określonych położeniach.
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Underground Water Level Prediction in Remote Sensing Images Using Improved Hydro Index Value with Ensemble Classifier
PublicationThe economic sustainability of aquifers across the world relies on accurate and rapid estimates of groundwater storage changes, but this becomes difficult due to the absence of insitu groundwater surveys in most areas. By closing the water balance, hydrologic remote sensing measures offer a possible method for quantifying changes in groundwater storage. However, it is uncertain to what extent remote sensing data can provide an...
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Failure mode prediction for composite structural insulated panels with MgO board facings
PublicationSandwich panels are readily used in civil engineering due to their high strength to weight ratio and the ease and speed of assembly. The idea of a sandwich section is to combine thin and durable facings with a light-weight core and the choice of materials used allows obtaining the desired behaviour. Panels in consideration consist of MgO (magnesium oxide) board facings and expanded polystyrene core and are characterized by immunity...
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FFT analysis of temperature modulated semiconductor gas sensor response for the prediction of ammonia concentration under humidity interference
PublicationThe increasing environmental contamination forces the need to design reliable devices for detecting of the volatile compounds present in the air. For this purpose semiconductor gas sensors, which have been widely used for years, are often utilized. Although they have many advantages such as low price and quite long life time, they still lack of long term stability and selectivity. Namely, environmental conditions have significant...
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Mathematical model of pennate muscle
PublicationThe purpose of this study is to create a new mathematical model of pennate striated skeletal muscle. This new model describes behaviour of isolated flat pennate muscle in two dimensions (2D) by taking into account that rheological properties of muscle fibres depend on their planar arrangement. A new mathematical model is implemented in two types: 1) numerical model of unipennate muscle (unipennate model); 2) numerical model of...
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Comparison of properties of the new electro-mechanical model and circumferential model of the inductive-dynamic drive
PublicationThe article presents a new electromechanical model of inductive-dynamic drive. The model is implemented in two environments: Maxwell for analyzing electrodynamic phenomena including moving of the disc and Ansys which allows for stress analysis on the basis of the volume forces imported from Maxwell. Additionally, a model validation by comparing with the existing circumferential model was carried out.
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The Rayleigh model of the multipath fading channel
Open Research DataThe dataset contains the results of simulations that are part of the research on modelling the multipath fading in the communication channel. The Rayleigh fading envelope is generated using the Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) in the LabVIEW programming environment.